---
description: Sweden vs Tunisia Predictions ❱ 15.06.2026 ❱ Football ❱ World Cup ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 15.06.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/sweden-tunisia-10015859-tips.png
---

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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

Sweden

Finished 

5 \- 1 

(HT 2 - 1) 

15th Jun 26, 04:00 

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

Tunisia

7' 

Y. Ayari 

30' 

A. Isak 

59' 

V. Gyokeres 

84' 

M. Svanberg 

90+6' 

Y. Ayari 

43' 

O. Rekik 

Show Momentum 

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FAQ 

# Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction: Can Sweden start fast in the World Cup?

Last updated 5 months ago **by Ben Cronin** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Double Chance: Draw or Tunisia ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Lost 

1.95 

While Sweden's recent streak of scoring in six consecutive matches might suggest offensive prowess, their vulnerability in defense is showing as they've conceded in their last 11 outings. Tunisia's recent goalless performances paint a less favorable attacking picture, yet they managed a victory in their last encounter against Sweden. Tunisia's propensity to perform solidly in World Cup scenarios, coupled with Sweden's tendency to falter when trailing, adds weight to the Double Chance: X2 prediction. This is corroborated by superior performances from Tunisia in crucial matches, suggesting resilience even against the odds. Given the game dynamics and head-to-head results, Tunisia stands a significant chance of either winning or drawing against Sweden.

Oddspedia Model Probability 54.25%

Betting Odds Probability @1.94 51.55%

5.24% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Sweden vs Tunisia. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Sweden vs Tunisia is played on 2026-06-15 in the World Cup, Round 1, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. The Oddspedia computer model leans to Double Chance: X2, and it does so with full 5-star confidence. The model price says Tunisia or Draw lands 54.25%, while the odds imply 51.55%, so there is a 5.24% positive expected value. Sweden have scored in six straight games, but they have also conceded in 11 in a row. Can Tunisia make that count?

## Prematch Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/49.png)

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

SWE 

45% Home 

25% Draw 

29% Away 

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/56.png)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

TUN 

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

6.9% 0.1% 4.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 7.7% 9.2% 5.5% 2.2% 10.0% 11.9% 7.1% 2.8% 6.5% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 3.1% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 1-1 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

6.50 

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Sweden ![](/placeholder.svg)

69% 

108 of 156 Tips 

P 

![edgejunior](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fedgejunior.png%3F1755010076.png)

![Eagles](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Feagles.png%3F1749741904.png)

K 

+104 

P 

![edgejunior](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fedgejunior.png%3F1755010076.png)

![Eagles](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Feagles.png%3F1749741904.png)

K 

+104 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Won 

2.00 

The community is pretty clear here. The top pick is Full Time Result: Sweden at 2.02, backed by 108 of 156 users. That tells you most punters expect Sweden to control this one, likely helped by their better recent form (DWWLD vs DWDLL). Still, the match facts add a warning label. Sweden have conceded in 11 straight matches, so a clean sheet feels unlikely. And Tunisia have a better World Cup performance historically. Do you trust the crowd, or do you follow the safer Double Chance angle?

## Consensus 

35 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

[15 Jun, 04:00 ![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) **Sweden - Tunisia** ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943)

Correct Score: 1 : 1 

100% 

12 of 12 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

6.50 

[15 Jun, 04:00 ![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) **Sweden - Tunisia** ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943)

Correct Score: 1 : 0 

100% 

8 of 8 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

6.50 

[15 Jun, 04:00 ![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) **Sweden - Tunisia** ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943)

Correct Score: 2 : 1 

100% 

7 of 7 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

9.50 

[15 Jun, 04:00 ![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) **Sweden - Tunisia** ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943)

Total Goals: Over 1.5 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Best odds 

1.40 

[15 Jun, 04:00 ![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) ![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) **Sweden - Tunisia** ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943)

Half Time / Full Time: Sweden / Draw 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Best odds 

16.00 

Show more 

## Community Tips 

459 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

![Dante7](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fdante7.png%3F1759265203.png)

Dante7 

\-474.24 

1046 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

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Sweden - Tunisia

Total Goals: Under 0.5

Lost 

8.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

![SchemmaTattico](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fschemmatattico.png%3F1717554473.png)

SchemmaTattico 

\-655.25 

1233 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

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Sweden - Tunisia

Correct Score: 4 : 4

Lost 

151.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

g 

gridlock 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

Full Time Result: Sweden

Won 

1.90 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Citor13 

\-478.45 

236 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

Total Corners: Over 11

Lost 

3.10 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Citor13 

\-478.45 

236 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

To Win From Behind: Sweden

Lost 

13.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Dutchexpert](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fdutchexpert.png%3F1766749062.png)

Dutchexpert 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

Full Time Result: Sweden

Won 

1.90 

 Support 

 Reply 

![SevenPicks](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fsevenpicks.png%3F1781292892.png)

SevenPicks 

\-25.90 

58 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

Total Goals: Over 1.5

Won 

1.40 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Cabrera 

\-517.84 

1562 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

Full Time Result: Sweden

Won 

1.87 

 Support 

 Reply 

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BTC 

\-13.60 

11 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

Total Goals: Over 1.75

Won 

1.47 

 Support 

 Reply 

S 

StubbornCool 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Sweden - Tunisia

Full Time Result: Draw

Lost 

3.40 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

![Sweden logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/49.png)

D W W L D 

## Sweden Form Analysis: Goals in, goals out

Sweden come in with DWWLD, which is the better run compared to Tunisia. They have scored at least one goal in six consecutive matches, so the attack is doing its job. The problem is the back line, as Sweden have conceded in 11 straight games, which keeps opponents alive. There is no recent head-to-head data to lean on, but match facts say Sweden are strong when leading 1-0 at home, winning 100% of those games. Can they grab the first goal and calm things down?

![Tunisia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/56.png)

D W D L L 

## Tunisia Form Analysis: Can they end the drought?

Tunisia’s last five reads DWDLL, and the key issue is scoring. They have failed to score in their last three matches, which is a tough look going into a World Cup opener. Still, they show some early-game bite, winning 45% of halftimes, better than Sweden’s 30%. Match facts also say Tunisia have the stronger World Cup performance historically, and they won the last meeting by one goal. Away scoring averages are listed at 1.29 goals, so can they finally turn chances into a finish?

[Sweden vs Tunisia Stats ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943)

## Sweden vs Tunisia Odds - Sweden slight favourites

Bookmakers edge Sweden at 2.02, with the Draw at 3.55 and Tunisia at 4.40\. That’s respect for Sweden, but not a blowout. The Asian Handicap line is tight too, with Sweden -0.5 at 1.94 and Tunisia +0.5 at 1.93, basically a coin flip on a one-goal margin. Goals pricing is also balanced. Over 2.25 is 1.91 and Under 2.25 is 1.99, hinting at around two goals being the sweet spot.

[Sweden vs Tunisia Odds ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943)

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

 SWE 

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

 TUN 

Sweden Potter, Graham

Tunisia Lamouchi, Sabri

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

**Sweden** Potter, Graham

Lamouchi, Sabri **Tunisia** 

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

3-4-1-2 

![Nordfeldt, Kristoffer](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/914c38f344f129c5f96eec6d72fa2fa6.png)

K. Nordfeldt

15 

![Lagerbielke, Gustaf](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/2f9ea942870dae91c54cc29325a0330f.png)

G. Lagerbielke

14 

![Hien, Isak](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/2aa5f79252e598a48fcdef11d4f9716d.png)

I. Hien

4 

![Lindelof, Victor](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f4fd141c7b33ad7073399bf45b3f340d.png)

V. Lindelof

3 

![Bernhardsson, Alexander](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/621c5c543ea4949bdf561cac2c852c1f.png)

90' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A. Bernhardsson

21 

![Ayari, Yasin](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/44aa512ff6f743abe7f622e16e1b5122.png)

x2 

Y. Ayari

26 

![Karlstrom, Jesper](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/8cc64a89061bb9f56154c06fe6994a45.png)

84' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

J. Karlstrom

16 

![Gudmundsson, Gabriel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/098a87816a6023aa1081011b499e1210.png)

66' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

G. Gudmundsson

5 

![Nygren, Benjamin](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/102fa66b9138b3a7d65683afe9cd2fba.png)

65' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

B. Nygren

8 

![Isak, Alexander](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/dd5fb1d35d7d87510b73e4633b0babeb.png)

90' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A

x2 

A. Isak

9 

![Gyokeres, Viktor](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/a506538b7e15bf14dca60b867d30e340.png)

A

V. Gyokeres

17 

4-2-3-1 

![Chamakh, Mouhib](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

M. Chamakh

1 

![Valery, Yan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/0dd54e1fd1bd1c69f3759877de66d419.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

Y. Valery

20 

![Talbi, Montassar](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/96079332194edd65052abef51f9fe1bb.png)

M. Talbi

3 

![Rekik, Omar](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3c2f042b781432c96661e8fb49d04703.png)

O. Rekik

4 

![Ben Hmida, Mohamed Amine](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

M. Ben Hmida

21 

![Khedira, Rani](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/efb69cf807a10c3b7bc17415da1ee9cf.png)

83' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

R. Khedira

13 

![Skhiri, Ellyes](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3bd70cbdb91c6d44c9de873a1034a196.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

E. Skhiri

17 

![Slimane, Anis](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

84' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A. Slimane

25 

![Mejbri, Hannibal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

A

H. Mejbri

10 

![Abdi, Ali](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/323a8e20f8c14e81025404e4b6bdfaaf.png)

A. Abdi

2 

![Saad, Elias](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/169d89ad0ac84503ea4b59172078941e.png)

72' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

E. Saad

8 

Estadio BBVA 

Falcon Perez, Yael 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

L W W D W ? 

L L D D L ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

Sweden SWE 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

Tunisia TUN 

Recent form: 

L W W D W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L L D D L ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg)

[17 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7463.png) Poland ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) Sweden ? ](/football/sweden-poland-2062 "Poland Sweden") 

[14 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) Sweden ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/25.png) Bosnia-Herzegovina ? ](/football/bosnia-herzegovina-sweden-1856682 "Sweden Bosnia-Herzegovina") 

[05 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1041.png) Romania ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) Sweden 0 1 W ](/football/sweden-romania-2051 "Romania Sweden") 

02 Oct   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/25.png)

Bosnia-Herzegovina 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

Sweden 

1 

1 

D 

28 Sep   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png)

Sweden 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7463.png)

Poland 

3 

1 

W 

Recent form: 

L W W D W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L L D D L ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/africa.svg)

24 Mar 14:00   

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7799.png)

Uganda 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Tunisia 

? 

17 Nov 17:00   

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7776.png)

Libya 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Tunisia 

? 

[13 Nov   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) Tunisia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7776.png) Libya 0 2 L ](/football/tunisia-libya-2258 "Tunisia Libya") 

28 Sep   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png)

Tunisia 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7753.png)

Botswana 

2 

2 

D 

[24 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) Tunisia ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7799.png) Uganda 1 1 D ](/football/tunisia-uganda-2266 "Tunisia Uganda") 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

![Sweden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/49.png)

SWE 

1

Win 

0

Wins 

1 played 

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

![Tunisia](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/56.png)

TUN 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[15 Jun 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/49.png) Sweden ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56.png) Tunisia 5 1 ](/football/sweden-tunisia-1869943 "Sweden Tunisia")

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## FAQ Sweden vs Tunisia 

### Who will win between Sweden and Tunisia? 

Sweden are the bookmakers’ favourites at 2.02, but the model prefers safety with Double Chance: X2\. Sweden’s form is stronger, yet they have conceded in 11 straight matches. That keeps Tunisia and the draw very live.

### What is the best bet for Sweden and Tunisia? 

The SmartBet model’s top pick is Double Chance: X2, with 54.25% probability and 5.24% positive expected value versus the odds. It fits the trends too, as Sweden concede often and Tunisia have shown they can grind games out.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and compares its probability to the implied probability from the odds. When the model probability is higher, it can flag a value bet, like this +EV X2.

### Where and when is the match played? 

Sweden vs Tunisia takes place in the World Cup, Round 1, on 2026-06-15\. The starting time is 02:00 UTC. It is an early tournament game, so nerves and game management can matter a lot.

### Where to watch Sweden vs Tunisia? 

World Cup matches are usually shown on major national broadcasters and official tournament rightsholders in each country. You can also check streaming options with licensed platforms. Some bookmakers like bet365 may offer a live stream if you have a funded account.

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    )    (       (       (      (            (       (
 ( /(    )\ )    )\ )    )\ )   )\ )         )\ )    )\ )     (
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((_)\    /(_))   /(_))   /(_))  /(_))  )\    /(_))   /(_)) ((((_)(
  ((_)  (_))_   (_))_   (_))   (_))   ((_)  (_))_   (_))    )\ _ )\
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