---
description: Uruguay vs Cape Verde Predictions ❱ 21.06.2026 ❱ Football ❱ World Cup ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: Uruguay vs Cape Verde Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 21.06.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/uruguay-cape-verde-9798315-tips.png
---

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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

Uruguay

Finished 

2 \- 2 

(HT 2 - 1) 

22nd Jun 26, 00:00 

![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

Cape Verde

44' 

M. Araujo 

45+6' 

A. Canobbio 

21' 

K. Pina 

61' 

H. Varela 

Show Momentum 

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FAQ 

# Uruguay vs Cape Verde Prediction: Can Uruguay stop the slide in the World Cup?

Last updated 5 months ago **by Ben Cronin** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Double Chance: Draw or Cape Verde ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Won 

3.10 

Considering the pre-game statistics and recent form, a "Double Chance: X2" bet on Cape Verde appears promising. Uruguay is struggling to secure victories, with only one win in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Cape Verde is gaining momentum, having notched a win and a draw in their recent outings. While historical head-to-head stats show a lack of goal action between these teams, Cape Verde's current form demonstrates resilience that can't be ignored. The blend of Cape Verde's improving performance and Uruguay's inconsistent results provides a strategic opportunity for bettors looking to back the underdog with a safety net.

Oddspedia Model Probability 53.3%

Betting Odds Probability @2.90 34.48%

54.58% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Uruguay vs Cape Verde. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Uruguay vs Cape Verde is played on 2026-06-21 in the World Cup (Round 2), with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. The computer model is leaning to Double Chance: X2, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. That is bold, right? Still, the numbers back the idea: the model gives X2 a 53.30% chance, while the odds price it at just 34.48%. That gap creates a tasty +EV of 54.58%. Uruguay have not won in four, and Cape Verde are on a strong run, so the upset-or-draw angle feels live.

## Prematch Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/14.png)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

URU 

52% Home 

27% Draw 

21% Away 

![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/7756.png)

![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

CPV 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

6.0% <0.1% 5.3% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 10.9% 8.8% 3.7% 1.1% 15.0% 12.1% 5.0% 1.4% 10.3% 8.3% 3.4% 1.0% 1.1% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 1-0 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

5.50 

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Uruguay ![](/placeholder.svg)

76% 

59 of 78 Tips 

![Eagles](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Feagles.png%3F1749741904.png)

P 

K 

![silley](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fsilley.png%3F1723884935.png)

+55 

![Eagles](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Feagles.png%3F1749741904.png)

P 

K 

![silley](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fsilley.png%3F1723884935.png)

+55 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Lost 

1.45 

The community is fairly clear here. The top pick is Full Time Result: Uruguay at 1.52, with 59 of 78 users backing it. That tells you most punters trust the bigger name and expect a response after Uruguay’s winless run. But is that price a bit tight? Cape Verde have not lost in four and have kept three straight clean sheets, so the crowd may be paying for reputation. If you follow the consensus, you are basically betting Uruguay’s control and shot volume finally turns into a clean win.

## Consensus 

32 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

[22 Jun, 00:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) **Uruguay - Cape Verde** ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577)

Correct Score: 2 : 0 

100% 

8 of 8 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

6.00 

[22 Jun, 00:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) **Uruguay - Cape Verde** ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577)

Half Time / Full Time: Uruguay / Draw 

100% 

7 of 7 Tips 

![Betway](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betway.png)

Best odds 

19.00 

[22 Jun, 00:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) **Uruguay - Cape Verde** ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577)

To Win to Nil: Uruguay 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

1.91 

[22 Jun, 00:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) **Uruguay - Cape Verde** ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577)

Total Goals: Under 0.5 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Best odds 

11.00 

[22 Jun, 00:00 ![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) ![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) **Uruguay - Cape Verde** ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577)

Correct Score: 0 : 0 

100% 

5 of 5 Tips 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Best odds 

11.00 

Show more 

## Community Tips 

388 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

Lc 

Le continent 

\-77.84 

32 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

Full Time Result: Uruguay

Lost 

1.40 

 Support 

 Reply 

AP 

Athletico PR 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

European Handicap: Tie Uruguay -2

Lost 

4.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

T 

Temple171 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

European Handicap: Tie Uruguay -1

Lost 

3.20 

 Support 

 Reply 

s 

sunil150187 

+6.09 

10 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

Total Goals: Under 2.25

Lost 

2.07 

 Support 

 Reply 

K 

Kallidus 

\-303.04 

811 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

To Win to Nil: Uruguay

Lost 

2.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

AP 

Athletico PR 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

Correct Score: 2 : 0

Lost 

5.25 

 Support 

 Reply 

T 

Temple171 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

Correct Score: 1 : 0

Lost 

5.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

M 

Msoles 

+2.14 

22 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

Total Corners: Over 9

Won 

1.78 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Ystan](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fystan.png%3F1745090095.png)

Ystan 

\-368.07 

833 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

Total Corners: Over 9

Won 

1.78 

 Support 

 Reply 

B 

Bigajckly 

+104.28 

185 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Uruguay - Cape Verde

Correct Score: 2 : 0

Lost 

5.25 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

![Uruguay logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/14.png)

D L D D D 

## Uruguay form analysis: Can Bielsa spark a win?

Uruguay come into this one with a DLDDD run, so confidence is not exactly flying. The stats do show dominance though. They average 65% possession, 27 shots, and 10 on target per match, yet only 1 goal scored, which hints at wasteful finishing. They also concede 1 per match, so mistakes can punish them. Over 2.5 goals has landed 0% of the time in the sample, so fireworks are not guaranteed. Maxi Araújo leads the scoring with 1 goal, and Uruguay need more support around him.

![Cape Verde logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/7756.png)

L D W W D 

## Cape Verde form analysis: Underdogs with real bite

Cape Verde’s recent form reads LDWWD, and it feels stronger than it looks on paper. They are unbeaten in four, on a three-match winning streak, and have three clean sheets in a row. Their per-match numbers are modest, with 38% possession and only 6 shots, but they look organised and happy to play without the ball. They have also scored at least once in five straight matches, which is huge for an underdog. If they nick the first goal, the match facts say they protect leads well away from home.

[Uruguay vs Cape Verde Stats ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577)

## Uruguay vs Cape Verde odds: Favourites, but not a free win

Bookmakers price Uruguay to win at 1.52, with the Draw at 4.40 and Cape Verde at 9.50, so the market expects a home win. The Asian Handicap line of Uruguay -1.25 at 2.10 suggests a two-goal win is not seen as easy, while Cape Verde +1.25 at 1.83 is the safer cover. Goals look balanced too: Over 2.25 is 2.05 and Under 2.25 is 1.98, basically saying a 2-goal or 3-goal game is right on the edge.

[Uruguay vs Cape Verde Odds ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

 URU 

![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

 CPV 

Uruguay Bielsa, Marcelo

Cape Verde Bubista

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

**Uruguay** Bielsa, Marcelo

Bubista **Cape Verde** 

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

4-2-3-1 

![Muslera, Fernando](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/1c2f72ff191fe0ce9430fc8a892ba784.png)

F. Muslera

23 

![Varela, Guillermo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/cd561b28014d89a04a8e8a950af73629.png)

G. Varela

13 

![Caceres, Sebastian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/429d1c872ff0481eae124b7b1153cb0f.png)

S. Caceres

3 

![Olivera, Mathias](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7a3cbe81c990a3397ba70dd7f049ba98.png)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

M. Olivera

16 

![Sanabria, Juan Manuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/8deb539805428653c88136e5a819790e.png)

J. Sanabria

25 

![Ugarte, Manuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/fb7b4db2a58245fe2e3f19f5b452a4ed.png)

70' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

M. Ugarte

5 

![Bentancur, Rodrigo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e0724628c330259ca5a924af177ad091.png)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

R. Bentancur

6 

![Canobbio, Agustin](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3639b1f10e278c2f5be3476500a05636.png)

A. Canobbio

14 

![Valverde, Federico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c9915eee5e3a99054facf928418e0583.png)

F. Valverde

8 

![Araujo, Maxi](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/37c4f71eb5dcee3b712db8ad10105b28.png)

82' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A

M. Araujo

20 

![Vinas, Federico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/1f5fa8fe4f2197f1824f1599be609b37.png)

70' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

F. Vinas

21 

4-1-4-1 

![Vozinha](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

Vozinha

1 

![Moreira, Steven](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/cffb3359168c39ba2ca9dcc789383555.png)

S. Moreira

22 

![Lopes, Pico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e8eeefd80e5ecb909f72ca5d0d8e38cc.png)

P. Lopes

4 

![Borges, Diney](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

D. Borges

3 

![Lopes Cabral, Sidny](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

S. Lopes Cabral

13 

![Pina, Kevin](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

71' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

K. Pina

6 

![Arcanjo, Telmo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

46' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

T. Arcanjo

18 

![Mendes, Ryan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

R. Mendes

20 

![Monteiro, Jamiro](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/d075740ec6019644a6f6e3e76b153f97.png)

80' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

J. Monteiro

10 

![Rodrigues, Garry](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3aebffddca8cfe1d96541268ed689530.png)

59' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

G. Rodrigues

11 

![Benchimol, Gilson](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

59' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

G. Benchimol

9 

Hard Rock Stadium 

Eskas, Espen Andreas 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

D L L W W ? 

D D L L L ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

Uruguay URU 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

Cape Verde CPV 

Recent form: 

D L L W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D D L L L ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[18 Nov 00:30  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7596.png) Dominican Republic ? ](/football/uruguay-dominican-republic-1561622 "Uruguay Dominican Republic") 

[14 Nov 00:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay ? ](/football/uruguay-argentina-745 "Argentina Uruguay") 

[06 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7725.png) India ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay 1 6 W ](/football/uruguay-india-2159234 "India Uruguay") 

[28 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/35.png) South Korea ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay 1 4 W ](/football/uruguay-south-korea-749 "South Korea Uruguay") 

[24 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/19.png) Japan ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay 3 1 L ](/football/uruguay-japan-742 "Japan Uruguay") 

Recent form: 

D L L W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D D L L L ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/africa.svg)

17 Nov 20:00   

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/20505.png)

Liberia 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png)

Cape Verde 

? 

[13 Nov 17:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) Cape Verde ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/20505.png) Liberia ? ](/football/cape-verde-liberia-829829 "Cape Verde Liberia") 

[29 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) Cape Verde ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7788.png) Rwanda 1 2 L ](/football/cape-verde-rwanda-155326 "Cape Verde Rwanda") 

[25 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/1039.png) Mali ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) Cape Verde 3 1 L ](/football/mali-cape-verde-2129152 "Mali Cape Verde") 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[04 Jul   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/24.png) Argentina ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) Cape Verde 3 2 L ](/football/argentina-cape-verde-1979572 "Argentina Cape Verde") 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

![Uruguay](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/14.png)

URU 

0

Wins 

1

Draw 

0

Wins 

1 played 

![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

![Cape Verde](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/7756.png)

CPV 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[22 Jun 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/14.png) Uruguay ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7756.png) Cape Verde 2 2 ](/football/uruguay-cape-verde-1654577 "Uruguay Cape Verde")

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01 Nov - 30 Nov 

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## Get a free bet for Uruguay vs Cape Verde

You can add to the excitement of the upcoming Uruguay vs Cape Verde fixture by getting involved in the action. Make sure you take a look at our list of the [best free bets and sign-up offers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/betting-offers) to get even more out of the bets you place.

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## FAQ Uruguay vs Cape Verde 

### Who will win between Uruguay and Cape Verde? 

Uruguay are the bookmakers’ favourites at 1.52, but the form trends are awkward. Uruguay have not won in four, while Cape Verde are unbeaten in four with three straight clean sheets. A tight match is very possible.

### What is the best bet for Uruguay and Cape Verde? 

The computer model’s top pick is Double Chance: X2\. It rates this at 53.30% probability with a 5-star confidence, versus 34.48% implied by odds. That creates a strong positive expected value angle.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and compares its probability to the odds. If the model probability is much higher, it may flag value bets with positive expected value (+EV).

### Where and when is the match played? 

The match is Uruguay vs Cape Verde in the World Cup (Round 2). It is played on 2026-06-21, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. It is a key game for momentum in the group.

### Where to watch Uruguay vs Cape Verde? 

World Cup matches are usually shown on major broadcasters like BBC/ITV in the UK, or local rights-holders depending on your country. Some bookmakers, such as bet365, may also offer live streaming if you have an account and meet their rules.

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