--- description: Man City vs Real Madrid Predictions ❱ 17.03.2026 ❱ Football ❱ Champions League ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips title: Man City vs Real Madrid Prediction, Probabilities & Expert Tips 17.03.2026 image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/manchester-city-real-madrid-9956557-tips.png --- * [ Home](/) * [Football ](/football) * [Europe ](/football/europe) * [Champions League ](/football/europe/champions-league "Champions League") * Man City - Real Madrid Predictions ![Europe](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) Champions League 24 Nov, Tuesday |Round 5 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/5044.png) Bodo/Glimt ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1479.png) LASK Linz ](/football/lask-linz-bodo-glimt-2118037/predictions "Bodo/Glimt - LASK Linz") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8176.png) Galatasaray ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2361.png) Aston Villa ](/football/aston-villa-galatasaray-2118038/predictions "Galatasaray - Aston Villa") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2536.png) Arsenal ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2803.png) Borussia Dortmund ](/football/arsenal-borussia-dortmund-53596/predictions "Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3280.png) Como ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/4217.png) AEK Athens ](/football/calcio-como-aek-athens-2118040/predictions "Como - AEK Athens") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3349.png) Feyenoord ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3415.png) Porto ](/football/feyenoord-porto-71381/predictions "Feyenoord - Porto") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2861.png) RB Leipzig ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3224.png) Lens ](/football/leipzig-lens-1505702/predictions "RB Leipzig - Lens") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3194.png) Napoli ](/football/manchester-city-napoli-53429/predictions "Man City - Napoli") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3366.png) PSV Eindhoven ](/football/real-madrid-psv-eindhoven-2118044/predictions "Real Madrid - PSV Eindhoven") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/499.png) Slovan Bratislava ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3499.png) Real Betis ](/football/slovan-bratislava-real-betis-2118045/predictions "Slovan Bratislava - Real Betis") 25 Nov, Wednesday |Round 5 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/72236.png) Sabah Baku ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3.png) Barcelona ](/football/barcelona-sabah-baku-2118046/predictions "Sabah Baku - Barcelona") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/230.png) Slavia Prague ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ](/football/villarreal-slavia-prague-1657/predictions "Slavia Prague - Villarreal") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2.png) Atletico Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2172.png) Viking ](/football/atletico-madrid-viking-2118048/predictions "Atletico Madrid - Viking") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2408.png) Club Brugge ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2538.png) Liverpool ](/football/club-brugge-liverpool-2118049/predictions "Club Brugge - Liverpool") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3187.png) Inter Milan ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2876.png) Stuttgart ](/football/stuttgart-inter-milano-2118050/predictions "Inter Milan - Stuttgart") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3225.png) Lille ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2802.png) Bayern Munich ](/football/bayern-munich-lille-55856/predictions "Lille - Bayern Munich") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3236.png) PSG ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3197.png) Roma ](/football/as-roma-paris-saint-germain-65615/predictions "PSG - Roma") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3643.png) Shakhtar Donetsk ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/4021.png) Fenerbahce ](/football/shakhtar-donetsk-fenerbahce-81236/predictions "Shakhtar Donetsk - Fenerbahce") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3418.png) Sporting CP ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2356.png) Man Utd ](/football/manchester-united-sporting-cp-50783/predictions "Sporting CP - Man Utd") Popular leagues * [ ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4.png) Bundesliga ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4@2x.png) Bundesliga ](/football/germany/bundesliga "Bundesliga") * [ ![2. 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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/icons/red-card.svg) Man City Finished 1 \- 2 (HT 1 - 1) Agg.: 1 - 5 17th Mar 26, 21:00 ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) Real Madrid 41' E. Haaland 22' Pen Vinicius Junior 90+3' Vinicius Junior Show Momentum Quick Links: Smart Bet Expert Score Forecast Community Analysis Matches H2H Contests Offers FAQ # Man City vs Real Madrid Prediction: Can City come back from 3-0 down? Last updated 8 months ago **by Stuart Brown** ![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) Double Chance: Draw or Real Madrid ![](/placeholder.svg) Confidence Rating ![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png) Won 2.90 The case for Double Chance: X2 in favour of Real Madrid is supported by both recent form and the head-to-head record in this competition. Madrid have lost just one of their last five Champions League meetings with Manchester City, which highlights their ability to stay competitive even in difficult fixtures. Manchester City’s home record remains strong, with a long unbeaten run, but Real Madrid’s track record in high-pressure situations continues to stand out. They average around 2.2 goals in meetings with City, showing they can consistently create and convert chances at this level. When that is combined with their experience and previous results in this matchup, the prospect of Madrid avoiding defeat becomes more credible. From a betting perspective, Double Chance: X2 reflects a calculated Man City vs Real Madrid prediction that aligns with both the data and the broader context of the tie. Oddspedia Model Probability 51.15% Betting Odds Probability @2.89 34.6% 47.83% Bet value What is SmartBet? Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Man City vs Real Madrid. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer) Man City vs Real Madrid takes place in the Champions League Round of 16 on 17th March 2026, with the focus firmly on whether City can respond after the 3-0 first leg. The tactical question centres on whether City can dominate possession again without leaving space for Madrid to exploit on the counter. The Oddspedia SmartBet model points towards a Man City vs Real Madrid prediction of Double Chance: X2 with a 5-star confidence rating. It assigns a probability of 51.15% compared to 34.6% implied by the odds, creating a strong positive expected value of 47.83%, which supports the case for backing Madrid to avoid defeat. ## Our Expert's Prediction - Man City vs Real Madrid Full Time Result Full Time Result: Man City ![](/placeholder.svg) ![Stuart Brown](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/06/1-240x240.jpg) Stuart Brown Sports Betting Expert ![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png) Lost 1.60 City can't be as bad as they were last week, and have a strong home record of late and against Real Madrid. They may struggle to overturn a 3 goal deficit, but I think City will at least win the game. ## Prematch Probabilities ![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg) Winner probabilities ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2528.png) ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2528.png) MCI 49% Home 23% Draw 28% Away ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/1.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) MAD Correct Score probabilities \>3 3 2 1 0 10.5% 0.3% 4.4% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 7.1% 9.3% 6.0% 2.6% 8.2% 10.4% 6.8% 3.0% 4.8% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 4.4% 0 1 2 3 \>3 Correct Score: Other Home Win ## What does the Oddspedia community think? Both Teams to Score: Yes ![](/placeholder.svg) 96% 27 of 28 Tips ![ASTANA BETTING](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fastana-betting.png%3F1769334388.png) l K ![mstn22](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmstn22.png%3F1772257119.png) +23 ![ASTANA BETTING](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fastana-betting.png%3F1769334388.png) l K ![mstn22](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmstn22.png%3F1772257119.png) +23 ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Won 1.67 The focus is firmly on goals, and the community view reflects that. The leading pick is BTTS at odds of 2/3, backed by 27 of 28 tipsters, which shows a strong level of agreement. Man City have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches, so it is difficult to see them failing to find the net, while Real Madrid average 2.5 goals per game and carry the pace and quality to exploit mistakes. BTTS rates sit at 49% for City overall and 56% for Madrid, with both rising to 60% across their last five matches. Taken together, the data points towards goals at both ends as the most straightforward Man City vs Real Madrid prediction, even if the match itself may still hinge on fine margins. ## Consensus 18 Sort by Percentage Only tipsters I follow [17 Mar, 21:00 ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) **Man City - Real Madrid** ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38) Total Goals: Over 2.5 100% 18 of 18 Tips ![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png) Best odds 1.43 [17 Mar, 21:00 ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) **Man City - Real Madrid** ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38) Total Cards: Over 3.5 100% 13 of 13 Tips ![Marathonbet](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/marathonbet.png) Best odds 1.96 [17 Mar, 21:00 ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) **Man City - Real Madrid** ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38) Total Cards: Over 3.25 100% 12 of 12 Tips ![Marathonbet](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/marathonbet.png) Best odds 1.78 [17 Mar, 21:00 ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) **Man City - Real Madrid** ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38) Total Goals: Over 2.75 100% 4 of 4 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 1.50 [17 Mar, 21:00 ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) **Man City - Real Madrid** ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38) 1st Half Total Goals: Over 2.5 100% 3 of 3 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 4.40 Show more ## Community Tips 274 Sort by Latest Only tipsters I follow 1 1Bayona \-448.67 1158 Tips 8 months ago ![](/placeholder.svg) 2 Accumulator bet Lost 2.38 Support Reply ![Andy Roberts](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fandy-roberts.png%3F1745948287.png) Andy Roberts 0.00 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Asian Handicap: Real Madrid +1.25 Won 2.03 Support Reply ![Cougar51](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fcougar51.png%3F1764444694.png) Cougar51 0.00 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Total Goals: Over 2.5 Won 1.40 Support Reply C Citor13 \-488.45 240 Tips 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Total Goals: Over 4.75 Lost 3.82 Support Reply C Citor13 \-488.45 240 Tips 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Total Corners: Over 15.5 Lost 4.60 Support Reply V VM30 0.00 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Full Time Result: Man City Lost 1.43 Support Reply ![nwaj](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fnwaj.png%3F1790389868.png) nwaj \-5.25 125 Tips 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Total Goals: Over 4.5 Lost 3.40 Support Reply v vetego 0.00 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Full Time Result: Man City Lost 1.43 Support Reply J JaksonRodriguez 0.00 8 months ago ![](/placeholder.svg) 2 Accumulator bet Lost 4.16 Support Reply ![Unsafe](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Funsafe.png%3F1773684774.png) Unsafe 0.00 8 months ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Man City - Real Madrid Total Goals: Under 3.5 Won 1.87 Support Reply Show More ![Man City logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/2528.png) W D W L D ## Man City form analysis: Can they overturn 3-0? Man City arrive with a WDWLD run of form and remain unbeaten in their last 14 matches at home, which provides a strong platform for attempting a comeback. They average 1.7 goals per match, 13.7 shots, and around 60% possession, which suggests the game is likely to be played largely in Madrid’s half. Erling Haaland leads the attack with seven goals in nine matches, and his involvement early on could be crucial, particularly as City average 1.1 first-half goals. The concern lies at the other end, where they concede 1.3 per match, because a single Real Madrid goal could quickly shift the balance of the tie. ![Real Madrid logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/1.png) W L W W W ## Real Madrid form analysis: Can they stay hot? Real Madrid arrive with a WLWWW run of form and carry a strong attacking threat away from home, averaging 2.0 goals on their travels. Overall, they produce 2.5 goals per match from 16.8 shots and 7.2 on target, which highlights how efficiently they convert chances. Vinícius Júnior is a key figure with five goals and five assists, while Federico Valverde adds further impact with three goals and three assists. Defensively, they concede 1.2 goals per game, which is generally stable if they manage the tempo effectively. With a 3-0 advantage from the first leg, the tactical question is whether they sit deeper to protect the lead or continue to attack when opportunities arise. [Man City vs Real Madrid Stats ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38) ## Man City vs Real Madrid odds: City favoured, but tie says otherwise The market makes City favourites at 1/2, with the draw priced at 19/4 and Madrid at 5/1\. The Asian Handicap also leans towards the home side, with City -1.25 available at 10/11 and Madrid +1.25 at 1/1, which suggests a City win is expected but not necessarily by a comfortable margin. The goals market points towards a more open game, with over 3.25 priced at 4/5 and under 3.25 at 1/1, indicating a slight expectation of a higher-scoring contest. [Man City vs Real Madrid Odds ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38) ## Man City vs Real Madrid predicted lineups: Big names, clear game plans Man City are expected to line up in a 4-1-3-2 under Pep Guardiola, with Donnarumma in goal and Rodri anchoring midfield. The back line of Nunes, Khusanov, Guéhi and Aït-Nouri is built to control possession, although it will need to cope with Madrid’s counter-attacks. Bernardo Silva and Nico O’Reilly should link play in advanced areas, while Semenyo provides running power, and the pairing of Marmoush and Haaland up front points towards early pressure and frequent deliveries into the box. Real Madrid are set to use a 4-1-2-1-2 under Álvaro Arbeloa, with Courtois in goal behind Carvajal, Huijsen, Rüdiger and García. Tchouaméni operates as the holding midfielder, with Camavinga and Pitarch supporting, while Valverde has licence to move forward and Brahim Díaz and Vinícius Júnior offer pace and threat in transition. The balance of control in midfield is likely to be decisive in shaping how the match unfolds. ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2528.png) MCI ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) MAD Man City Guardiola, Pep Real Madrid Arbeloa, Alvaro ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2528.png) **Man City** Guardiola, Pep Arbeloa, Alvaro **Real Madrid** ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) 4-3-3 ![Donnarumma, Gianluigi](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/923b23bf3ea643a24e3047767fbe46e8.png) G. Donnarumma 1 ![Nunes, Matheus](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/9a1bfb378e3a14954b640862cf97721a.png) 57' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) M. Nunes 27 ![Khusanov, Abdukodir](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/14393ba2a052dd65d2caf6f9f1f5e14e.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) A. Khusanov 45 ![Dias, Ruben](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/b4204b2580e43fd520d1c303432651bd.png) 46' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) R. Dias 3 ![Ait-Nouri, Rayan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/9e45f78165b7a5359acd40b04076da7d.png) R. Ait-Nouri 21 ![Silva, Bernardo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f4c4463ded0111cd46a38715fd7ea38f.png) ![Red Card](/placeholder.svg) B. Silva 10 ![Rodri](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/918ae91a6fa6ff91e3ffbdb2abe2c47d.png) 74' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) Rodri 16 ![Reijnders, Tijjani](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/da42c083d87f15200a7020e7c39d811c.png) 46' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) T. Reijnders 14 ![Cherki, Rayan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/027ead297be5410b16007f599e95b784.png) R. Cherki 10 ![Haaland, Erling](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/19c2710a7e90ffaaf0de86eb08207eb2.png) 56' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) E. Haaland 9 ![Doku, Jeremy](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f7f976dbbf50781285d119928e56dbdf.png) J. Doku 11 4-3-3 ![Courtois, Thibaut](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/bd109bbf47ff1e2a6bbeb6241a7c7f96.png) 46' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) T. Courtois 1 ![Alexander-Arnold, Trent](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/6648d7e4cf4e89ba08dd11e537d4bb5a.png) 83' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) T. Alexander-Arnold 12 ![Rudiger, Antonio](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/58f29d22ee39cfcfdc542d67871f6b2d.png) A. Rudiger 22 ![Huijsen, Dean](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/5e82bcd3fd0489e1f4f67126c6f5abb8.png) D. Huijsen 4 ![Garcia, Francisco](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3bd96bbf7e63595a0c401451c1de4ba5.png) F. Garcia 11 ![Valverde, Federico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c9915eee5e3a99054facf928418e0583.png) F. Valverde 8 ![Tchouameni, Aurelien](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/11bb51c0509f0717f154109792ca3e54.png) A A. Tchouameni 14 ![Pitarch Pinar, Thiago](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) 74' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) T. Pitarch Pinar 27 ![Guler, Arda](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) 74' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) A. Guler 15 ![Diaz, Brahim](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/0f896248ff1864d193f06d87cb4ef3b2.png) 69' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) B. Diaz 21 ![Vinicius Junior](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) x2 Vinicius Junior 7 Etihad Stadium Turpin, Clement ## Last Matches All Competitions L D L W L ? W W W W W ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2528.png) Man City MCI ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) Real Madrid MAD Recent form: L D L W L ? All Home Away Recent form: W W W W W ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [24 Nov 21:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3194.png) Napoli ? ](/football/manchester-city-napoli-53429 "Man City Napoli") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) [21 Nov 13:30 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2392.png) Fulham ? ](/football/fulham-manchester-city-51718 "Man City Fulham") [07 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2395.png) Nottingham Forest ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City 3 1 L ](/football/nottingham-forest-manchester-city-51871 "Nottingham Forest Man City") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [04 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2861.png) RB Leipzig ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City 2 3 W ](/football/manchester-city-leipzig-836300 "RB Leipzig Man City") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/england.svg) [31 Oct FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2497.png) Brighton 0 1 L ](/football/brighton-hove-albion-manchester-city-53273 "Man City Brighton") Recent form: L D L W L ? All Home Away Recent form: W W W W W ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [24 Nov 21:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3366.png) PSV Eindhoven ? ](/football/real-madrid-psv-eindhoven-2118044 "Real Madrid PSV Eindhoven") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) [21 Nov 21:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3468.png) Celta Vigo ? ](/football/real-madrid-celta-de-vigo-69 "Real Madrid Celta Vigo") [07 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3494.png) Valencia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 0 3 W ](/football/real-madrid-valencia-79 "Valencia Real Madrid") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [04 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/4217.png) AEK Athens ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 2 3 W ](/football/real-madrid-aek-athens-2118028 "AEK Athens Real Madrid") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) [01 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1180.png) Racing Santander ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 0 3 W ](/football/real-madrid-racing-santander-29 "Racing Santander Real Madrid") Show more ## Head-2-Head Last 9 years ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2528.png) ![Man City](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2528.png) MCI 5 Wins 2 Draws 6 Wins 13 played ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) MAD ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [17 Mar 2026 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 1 2 ](/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38 "Man City Real Madrid") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) 11 Mar 2026 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City 3 0 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) 10 Dec 2025 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2528.png) Man City 1 2 Show more ## Oddspedia Tipster Competitions ![Monthly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/2.png "Monthly Tipster Competition") ### Monthly Tipster Competition 1000€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 350€ 2 Place 200€ 3 Place 125€ 4 Place 60€ 5 Place 50€ 6 Place 40€ 7 Place 30€ 8 Place 20€ 9 Place 15€ 10 - 20 Place 10€ 1027 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/monthly) ![Yearly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1.png "Yearly Tipster Competition") ### Yearly Tipster Competition 3000€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 1000€ 2 Place 500€ 3 Place 350€ 4 Place 250€ 5 Place 150€ 6 Place 100€ 7 Place 60€ 8 Place 50€ 9 Place 30€ 10 - 19 Place 20€ 20 - 50 Place 10€ 3049 01 Jul - 30 Jun [ See details ](/tips/competitions/yearly) ![Bundesliga Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1365.png "Bundesliga Competition") ### Bundesliga Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 423 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/bundesliga-competition) ![La Liga Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1366.png "La Liga Competition") ### La Liga Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 536 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/laliga-competition) ![EPL Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/7.png "EPL Competition") ### EPL Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 531 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/premier-league) ## Get a free bet for Man City vs Real Madrid You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Man City vs Real Madrid fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the [best free bets and sign-up offers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/betting-offers) to get even more out of the bets you place. [![Bwin logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/bwin) 100% Bonus bis zu 100€ [Bwin Review ](/bookmakers/bwin) 100% Bonus bis zu 100€ [Terms & conditions ](#) [Bwin Review ](/bookmakers/bwin) No code required Get offer Teilnahme nur für Neukunden. Einzahlungs- und Bonusbetrag 3x in 90 Tagen einsetzen. 18+ AGBs gelten. [![bet365 logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/bet365) Bis zu 100€ in Wett-Credits [bet365 Review ](/bookmakers/bet365) Bis zu 100€ in Wett-Credits [Terms & conditions ](#) [bet365 Review ](/bookmakers/bet365) ODDSPEDIA Get offer 18+ | Erlaubt (Whitelist) | Suchtrisiken | Hilfe unter http://buwei.de Nur für neue Kunden. Melden Sie sich an, zahlen Sie €5 oder mehr auf Ihr bet365-Konto ein und wir geben Ihnen die entsprechende qualifizierende Einzahlung in Wett-Credits, wenn Sie qualifizierende Wetten im gleichen Wert platzieren und diese abgerechnet werden. Mindestquoten, Wett- und Zahlungsmethoden-Ausnahmen gelten. Gewinne schließen den Einsatz von Wett-Credits aus. Es gelten die AGB, Zeitlimits und Ausnahmen. Der Bonus-Code ODDSPEDIA kann während der Anmeldung benutzt werden, jedoch ändert dies den Angebotsbetrag in keinster Weise. [![Betano logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/betano) 20€ Freiwette + 100% bis zu 80€ Wettbonus [Betano Review ](/bookmakers/betano) 20€ Freiwette + 100% bis zu 80€ Wettbonus [Terms & conditions ](#) [Betano Review ](/bookmakers/betano) BETANO20 Get offer Konto verifizieren und eine 20€ Freiwette erhalten, ganz ohne Einzahlung. 18+ AGB gelten. ## FAQ Man City vs Real Madrid ### Who will win between Man City and Real Madrid? Bookmakers lean towards a City win on the night, but the SmartBet model points in a different direction by favouring Double Chance: X2 on Real Madrid. With a 3-0 advantage from the first leg, Madrid have the option to manage the game more carefully and prioritise protecting the tie rather than chasing the result. ### What is the best bet for Man City and Real Madrid? The model-backed Man City vs Real Madrid prediction is Double Chance: X2, rated 5 stars, with a 51.15% probability compared to 34.6% implied by the odds, which highlights a strong positive expected value edge. The community preference is BTTS, supported by consistent recent BTTS trends from both sides. ### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares true probability to bookmaker odds. When the model probability is higher than the odds imply, the bet can show positive expected value (+EV). ### Where and when is the match played? Man City vs Real Madrid takes place in the Champions League Round of 16 on 17th March 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 UTC. This is the second leg of the tie, with Real Madrid holding a 3-0 advantage from the first meeting, and the match will be played at the Etihad Stadium. ### Where to watch Man City vs Real Madrid? Champions League matches in the UK are typically broadcast on TNT Sports, with streaming available via discovery+. Coverage in other regions varies through broadcasters such as DAZN or local rights holders, while some bookmakers like bet365 may also offer legal livestream options depending on your location and account status. Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest Germany betting offers. Sign up By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes. [**Enjoying Oddspedia?** Add us as a preferred source on Google ![Enjoying Oddspedia? 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You can manage your preferences and find out more by clicking the ‘Customise’ button below. Customise Accept All ) ( ( ( ( ( ( ( /( )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) ( )\()) (()/( (()/( (()/( (()/( ( (()/( (()/( )\ ((_)\ /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) )\ /(_)) /(_)) ((((_)( ((_) (_))_ (_))_ (_)) (_)) ((_) (_))_ (_)) )\ _ )\ / _ \ | \ | \ / __| | _ \ | __| | \ |_ _| (_)_\(_) | (_) | | |) | | |) | \__ \ | _/ | _| | |) | | | / _ \ \___/ |___/ |___/ |___/ |_| |___| |___/ |___| /_/ \_\ ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org/","@type":"WebSite","name":"Oddspedia","url":"https://oddspedia.com","inLanguage":{"@type":"Language","name":"en"}} {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football","name":"Football"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/europe","name":"Europe"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/europe/champions-league","name":"Champions League"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38/predictions","name":"Man City - Real Madrid Predictions"}}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"SportsEvent","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38/predictions#event","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38/predictions","name":"Man City - Real Madrid","description":"Man City vs Real Madrid Predictions ❱ 2026-03-17 ❱ Football ❱ Champions League ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips","sport":"Football","startDate":"2026-03-17T20:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-03-17T21:30:00Z","eventAttendanceMode":"https://schema.org/OfflineEventAttendanceMode","homeTeam":{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Man City","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/2528.png","sport":"Football","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/manchester-city-2528","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/manchester-city-2528#team"},"awayTeam":{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Real Madrid","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png","sport":"Football","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/real-madrid-1","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/real-madrid-1#team"},"competitor":[{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Man City"},{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Real Madrid"}],"location":{"@type":"Place","name":"Etihad Stadium","address":{"@type":"PostalAddress","addressLocality":"Manchester","addressCountry":{"@type":"Country","name":"England"}},"geo":{"@type":"GeoCoordinates","latitude":"53.484592","longitude":"-2.202695"}},"image":["https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/16x9/manchester-city-real-madrid-9956557-tips.png","https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/manchester-city-real-madrid-9956557-tips.png"],"organizer":{"@type":"SportsOrganization","name":"Champions League","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/1.png","width":32,"height":32}},"referee":{"@type":"Person","name":"Turpin, Clement"},"superEvent":{"@type":"SportsEvent","name":"Champions League, 25/26","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/europe/champions-league","location":"Europe","startDate":"2025-07-08T00:00:00Z"}},{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38/predictions#article","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38/predictions","headline":"Man City vs Real Madrid Prediction 2026-03-17","description":"Man City vs Real Madrid Predictions ❱ 2026-03-17 ❱ Football ❱ Champions League ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/16x9/manchester-city-real-madrid-9956557-tips.png","datePublished":"2026-03-17T15:31:24.000000Z","dateModified":"2026-03-17T15:45:40.927804Z","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Stuart Brown","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/06/1-240x240.jpg","width":240,"height":240},"url":"https://oddspedia.com/experts/stuart-brown"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/#organization","name":"Oddspedia","url":"https://oddspedia.com","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-light.svg","width":600,"height":60},"sameAs":["https://oddspedia.com","https://www.facebook.com/oddspediaglobal","https://www.instagram.com/oddspediaglobal","https://x.com/oddspedia","https://www.youtube.com/oddspedia/videos"]},"inLanguage":"en","mainEntityOfPage":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38/predictions","about":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-manchester-city-38/predictions#event"}},{"@type":"FAQPage","mainEntity":[{"@type":"Question","name":"Who will win between Man City and Real Madrid?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Bookmakers lean towards a City win on the night, but the SmartBet model points in a different direction by favouring Double Chance: X2 on Real Madrid. With a 3-0 advantage from the first leg, Madrid have the option to manage the game more carefully and prioritise protecting the tie rather than chasing the result."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the best bet for Man City and Real Madrid?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"The model-backed Man City vs Real Madrid prediction is Double Chance: X2, rated 5 stars, with a 51.15% probability compared to 34.6% implied by the odds, which highlights a strong positive expected value edge. The community preference is BTTS, supported by consistent recent BTTS trends from both sides."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"What is Oddspedia SmartBet?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares true probability to bookmaker odds. When the model probability is higher than the odds imply, the bet can show positive expected value (+EV)."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"Where and when is the match played?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Man City vs Real Madrid takes place in the Champions League Round of 16 on 17th March 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 UTC. This is the second leg of the tie, with Real Madrid holding a 3-0 advantage from the first meeting, and the match will be played at the Etihad Stadium."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"Where to watch Man City vs Real Madrid?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Champions League matches in the UK are typically broadcast on TNT Sports, with streaming available via discovery+. Coverage in other regions varies through broadcasters such as DAZN or local rights holders, while some bookmakers like bet365 may also offer legal livestream options depending on your location and account status."}}]}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Asian Handicap Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Real Madrid +1.25","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Andy Roberts"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Total Goals Prediction?","answerCount":4,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Over 2.5","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Cougar51"},"upvoteCount":0},{"@type":"Answer","text":"Over 4.75","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Citor13"},"upvoteCount":0},{"@type":"Answer","text":"Over 4.5","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"nwaj"},"upvoteCount":0},{"@type":"Answer","text":"Under 3.5","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Unsafe"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Total Corners Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Over 15.5","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Citor13"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Full Time Result Prediction?","answerCount":2,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Man City","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"VM30"},"upvoteCount":0},{"@type":"Answer","text":"Man City","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"vetego"},"upvoteCount":0}]}}]} ```