---
description: Leeds vs Newcastle Predictions ❱ 14.09.2026 ❱ Football ❱ Premier League ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 14.09.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/leeds-newcastle-10119896-tips.png
---

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Premier League 

21 Nov, Saturday |Round 11 

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2392.png) Fulham ](/football/fulham-manchester-city-51718/predictions "Man City - Fulham")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2361.png) Aston Villa ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2364.png) Sunderland ](/football/aston-villa-sunderland-50950/predictions "Aston Villa - Sunderland")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2342.png) Bournemouth ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2395.png) Nottingham Forest ](/football/bournemouth-nottingham-forest-49876/predictions "Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds ](/football/chelsea-leeds-50617/predictions "Chelsea - Leeds")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2330.png) Coventry City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2537.png) Crystal Palace ](/football/coventry-city-crystal-palace-49110/predictions "Coventry City - Crystal Palace")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2366.png) Tottenham ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2336.png) Ipswich ](/football/ipswich-tottenham-hotspur-49408/predictions "Tottenham - Ipswich")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2536.png) Arsenal ](/football/newcastle-arsenal-53385/predictions "Newcastle - Arsenal")

22 Nov, Sunday |Round 11 

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2540.png) Hull City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2497.png) Brighton ](/football/brighton-hove-albion-hull-city-53278/predictions "Hull City - Brighton")

[ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2538.png) Liverpool ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2356.png) Man Utd ](/football/manchester-united-liverpool-50756/predictions "Liverpool - Man Utd")

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Australia & Oceania
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Africa 1 / 2
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World 1 / 1
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Andorra
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Angola
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Antigua and Barbuda
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Armenia
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Australia
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Austria 2 / 0
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Azerbaijan
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Bahrain 2 / 1
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Bangladesh
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Belarus 1 / 0
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Belgium 1 / 8
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Botswana
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Brazil 28
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Burundi
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Cambodia
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Cameroon 1
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Canada
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Chile 6
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China
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Colombia 7
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Congo
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Croatia
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Cyprus
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Czech Republic 4 / 4
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England 70 / 16
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Estonia
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Finland
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France 2 / 24
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Georgia
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Germany 5
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Ghana 1 / 0
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Honduras 1
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Ireland 1
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Israel
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Italy 7
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Ivory Coast
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Jamaica
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Japan
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Jordan
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Kazakhstan
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Kenya 1
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Luxembourg
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Malta
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Mexico 1 / 10
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Moldova
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Montenegro
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Morocco 2 / 0
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Mozambique 1
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Nigeria 1 / 0
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Philippines
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Poland 6 / 6
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Portugal 1 / 0
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Puerto Rico 1
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Qatar
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Russia
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Rwanda
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Saudi Arabia
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Scotland 13 / 2
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Senegal 1 / 4
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Serbia 1 / 4
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Singapore
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Slovakia
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Slovenia 2 / 0
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South Africa 1
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South Korea
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Spain 24 / 35
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Sweden
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Switzerland 2 / 3
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Syria
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Taiwan
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Thailand
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Trinidad & Tobago
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Tunisia
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Turkey
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Uganda
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Ukraine
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United Arab Emirates 2 / 0
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Uruguay 3
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USA 7
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Uzbekistan
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Venezuela
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Vietnam
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Wales 1 / 0
* ![Zambia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/zambia.svg)  
Zambia
* ![Zimbabwe](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/zimbabwe.svg)  
Zimbabwe

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

[ ](#) 

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

Leeds

Finished 

4 \- 1 

(HT 3 - 0) 

14th Sep 26, 21:00 

![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

Newcastle

32' OG

L. Miley 

34' 

J. Bogle 

45+1' 

D. Calvert-Lewin 

59' 

N. Okafor 

90' 

B. Toure 

Match highlights

Show Momentum 

Quick Links: 

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FAQ 

# Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction: Can Either Side Edge a Tight Contest?

Last updated 2 months ago **by Stuart Brown** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Double Chance: Leeds or Newcastle ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Won 

1.33 

In the upcoming clash between Leeds and Newcastle, Double Chance: 1X stands out as a solid option. Leeds are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three of them, while Newcastle have recorded two wins across the same period.

The recent head-to-head record suggests both sides can carry a threat, but Leeds’ home form strengthens the case for them avoiding defeat. With the numbers also supporting the Leeds vs Newcastle prediction, the 1X market offers a way to back Leeds without needing them to win outright.

Oddspedia Model Probability 75.01%

Betting Odds Probability @1.34 74.63%

0.51% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Leeds vs Newcastle. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Leeds vs Newcastle is part of Premier League Matchweek 4 on 14 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC (20:00 BST). The Leeds vs Newcastle prediction from the Oddspedia SmartBet model backs Double Chance: 12, meaning either side to win, with a five-star confidence rating.

The model gives the selection a 75.01% probability, compared with 74.63% implied by the odds, resulting in +0.51% expected value. With both sides on five points from three matches, the model sees slightly more value in opposing the draw than backing another stalemate.

## Our Expert's Prediction - Leeds vs Newcastle Both Teams to Score Full Time 

Both Teams to Score Full Time: Yes ![](/placeholder.svg)

![Stuart Brown](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/06/1-240x240.jpg)

Stuart Brown 

Sports Betting Expert 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Won 

1.57 

Both sides have registered at least one goal is all their competitive fixtures so far this season, whilst neither has been keeping regular clean sheets. The last meeting between them ended 4-3, so for those reasons I'm backing both teams to score in this one.

## Prematch Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2394.png)

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

LEE 

37% Home 

25% Draw 

38% Away 

![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2527.png)

![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

NEW 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

5.6% 0.1% 2.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.4% 5.8% 8.7% 5.9% 3.0% 8.1% 11.5% 8.5% 4.0% 5.9% 8.1% 6.0% 2.8% 5.4% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 1-1 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

7.00 

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Draw ![](/placeholder.svg)

54% 

28 of 52 Tips 

![Cobra11](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fcobra11.png%3F1763391988.png)

![OberGato](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fobergato.png%3F1699233761.png)

![David646](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fdavid646.png%3F1767410230.png)

![zhinfuncvn](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fzhinfuncvn.png%3F1725137510.png)

+24 

![Cobra11](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fcobra11.png%3F1763391988.png)

![OberGato](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fobergato.png%3F1699233761.png)

![David646](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fdavid646.png%3F1767410230.png)

![zhinfuncvn](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fzhinfuncvn.png%3F1725137510.png)

+24 

![bet-at-home](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet-at-home.png)

Lost 

3.65 

The Oddspedia community favours the draw in the betting market, with 28 of 52 voters backing the stalemate at 8/3\. That view is supported by the table, with both sides on five points after three matches and identical records of 1 win and 2 draws.

The recent head-to-head record has also produced several close games, although the last meeting ended in a 4-3 thriller. That suggests another tight contest is possible, but there is still room for the game to swing late.

## Consensus 

21 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

[14 Sep, 21:00 ![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) ![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) **Leeds - Newcastle** ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 

100% 

27 of 27 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

1.57 

[14 Sep, 21:00 ![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) ![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) **Leeds - Newcastle** ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824)

First Team to Score: No Goal 

100% 

13 of 13 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

13.00 

[14 Sep, 21:00 ![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) ![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) **Leeds - Newcastle** ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824)

Total Goals: Under 0.5 

100% 

12 of 12 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

13.00 

[14 Sep, 21:00 ![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) ![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) **Leeds - Newcastle** ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824)

Next Goal: No Goal 

100% 

12 of 12 Tips 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Best odds 

13.00 

[14 Sep, 21:00 ![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) ![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) **Leeds - Newcastle** ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824)

Total Goals: Over 2.75 

100% 

7 of 7 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

2.02 

Show more 

## Community Tips 

346 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

C 

Citor13 

\-488.45 

237 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

To Win From Behind: Newcastle

Lost 

13.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Colorado TIPS](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fcolorado-tips.png%3F1769949884.png)

Colorado TIPS 

+755.55 

1929 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Next Goal: No Goal

Lost 

13.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Citor13 

\-488.45 

237 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Total Corners: Over 13.5

Lost 

4.60 

 Support 

 Reply 

S 

Szumi 

\-585.17 

884 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Won 

1.57 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Iwannios](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fiwannios.png%3F1785708199.png)

Iwannios 

+57.97 

192 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Total Goals: Over 2.75

Won 

1.89 

 Support 

 Reply 

![maniac666](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmaniac666.png%3F1781101490.png)

maniac666 

\-413.29 

588 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

1st Half Total Goals: Over 1

Won 

1.65 

 Support 

 Reply 

K 

KK23 

\-858.85 

1054 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Full Time Result: Leeds

Won 

2.35 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Colorado TIPS](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fcolorado-tips.png%3F1769949884.png)

Colorado TIPS 

+755.55 

1929 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Total Goals: Under 1

Lost 

10.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

HC 

Hilton Charles 

\-631.35 

492 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Asian Handicap: Newcastle 0

Lost 

2.12 

 Support 

 Reply 

K 

KK23 

\-858.85 

1054 Tips 

2 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Leeds - Newcastle

Total Goals: Under 1.75

Lost 

4.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

![Leeds logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2394.png)

W W D D L 

## Leeds form analysis: Difficult to beat, but goals hard to come by

Leeds come into Premier League Matchweek 4 with five points from three matches and are unbeaten in their last five overall. They have also gone eight home matches without defeat, giving them a strong base at Elland Road.

Their numbers point to a fairly controlled approach, with 42% average possession and 8.70 shots per match. Leeds are scoring 1.0 goal per game and conceding 0.7, so the margins have been fine. Calvert-Lewin, Bogle and Stach all lead the scoring with one goal each, and finding more attacking output could be important if they fall behind.

![Newcastle logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2527.png)

D W W D W 

## Newcastle form analysis: Strong away run, but still vulnerable

Newcastle also come into Premier League Matchweek 4 with five points from three matches, matching Leeds early on. They are unbeaten in their last five and have won three straight away games.

Newcastle average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, so their games can open up quickly. They also average 9.0 shots and 3.0 on target, with 60% of their matches going over 2.5 Goals. Elanga leads the scoring charts with 2 goals, and patience could be important if Leeds sit deep.

[Leeds vs Newcastle Stats ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824)

## Leeds vs Newcastle odds: Leeds given the slight edge

The Full Time Result market makes Leeds narrow favourites at 7/5, with Newcastle at 11/5 and the draw at 8/3\. The Asian Handicap tells a similar story, with Leeds -0.25 at 1/1 and Newcastle +0.25 at 10/11, giving the hosts only a slight edge.

The goals market is evenly balanced, with both over 2.75 and under 2.75 priced around evens. With little separating the sides, another tight game looks firmly on the cards.

[Leeds vs Newcastle Odds ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824)

Leeds are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1, with Trafford in goal behind Muharemovic, Elvedi and Justin. Gudmundsson and Bogle should provide the width, with Stach and Ampadu in midfield. Okafor and Tanaka are set to support Calvert-Lewin up front.

Newcastle are predicted to use a 4-2-3-1, with Hornicek in goal behind Dedic, Thiaw, Botman and Hall. Nico and Miley should sit in midfield, with Elanga, Willock and Barnes operating behind Wissa.

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

 LEE 

![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

 NEW 

Leeds Farke, Daniel

Newcastle Jaissle, Matthias

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

**Leeds** Farke, Daniel

Jaissle, Matthias **Newcastle** 

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

3-5-2 

![Trafford, James](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/316e18456ddf2906ced2c5ddc3ad939d.png)

J. Trafford

1 

![Justin, James](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/67c21e2b39f7bdc0c186e20650265dd1.png)

A

J. Justin

24 

![Elvedi, Nico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/fbada1d4f49e2b8e5d99cc28ce4a0da9.png)

N. Elvedi

30 

![Muharemovic, Tarik](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

A

T. Muharemovic

5 

![Bogle, Jayden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/9cce18e97ac854dc2818abb687a0e2ab.png)

83' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

J. Bogle

2 

![Stach, Anton](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/eeaab7d1b173f15fc7525235d669146e.png)

88' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A. Stach

18 

![Ampadu, Ethan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/43997af8010cfb176249c2e966dab0b4.png)

E. Ampadu

4 

![Tanaka, Ao](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/acdaf52749b805037490a81982db89e2.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A. Tanaka

22 

![Gudmundsson, Gabriel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/098a87816a6023aa1081011b499e1210.png)

73' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

G. Gudmundsson

3 

![Calvert-Lewin, Dominic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/5cb46308b178b8c6d65b6d6c62981773.png)

78' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

x2 

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

D. Calvert-Lewin

9 

![Okafor, Noah](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/34a7261bd80fe250d3afe029efd8da29.png)

73' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

N. Okafor

19 

4-2-3-1 

![Hornicek, Lukas](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c9b97fffd4548608489379c2b97e696a.png)

L. Hornicek

21 

![Dedic, Amar](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/776324f44112b7d0c93a873920b4f164.png)

57' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A. Dedic

37 

![Thiaw, Malick](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/ef167b33aa4887049151a2b6160a99af.png)

M. Thiaw

12 

![Botman, Sven](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/b5310f9a979081d04fa9d6a0f4bf588b.png)

S. Botman

4 

![Hall, Lewis](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/613e593e78fbce68cbaeb029817df9e8.png)

L. Hall

3 

![Gonzalez, Nico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/77f26e9b8d719b85690f7e817b779e63.png)

19' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

N. Gonzalez

6 

![Miley, Lewis](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/0e8541f0e98c28d2f6f8cd4f4798e80c.png)

80' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

L. Miley

67 

![Murphy, Jacob](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7a5b862dbe553375acd8d270e7bfb80d.png)

57' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

J. Murphy

23 

![Fernandez-Pardo, Matias](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

58' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

M. Fernandez-Pardo

20 

![Barnes, Harvey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/5a1bfbccccf7a9420d269bbd7301ab9c.png)

H. Barnes

11 

![Wissa, Yoane](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/2b49ac1ec9a4dfa0460eb691ffd28b44.png)

Y. Wissa

9 

Elland Road 

Salisbury, Michael 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

L D D L W ? 

L W L L D ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

Leeds LEE 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

Newcastle NEW 

Recent form: 

L D D L W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L W L L D ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg)

[28 Nov 16:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2330.png) Coventry City ? ](/football/coventry-city-leeds-49086 "Leeds Coventry City") 

[21 Nov 16:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2354.png) Chelsea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds ? ](/football/chelsea-leeds-50617 "Chelsea Leeds") 

[07 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2366.png) Tottenham 1 0 W ](/football/tottenham-hotspur-leeds-51174 "Leeds Tottenham") 

[31 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2342.png) Bournemouth ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds 2 0 L ](/football/bournemouth-leeds-49875 "Bournemouth Leeds") 

[25 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2364.png) Sunderland ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds 0 0 D ](/football/sunderland-leeds-51058 "Sunderland Leeds") 

Recent form: 

L D D L W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L W L L D ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg)

[29 Nov 15:05  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2497.png) Brighton ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle ? ](/football/brighton-hove-albion-newcastle-53272 "Brighton Newcastle") 

[21 Nov 18:30  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2536.png) Arsenal ? ](/football/newcastle-arsenal-53385 "Newcastle Arsenal") 

[07 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2392.png) Fulham ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle 1 1 D ](/football/fulham-newcastle-51717 "Fulham Newcastle") 

[02 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2526.png) Everton 0 1 L ](/football/everton-newcastle-53335 "Newcastle Everton") 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg)

29 Oct   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2526.png)

Everton 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Newcastle 

3 

1 

L 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2394.png)

LEE 

3

Wins 

4

Draws 

2

Wins 

9 played 

![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2527.png)

NEW 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg)

[14 Sep 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle 4 1 ](/football/leeds-newcastle-51824 "Leeds Newcastle")

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg)

07 Jan 2026   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Newcastle 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

Leeds 

4 

3 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg)

30 Aug 2025   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png)

Leeds 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png)

Newcastle 

0 

0 

Show more 

## Standings 

 Table 

 Top Scorers 

 Outrights 

 Total 

 Home 

 Away 

| \# | Team | P                                                                               | W  | D | L | Goals | Pts   |             |    |
| -- | ---- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | -- | - | - | ----- | ----- | ----------- | -- |
|    | 9    | ![Leeds](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2394.png) Leeds         | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2     | 10:8  | L D D L W ? | 14 |
|    | 12   | ![Newcastle](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2527.png) Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4     | 13:16 | L L W L D ? | 12 |

Show full standings Show more 

## Oddspedia Tipster Competitions 

![Monthly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/2.png "Monthly Tipster Competition")

### Monthly Tipster Competition 

1000€ Prize Pool 

Place Prize

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3 Place 125€

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5 Place 50€

6 Place 40€

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10 - 20 Place 10€

997 

01 Nov - 30 Nov 

[ See details ](/tips/competitions/monthly)

![Yearly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1.png "Yearly Tipster Competition")

### Yearly Tipster Competition 

3000€ Prize Pool 

Place Prize

1 Place 1000€

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500€ Prize Pool 

Place Prize

1 Place 200€

2 Place 100€

3 Place 50€

4 Place 30€

5 - 10 Place 20€

423 

01 Nov - 30 Nov 

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![La Liga Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1366.png "La Liga Competition")

### La Liga Competition 

500€ Prize Pool 

Place Prize

1 Place 200€

2 Place 100€

3 Place 50€

4 Place 30€

5 - 10 Place 20€

524 

01 Nov - 30 Nov 

[ See details ](/tips/competitions/laliga-competition)

![EPL Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/7.png "EPL Competition")

### EPL Competition 

500€ Prize Pool 

Place Prize

1 Place 200€

2 Place 100€

3 Place 50€

4 Place 30€

5 - 10 Place 20€

530 

01 Nov - 30 Nov 

[ See details ](/tips/competitions/premier-league)

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## FAQ Leeds vs Newcastle 

### Who will win between Leeds and Newcastle? 

The SmartBet model backs Double Chance: 12, giving either side to win a 75.01% probability. Bookmakers still give Leeds a slight edge in the betting market, but there is very little between the teams.

With both sides closely matched, a narrow win either way looks more likely than a comfortable result.

### What is the best bet for Leeds and Newcastle? 

The data-led Leeds vs Newcastle prediction is Double Chance: 12, meaning either team to win. The SmartBet model gives the selection a five-star confidence rating and a 75.01% probability, compared with 74.63% implied by the odds.

That difference results in +0.51% expected value, so the model sees only a small edge in backing the match to avoid a draw.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model that simulates match outcomes and converts them into probabilities for different betting markets. For Leeds vs Newcastle, it backs Double Chance: 12 with a five-star confidence rating.

### Where and when is the match played? 

Leeds vs Newcastle is part of Premier League Matchweek 4 on 14 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC (20:00 BST). The match will be played at Elland Road.

### Where to watch Leeds vs Newcastle? 

Leeds vs Newcastle will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports, with kick-off at 20:00 BST on Monday 14 September.

Streaming will also be available through Sky’s usual online services. International viewers can watch through their local Premier League rights holder, while some bookmakers may offer live streaming in eligible regions, subject to account and viewing requirements.

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