---
description: Tunisia vs Netherlands Predictions ❱ 25.06.2026 ❱ Football ❱ World Cup ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 25.06.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/tunisia-netherlands-9798298-tips.png
---

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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

Tunisia

Finished 

1 \- 3 

(HT 0 - 2) 

26th Jun 26, 01:00 

![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

Netherlands

54' 

H. Mastouri 

3' OG

E. Skhiri 

7' 

B. Brobbey 

62' 

J. van Hecke 

Show Momentum 

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FAQ 

# Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction: Can Tunisia stop the Dutch attack? (World Cup 2026-06-25)

Last updated 5 months ago **by Ben Cronin** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Total Goals: Under 3.5 ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Lost 

1.82 

Considering the recent form and head-to-head statistics, backing "Under 3.5 Goals" for the Tunisia vs Netherlands match appears to be a sound choice. Tunisia's last five games show a struggle to find the net consistently, registering only one win, while the Netherlands share a somewhat mixed form, skewing towards lower-scoring outcomes. Intriguingly, their head-to-head battles reveal a non-existent goal festival, with no matches exceeding even the modest 0.5 goal mark. This indicates a historical trend of tight play between these teams. With both sides showcasing defensive strengths over offensive potency, the likelihood of a low-scoring affair is high. This bet carries a significant positive value, aligning perfectly with statistical trends and expectations.

Oddspedia Model Probability 73.7%

Betting Odds Probability @1.50 66.67%

10.54% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Tunisia vs Netherlands. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Tunisia vs Netherlands is played on 2026-06-25 in the World Cup (Round 3), with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Our computer model goes for Total Goals: Under 3.5, and it comes with a 5-star confidence rating. The model probability is 0.74, while the odds imply about 0.67, so there is a small edge if the price holds. Tunisia have struggled for goals lately, and the Dutch can control games with possession. Will Tunisia keep it tight early, or does it open up late?

## Prematch Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/56.png)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

TUN 

16% Home 

22% Draw 

62% Away 

![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/36.png)

![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

NED 

SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

0.9% <0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 2.3% 4.2% 3.9% 2.4% 5.8% 10.3% 9.5% 5.9% 7.3% 13.1% 11.8% 7.2% 11.9% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 0-1 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

10.00 

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Netherlands ![](/placeholder.svg)

65% 

28 of 43 Tips 

P 

K 

a 

![XXVIII](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fxxviii.png%3F1691617791.png)

+24 

P 

K 

a 

![XXVIII](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fxxviii.png%3F1691617791.png)

+24 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Won 

1.18 

The community is leaning hard towards the Dutch. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result: Netherlands at odds of 1.49, with 28 of 43 users backing it. That makes sense when you look at recent form, as Netherlands have been steadier while Tunisia are on a rough run. Still, there is one worry: Netherlands have conceded in each of their last six matches, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Do you take the straight win, or pair it with a safer goals line?

## Consensus 

28 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

[26 Jun, 01:00 ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) ![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) **Tunisia - Netherlands** ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560)

Correct Score: 0 : 3 

100% 

9 of 9 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

7.50 

[26 Jun, 01:00 ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) ![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) **Tunisia - Netherlands** ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560)

Asian Handicap: Netherlands -2 

100% 

8 of 8 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

1.73 

[26 Jun, 01:00 ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) ![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) **Tunisia - Netherlands** ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560)

1st Half Total Goals: Over 1.5 

100% 

8 of 8 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

1.91 

[26 Jun, 01:00 ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) ![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) **Tunisia - Netherlands** ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560)

Correct Score: 0 : 2 

100% 

7 of 7 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

7.00 

[26 Jun, 01:00 ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) ![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) **Tunisia - Netherlands** ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560)

Correct Score: 1 : 4 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

15.00 

Show more 

## Community Tips 

363 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

A 

Arsernal085 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Correct Score: 0 : 4

Lost 

8.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

A 

Arsernal085 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Asian Handicap: Netherlands -3.5

Lost 

3.53 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Exequiel26](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fexequiel26.png%3F1782032770.png)

Exequiel26 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Both Teams to Score: Yes

Won 

2.25 

 Support 

 Reply 

AP 

Athletico PR 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Total Goals: Over 3.5

Won 

2.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

Pt 

Pangea tips 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Asian Handicap: Tunisia +2.5

Won 

1.73 

 Support 

 Reply 

S 

Srajput 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

To Win Both Halves: Netherlands

Lost 

2.10 

 Support 

 Reply 

t 

teslar 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

European Handicap: Tie Tunisia +2

Won 

3.70 

 Support 

 Reply 

AP 

Athletico PR 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Correct Score: 1 : 4

Lost 

13.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

t 

teslar 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Correct Score: 0 : 2

Lost 

6.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Wallie](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fwallie.png%3F1707067661.png)

Wallie 

\-572.67 

671 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Tunisia - Netherlands

Asian Handicap: Netherlands -1.5

Won 

1.45 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

![Tunisia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/56.png)

D L L L L 

## Tunisia Form Analysis: Can they halt the slide?

Tunisia’s form reads DLLLL, and it has been pretty painful recently. They average just 0.50 goals per match from 4.00 shots, so chances are rare. The bigger issue is the defence, with 4.50 conceded per game, which often kills matches early. Their games have still gone Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals at 100%, so it can get messy. Omar Rekik leads the scorers with 1 goal in 2 matches, but Tunisia need more than a single threat. Can they stay compact for 90 minutes?

![Netherlands logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/36.png)

D L W D W 

## Netherlands Form Analysis: Goals, but not perfect

Netherlands come in with DLWDW, and the attack looks sharp. They average 3.50 goals per match from 11.50 shots, with 7.00 on target, which is strong finishing volume. They also score more after the break, with 2.50 second-half goals on average, so late pressure is a real thing. The soft spot is defence, conceding 1.50 per game and allowing a goal in six straight matches. Summerville and Gakpo both have 1 goal and 1 assist so far. Will they start fast, or wait to wear Tunisia down?

[Tunisia vs Netherlands Stats ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560)

## Tunisia vs Netherlands Odds - Dutch win is strongly priced

The Full Time Result market makes Netherlands clear favourites at 1.49, with Tunisia all the way out at 33.00 and the Draw at 12.10\. The Asian Handicap sits around -2.5 for Netherlands at 1.99, which hints at a possible multi-goal gap if the game runs away. Goals are also expected, with Over 3.25 priced 1.87 and Under 3.25 at 2.08\. So, do you trust a Dutch rout, or a calmer match script?

[Tunisia vs Netherlands Odds ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

 TUN 

![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

 NED 

Tunisia Renard, Herve

Netherlands Koeman, Ronald

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

**Tunisia** Renard, Herve

Koeman, Ronald **Netherlands** 

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

5-3-2 

![Dahmen, Aymen](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

A. Dahmen

16 

![Valery, Yan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/0dd54e1fd1bd1c69f3759877de66d419.png)

Y. Valery

20 

![Khedira, Rani](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/efb69cf807a10c3b7bc17415da1ee9cf.png)

67' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

R. Khedira

13 

![Talbi, Montassar](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/96079332194edd65052abef51f9fe1bb.png)

M. Talbi

3 

![Ben Hmida, Mohamed Amine](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

68' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

M. Ben Hmida

21 

![Abdi, Ali](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/323a8e20f8c14e81025404e4b6bdfaaf.png)

A. Abdi

2 

![Skhiri, Ellyes](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3bd70cbdb91c6d44c9de873a1034a196.png)

E. Skhiri

17 

![Mejbri, Hannibal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

A

H. Mejbri

10 

![Gharbi, Ismael](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/fdcd944a80654d8c30382975270b2f8a.png)

75' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

I. Gharbi

11 

![Mastouri, Hazem](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

90' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

H. Mastouri

9 

![Slimane, Anis](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

68' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A. Slimane

25 

4-3-3 

![Verbruggen, Bart](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/333601b612a4f887ccc851fe9f355879.png)

B. Verbruggen

1 

![Dumfries, Denzel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f7ed8ed401ee8f597fc5da9497984dbd.png)

D. Dumfries

22 

![van Hecke, Jan-Paul](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/d4f96370563bd53b772510a78dd61ff3.png)

J. van Hecke

6 

![Van Dijk, Virgil](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/efa60fd9cefe0f1d19fc90e99147103e.png)

A

V. Van Dijk

4 

![Ake, Nathan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/a1119a752dd3c33f73b6764bffc9fd1f.png)

N. Ake

5 

![Gravenberch, Ryan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/6ed66954db89695038416fc675deba81.png)

R. Gravenberch

8 

![De Jong, Frenkie](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f5c04bcdf36366bc9daa23eff2b9ea0c.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

F. De Jong

21 

![Reijnders, Tijjani](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/da42c083d87f15200a7020e7c39d811c.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A

T. Reijnders

14 

![Malen, Donyell](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/8d2408b74e82902bd61e3f8ce55e20e3.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

D. Malen

14 

![Brobbey, Brian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/ee93f34ecf894765b57cb27411771dc8.png)

77' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

B. Brobbey

9 

![Gakpo, Cody](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/ad505e1dff412bcab6d18418c5563575.png)

84' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

C. Gakpo

18 

Arrowhead Stadium 

García, Katia 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

L L L D D ? 

D D W D W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

Tunisia TUN 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

Netherlands NED 

Recent form: 

L L L D D ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D D W D W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/africa.svg)

17 Nov 17:00   

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7776.png)

Libya 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Tunisia 

? 

[13 Nov 17:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) Tunisia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7776.png) Libya ? ](/football/tunisia-libya-2258 "Tunisia Libya") 

28 Sep   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Tunisia 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7753.png)

Botswana 

2 

2 

D 

[24 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) Tunisia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7799.png) Uganda 1 1 D ](/football/tunisia-uganda-2266 "Tunisia Uganda") 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[26 Jun   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) Tunisia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) Netherlands 1 3 L ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560 "Tunisia Netherlands") 

Recent form: 

L L L D D ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D D W D W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg)

[16 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/26.png) Germany ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) Netherlands ? ](/football/germany-netherlands-1188 "Germany Netherlands") 

[13 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) Netherlands ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/13.png) Greece ? ](/football/greece-netherlands-708 "Netherlands Greece") 

[04 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) Netherlands ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/955.png) Serbia 2 1 W ](/football/netherlands-serbia-1856648 "Netherlands Serbia") 

01 Oct   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/13.png)

Greece 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Netherlands 

2 

2 

D 

27 Sep   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/955.png)

Serbia 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png)

Netherlands 

1 

2 

W 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

TUN 

0

Wins 

1

Win 

1 played 

![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

![Netherlands](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/36.png)

NED 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[26 Jun 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) Tunisia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36.png) Netherlands 1 3 ](/football/netherlands-tunisia-1654560 "Tunisia Netherlands")

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01 Nov - 30 Nov 

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01 Nov - 30 Nov 

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## Get a free bet for Tunisia vs Netherlands

You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Tunisia vs Netherlands fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the [best free bets and sign-up offers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/betting-offers) to get even more out of the bets you place.

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## FAQ Tunisia vs Netherlands 

### Who will win between Tunisia and Netherlands? 

Netherlands look the stronger side on form and numbers. They score 3.50 goals per match, while Tunisia score 0.50\. Bookmakers also heavily favour the Dutch at 1.49 in the Full Time Result market.

### What is the best bet for Tunisia and Netherlands? 

The model’s top pick is Total Goals: Under 3.5 with a 5-star confidence rating. The model probability is 0.74 versus 0.67 implied by odds, giving around 0.11 positive expected value.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates matches and turns the results into probabilities for betting markets. You can then compare model probability against odds-implied probability to spot potential value.

### Where and when is the match played? 

Tunisia vs Netherlands is in the World Cup (Round 3). It is played on 2026-06-25\. Kick-off is set for 23:00 UTC.

### Where to watch Tunisia vs Netherlands? 

World Cup matches are usually shown on major national broadcasters and official rights holders in each country. You can also check streaming services that carry the tournament. Some bookmakers, like bet365, may offer a livestream where available.

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((_)\    /(_))   /(_))   /(_))  /(_))  )\    /(_))   /(_)) ((((_)(
  ((_)  (_))_   (_))_   (_))   (_))   ((_)  (_))_   (_))    )\ _ )\
 / _ \   |   \   |   \  / __|  | _ \  | __|  |   \  |_ _|   (_)_\(_)
| (_) |  | |) |  | |) | \__ \  |  _/  | _|   | |) |  | |     / _ \
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```
