--- description: Chelsea vs Burnley Predictions ❱ 21.02.2026 ❱ Football ❱ Premier League ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips title: Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction, Probabilities & Expert Tips 21.02.2026 image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/chelsea-burnley-9401915-tips.png --- * [ Home](/) * [Football ](/football) * [England ](/football/england) * [Premier League ](/football/england/premier-league "Premier League") * Chelsea - Burnley Predictions ![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) Premier League 21 Nov, Saturday |Round 11 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2392.png) Fulham ](/football/fulham-manchester-city-51718/predictions "Man City - Fulham") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2361.png) Aston Villa ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2364.png) Sunderland ](/football/aston-villa-sunderland-50950/predictions "Aston Villa - Sunderland") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2342.png) Bournemouth ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2395.png) Nottingham Forest ](/football/bournemouth-nottingham-forest-49876/predictions "Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds ](/football/chelsea-leeds-50617/predictions "Chelsea - Leeds") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2330.png) Coventry City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2537.png) Crystal Palace ](/football/coventry-city-crystal-palace-49110/predictions "Coventry City - Crystal Palace") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2366.png) Tottenham ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2336.png) Ipswich ](/football/ipswich-tottenham-hotspur-49408/predictions "Tottenham - Ipswich") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2536.png) Arsenal ](/football/newcastle-arsenal-53385/predictions "Newcastle - Arsenal") 22 Nov, Sunday |Round 11 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2540.png) Hull City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2497.png) Brighton ](/football/brighton-hove-albion-hull-city-53278/predictions "Hull City - Brighton") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2538.png) Liverpool ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2356.png) Man Utd ](/football/manchester-united-liverpool-50756/predictions "Liverpool - Man Utd") Popular leagues * [ ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4.png) Bundesliga ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4@2x.png) Bundesliga ](/football/germany/bundesliga "Bundesliga") * [ ![2. 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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/icons/red-card.svg) Chelsea Finished 1 \- 1 (HT 1 - 0) 21st Feb 26, 16:00 ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) Burnley 4' Joao Pedro 90+3' Z. Flemming Show Momentum Quick Links: Smart Bet Expert Score Forecast Community Analysis Matches H2H Contests Offers FAQ # Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction: Can Chelsea extend unbeaten run at home? Last updated 9 months ago **by Stuart Brown** ![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) Total Goals: Under 3.5 ![](/placeholder.svg) Confidence Rating ![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png) Won 1.70 Chelsea’s current form and long-standing advantage in this fixture strengthens the case for under 3.5 goals. At home, Chelsea have shown defensive stability, combining reliable scoring with measured game management rather than consistently running up large totals. Their approach often prioritises control once in front, which naturally limits the likelihood of matches escalating into high-scoring affairs. Burnley’s attacking struggles further reinforce this Chelsea vs Burnley prediction, as they have failed to score in several away fixtures this season, and sustained pressure on the road has been difficult to generate. Historically, meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals, a figure that sits below the threshold in question. With Chelsea capable of limiting Burnley’s output and unlikely to turn the match into an open contest, under 3.5 goals aligns with both statistical trends and tactical expectations. Oddspedia Model Probability 65.69% Betting Odds Probability @1.77 56.4% 16.47% Bet value What is SmartBet? Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Chelsea vs Burnley. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer) Chelsea face Burnley on 21st February 2026 in Premier League Matchweek 27, with kick-off set for 15:00 UTC. The SmartBet model highlights under 3.5 goals as its preferred Chelsea vs Burnley prediction, awarding it a five-star confidence rating. The projected probability stands at 65.69%, compared to an implied market probability of 56.4%, creating a positive expected value edge of 16.47%. Chelsea possess the attacking quality to score, but Burnley’s tendency to struggle for sustained control and attacking dominance reduces the likelihood of a back-and-forth shoot-out. If Chelsea establish a lead, game management becomes key, then a controlled tempo and structured approach could keep the total beneath the 3.5 line, aligning with the model’s value-driven projection. ## Our Expert's Prediction - Chelsea vs Burnley European Handicap Full Time European Handicap Full Time: Chelsea -1 ![](/placeholder.svg) ![Stuart Brown](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/06/1-240x240.jpg) Stuart Brown Sports Betting Expert ![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png) Lost 1.70 Chelsea should have too much for Burnley here, who have the second worst away record in the league behind Wolves. I think the home side will win by multiple goals. ## Prematch Probabilities ![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg) Winner probabilities ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2354.png) ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2354.png) CHE 68% Home 19% Draw 13% Away ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2352.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) BUR Correct Score probabilities \>3 3 2 1 0 16.4% <0.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.1% 0.8% 11.6% 10.1% 4.2% 1.1% 11.0% 9.0% 3.9% 1.0% 5.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0 1 2 3 \>3 Correct Score: Other Home Win ## What does the Oddspedia community think? Full Time Result: Chelsea ![](/placeholder.svg) 92% 33 of 36 Tips C ![Mandatin](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmandatin.png%3F1769851558.png) G ![Dj Billy](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fdj-billy.png%3F1770364274.png) +29 C ![Mandatin](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmandatin.png%3F1769851558.png) G ![Dj Billy](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fdj-billy.png%3F1770364274.png) +29 ![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png) Lost 1.28 Community sentiment is overwhelmingly in favour of Chelsea in the result market, with 33 of 36 selections backing a home win at 1/4\. The price reflects both market confidence and the clear gap in league standings, with Chelsea on 44 points and Burnley on 18. The head-to-head record further strengthens that position, as Burnley have not recorded a victory in this fixture across the past nine years. On paper, the balance of quality and consistency strongly favours the hosts. If Chelsea maintain discipline and avoid self-inflicted setbacks, the expectation is that they should control proceedings and justify their status as heavy favourites. ## Consensus 21 Sort by Percentage Only tipsters I follow [21 Feb, 16:00 ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) **Chelsea - Burnley** ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527) Both Teams to Score: Yes 100% 20 of 20 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 1.95 [21 Feb, 16:00 ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) **Chelsea - Burnley** ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527) Asian Handicap: Chelsea -2 100% 10 of 10 Tips ![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png) Best odds 2.20 [21 Feb, 16:00 ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) **Chelsea - Burnley** ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527) Total Cards: Over 3 100% 7 of 7 Tips ![Marathonbet](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/marathonbet.png) Best odds 1.94 [21 Feb, 16:00 ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) **Chelsea - Burnley** ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527) Total Goals: Over 2.75 100% 6 of 6 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 1.60 [21 Feb, 16:00 ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) **Chelsea - Burnley** ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527) Correct Score: 3 : 0 100% 6 of 6 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 8.50 Show more ## Community Tips 306 Sort by Latest Only tipsters I follow A Avi369 \-10.70 3 Tips 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley Total Goals: Under 3.75 Won 1.55 Support Reply t torstra74 0.00 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley Total Goals: Over 2.75 Lost 1.59 Support Reply ![Sunflower](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fsunflower.png%3F1728961407.png) Sunflower \-422.45 1392 Tips 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley Asian Handicap: Chelsea -2 Lost 2.05 Support Reply T4 Tarzan 45 \-967.14 1309 Tips 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley Double Chance: Draw or Burnley Won 4.20 Support Reply S Saunders 0.00 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley Full Time Result: Chelsea Lost 1.23 Support Reply H HeavenMade 0.00 9 months ago ![](/placeholder.svg) 3 Accumulator bet Lost 5.90 Support Reply ![dat8ja](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fdat8ja.png%3F1715617571.png) dat8ja \-762.14 1385 Tips 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley To Win Both Halves: Chelsea Lost 2.45 Support Reply ![MoeVera](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmoevera.png%3F1715226746.png) MoeVera 0.00 9 months ago ![](/placeholder.svg) 3 Accumulator bet Lost 2.80 Support Reply C Citor13 \-488.45 237 Tips 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley Half Time / Full Time: Burnley / Chelsea Lost 22.00 Support Reply C Citor13 \-488.45 237 Tips 9 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Chelsea - Burnley To Win From Behind: Chelsea Lost 8.50 Support Reply Show More ![Chelsea logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2354.png) W L W D W ## Chelsea form check: Unbeaten in four at home Chelsea arrive on a WLWDW sequence, which reflects a degree of inconsistency but still compares favourably to Burnley’s recent run. With 44 points from 26 matches, built on a record of 12 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses, they remain in contention for a strong finish. Their attacking numbers are solid, averaging 1.8 goals per game from 13 shots and five on target, alongside 60% average possession. Joao Pedro leads the scoring with 10, while Enzo Fernandez and Cole Palmer each have eight, ensuring multiple sources of threat in the final third. However, in matches where control should favour them, lapses in discipline have the potential to disrupt momentum and turn comfortable positions into tense finishes. ![Burnley logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2352.png) D L L W L ## Burnley form check: Can they pick up rare away points? Burnley arrive on a DLLWL run and remain on 18 points from 26 matches.They average just 1.1 goals scored per game while conceding 2.0, with only 7.9 shots and 2.8 on target on average, limiting their attacking threat. With average possession at 41%, Burnley frequently find themselves without sustained control, often forced into reactive phases. Zian Flemming leads the scoring with five goals, while several teammates sit on three or two, highlighting a lack of a consistent focal point in front of goal. They have conceded in each of their last 10 matches, a run that raises serious questions about their ability to contain higher-quality opposition. To trouble Chelsea, Burnley will need to remain compact and disciplined for extended periods, as any lapse could quickly tilt the balance. [Chelsea vs Burnley Stats ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527) ## Chelsea vs Burnley Predictions odds: Home win expected The result market underlines Chelsea’s status as clear favourites at 1/4, with the draw priced at 13/2 and Burnley out at 14/1\. The gap in pricing reflects the disparity in league position and recent performance levels. On the Asian Handicap, Chelsea -2 at 17/16 suggests the potential for a multi-goal margin if the hosts perform to their attacking capabilities. Burnley +2 at 6/7 offers protection for those expecting a more controlled outcome. Both over 3.25 and under 3.25 goals sit at just under evens, indicating uncertainty over whether the contest escalates into a high-scoring affair. The projection leans towards Chelsea winning comfortably enough, but without the match necessarily turning into an open shoot-out. [Chelsea vs Burnley Odds ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527) ## Chelsea vs Burnley predicted line-ups: Shapes and key players Chelsea are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 under Liam Rosenior, with Robert Sanchez in goal and a back line including Reece James and Trevoh Chalobah. Andrey Santos and Moises Caicedo anchor midfield, while Pedro Neto and Cole Palmer support Joao Pedro. Burnley are projected in a 4-3-1-2 under Scott Parker, with Martin Durbravka in goal and Flemming leading the line whilst Lesley Ugochukwu provides midfield structure. ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2354.png) CHE ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) BUR Chelsea Rosenior, Liam Burnley Parker, Scott ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2354.png) **Chelsea** Rosenior, Liam Parker, Scott **Burnley** ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) 4-2-3-1 ![Sanchez, Robert](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/5f29d432807d3db609b0c437eaffeb4c.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) R. Sanchez 1 ![James, Reece](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f428fb17586f4b07c0764adf225ebbfb.png) 88' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) R. James 24 ![Fofana, Wesley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/6ee9888caae03b45ffbf9e4117cc3bb8.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) ![Red Card](/placeholder.svg) W. Fofana 3 ![Chalobah, Trevoh](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/ae2ce07d1d9d1cbcb11c8429c5fad9ca.png) T. Chalobah 99 ![Gusto, Malo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f28d6b35909ee711c01fcc2ad5952073.png) 80' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) M. Gusto 27 ![Santos, Andrey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/190fda850ed28c7f56835c7c8c77e751.png) A. Santos 21 ![Caicedo, Moises](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/879342278f1783c44646649acd917bfb.png) M. Caicedo 25 ![Palmer, Cole](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/dfa28e49f229862f0ee93e7be84a9720.png) 74' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) C. Palmer 10 ![Fernandez, Enzo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/d9c592da5d9fbf8a71596de6c134e75e.png) E. Fernandez 8 ![Neto, Pedro](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e3feeaeffd123ba9c86747234f588ddb.png) 88' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) A P. Neto 7 ![Joao Pedro](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/cfd845c83f1b084742f4ac35f2599335.png) 80' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) Joao Pedro 9 3-4-2-1 ![Dubravka, Martin](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/cedd1d0a02ee1972bc4eb4af80dcde7e.png) M. Dubravka 39 ![Laurent, Josh](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/31a19152691e4a2ecbfdd9a031b68c25.png) 79' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) J. Laurent 29 ![Worrall, Joe](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/1389005568051ca99c2a9d9d6f6a9012.png) J. Worrall 6 ![Esteve, Maxime](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/a6cb0968615242a49253f45e77d94734.png) M. Esteve 3 ![Walker, Kyle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/ec360971b79af589bf548a90419b68db.png) 46' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) K. Walker 2 ![Ugochukwu, Lesley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) 57' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) L. Ugochukwu 8 ![Mejbri, Hannibal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) H. Mejbri 28 ![Humphreys, Bashir](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/0c39beddb1eee35a647b97da5dc672d3.png) 83' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) B. Humphreys 6 ![Edwards, Marcus](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7ea3de6290f67a7a569eb1bb121f0b00.png) M. Edwards 10 ![Anthony, Jaidon](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/fb887463e5a4b3c39dfbee9a23b2430a.png) 84' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) J. Anthony 19 ![Flemming, Zian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f86fb825895cdba16b09e9352c8c6c5c.png) Z. Flemming 9 Stamford Bridge Smith, Lewis ## Last Matches All Competitions W L D W L ? L L D D L ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2354.png) Chelsea CHE ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) Burnley BUR Recent form: W L D W L ? All Home Away Recent form: L L D D L ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) [27 Nov 21:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2395.png) Nottingham Forest ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ? ](/football/chelsea-nottingham-forest-50618 "Nottingham Forest Chelsea") [21 Nov 16:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds ? ](/football/chelsea-leeds-50617 "Chelsea Leeds") [08 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2364.png) Sunderland ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea 1 0 L ](/football/chelsea-sunderland-50610 "Sunderland Chelsea") [31 Oct FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2356.png) Man Utd 2 0 W ](/football/chelsea-manchester-united-50605 "Chelsea Man Utd") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) [28 Oct FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2538.png) Liverpool ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea 1 6 1 5 D ](/football/chelsea-liverpool-50632 "Liverpool Chelsea") Recent form: W L D W L ? All Home Away Recent form: L L D D L ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) [25 Nov 20:45 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2393.png) Birmingham ? ](/football/burnley-birmingham-50539 "Burnley Birmingham") [22 Nov 13:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2322.png) Blackburn Rovers ? ](/football/blackburn-rovers-burnley-48379 "Burnley Blackburn Rovers") [07 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2331.png) Cardiff City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley 5 4 L ](/football/cardiff-city-burnley-49163 "Cardiff City Burnley") [03 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1163.png) Queens Park Rangers ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley 1 1 D ](/football/queens-park-rangers-burnley-26698 "Queens Park Rangers Burnley") [31 Oct FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2345.png) Portsmouth 0 0 D ](/football/portsmouth-burnley-50074 "Burnley Portsmouth") Show more ## Head-2-Head Last 9 years ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2354.png) ![Chelsea](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2354.png) CHE 9 Wins 4 Draws 0 Wins 13 played ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) ![Burnley](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png) BUR ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) [21 Feb 2026 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley 1 1 ](/football/burnley-chelsea-50527 "Chelsea Burnley") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) 22 Nov 2025 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea 0 2 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) 30 Mar 2024 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2352.png) Burnley 2 2 Show more ## Oddspedia Tipster Competitions ![Monthly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/2.png "Monthly Tipster Competition") ### Monthly Tipster Competition 1000€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 350€ 2 Place 200€ 3 Place 125€ 4 Place 60€ 5 Place 50€ 6 Place 40€ 7 Place 30€ 8 Place 20€ 9 Place 15€ 10 - 20 Place 10€ 1014 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/monthly) ![Yearly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1.png "Yearly Tipster Competition") ### Yearly Tipster Competition 3000€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 1000€ 2 Place 500€ 3 Place 350€ 4 Place 250€ 5 Place 150€ 6 Place 100€ 7 Place 60€ 8 Place 50€ 9 Place 30€ 10 - 19 Place 20€ 20 - 50 Place 10€ 3040 01 Jul - 30 Jun [ See details ](/tips/competitions/yearly) ![Bundesliga Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1365.png "Bundesliga Competition") ### Bundesliga Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 423 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/bundesliga-competition) ![La Liga Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1366.png "La Liga Competition") ### La Liga Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 530 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/laliga-competition) ![EPL Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/7.png "EPL Competition") ### EPL Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 531 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/premier-league) ## Get a free bet for Chelsea vs Burnley You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Chelsea vs Burnley fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the [best free bets and sign-up offers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/betting-offers) to get even more out of the bets you place. [![Bwin logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/bwin) 100% Bonus bis zu 100€ [Bwin Review ](/bookmakers/bwin) 100% Bonus bis zu 100€ [Terms & conditions ](#) [Bwin Review ](/bookmakers/bwin) No code required Get offer Teilnahme nur für Neukunden. Einzahlungs- und Bonusbetrag 3x in 90 Tagen einsetzen. 18+ AGBs gelten. [![bet365 logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/bet365) Bis zu 100€ in Wett-Credits [bet365 Review ](/bookmakers/bet365) Bis zu 100€ in Wett-Credits [Terms & conditions ](#) [bet365 Review ](/bookmakers/bet365) ODDSPEDIA Get offer 18+ | Erlaubt (Whitelist) | Suchtrisiken | Hilfe unter http://buwei.de Nur für neue Kunden. Melden Sie sich an, zahlen Sie €5 oder mehr auf Ihr bet365-Konto ein und wir geben Ihnen die entsprechende qualifizierende Einzahlung in Wett-Credits, wenn Sie qualifizierende Wetten im gleichen Wert platzieren und diese abgerechnet werden. Mindestquoten, Wett- und Zahlungsmethoden-Ausnahmen gelten. Gewinne schließen den Einsatz von Wett-Credits aus. Es gelten die AGB, Zeitlimits und Ausnahmen. Der Bonus-Code ODDSPEDIA kann während der Anmeldung benutzt werden, jedoch ändert dies den Angebotsbetrag in keinster Weise. [![Betano logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/betano) 20€ Freiwette + 100% bis zu 80€ Wettbonus [Betano Review ](/bookmakers/betano) 20€ Freiwette + 100% bis zu 80€ Wettbonus [Terms & conditions ](#) [Betano Review ](/bookmakers/betano) BETANO20 Get offer Konto verifizieren und eine 20€ Freiwette erhalten, ganz ohne Einzahlung. 18+ AGB gelten. ## FAQ Chelsea vs Burnley ### Who will win between Chelsea and Burnley? Chelsea enter as clear favourites. The gap in league standings is significant, with 44 points compared to Burnley’s 18, and the historical record in this fixture has consistently favoured the hosts. Market pricing reflects that imbalance, with Chelsea installed at short odds, and community sentiment aligns strongly with a home win. ### What is the best bet for Chelsea and Burnley? The standout Chelsea vs Burnley prediction from the SmartBet model is under 3.5 goals. It assigns a 65.69% probability to the outcome, compared to 56.4% implied by the market, creating a clear positive expected value edge. A controlled 2-0 or 2-1 result would comfortably land the bet, and the projection leans against the match turning into a high-scoring affair, favouring a measured victory rather than an open contest. ### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares its probability to the odds. When the model probability is higher than the odds imply, it flags a positive expected value (+EV) betting angle. ### Where and when is the match played? Chelsea vs Burnley takes place on 21st February 2026 in Premier League Matchweek 27, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge. ### Where to watch Chelsea vs Burnley? This fixture is not scheduled for live television broadcast in the UK, but highlights will typically be available on Match of the Day. For live streaming, coverage depends on your region’s rights holder, and some bookmakers such as bet365 may provide a stream for eligible account holders, subject to their terms and conditions. Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest Germany betting offers. Sign up By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes. [**Enjoying Oddspedia?** Add us as a preferred source on Google ![Enjoying Oddspedia? 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Customise Accept All ) ( ( ( ( ( ( ( /( )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) ( )\()) (()/( (()/( (()/( (()/( ( (()/( (()/( )\ ((_)\ /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) )\ /(_)) /(_)) ((((_)( ((_) (_))_ (_))_ (_)) (_)) ((_) (_))_ (_)) )\ _ )\ / _ \ | \ | \ / __| | _ \ | __| | \ |_ _| (_)_\(_) | (_) | | |) | | |) | \__ \ | _/ | _| | |) | | | / _ \ \___/ |___/ |___/ |___/ |_| |___| |___/ |___| /_/ \_\ ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org/","@type":"WebSite","name":"Oddspedia","url":"https://oddspedia.com","inLanguage":{"@type":"Language","name":"en"}} {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football","name":"Football"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/england","name":"England"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/england/premier-league","name":"Premier League"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/burnley-chelsea-50527/predictions","name":"Chelsea - Burnley Predictions"}}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"SportsEvent","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/burnley-chelsea-50527/predictions#event","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/burnley-chelsea-50527/predictions","name":"Chelsea - Burnley","description":"Chelsea vs Burnley Predictions ❱ 2026-02-21 ❱ Football ❱ Premier League ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips","sport":"Football","startDate":"2026-02-21T15:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-02-21T16:30:00Z","eventAttendanceMode":"https://schema.org/OfflineEventAttendanceMode","homeTeam":{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Chelsea","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2354.png","sport":"Football","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/chelsea-2354","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/chelsea-2354#team"},"awayTeam":{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Burnley","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2352.png","sport":"Football","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/burnley-2352","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/burnley-2352#team"},"competitor":[{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Chelsea"},{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Burnley"}],"location":{"@type":"Place","name":"Stamford Bridge","address":{"@type":"PostalAddress","addressLocality":"London","addressCountry":{"@type":"Country","name":"England"}},"geo":{"@type":"GeoCoordinates","latitude":"51.481579","longitude":"-0.191094"}},"image":["https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/16x9/chelsea-burnley-9401915-tips.png","https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/chelsea-burnley-9401915-tips.png"],"organizer":{"@type":"SportsOrganization","name":"Premier League","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/627.png","width":32,"height":32}},"referee":{"@type":"Person","name":"Smith, Lewis"},"superEvent":{"@type":"SportsEvent","name":"Premier League, 25/26","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/england/premier-league","location":"England","startDate":"2025-08-15T00:00:00Z"}},{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/burnley-chelsea-50527/predictions#article","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/burnley-chelsea-50527/predictions","headline":"Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 2026-02-21","description":"Chelsea vs Burnley Predictions ❱ 2026-02-21 ❱ Football ❱ Premier League ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/16x9/chelsea-burnley-9401915-tips.png","datePublished":"2026-02-20T23:27:11.000000Z","dateModified":"2026-02-21T00:01:51.238535Z","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Stuart Brown","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/06/1-240x240.jpg","width":240,"height":240},"url":"https://oddspedia.com/experts/stuart-brown"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/#organization","name":"Oddspedia","url":"https://oddspedia.com","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-light.svg","width":600,"height":60},"sameAs":["https://oddspedia.com","https://www.facebook.com/oddspediaglobal","https://www.instagram.com/oddspediaglobal","https://x.com/oddspedia","https://www.youtube.com/oddspedia/videos"]},"inLanguage":"en","mainEntityOfPage":"https://oddspedia.com/football/burnley-chelsea-50527/predictions","about":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/burnley-chelsea-50527/predictions#event"}},{"@type":"FAQPage","mainEntity":[{"@type":"Question","name":"Who will win between Chelsea and Burnley?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Chelsea enter as clear favourites. The gap in league standings is significant, with 44 points compared to Burnley’s 18, and the historical record in this fixture has consistently favoured the hosts.Market pricing reflects that imbalance, with Chelsea installed at short odds, and community sentiment aligns strongly with a home win."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the best bet for Chelsea and Burnley?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"The standout Chelsea vs Burnley prediction from the SmartBet model is under 3.5 goals. It assigns a 65.69% probability to the outcome, compared to 56.4% implied by the market, creating a clear positive expected value edge.A controlled 2-0 or 2-1 result would comfortably land the bet, and the projection leans against the match turning into a high-scoring affair, favouring a measured victory rather than an open contest."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"What is Oddspedia SmartBet?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares its probability to the odds. When the model probability is higher than the odds imply, it flags a positive expected value (+EV) betting angle."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"Where and when is the match played?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Chelsea vs Burnley takes place on 21st February 2026 in Premier League Matchweek 27, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"Where to watch Chelsea vs Burnley?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"This fixture is not scheduled for live television broadcast in the UK, but highlights will typically be available on Match of the Day.For live streaming, coverage depends on your region’s rights holder, and some bookmakers such as bet365 may provide a stream for eligible account holders, subject to their terms and conditions."}}]}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Total Goals Prediction?","answerCount":2,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Under 3.75","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Avi369"},"upvoteCount":0},{"@type":"Answer","text":"Over 2.75","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"torstra74"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Asian Handicap Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Chelsea -2","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Sunflower"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Double Chance Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Draw or Burnley","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Tarzan 45"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Full Time Result Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Chelsea","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Saunders"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the To Win Both Halves Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Chelsea","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"dat8ja"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Half Time / Full Time Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Burnley / Chelsea","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Citor13"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the To Win From Behind Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Chelsea","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Citor13"},"upvoteCount":0}]}}]} ```