--- description: Real Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions ❱ 10.10.2026 ❱ Football ❱ La Liga ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips title: Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, Probabilities & Expert Tips 10.10.2026 image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/real-madrid-villarreal-10147620-tips.png --- * [ Home](/) * [Football ](/football) * [Spain ](/football/spain) * [La Liga ](/football/spain/primera-division "La Liga") * Real Madrid - Villarreal Predictions ![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) La Liga 20 Nov, Friday |Round 13 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3463.png) Athletic Bilbao ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3473.png) Espanyol ](/football/athletic-bilbao-espanyol-74951/predictions "Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol") 21 Nov, Saturday |Round 13 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/168.png) Alaves ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/947.png) Deportivo La Coruna ](/football/deportivo-alaves-deportivo-la-coruna-7518/predictions "Alaves - Deportivo La Coruna") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3485.png) Rayo Vallecano ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3494.png) Valencia ](/football/rayo-vallecano-valencia-75934/predictions "Rayo Vallecano - Valencia") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3490.png) Sevilla ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3499.png) Real Betis ](/football/sevilla-real-betis-76091/predictions "Sevilla - Real Betis") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3468.png) Celta Vigo ](/football/real-madrid-celta-de-vigo-69/predictions "Real Madrid - Celta Vigo") 22 Nov, Sunday |Round 13 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3.png) Barcelona ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ](/football/barcelona-villarreal-231/predictions "Barcelona - Villarreal") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1180.png) Racing Santander ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3487.png) Real Sociedad ](/football/racing-santander-real-sociedad-27671/predictions "Racing Santander - Real Sociedad") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3503.png) Osasuna ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3482.png) Malaga ](/football/malaga-osasuna-75842/predictions "Osasuna - Malaga") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3475.png) Getafe ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/2.png) Atletico Madrid ](/football/atletico-madrid-getafe-181/predictions "Getafe - Atletico Madrid") Popular leagues * [ ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4.png) Bundesliga ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4@2x.png) Bundesliga ](/football/germany/bundesliga "Bundesliga") * [ ![2. 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Uruguay * ![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg) USA 1 * ![Uzbekistan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/uzbekistan.svg) Uzbekistan * ![Venezuela](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/venezuela.svg) Venezuela * ![Vietnam](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/vietnam.svg) Vietnam * ![Wales](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/wales.svg) Wales 4 / 0 * ![Zambia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/zambia.svg) Zambia * ![Zimbabwe](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/zimbabwe.svg) Zimbabwe ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg) [ ](#) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/icons/red-card.svg) Real Madrid Finished 1 \- 0 (HT 0 - 0) 10th Oct 26, 21:00 ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) Villarreal 63' Y. Diomande Show Momentum Quick Links: Smart Bet Score Forecast Community Analysis Matches H2H Standings Contests Offers FAQ # Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction: Will Mourinho’s boys stay perfect at home in La Liga? Last updated a month ago **by Ben Cronin** ![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) Total Goals: Under 4.5 ![](/placeholder.svg) Confidence Rating ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Won 1.45 With a recent trend in both teams' performances and historical matchups pointing towards a lower-scoring affair, backing the total goals to be under 4.5 in the upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal seems a solid choice. Real Madrid, despite their attacking prowess, has fluctuated in form, while Villarreal’s offense has struggled, reflected in their recent results. The H2H statistics also support this, with only 26% of their past encounters exceeding 4.5 goals. Given the pattern of tight contests, this prediction carries strong value, presenting an excellent opportunity for bettors seeking a more conservative but plausible outcome. Oddspedia Model Probability 72.16% Betting Odds Probability @1.48 67.57% 6.79% Bet value What is SmartBet? Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Real Madrid vs Villarreal. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer) Real Madrid vs Villarreal is played on 2026-10-10 in La Liga (Round 8), with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet model likes Total Goals: Under 4.5, and it comes in with a 5-star confidence rating. The model probability is 0.72, while the odds-implied probability is 0.68, so the bet shows +EV of 0.07\. Real Madrid games can get lively, but Under 4.5 still covers plenty of common scorelines, like 2-1 or 3-1\. Will Villarreal keep it respectable away from home? ## Prematch Probabilities ![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg) Winner probabilities ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/1.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) MAD 65% Home 19% Draw 16% Away ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/40.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) VIL SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner Correct Score probabilities \>3 3 2 1 0 18.0% 0.2% 6.9% 6.6% 4.3% 1.4% 9.9% 9.4% 5.3% 2.1% 9.6% 8.4% 4.0% 1.7% 4.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 2.3% 0 1 2 3 \>3 Correct Score: Other Home Win ## What does the Oddspedia community think? 1st Half Result: Real Madrid ![](/placeholder.svg) 69% 11 of 16 Tips ![muty](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmuty.png%3F1790576686.png) ![gqual](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fgqual.png%3F1791190613.png) ![fwtwelder](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Ffwtwelder.png%3F1791182013.png) M +7 ![muty](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmuty.png%3F1790576686.png) ![gqual](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fgqual.png%3F1791190613.png) ![fwtwelder](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Ffwtwelder.png%3F1791182013.png) M +7 ![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png) Lost 1.73 Community Consensus is leaning towards 1st Half Result Home at odds of 1.78, with 11 of 16 picks landing on that angle. It makes some sense, right? Real Madrid win the 1st half in 0.48 of their matches, while Villarreal do it in 0.36\. Plus, Madrid’s home record is 3-0-0 in La Liga, and they have not lost in their last 8 home matches. The question is simple: can Villarreal survive the early push, or do Madrid strike first again? ## Consensus 24 Sort by Percentage Only tipsters I follow [10 Oct, 21:00 ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) **Real Madrid - Villarreal** ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4) First Team to Score: No Goal 100% 11 of 11 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 29.00 [10 Oct, 21:00 ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) **Real Madrid - Villarreal** ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4) Next Goal: No Goal 100% 10 of 10 Tips ![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png) Best odds 26.00 [10 Oct, 21:00 ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) **Real Madrid - Villarreal** ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4) Total Goals: Under 0.5 100% 9 of 9 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 29.00 [10 Oct, 21:00 ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) **Real Madrid - Villarreal** ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4) Clean Sheet: Villarreal 100% 7 of 7 Tips ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 13.00 [10 Oct, 21:00 ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) **Real Madrid - Villarreal** ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4) 1st Half Double Chance: Draw or Villarreal 100% 6 of 6 Tips ![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png) Best odds 2.15 Show more ## Community Tips 379 Sort by Latest Only tipsters I follow ![Razor7](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Frazor7.png%3F1728953414.png) Razor7 +2,797.26 1773 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal 2nd Half Draw No Bet: Villarreal Lost 4.30 Support Reply ![Razor7](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Frazor7.png%3F1728953414.png) Razor7 +2,797.26 1773 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal 1st Half Draw No Bet: Villarreal Void 4.30 Support Reply T Timbalero \-77.65 139 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal Full Time Result: Real Madrid Won 1.34 Support Reply ![SchemmaTattico](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fschemmatattico.png%3F1717554473.png) SchemmaTattico \-655.25 1233 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal Half Time / Full Time: Draw / Draw Lost 9.50 Support Reply ![Razor7](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Frazor7.png%3F1728953414.png) Razor7 +2,797.26 1773 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal Asian Handicap: Villarreal 0 Lost 6.17 Support Reply ![SchemmaTattico](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fschemmatattico.png%3F1717554473.png) SchemmaTattico \-655.25 1233 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal Next Goal: No Goal Lost 26.00 Support Reply P Peferga60 +64.80 328 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1.5 Lost 1.85 Support Reply ![Wallie](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fwallie.png%3F1707067661.png) Wallie \-572.67 671 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1.5 Lost 1.85 Support Reply ![SchemmaTattico](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fschemmatattico.png%3F1717554473.png) SchemmaTattico \-655.25 1233 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal Correct Score: 0 : 0 Lost 29.00 Support Reply ![SchemmaTattico](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fschemmatattico.png%3F1717554473.png) SchemmaTattico \-655.25 1233 Tips a month ago ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Real Madrid - Villarreal First Team to Score: No Goal Lost 21.00 Support Reply Show More ![Real Madrid logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/1.png) L W W W L ## Real Madrid form analysis: Can they control the chaos? Real Madrid sit 3rd with 15 points from 7 matches, and their home record is perfect at 3-0-0\. The last five form line is LWWWL, so it is not flawless, but the ceiling is high. Kylian Mbappé is flying with 7 goals in 7 games, and Vinícius Júnior has 3 assists. Games have been open, with 0.88 going Over 2.5 and 0.50 going Over 3.5\. Still, Under 4.5 has landed in 0.62 of their matches, which fits the SmartBet pick. Can they tighten up after conceding in five straight? ![Villarreal logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/40.png) L L L W W ## Villarreal form analysis: Can they stay in the fight? Villarreal are 9th with 8 points from 7 matches, and the recent form reads LLLWW. The bounce-back is nice, yet they keep giving goals away, conceding in nine matches in a row. They have at least scored in five straight games though, which keeps them live for BTTS. Alberto Moleiro is the main creator with 3 goals and 3 assists, while Ayoze Pérez has 2 goals and 2 assists. Villarreal also trend towards goals, with 0.88 Over 2.5 and 0.75 Over 3.5\. The big ask is defending in Madrid. Can they avoid an early setback? [Real Madrid vs Villarreal Stats ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4) ## Real Madrid vs Villarreal odds: Bookies back the hosts The Full Time Result market makes Real Madrid clear favourites at 1.40, with the Draw at 6.00 and Villarreal at 7.70\. That lines up with the strong home H2H record. The Asian Handicap is set at -1.5 and +1.5, both priced 1.97, so the book expects Madrid pressure but not a guaranteed rout. For totals, Over 3.75 is 1.96 and Under 3.75 is 1.98, which screams “tight line”. That sits well with Under 4.5 as a safer goals angle. [Real Madrid vs Villarreal Odds ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4) ## Real Madrid vs Villarreal predicted line-ups: Stars all over the pitch Real Madrid are tipped to line up in a 4-2-3-1 under José Mourinho, with Courtois in goal and a back four of Dumfries, Konaté, Huijsen, and Cucurella. Valverde and Tchouaméni should run the midfield base, then Güler and Bellingham add craft behind Mbappé, with Vinícius offering pace from the left. Villarreal look set for a 4-4-2 under Iñigo Pérez, with Gulácsi behind Freeman, Pau Navarro, Renato Veiga, and Cardona. Moleiro and Ayoze Pérez are the danger men, while Buchanan and Saliba add legs in wide areas. Who wins the midfield battle could decide everything. ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) MAD ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) VIL Real Madrid Mourinho, Jose Villarreal Perez, Inigo ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) **Real Madrid** Mourinho, Jose Perez, Inigo **Villarreal** ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) 4-2-3-1 ![Courtois, Thibaut](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/bd109bbf47ff1e2a6bbeb6241a7c7f96.png) T. Courtois 1 ![Alexander-Arnold, Trent](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/6648d7e4cf4e89ba08dd11e537d4bb5a.png) 52' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) T. Alexander-Arnold 12 ![Konate, Ibrahima](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/097b88fbe6257ff404511a50dabf655a.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) I. Konate 16 ![Rudiger, Antonio](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/58f29d22ee39cfcfdc542d67871f6b2d.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) A. Rudiger 22 ![Carreras, Alvaro](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) 46' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) A. Carreras 18 ![Valverde, Federico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c9915eee5e3a99054facf928418e0583.png) A F. Valverde 8 ![Tchouameni, Aurelien](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/11bb51c0509f0717f154109792ca3e54.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) A. Tchouameni 14 ![Guler, Arda](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) 77' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) A. Guler 15 ![Bellingham, Jude](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/b59d61389d0ddb7161192f0d23e28a29.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) J. Bellingham 5 ![Diomande, Yan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) 86' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) Y. Diomande 25 ![Mbappe, Kylian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/91ed7c4f765438d712890a4269b1c02b.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) K. Mbappe 10 5-3-2 ![Gulacsi, Peter](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/5fda1cc053607d8abb2823f87c7574e6.png) P. Gulacsi 25 ![Freeman, Alex](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/02d579be63273000551f368ce51a590f.png) A. Freeman 3 ![Navarro, Pau](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) P. Navarro 6 ![Foyth, Juan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/bcdf0b64bba3db3768fca13ee31734cb.png) 56' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) J. Foyth 8 ![Veiga, Renato](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/464350910ec830f3352d1477104c1b30.png) ![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) R. Veiga 12 ![Cardona, Sergi](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/59dae1c4af0f56aad14c7b7383a31bc4.png) 67' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) S. Cardona 23 ![Comesana, Santi](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7b120a82508ada45f9d8b7ad6be9d6dc.png) 56' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) S. Comesana 14 ![Gueye, Pape](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7f9fbc1b75cabd87d88b9c3672551c44.png) P. Gueye 18 ![Moleiro, Alberto](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/273a1e94a4836b4b64a484002f082bb9.png) 86' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) A. Moleiro 10 ![Perez, Ayoze](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/28179a01d39b36680e8da56af73779eb.png) A. Perez 22 ![Akhomach, Ilias](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) 67' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg) I. Akhomach 11 Santiago Bernabeu Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Isidro ## Last Matches All Competitions W W W W W ? W W L L W ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) Real Madrid MAD ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) Villarreal VIL Recent form: W W W W W ? All Home Away Recent form: W W L L W ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [24 Nov 21:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3366.png) PSV Eindhoven ? ](/football/real-madrid-psv-eindhoven-2118044 "Real Madrid PSV Eindhoven") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) [21 Nov 21:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3468.png) Celta Vigo ? ](/football/real-madrid-celta-de-vigo-69 "Real Madrid Celta Vigo") [07 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3494.png) Valencia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 0 3 W ](/football/real-madrid-valencia-79 "Valencia Real Madrid") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [04 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/4217.png) AEK Athens ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 2 3 W ](/football/real-madrid-aek-athens-2118028 "AEK Athens Real Madrid") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) [01 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1180.png) Racing Santander ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 0 3 W ](/football/real-madrid-racing-santander-29 "Racing Santander Real Madrid") Recent form: W W W W W ? All Home Away Recent form: W W L L W ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [25 Nov 18:45 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/230.png) Slavia Prague ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ? ](/football/villarreal-slavia-prague-1657 "Slavia Prague Villarreal") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) [22 Nov 14:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3.png) Barcelona ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ? ](/football/barcelona-villarreal-231 "Barcelona Villarreal") [08 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3475.png) Getafe 2 0 W ](/football/villarreal-getafe-1725 "Villarreal Getafe") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg) [03 Nov FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3236.png) PSG 0 6 L ](/football/villarreal-paris-saint-germain-2118027 "Villarreal PSG") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) [30 Oct FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3473.png) Espanyol 0 1 L ](/football/villarreal-espanyol-1724 "Villarreal Espanyol") Show more ## Head-2-Head Last 9 years ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png) MAD 10 Wins 7 Draws 3 Wins 20 played ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png) VIL ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) [10 Oct 2026 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal 1 0 ](/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4 "Real Madrid Villarreal") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) 24 Jan 2026 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid 0 2 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/spain.svg) 04 Oct 2025 FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal 3 1 Show more ## Standings Table Top Scorers Outrights Total Home Away | \# | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | | | | -- | ---- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | -- | -- | - | ----- | ----- | ----------- | -- | | | 2 | ![Real Madrid](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1.png) Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | W W W W W ? | 30 | | | 8 | ![Villarreal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/40.png) Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | L D W L W ? | 15 | Show full standings Show more ## Oddspedia Tipster Competitions ![Monthly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/2.png "Monthly Tipster Competition") ### Monthly Tipster Competition 1000€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 350€ 2 Place 200€ 3 Place 125€ 4 Place 60€ 5 Place 50€ 6 Place 40€ 7 Place 30€ 8 Place 20€ 9 Place 15€ 10 - 20 Place 10€ 980 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/monthly) ![Yearly Tipster Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1.png "Yearly Tipster Competition") ### Yearly Tipster Competition 3000€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 1000€ 2 Place 500€ 3 Place 350€ 4 Place 250€ 5 Place 150€ 6 Place 100€ 7 Place 60€ 8 Place 50€ 9 Place 30€ 10 - 19 Place 20€ 20 - 50 Place 10€ 3017 01 Jul - 30 Jun [ See details ](/tips/competitions/yearly) ![Bundesliga Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1365.png "Bundesliga Competition") ### Bundesliga Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 423 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/bundesliga-competition) ![La Liga Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/1366.png "La Liga Competition") ### La Liga Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 524 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/laliga-competition) ![EPL Competition](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/contests/7.png "EPL Competition") ### EPL Competition 500€ Prize Pool Place Prize 1 Place 200€ 2 Place 100€ 3 Place 50€ 4 Place 30€ 5 - 10 Place 20€ 530 01 Nov - 30 Nov [ See details ](/tips/competitions/premier-league) ## Get a free bet for Real Madrid vs Villarreal You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Real Madrid vs Villarreal fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the [best free bets and sign-up offers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/betting-offers) to get even more out of the bets you place. [![Bwin logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/bwin) 100% Bonus bis zu 100€ [Bwin Review ](/bookmakers/bwin) 100% Bonus bis zu 100€ [Terms & conditions ](#) [Bwin Review ](/bookmakers/bwin) No code required Get offer Teilnahme nur für Neukunden. Einzahlungs- und Bonusbetrag 3x in 90 Tagen einsetzen. 18+ AGBs gelten. [![bet365 logo](/placeholder.svg)](/bookmakers/bet365) Bis zu 100€ in Wett-Credits [bet365 Review ](/bookmakers/bet365) Bis zu 100€ in Wett-Credits [Terms & conditions ](#) [bet365 Review ](/bookmakers/bet365) ODDSPEDIA Get offer 18+ | Erlaubt (Whitelist) | Suchtrisiken | Hilfe unter http://buwei.de Nur für neue Kunden. 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Real Madrid are the likelier winner based on the odds and the match facts. They are 3-0-0 at home this season, have won seven straight home matches, and have dominated the home head-to-head record against Villarreal. ### What is the best bet for Real Madrid and Villarreal? The top model pick is Total Goals: Under 4.5\. The SmartBet model rates it at 0.72 probability with a 5-star confidence grade, and it shows positive expected value compared to the odds-implied 0.68. ### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates outcomes and compares model probability to odds-implied probability. When the model probability is higher, it can flag a bet as positive expected value (+EV). ### Where and when is the match played? Real Madrid vs Villarreal is in La Liga (Round 8). It is played on 2026-10-10 with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Real Madrid are the home team for this fixture. ### Where to watch Real Madrid vs Villarreal? La Liga is often shown on broadcasters like Premier Sports or LaLigaTV in some regions, and it may also appear on services such as ESPN networks or beIN SPORTS depending on your country. Some bookmakers like bet365 may offer a livestream if you have an account and meet their viewing rules. Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest Germany betting offers. Sign up By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes. [**Enjoying Oddspedia?** Add us as a preferred source on Google ![Enjoying Oddspedia? 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Customise Accept All ) ( ( ( ( ( ( ( /( )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) ( )\()) (()/( (()/( (()/( (()/( ( (()/( (()/( )\ ((_)\ /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) )\ /(_)) /(_)) ((((_)( ((_) (_))_ (_))_ (_)) (_)) ((_) (_))_ (_)) )\ _ )\ / _ \ | \ | \ / __| | _ \ | __| | \ |_ _| (_)_\(_) | (_) | | |) | | |) | \__ \ | _/ | _| | |) | | | / _ \ \___/ |___/ |___/ |___/ |_| |___| |___/ |___| /_/ \_\ ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org/","@type":"WebSite","name":"Oddspedia","url":"https://oddspedia.com","inLanguage":{"@type":"Language","name":"en"}} {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football","name":"Football"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/spain","name":"Spain"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/spain/primera-division","name":"La Liga"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4/predictions","name":"Real Madrid - Villarreal Predictions"}}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"SportsEvent","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4/predictions#event","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4/predictions","name":"Real Madrid - Villarreal","description":"Real Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions ❱ 2026-10-10 ❱ Football ❱ La Liga ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips","sport":"Football","startDate":"2026-10-10T19:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-10-10T20:30:00Z","eventAttendanceMode":"https://schema.org/OfflineEventAttendanceMode","homeTeam":{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Real Madrid","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/1.png","sport":"Football","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/real-madrid-1","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/real-madrid-1#team"},"awayTeam":{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Villarreal","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/40.png","sport":"Football","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/villarreal-40","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/teams/villarreal-40#team"},"competitor":[{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Real Madrid"},{"@type":"SportsTeam","name":"Villarreal"}],"location":{"@type":"Place","name":"Santiago Bernabeu","address":{"@type":"PostalAddress","addressLocality":"Madrid","addressCountry":{"@type":"Country","name":"Spain"}},"geo":{"@type":"GeoCoordinates","latitude":"40.453068","longitude":"-3.688354"}},"image":["https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/16x9/real-madrid-villarreal-10147620-tips.png","https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/real-madrid-villarreal-10147620-tips.png"],"organizer":{"@type":"SportsOrganization","name":"La Liga","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/2.png","width":32,"height":32}},"referee":{"@type":"Person","name":"Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Isidro"},"superEvent":{"@type":"SportsEvent","name":"La Liga, 26/27","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/spain/primera-division","location":"Spain","startDate":"2026-08-16T00:00:00Z"}},{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4/predictions#article","url":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4/predictions","headline":"Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction 2026-10-10","description":"Real Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions ❱ 2026-10-10 ❱ Football ❱ La Liga ✔️Free Betting Tips & Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/16x9/real-madrid-villarreal-10147620-tips.png","datePublished":"2026-10-09T03:00:01.000000Z","dateModified":"2026-10-09T03:00:31.345533Z","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Ben Cronin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/05/ben-2-240x240.jpg","width":240,"height":240},"url":"https://oddspedia.com/experts/ben-cronin"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/#organization","name":"Oddspedia","url":"https://oddspedia.com","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-light.svg","width":600,"height":60},"sameAs":["https://oddspedia.com","https://www.facebook.com/oddspediaglobal","https://www.instagram.com/oddspediaglobal","https://x.com/oddspedia","https://www.youtube.com/oddspedia/videos"]},"inLanguage":"en","mainEntityOfPage":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4/predictions","about":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/football/real-madrid-villarreal-4/predictions#event"}},{"@type":"FAQPage","mainEntity":[{"@type":"Question","name":"Who will win between Real Madrid and Villarreal?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Real Madrid are the likelier winner based on the odds and the match facts. They are 3-0-0 at home this season, have won seven straight home matches, and have dominated the home head-to-head record against Villarreal."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the best bet for Real Madrid and Villarreal?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"The top model pick is Total Goals: Under 4.5. The SmartBet model rates it at 0.72 probability with a 5-star confidence grade, and it shows positive expected value compared to the odds-implied 0.68."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"What is Oddspedia SmartBet?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates outcomes and compares model probability to odds-implied probability. When the model probability is higher, it can flag a bet as positive expected value (+EV)."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"Where and when is the match played?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Real Madrid vs Villarreal is in La Liga (Round 8). It is played on 2026-10-10 with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Real Madrid are the home team for this fixture."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"Where to watch Real Madrid vs Villarreal?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"La Liga is often shown on broadcasters like Premier Sports or LaLigaTV in some regions, and it may also appear on services such as ESPN networks or beIN SPORTS depending on your country. Some bookmakers like bet365 may offer a livestream if you have an account and meet their viewing rules."}}]}]} {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the 2nd Half Draw No Bet Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Villarreal","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Razor7"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the 1st Half Draw No Bet Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Villarreal","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Razor7"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Full Time Result Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Real Madrid","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Timbalero"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Half Time / Full Time Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Draw / Draw","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"SchemmaTattico"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Asian Handicap Prediction?","answerCount":3,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"Villarreal 0","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Razor7"},"upvoteCount":0},{"@type":"Answer","text":"Real Madrid -1.5","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Peferga60"},"upvoteCount":0},{"@type":"Answer","text":"Real Madrid -1.5","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Wallie"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Next Goal Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"No Goal","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"SchemmaTattico"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the Correct Score Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"0 : 0","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"SchemmaTattico"},"upvoteCount":0}]}},{"@type":"QAPage","mainEntity":{"@type":"Question","name":"What is the First Team to Score Prediction?","answerCount":1,"suggestedAnswer":[{"@type":"Answer","text":"No Goal","author":{"@type":"Person","name":"SchemmaTattico"},"upvoteCount":0}]}}]} ```