---
description: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions ❱ 10.10.2026 ❱ Football ❱ La Liga ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 10.10.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/rayo-vallecano-athletic-bilbao-10147619-tips.png
---

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La Liga 

20 Nov, Friday |Round 13 

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3473.png) Espanyol ](/football/athletic-bilbao-espanyol-74951/predictions "Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol")

21 Nov, Saturday |Round 13 

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/168.png) Alaves ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/947.png) Deportivo La Coruna ](/football/deportivo-alaves-deportivo-la-coruna-7518/predictions "Alaves - Deportivo La Coruna")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3494.png) Valencia ](/football/rayo-vallecano-valencia-75934/predictions "Rayo Vallecano - Valencia")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3490.png) Sevilla ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3499.png) Real Betis ](/football/sevilla-real-betis-76091/predictions "Sevilla - Real Betis")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3468.png) Celta Vigo ](/football/real-madrid-celta-de-vigo-69/predictions "Real Madrid - Celta Vigo")

22 Nov, Sunday |Round 13 

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3.png) Barcelona ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ](/football/barcelona-villarreal-231/predictions "Barcelona - Villarreal")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1180.png) Racing Santander ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3487.png) Real Sociedad ](/football/racing-santander-real-sociedad-27671/predictions "Racing Santander - Real Sociedad")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3503.png) Osasuna ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3482.png) Malaga ](/football/malaga-osasuna-75842/predictions "Osasuna - Malaga")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3475.png) Getafe ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2.png) Atletico Madrid ](/football/atletico-madrid-getafe-181/predictions "Getafe - Atletico Madrid")

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[ ](#) 

![Rayo Vallecano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3485.png)

![Rayo Vallecano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3485.png)

Rayo Vallecano

ABAN 

10th Oct 26, 14:00 

![Athletic Bilbao](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3463.png)

![Athletic Bilbao](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3463.png)

Athletic Bilbao

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FAQ 

# Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: Can Rayo keep their home run going in La Liga?

Last updated a month ago **by Ben Cronin** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano or Draw ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Void 

1.55 

Rayo Vallecano's home resilience and Athletic Bilbao's mixed away form make the "Double Chance: 1X" an attractive betting option. Rayo has been exceptional at home, remaining unbeaten in their last nine matches, while Athletic has struggled historically at Vallecano, winning just nine out of the last 19 encounters there. The stats show Rayo scores consistently, particularly between minutes 46-60, which highlights their ability to capitalize on defensive lapses. Given that both teams have failed to secure wins in their recent outings, it's reasonable to expect Rayo can at least draw, making this double chance a sound investment for bettors looking to capitalize on the upcoming clash.

Oddspedia Model Probability 64.42%

Betting Odds Probability @1.65 60.61%

6.29% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Rayo Vallecano host Athletic Bilbao on 2026-10-10 in La Liga (Round 8), with a lot pointing to a tight game. Our computer model likes **Double Chance: 1X**, and it does so with a **5-star** confidence rating. The model probability is **64.42%**, while the odds imply **60.61%**, giving a tasty **+6.29%** betting value. Rayo are tough to beat at home, and Bilbao often keep it controlled away. Will the home streak hold up again?

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes ![](/placeholder.svg)

100% 

14 of 14 Tips 

![steiro](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fsteiro.png%3F1772018767.png)

![Carlos96](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fcarlos96.png%3F1706323265.png)

2 

![Lordmiguel86](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Flordmiguel86.png%3F1723250219.png)

+10 

![steiro](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fsteiro.png%3F1772018767.png)

![Carlos96](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fcarlos96.png%3F1706323265.png)

2 

![Lordmiguel86](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Flordmiguel86.png%3F1723250219.png)

+10 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Void 

1.80 

The Oddspedia community is all over **Both Teams to Score (Yes)** at **1.75**, with **14 of 14** users backing it. That makes sense if you look at Rayo’s recent BTTS trend, as they’ve hit BTTS in **100%** of their sampled matches, including **100%** at home. The only worry? Athletic Bilbao’s BTTS rates are much lower, and they’ve been especially strict away. So the crowd is betting on Rayo scoring again, but can Bilbao be forced to trade punches?

## Consensus 

0 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

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## Community Tips 

350 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

L 

LizardKing 

\-1,176.60 

1106 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

Total Goals: Over 2.5

Void 

2.10 

 Support 

 Reply 

g 

gbwoloszyn 

+900.33 

1545 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

Asian Handicap: Athletic Bilbao -2

Void 

9.34 

 Support 

 Reply 

![ValueBet Pro](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fvaluebet-pro.png%3F1748975176.png)

ValueBet Pro 

\-121.55 

73 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

Correct Score: 1 : 1

Void 

6.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

S 

Shee826 

\-235.20 

159 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes

Void 

4.60 

 Support 

 Reply 

S 

Shee826 

\-235.20 

159 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

1st Half Total Goals: Over 2.5

Void 

8.72 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Tactician](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Ftactician.png%3F1772623045.png)

Tactician 

\-1,112.24 

1999 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano or Draw

Void 

1.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

![vix67](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fvix67.png%3F1776784788.png)

vix67 

\-333.58 

664 Tips 

a month ago 

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2 

Accumulator bet 

Won 

2.47 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Pekeroni](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fpekeroni.png%3F1758971309.png)

Pekeroni 

\-475.46 

1173 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

1st Half Total Goals: Under 1.25

Void 

1.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Max Mackey](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmax-mackey.png%3F1704657082.png)

Max Mackey 

+693.75 

971 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

Total Goals: Under 1

Void 

7.10 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Razor7](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Frazor7.png%3F1728953414.png)

Razor7 

+2,625.90 

1740 Tips 

a month ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao

Total Goals: Under 1

Void 

7.10 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

D L W W L ? 

L W W W D ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3485.png)

Rayo Vallecano RVC 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3463.png)

Athletic Bilbao BIL 

Recent form: 

D L W W L ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L W W W D ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg)

[28 Nov 14:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3499.png) Real Betis ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano ? ](/football/rayo-vallecano-real-betis-75937 "Real Betis Rayo Vallecano") 

[21 Nov 16:15  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3494.png) Valencia ? ](/football/rayo-vallecano-valencia-75934 "Rayo Vallecano Valencia") 

[08 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3487.png) Real Sociedad ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano 1 0 L ](/football/rayo-vallecano-real-sociedad-75931 "Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano") 

[31 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3468.png) Celta Vigo 3 0 W ](/football/celta-de-vigo-rayo-vallecano-75195 "Rayo Vallecano Celta Vigo") 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg)

[27 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/941.png) Recreativo Huelva ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano 2 3 W ](/football/recreativo-huelva-rayo-vallecano-24933 "Recreativo Huelva Rayo Vallecano") 

Recent form: 

D L W W L ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L W W W D ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg)

[28 Nov 16:15  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3482.png) Malaga ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao ? ](/football/athletic-bilbao-malaga-74955 "Malaga Athletic Bilbao") 

[20 Nov 21:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3473.png) Espanyol ? ](/football/athletic-bilbao-espanyol-74951 "Athletic Bilbao Espanyol") 

[07 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3503.png) Osasuna ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao 1 1 D ](/football/athletic-bilbao-osasuna-74962 "Osasuna Athletic Bilbao") 

[01 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3487.png) Real Sociedad 2 1 W ](/football/athletic-bilbao-real-sociedad-74957 "Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad") 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg)

[29 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3594.png) AE Prat ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao 1 6 W ](/football/athletic-bilbao-ae-prat-2176309 "AE Prat Athletic Bilbao") 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![Rayo Vallecano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3485.png)

![Rayo Vallecano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3485.png)

RVC 

1

Win 

4

Draws 

8

Wins 

13 played 

![Athletic Bilbao](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3463.png)

![Athletic Bilbao](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3463.png)

BIL 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg)

[10 Oct 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao 0 0 ](/football/athletic-bilbao-rayo-vallecano-74956 "Rayo Vallecano Athletic Bilbao")

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg)

28 Feb 2026   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

Rayo Vallecano 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Athletic Bilbao 

1 

1 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg)

25 Aug 2025   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png)

Athletic Bilbao 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png)

Rayo Vallecano 

1 

0 

Show more 

## Standings 

 Table 

 Top Scorers 

 Outrights 

 Total 

 Home 

 Away 

| \# | Team | P                                                                                           | W  | D | L | Goals | Pts   |             |    |
| -- | ---- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | -- | - | - | ----- | ----- | ----------- | -- |
|    | 7    | ![Athletic Bilbao](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3     | 15:11 | D L W W D ? | 16 |
|    | 14   | ![Rayo Vallecano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano   | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5     | 15:21 | D D L W L ? | 12 |

Show full standings Show more 

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## Get a free bet for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

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## FAQ Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao 

### Who will win between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao? 

It looks close on paper. Bilbao have the stronger head-to-head record, but Rayo are unbeaten in nine straight home matches. The SmartBet model leans to Rayo avoiding defeat, so a home win or draw feels very live.

### What is the best bet for Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao? 

The data-led pick is **Double Chance: 1X**. The model has it at 64.42% versus 60.61% implied by odds, creating +6.29% expected value. It fits Rayo’s strong home run and the tight match odds.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. When the model probability is higher than the odds probability, it can highlight a bet with positive expected value (+EV).

### Where and when is the match played? 

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao is played on 2026-10-10 at 12:00 UTC. The match is in La Liga, Round 8\. Rayo are the home team, so it is played at their ground in Madrid.

### Where to watch Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao? 

La Liga is often shown on broadcasters like Premier Sports or ITV/streaming partners depending on your region, plus LaLigaTV-style rights holders worldwide. You may also find a legal livestream via bookmaker services such as bet365, if available in your country.

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  ((_)  (_))_   (_))_   (_))   (_))   ((_)  (_))_   (_))    )\ _ )\
 / _ \   |   \   |   \  / __|  | _ \  | __|  |   \  |_ _|   (_)_\(_)
| (_) |  | |) |  | |) | \__ \  |  _/  | _|   | |) |  | |     / _ \
 \___/   |___/   |___/  |___/  |_|    |___|  |___/  |___|   /_/ \_\

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