---
description: England vs Argentina Predictions ❱ 15.07.2026 ❱ Football ❱ World Cup ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: England vs Argentina Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 15.07.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/england-argentina-10144123-tips.png
---

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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

England

Finished 

1 \- 2 

(HT 0 - 0) 

15th Jul 26, 21:00 

![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

Argentina

55' 

A. Gordon 

85' 

E. Fernandez 

90+2' 

L. Martinez 

Match highlights

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FAQ 

# England vs Argentina Prediction: Can the semi-final be a thriller?

Last updated 4 months ago **by Ben Cronin** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Double Chance: England or Argentina ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Won 

1.45 

In this high-stakes encounter between England and Argentina, opting for a Double Chance on either team (12) looks promising. Even though both teams have shown remarkable form, the statistic that stands out is England's formidable home record against Argentina, having won four of their last six meetings. Moreover, England has been clinical at home, boasting a significant winning streak, while Argentina has consistently excelled away. On average, these teams score just under three goals when facing off, suggesting an open match where either side could edge out the other. With strategically balanced sides on both ends, playing it safe with a Double Chance bet offers a valuable cushion, capturing both teams' winning potentials.

Oddspedia Model Probability 77%

Betting Odds Probability @3.28 30.49%

152.54% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for England vs Argentina. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

England vs Argentina kicks off on 2026-07-15 in the World Cup Semi-final, and it feels like a game where extra time could even show up, right? Oddspedia SmartBet points to Double Chance: 12, which means “no draw” in 90 minutes. The model probability is 77.00%, while the implied probability from the odds is just 30.49%, so the value looks huge at 152.54% (+EV). With both sides in strong form, backing a winner rather than a stalemate fits the data-led angle.

## Prematch Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/16.png)

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

ENG 

42% Home 

23% Draw 

35% Away 

![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/24.png)

![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

ARG 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

9.6% 0.5% 3.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 5.6% 8.5% 6.7% 3.5% 6.5% 9.9% 7.6% 4.0% 3.9% 5.8% 4.4% 2.3% 7.2% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 1-1 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

5.50 

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes ![](/placeholder.svg)

94% 

33 of 35 Tips 

![OMWANDA](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fomwanda.png%3F1709614021.png)

O 

o 

A 

+29 

![OMWANDA](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fomwanda.png%3F1709614021.png)

O 

o 

A 

+29 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Won 

1.95 

The Oddspedia community is pretty locked in here. The top tip is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.97, with 33 of 35 users backing it. That lines up with the BTTS numbers too. England have seen BTTS in 67% of their last six, and Argentina are also on 67%, plus a wild 100% BTTS rate away. With both teams averaging at least 2.20 goals scored per match, are we really expecting one side to blank in a World Cup semi-final?

## Consensus 

31 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

[15 Jul, 21:00 ![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) ![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) **England - Argentina** ](/football/england-argentina-1997430)

Correct Score: 1 : 1 

100% 

16 of 16 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

5.50 

[15 Jul, 21:00 ![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) ![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) **England - Argentina** ](/football/england-argentina-1997430)

Total Goals: Over 1.5 

100% 

12 of 12 Tips 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Best odds 

1.44 

[15 Jul, 21:00 ![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) ![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) **England - Argentina** ](/football/england-argentina-1997430)

Total Cards: Over 5.5 

100% 

7 of 7 Tips 

![Vbet Sport](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/vbet.png)

Best odds 

4.60 

[15 Jul, 21:00 ![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) ![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) **England - Argentina** ](/football/england-argentina-1997430)

1st Half Correct Score: 1 : 1 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Best odds 

8.75 

[15 Jul, 21:00 ![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) ![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) **England - Argentina** ](/football/england-argentina-1997430)

Total Goals: Over 6.5 

100% 

5 of 5 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

41.00 

Show more 

## Community Tips 

423 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

i 

iphone13pm 

\-649.72 

809 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Full Time Result: Draw

Lost 

2.85 

 Support 

 Reply 

J 

JustMoon 

\-110.54 

176 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Total Corners: Over 7.5

Lost 

1.61 

 Support 

 Reply 

i 

iphone13pm 

\-649.72 

809 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Correct Score: 1 : 1

Lost 

5.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Jose856](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fjose856.png%3F1707885607.png)

Jose856 

+74.56 

254 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

To Score in Both Halves: England

Lost 

4.33 

 Support 

 Reply 

![oddDENIR](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fodddenir.png%3F1679346781.png)

oddDENIR 

+46.20 

252 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Asian Handicap: Argentina +0.5

Won 

1.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

B 

Bigajckly 

+104.28 

185 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Correct Score: 1 : 1

Lost 

5.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

B 

Bigajckly 

+104.28 

185 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Full Time Result: Draw

Lost 

2.85 

 Support 

 Reply 

B 

Bigajckly 

+104.28 

185 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Won 

1.94 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Jose856](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fjose856.png%3F1707885607.png)

Jose856 

+74.56 

254 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Half Time / Full Time: Argentina / Draw

Lost 

13.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Ystan](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fystan.png%3F1745090095.png)

Ystan 

\-368.07 

833 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png)

England - Argentina

Correct Score: 5 : 3

Lost 

501.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

![England logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/16.png)

D W W W W 

## England form analysis: Can Tuchel’s run continue?

England come in hot with DWWWW and an eight-game unbeaten streak, so confidence should be high. They are scoring 2.20 goals per match from 15.30 shots, and they keep the ball well at 58% possession. They also concede 1.00 per game, so it’s not all attack. Kane and Bellingham are the big story, with 6 goals each in 6 appearances. England see Over 2.5 goals in 67% of matches, so do they lean into a fast start or manage the game?

![Argentina logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/24.png)

W W W W W 

## Argentina form analysis: Can the 13-win streak last?

Argentina are on WWWWW and a huge 13-match winning streak, plus they have scored in 13 straight games. They average 2.80 goals per match, and 83% of their games go Over 2.5 goals, so the attacking output is serious. They also concede 1.00 per match, which keeps them balanced. Messi leads their scoring with 2 goals and 2 assists, while several others chip in. Argentina also win the first half often, so will they try to strike early again?

[England vs Argentina Stats ](/football/england-argentina-1997430)

## England vs Argentina odds: Tight 90-minute call

The 1X2 odds show a very even match. England are 2.85, the Draw is 3.20, and Argentina are 3.10, so nobody is a clear favourite. The Asian Handicap 0 (Draw No Bet) prices are close too at 1.88 and 2.03\. For goals, Under 2.25 is favoured at 1.84 versus Over 2.25 at 2.10, even though both teams have strong Over 2.5 trends.

[England vs Argentina Odds ](/football/england-argentina-1997430)

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

 ENG 

![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

 ARG 

England Tuchel, Thomas

Argentina Scaloni, Lionel

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

**England** Tuchel, Thomas

Scaloni, Lionel **Argentina** 

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

4-2-3-1 

![Pickford, Jordan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/058b31886db4f9d5faf0ca64c087d49a.png)

J. Pickford

1 

![James, Reece](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f428fb17586f4b07c0764adf225ebbfb.png)

82' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

R. James

24 

![Stones, John](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7fd271f014f9996ba27d0a95cf5f5bc0.png)

90' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

J. Stones

6 

![Guehi, Marc](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/d8438b6133f06e06cdc817010078602e.png)

M. Guehi

6 

![Spence, Djed](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/307fb43f17ebb7bdd4b4728385b13ed3.png)

90' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

D. Spence

25 

![Rice, Declan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/9252d3bd94410d7e16d028eace887d83.png)

83' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

D. Rice

4 

![Anderson, Elliot](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/be95666d620fc36e62f8df51bb4d92e1.png)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

E. Anderson

8 

![Rogers, Morgan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/1691b6f8512883da9b26ad2398d47a06.png)

A

M. Rogers

17 

![Bellingham, Jude](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/b59d61389d0ddb7161192f0d23e28a29.png)

J. Bellingham

10 

![Gordon, Anthony](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/973b32f094bc30491611184d01a6f202.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A. Gordon

11 

![Kane, Harry](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/4a74f18a3eceb9216e7b012ee82024f1.png)

H. Kane

9 

4-4-2 

![Martinez, Emiliano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/cc255a86128dce0e8247a52d33032869.png)

E. Martinez

23 

![Molina, Nahuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/db650d3f6010becd6237b3e21ad34bbd.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

N. Molina

26 

![Romero, Cristian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/bc20d2f7a6d98b6c1a71f36bb599f70c.png)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

C. Romero

13 

![Martinez, Lisandro](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/783393a2bfe481190a92bbf7bf0628d2.png)

73' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

L. Martinez

6 

![Tagliafico, Nicolas](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/0b3da1f3295049d268325e37ae5a0f55.png)

81' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

N. Tagliafico

3 

![Simeone, Giuliano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7ac9fc1703b56da08bf39d86cbe4e9dd.png)

73' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

G. Simeone

17 

![Paredes, Leandro](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/d696f7f61d6f640f4d23b42726145535.png)

64' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

L. Paredes

5 

![Mac Allister, Alexis](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f851cec50332ab77b5b71b5fbc853bf4.png)

A. Mac Allister

20 

![Fernandez, Enzo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/d9c592da5d9fbf8a71596de6c134e75e.png)

E. Fernandez

8 

![Messi, Lionel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/a09c9906384deccd4bdcf058259beef3.png)

A

x2 

L. Messi

10 

![Alvarez, Julian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/5db9a116174306158731a89b5dd51d49.png)

J. Alvarez

9 

Mercedes‑Benz Stadium 

Elfath, Ismail 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

L W W W W ? 

W L W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

England ENG 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

Argentina ARG 

Recent form: 

L W W W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

W L W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg)

[15 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) Spain ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) England ? ](/football/spain-england-554 "Spain England") 

[12 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) England ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/5.png) Croatia 2 1 W ](/football/croatia-england-401 "England Croatia") 

[06 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) England ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1482.png) Czech Republic 3 0 W ](/football/england-czech-republic-839 "England Czech Republic") 

03 Oct   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/5.png)

Croatia 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

England 

0 

7 

W 

29 Sep   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1482.png)

Czech Republic 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png)

England 

0 

2 

W 

Recent form: 

L W W W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

W L W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[17 Nov 16:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/15.png) Costa Rica ? ](/football/costa-rica-argentina-1297917 "Argentina Costa Rica") 

[14 Nov 00:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay ? ](/football/uruguay-argentina-745 "Argentina Uruguay") 

[07 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7752.png) Benin 3 0 W ](/football/argentina-benin-2159235 "Argentina Benin") 

[04 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7754.png) Burkina Faso 7 0 W ](/football/argentina-burkina-faso-2159233 "Argentina Burkina Faso") 

[01 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/59.png) Bolivia 4 0 W ](/football/argentina-bolivia-1135 "Argentina Bolivia") 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

![England](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/16.png)

ENG 

0

Wins 

1

Win 

1 played 

![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

![Argentina](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/24.png)

ARG 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[15 Jul 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) England ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina 1 2 ](/football/england-argentina-1997430 "England Argentina")

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956 

01 Nov - 30 Nov 

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## Get a free bet for England vs Argentina

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## FAQ England vs Argentina 

### Who will win between England and Argentina? 

It looks very tight on the 1X2 market, but the SmartBet model leans to “no draw” in 90 minutes. England are in great form, yet Argentina are on a 13-game win streak. A single moment could decide it.

### What is the best bet for England and Argentina? 

The best data-led angle is Double Chance: 12 (no draw), based on the SmartBet model’s 77.00% probability and strong value versus implied odds. The community also strongly likes Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.97.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. It also compares model probability to implied odds probability, helping spot value bets (+EV) rather than just likely outcomes.

### Where and when is the match played? 

England vs Argentina is played on 2026-07-15, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. It’s a World Cup Semi-final, so it’s win-or-go-home football. If it’s level after 90 minutes, extra time and pens can happen.

### Where to watch England vs Argentina? 

World Cup matches are typically shown on major UK broadcasters such as BBC or ITV, depending on rights for the tournament. You can also check official streaming platforms, and some bookmakers like bet365 may offer live streaming if you have an account.

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