---
description: Uruguay vs Spain Predictions ❱ 27.06.2026 ❱ Football ❱ World Cup ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: Uruguay vs Spain Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 27.06.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/uruguay-spain-9798316-tips.png
---

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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/icons/red-card.svg) 

Uruguay

Finished 

0 \- 1 

(HT 0 - 1) 

27th Jun 26, 02:00 

![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

Spain

42' 

A. Baena 

Show Momentum 

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FAQ 

# Uruguay vs Spain Prediction: Can La Roja seal Round 3?

Last updated 4 months ago **by Ben Cronin** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Total Goals: Under 3.5 ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Won 

1.31 

The Uruguay vs. Spain matchup looks promising for a bet on Total Goals: Under 3.5\. Both teams have historically engaged in low-scoring affairs, with their past head-to-head records revealing a consistent pattern of matches with fewer than four goals. Uruguay's struggles in recent performances and their inability to secure victories, combined with Spain's solid, unbeaten streak, hint at a disciplined defensive display from both sides. Even with Spain's superior recent form, they have not averaged over three goals in combined matchups against Uruguay. The combination of these trends suggests the under 3.5 goals option is a solid choice, backed by reliable historical and statistical indicators.

Oddspedia Model Probability 75.4%

Betting Odds Probability @1.38 72.46%

4.06% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Uruguay vs Spain. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Uruguay vs Spain is played on 2026-06-27 in the World Cup (Round 3), with kick-off at 00:00 UTC. Our computer model leans to Total Goals: Under 3.5, and it does so with top confidence at 5/5\. The SmartBet win rate on this line is 75.40%, while the odds imply 72.46%, so there is a +4.06% positive expected value. Spain look tighter at the back, yet Uruguay still create plenty of shots. Will it be controlled rather than chaotic? That points to a match staying below four goals.

## Prematch Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/14.png)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

URU 

20% Home 

24% Draw 

56% Away 

![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/8.png)

![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

ESP 

SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

1.3% <0.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 3.1% 5.1% 4.3% 2.5% 6.9% 11.3% 9.5% 5.4% 7.8% 12.6% 10.4% 5.9% 9.4% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 0-1 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

7.00 

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Spain ![](/placeholder.svg)

66% 

61 of 93 Tips 

![PapaPop](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fpapapop.png%3F1768961402.png)

P 

K 

![XXVIII](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fxxviii.png%3F1691617791.png)

+57 

![PapaPop](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fpapapop.png%3F1768961402.png)

P 

K 

![XXVIII](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fxxviii.png%3F1691617791.png)

+57 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Won 

1.75 

The community is pretty clear here. The top pick is Full Time Result: Spain at 1.75, with 61 of 93 users backing it. Why the love for La Roja? Spain are unbeaten in 12 matches, and they have also won 3 of the last 5 meetings with Uruguay, with 2 draws. Uruguay, meanwhile, have not won in their last five games, so it is easy to see why punters are leaning away from them. But do you worry about a cagey draw in a World Cup group spot? That is the risk.

## Consensus 

28 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

[27 Jun, 02:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) **Uruguay - Spain** ](/football/spain-uruguay-552)

Correct Score: 0 : 0 

100% 

8 of 8 Tips 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Best odds 

11.00 

[27 Jun, 02:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) **Uruguay - Spain** ](/football/spain-uruguay-552)

Half Time / Full Time: Spain / Draw 

100% 

8 of 8 Tips 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Best odds 

17.00 

[27 Jun, 02:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) **Uruguay - Spain** ](/football/spain-uruguay-552)

Correct Score: 1 : 3 

100% 

7 of 7 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

15.00 

[27 Jun, 02:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) **Uruguay - Spain** ](/football/spain-uruguay-552)

Half Time / Full Time: Draw / Spain 

100% 

7 of 7 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

4.50 

[27 Jun, 02:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) **Uruguay - Spain** ](/football/spain-uruguay-552)

European Handicap: Tie Uruguay +1 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

3.60 

Show more 

## Community Tips 

378 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

K 

Kallidus 

\-328.44 

804 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Full Time Result: Spain

Won 

1.71 

 Support 

 Reply 

![nwaj](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fnwaj.png%3F1790389868.png)

nwaj 

\-5.25 

125 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Full Time Result: Uruguay

Lost 

6.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

A 

Arsernal085 

0.00 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Full Time Result: Draw

Lost 

3.60 

 Support 

 Reply 

A 

Arsernal085 

0.00 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

First Team to Score: No Goal

Lost 

9.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

A 

Arsernal085 

0.00 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Correct Score: 0 : 0

Lost 

11.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

![monitex](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fmonitex.png%3F1717772574.png)

monitex 

+1.25 

124 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Full Time Result: Spain

Won 

1.71 

 Support 

 Reply 

S 

Strome 

0.00 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Double Chance: Uruguay or Spain

Won 

1.27 

 Support 

 Reply 

M 

Msoles 

+2.14 

22 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Correct Score: 0 : 0

Lost 

9.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

M 

Msoles 

+2.14 

22 Tips 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Full Time Result: Draw

Lost 

3.60 

 Support 

 Reply 

S 

Strome 

0.00 

4 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Uruguay - Spain

Correct Score: 2 : 1

Lost 

17.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

![Uruguay logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/14.png)

L D D D D 

## Uruguay Form Analysis: Can Bielsa find a win?

Uruguay come in on a rough run of LDDDD, so momentum is not on their side. Still, the numbers show they can play: 66% average possession, 21.5 shots per match, and 6 on target. They also score 1.5 goals per game, but they concede 1.5 too, which keeps matches on a knife edge. Maxi Araújo is flying early with 2 goals and 1 assist in 2 appearances, while Canobbio has 1\. The issue is game control at key moments. Can they stay solid when Spain raise the tempo?

![Spain logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/8.png)

D D W D W 

## Spain Form Analysis: Unbeaten streak looks serious

Spain’s recent form reads DDWDW, and the bigger picture is even better with a 12-match unbeaten streak. They average 70% possession, 22 shots, and a huge 8.5 shots on target per match, which screams pressure in the final third. They score 2.0 goals per game and concede 0.0, so clean-sheet potential is real. Oyarzabal has 1 goal and 1 assist so far, while Yamal is still looking for his first goal. Spain also tend to start quickly, winning 66% of first halves. Can Uruguay stop that early wave?

[Uruguay vs Spain Stats ](/football/spain-uruguay-552)

## Uruguay vs Spain Odds: Spain strong favourites

The Full Time Result odds make Spain the clear pick at 1.75, with Uruguay out at 6.50 and the Draw at 3.80\. That lines up with Spain’s unbeaten run and better head-to-head. The Asian Handicap is tight, though: Spain -0.75 is 1.91, while Uruguay +0.75 is 2.00, so books still price in some resistance. For totals, the market expects a close line, with Over 2.25 at 1.97 and Under 2.25 at 1.94\. Are we heading for a 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1 type game?

[Uruguay vs Spain Odds ](/football/spain-uruguay-552)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

 URU 

![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

 ESP 

Uruguay Bielsa, Marcelo

Spain De La Fuente, Luis

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

**Uruguay** Bielsa, Marcelo

De La Fuente, Luis **Spain** 

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

4-1-2-3 

![Muslera, Fernando](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/1c2f72ff191fe0ce9430fc8a892ba784.png)

46' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

F. Muslera

23 

![Varela, Guillermo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/cd561b28014d89a04a8e8a950af73629.png)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

G. Varela

13 

![Caceres, Sebastian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/429d1c872ff0481eae124b7b1153cb0f.png)

S. Caceres

3 

![Olivera, Mathias](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7a3cbe81c990a3397ba70dd7f049ba98.png)

M. Olivera

16 

![Sanabria, Juan Manuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/8deb539805428653c88136e5a819790e.png)

70' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

J. Sanabria

25 

![Ugarte, Manuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/fb7b4db2a58245fe2e3f19f5b452a4ed.png)

45' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

M. Ugarte

5 

![Bentancur, Rodrigo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e0724628c330259ca5a924af177ad091.png)

R. Bentancur

6 

![Valverde, Federico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c9915eee5e3a99054facf928418e0583.png)

57' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

F. Valverde

8 

![Canobbio, Agustin](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3639b1f10e278c2f5be3476500a05636.png)

![Red Card](/placeholder.svg)

A. Canobbio

14 

![Nunez, Darwin](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/b38641f3225b7fffa2befabe7a8a5152.png)

D. Nunez

9 

![Araujo, Maxi](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/37c4f71eb5dcee3b712db8ad10105b28.png)

M. Araujo

20 

4-1-2-3 

![Simon, Unai](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/afb5969a8a9da24e7a0f1aae8fd8ada9.png)

U. Simon

23 

![Llorente, Marcos](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/ba162aef45cc97008583b8b13b519975.png)

A

M. Llorente

14 

![Cubarsi, Pau](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/14c0d2e6be165d1caff141d279ca26da.png)

P. Cubarsi

5 

![Laporte, Aymeric](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/03d717e302fa109bfb7655b43cd448ea.png)

A. Laporte

14 

![Cucurella, Marc](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f4f80fc8a8d19d9cd0bb1519d0ccc2b6.png)

M. Cucurella

22 

![Rodri](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/918ae91a6fa6ff91e3ffbdb2abe2c47d.png)

Rodri

16 

![Merino, Mikel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/8090e543d09738dc823bddd4445424af.png)

60' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

M. Merino

6 

![Pedri](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/5b5685692de7ecd5d3a3071cd5a63452.png)

60' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

Pedri

20 

![Yamal, Lamine](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

76' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

L. Yamal

19 

![Oyarzabal, Mikel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3e8c949c16de68a9444927487f675935.png)

76' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

M. Oyarzabal

21 

![Baena, Alex](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/1cd4ba22a887bdbf049668bc632d5daa.png)

66' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

A. Baena

15 

Estadio Akron 

Elfath, Ismail 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

D L L W W ? 

W W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

Uruguay URU 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

Spain ESP 

Recent form: 

D L L W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

W W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[18 Nov 00:30  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7596.png) Dominican Republic ? ](/football/uruguay-dominican-republic-1561622 "Uruguay Dominican Republic") 

[14 Nov 00:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay ? ](/football/uruguay-argentina-745 "Argentina Uruguay") 

[06 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7725.png) India ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay 1 6 W ](/football/uruguay-india-2159234 "India Uruguay") 

[28 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/35.png) South Korea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay 1 4 W ](/football/uruguay-south-korea-749 "South Korea Uruguay") 

[24 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/19.png) Japan ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay 3 1 L ](/football/uruguay-japan-742 "Japan Uruguay") 

Recent form: 

D L L W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

W W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg)

[15 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) Spain ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/16.png) England ? ](/football/spain-england-554 "Spain England") 

[12 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1482.png) Czech Republic ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) Spain ? ](/football/spain-czech-republic-584 "Czech Republic Spain") 

[06 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/5.png) Croatia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) Spain 1 2 W ](/football/croatia-spain-398 "Croatia Spain") 

03 Oct   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Spain 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1482.png)

Czech Republic 

3 

1 

W 

29 Sep   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png)

Spain 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/5.png)

Croatia 

4 

1 

W 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

URU 

0

Wins 

1

Win 

1 played 

![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

![Spain](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/8.png)

ESP 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[27 Jun 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8.png) Spain 0 1 ](/football/spain-uruguay-552 "Uruguay Spain")

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## Get a free bet for Uruguay vs Spain

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## FAQ Uruguay vs Spain 

### Who will win between Uruguay and Spain? 

Spain are favoured by the market at 1.75 for the Full Time Result, and the match facts back that up with Spain unbeaten in 12 matches. Uruguay are winless in five, so Spain look the safer side.

### What is the best bet for Uruguay and Spain? 

The best data-led angle is Total Goals: Under 3.5\. The SmartBet model rates it 5/5, with a 75.40% probability versus 72.46% implied by odds, giving +4.06% expected value.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction that simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. You can then compare that probability to the odds to spot value bets, like +EV picks.

### Where and when is the match played? 

Uruguay vs Spain takes place in the World Cup (Round 3) on 2026-06-27\. Kick-off is set for 00:00 UTC. It is a key group-stage spot, so expect a focused game plan.

### Where to watch Uruguay vs Spain? 

World Cup matches are usually shown by major broadcasters such as BBC/ITV in the UK, and often via official FIFA broadcast partners in each country. Some bookmakers like bet365 may also offer livestreaming, depending on your location and rules.

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