---
description: New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic Predictions ❱ 16.11.2026 ❱ Football ❱ USL Championship ✔️Free Betting Picks &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community predictions
title: New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic Prediction | Best Bets &amp; Betting Picks
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/ca/1x1/new-mexico-sacramento-republic-10344728-tips.png
---

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* New Mexico - Sacramento Republic Predictions

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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

[ ](#) 

# New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic Predictions

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

New Mexico

3 days 

16th Nov 26, 01:00 

![Weather Icon](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/weather/clear-day.svg)12° 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) ![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) Winner probabilities 

28% 

28% 

44% 

1x2: Away 

![ToonieBet](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/tooniebet.png)

2.66 

Quick Links: 

Best Bets 

Probabilities 

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Matches 

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Match Info 

![Oddspedia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-simple-ui.svg)

## picks 

![Computer picks](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) 

Powered by 

![Oddspedia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-simple.svg) 

Total Goals: Over 3.5 

Confidence Rating 

![ToonieBet](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/tooniebet.png)

Best odds 

3.33 

Given the recent form of both teams, backing "Total Goals: Over 3.5" holds potential. New Mexico United enters with a winning streak and has shown impressive attacking prowess at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Meanwhile, Sacramento Republic has been potent on the road, netting at least one goal in their last eight outings. Historically, matches between these two have produced an average of 3 goals. With both teams showcasing recent scoring ability and a trend of high-scoring games, there’s a solid chance we could see a thrilling encounter surpassing the 3.5 goals mark.

Oddspedia Model Probability 31.08%

Betting Odds Probability @3.40 29.41%

5.68% 

Bet value 

Given the recent form of both teams, backing "Total Goals: Over 3.5" holds potential. New Mexico United enters with a winning streak and has shown impressive attacking prowess at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Meanwhile, Sacramento Republic has been potent on the road, netting at least one goal in their last eight outings. Historically, matches between these two have produced an average of 3 goals. With both teams showcasing recent scoring ability and a trend of high-scoring games, there’s a solid chance we could see a thrilling encounter surpassing the 3.5 goals mark.

Oddspedia Model Probability 31.08%

Betting Odds Probability @3.40 29.41%

5.68% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Double Chance: Draw or Sacramento Republic 

Confidence Rating 

![Goldenbet](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/goldenbet.png)

Best odds 

1.43 

Sacramento Republic is poised for a solid performance against New Mexico United, making the Double Chance: X2 bet a strategic choice. With a recent unbeaten streak of 15 matches and four consecutive wins, Sacramento Republic has demonstrated remarkable consistency, particularly away from home. Historical head-to-head data shows they’ve triumphed in four of the last six encounters at New Mexico's ground. Coupled with New Mexico's struggle against them—winning just one of their last five meetings—the odds lean heavily in favor of Sacramento. Their ability to score consistently and New Mexico's defensive vulnerabilities further bolster confidence in this prediction.

Oddspedia Model Probability 71.86%

Betting Odds Probability @1.45 68.97%

4.19% 

Bet value 

Sacramento Republic is poised for a solid performance against New Mexico United, making the Double Chance: X2 bet a strategic choice. With a recent unbeaten streak of 15 matches and four consecutive wins, Sacramento Republic has demonstrated remarkable consistency, particularly away from home. Historical head-to-head data shows they’ve triumphed in four of the last six encounters at New Mexico's ground. Coupled with New Mexico's struggle against them—winning just one of their last five meetings—the odds lean heavily in favor of Sacramento. Their ability to score consistently and New Mexico's defensive vulnerabilities further bolster confidence in this prediction.

Oddspedia Model Probability 71.86%

Betting Odds Probability @1.45 68.97%

4.19% 

Bet value 

Final 1x2: Sacramento Republic 

Confidence Rating 

![ToonieBet](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/tooniebet.png)

Best odds 

2.66 

Sacramento Republic FC is poised for a compelling away victory against New Mexico United. With a solid winning streak of four matches and an impressive record that includes not losing any of their last 15 games, they bring exceptional momentum into this matchup. Historically, Sacramento has dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning four of the last six meetings on New Mexico’s turf. Coupled with New Mexico's struggle to maintain leads against strong opponents, Sacramento’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them the likely favorites. Given these dynamics, backing Sacramento for the win presents a sound betting opportunity.

Oddspedia Model Probability 44.26%

Betting Odds Probability @2.54 39.37%

12.42% 

Bet value 

Sacramento Republic FC is poised for a compelling away victory against New Mexico United. With a solid winning streak of four matches and an impressive record that includes not losing any of their last 15 games, they bring exceptional momentum into this matchup. Historically, Sacramento has dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning four of the last six meetings on New Mexico’s turf. Coupled with New Mexico's struggle to maintain leads against strong opponents, Sacramento’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them the likely favorites. Given these dynamics, backing Sacramento for the win presents a sound betting opportunity.

Oddspedia Model Probability 44.26%

Betting Odds Probability @2.54 39.37%

12.42% 

Bet value 

## Match Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

NEW 

28% Home 

28% Draw 

44% Away 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

SRP 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

3.5% 0.3% 1.6% 2.8% 2.2% 1.4% 4.2% 7.3% 6.0% 3.4% 6.8% 12.7% 9.5% 4.5% 7.2% 9.2% 7.1% 3.6% 6.8% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 1-1 

![FanDuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/fanduel.png)

6.00 

## Betting Trends 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

The most common result of matches between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic FC is 1-2\. 3 matches have ended with this result.

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

During the last 6 meetings with New Mexico United playing at home, New Mexico United have won 2 times, there have been 0 draws while Sacramento Republic FC have won 4 times. The goal difference is 11-9 in favour of Sacramento Republic FC.

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

During the last 15 meetings, New Mexico United have won 4 times, there have been 2 draws while Sacramento Republic FC have won 9 times. The goal difference is 23-14 in favour of Sacramento Republic FC.

Show more 

## Community Picks 

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## Betting stats 

 Goals 

 BTTS 

 Corners 

 Cards 

 Goals 

 BTTS 

 Corners 

 Cards 

 Total 

 H2H 

 Total 

 H2H 

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

New Mexico 

NEW 

Played 32 

Sacramento Republic 

SRP 

Played 33 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

 0%  0% ATS %  0%  0% 

 47%  47% Totals Covered %  33%  33% 

 91%  91% Matches over 0.5 goals  88%  88% 

 59%  59% Matches over 1.5 goals  67%  67% 

 53%  53% Matches over 2.5 goals  33%  33% 

 31%  31% Matches over 3.5 goals  21%  21% 

 16%  16% Matches over 4.5 goals  15%  15% 

 34%  34% Over HT1.5 goals at half time %  36%  36% 

 28%  28% Scored in both halves  18%  18% 

 22%  22% Conceded in both halves  9%  9% 

## Last Matches 

All Leagues 

W L W W W ? 

D W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

New Mexico NEW 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic SRP 

Recent form: 

W L W W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

[16 Nov 01:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic @ ? ](/ca/soccer/sacramento-republic-new-mexico-138280 "New Mexico Sacramento Republic") 

[08 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/17888.png) Colorado Switchbacks @ 4 0 W ](/ca/soccer/colorado-switchbacks-new-mexico-187759 "New Mexico Colorado Switchbacks") 

[02 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56826.png) Phoenix Rising FC @ 2 0 W ](/ca/soccer/new-mexico-phoenix-rising-fc-239044 "New Mexico Phoenix Rising FC") 

[25 Oct   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/97769.png) El Paso Locomotive ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico @ 0 1 W ](/ca/soccer/new-mexico-el-paso-locomotive-239048 "El Paso Locomotive New Mexico") 

[18 Oct   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36767.png) San Antonio FC ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico @ 1 0 L ](/ca/soccer/san-antonio-fc-new-mexico-230074 "San Antonio FC New Mexico") 

Recent form: 

W L W W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

[16 Nov 01:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic @ ? ](/ca/soccer/sacramento-republic-new-mexico-138280 "New Mexico Sacramento Republic") 

[08 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/97769.png) El Paso Locomotive @ 2 1 W ](/ca/soccer/sacramento-republic-el-paso-locomotive-138287 "Sacramento Republic El Paso Locomotive") 

[02 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/18069.png) Tulsa Roughnecks @ 1 0 W ](/ca/soccer/sacramento-republic-tulsa-roughnecks-138266 "Sacramento Republic Tulsa Roughnecks") 

[25 Oct   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/107453.png) Oakland Roots @ 3 2 W ](/ca/soccer/sacramento-republic-oakland-roots-138288 "Sacramento Republic Oakland Roots") 

18 Oct   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/97769.png)

El Paso Locomotive 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic @ 

0 

1 

W 

Show more 

## Head To Head 

Last 9 years

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

NEW 

4

Wins 

2

Draws 

9

Wins 

15 played 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

SRP 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

27 Sep 2026   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png)

New Mexico 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic @ 

2 

3 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

21 Jun 2026   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png)

New Mexico @ 

0 

1 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

31 Aug 2025   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png)

New Mexico 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic @ 

0 

2 

Show more 

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15 Nov, 00:00   

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## Match Details 

Referee

Referee 

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Stadium 

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

Location

Location 

Albuquerque, NM, USA

Weather Forecast

Weather Forecast 

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