---
description: Turkey vs USA Predictions ❱ 26.06.2026 ❱ Football ❱ World Cup ✔️Free Betting Tips &amp; Predictions ⚡ Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community tips
title: Turkey vs USA Prediction, Probabilities &amp; Expert Tips 26.06.2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/1x1/turkey-usa-10015858-tips.png
---

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![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/matchups/header/matchup-header@2x.jpg)

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

Turkey

Finished 

3 \- 2 

(HT 2 - 1) 

26th Jun 26, 04:00 

![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

USA

10' 

A. Guler 

31' 

B. Yilmaz 

90+8' 

K. Ayhan 

3' 

A. Trusty 

49' 

S. Berhalter 

Show Momentum 

Quick Links: 

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FAQ 

# Turkey vs USA Prediction: Can Turkey upset the World Cup favourites?

Last updated 5 months ago **by Ben Cronin** 

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg)

Full Time Result: Turkey ![](/placeholder.svg)

Confidence Rating 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Won 

3.30 

With Turkey showcasing an impressive run in their recent outings (4 wins from their last 5 matches), they enter the upcoming clash against the USA with visible momentum. Historically, Turkey's reliability on home soil is evident, especially since they win every time they lead 1-0\. The USA has displayed vulnerability, conceding goals across their last nine matches. Moreover, Turkey's recent H2H advantage against the USA clears the path for another home triumph. Given Turkey consistently delivers a solid first-half performance, this not only reinforces the prediction but also suggests Turkey is well-poised to secure the full-time victory, underscoring the potential betting value in favor of the home side.

Oddspedia Model Probability 50.65%

Betting Odds Probability @2.92 34.25%

47.88% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Turkey vs USA. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Turkey vs USA is set for the World Cup (Round 3) on 2026-06-26 at 02:00 UTC, and the numbers point to a real price mistake. Oddspedia SmartBet lands on Turkey in the Full Time Result market with a 5-star confidence rating. The model gives Turkey a 50.65% win chance, while the odds imply only 34.25% at 4.10\. That gap creates a juicy +47.88% betting value. USA look strong on paper, sure, but Turkey have won the last meeting 2-1\. Can they do it again?

## Prematch Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/188.png)

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

TUR 

58% Home 

21% Draw 

21% Away 

![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/37.png)

![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

USA 

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

14.3% 0.4% 6.5% 5.7% 3.1% 1.5% 9.7% 8.9% 4.7% 2.2% 9.9% 8.9% 5.3% 1.9% 5.4% 4.7% 2.3% 1.4% 3.4% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: Other Home Win 

## What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: USA ![](/placeholder.svg)

57% 

60 of 106 Tips 

P 

K 

![Zigzagzig](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fzigzagzig.png%3F1761742857.png)

S 

+56 

P 

K 

![Zigzagzig](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_40,h_40,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fzigzagzig.png%3F1761742857.png)

S 

+56 

![bet-at-home](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet-at-home.png)

Lost 

2.15 

The community is leaning the other way, and it’s pretty clear why. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result: USA at 1.93, with 60 of 106 picks backing the Americans. USA also show better raw scoring numbers so far, with 3.00 goals per match and just 0.50 conceded. That’s the kind of profile punters love, right? Still, the SmartBet model says the price is off on Turkey, so this is a classic split: follow the crowd, or chase the value?

## Consensus 

31 

Sort by 

Percentage 

Only tipsters I follow 

[26 Jun, 04:00 ![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) ![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) **Turkey - USA** ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 

100% 

15 of 15 Tips 

![Betano](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/betano.png)

Best odds 

1.60 

[26 Jun, 04:00 ![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) ![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) **Turkey - USA** ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558)

Total Goals: Over 2.75 

100% 

10 of 10 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

1.77 

[26 Jun, 04:00 ![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) ![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) **Turkey - USA** ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558)

Correct Score: 2 : 1 

100% 

9 of 9 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

12.00 

[26 Jun, 04:00 ![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) ![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) **Turkey - USA** ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558)

Half Time / Full Time: USA / Draw 

100% 

9 of 9 Tips 

![Interwetten](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/light-back/80x32/interwetten.png)

Best odds 

14.00 

[26 Jun, 04:00 ![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) ![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) **Turkey - USA** ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558)

Correct Score: 1 : 2 

100% 

6 of 6 Tips 

![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png)

Best odds 

9.50 

Show more 

## Community Tips 

366 

Sort by 

Latest 

Only tipsters I follow 

K 

Kallidus 

\-313.04 

811 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

To Win to Nil: USA

Lost 

4.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

s 

samtpforte 

+3.99 

927 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Full Time Result: USA

Lost 

2.12 

 Support 

 Reply 

A 

Arsernal085 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Full Time Result: USA

Lost 

2.12 

 Support 

 Reply 

![Andy Roberts](https://flyimg.oddspedia.com/upload/w_80,h_80,c_1,q_75,o_png/http%3A%2F%2Fcdn.oddspedia%2Fimages%2Fuser%2Favatar%2Fandy-roberts.png%3F1745948287.png)

Andy Roberts 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Total Goals: Over 3.25

Won 

2.39 

 Support 

 Reply 

L 

LizardKing 

\-1,176.60 

1106 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Total Goals: Over 3.25

Won 

2.39 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Citor13 

\-447.45 

230 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Half Time / Full Time: USA / Turkey

Lost 

26.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Citor13 

\-447.45 

230 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Own Goal: Yes

Lost 

8.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Citor13 

\-447.45 

230 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Total Corners: Over 14.5

Lost 

6.50 

 Support 

 Reply 

AP 

Athletico PR 

0.00 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

Full Time Result: USA

Lost 

2.10 

 Support 

 Reply 

C 

Citor13 

\-447.45 

230 Tips 

5 months ago 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

Turkey - USA

To Win From Behind: Turkey

Won 

15.00 

 Support 

 Reply 

Show More 

![Turkey logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/188.png)

W W W L L 

## Turkey Form Analysis: Can they bounce back?

Turkey’s last five reads WWWLL, so the form is decent but not perfect. The worrying bit is the current goal output in these stats: 0.00 goals per match, despite huge pressure numbers like 30.50 shots and 71% possession. That screams wasteful finishing. They also concede 1.50 goals per match, so mistakes get punished fast. Still, Turkey did win the most recent meeting with USA, 2-1, and when they lead 1-0 at home, they win 100% of the time. Can they strike first?

![USA logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/37.png)

L W L W W 

## USA Form Analysis: Goals early, control later?

USA come in with LWLWW, and their match stats look sharp. They score 3.00 goals per match and concede only 0.50, plus they average 2.50 first-half goals, which hints at fast starts. They do not need loads of shots either, with 12.50 shots and 4.00 on target per match. The top scorers list shows Alex Freeman has 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 appearances, while Balogun and Reyna are still looking for goals. One catch: match facts say USA have conceded in 9 straight games. So, are they really that secure?

[Turkey vs USA Stats ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558)

## Turkey vs USA Odds - Value on the underdog?

Bookmakers make USA the clear favourite at 1.93, with Turkey priced at 4.10 and the Draw at 4.32\. The Asian Handicap reflects that too, with -0.5 at 1.85 and +0.5 at 2.05\. For goals, the line sits at 3.0: Over 3 at 2.00 and Under 3 at 1.96, so the market expects around three goals but not much more. With USA’s scoring and Turkey’s shaky defending, is Over the play?

[Turkey vs USA Odds ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558)

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

 TUR 

![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

 USA 

Turkey Montella, Vincenzo

USA Pochettino, Mauricio

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

**Turkey** Montella, Vincenzo

Pochettino, Mauricio **USA** 

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

4-2-3-1 

![Cakir, Ugurcan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c69969ba891013421282db8ca081cad1.png)

U. Cakir

1 

![Celik, Zeki](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/4ce430dd9397a5abe7b113a13643c135.png)

84' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

Z. Celik

2 

![Kabak, Ozan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/2f4c4e89f511d5db329b4a65b4f180ae.png)

O. Kabak

15 

![Bardakci, Abdulkerim](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/1524d1541b1a18cbca1c29f8b35407b5.png)

A. Bardakci

14 

![Elmali, Eren](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

E. Elmali

13 

![Kokcu, Orkun](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/00eb8396e268811611872732b6f3aac7.png)

88' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A

O. Kokcu

10 

![Ozcan, Salih](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e75fbe1cf71b511c8f2ff839589694bd.png)

S. Ozcan

5 

![Aydin, Oguz](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7cb0c70dd485accae892497d446e887d.png)

90' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

O. Aydin

18 

![Guler, Arda](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

A. Guler

15 

![Yildiz, Kenan](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

84' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

K. Yildiz

10 

![Yilmaz, Baris Alper](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

90' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

A

B. Yilmaz

53 

4-1-2-3 

![Turner, Matt](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c634966f2928be0d35d5d5b281ee3eec.png)

M. Turner

30 

![Scally, Joe](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/f37623a3e8979ffaaae70faded1e1bb4.png)

77' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

J. Scally

29 

![McKenzie, Mark](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/a2e7b1d2914bbbd877e93011e42343f8.png)

M. McKenzie

3 

![Robinson, Miles](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e84b4a4adcf5837a4a65383527e05820.png)

M. Robinson

12 

![Trusty, Auston](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/3b536740fff89768ee698306a2668c4d.png)

A. Trusty

6 

![McKennie, Weston](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/2ab7297857d7e356762f345457d014f7.png)

86' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

W. McKennie

22 

![Berhalter, Sebastian](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/7511b4ab6ee511cff6f2c5b992399e07.png)

![Yellow Card](/placeholder.svg) 

A

S. Berhalter

14 

![Reyna, Giovanni](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/d84be68c9046d2c805f3d4eec0210785.png)

76' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

G. Reyna

7 

![Weah, Timothy](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null)

58' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

T. Weah

22 

![Pepi, Ricardo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c3720b59acf8edbd7639fe0485acb1dc.png)

R. Pepi

9 

![Aaronson, Brenden](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e14868ab89a2aa1a990a8cce64cb4a06.png)

77' ![Substitute Out](/placeholder.svg)

B. Aaronson

11 

SoFi Stadium 

Ghorbal, Mustapha 

## Last Matches 

All Competitions 

W L L L L ? 

L W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

Turkey TUR 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

USA USA 

Recent form: 

W L L L L ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/europe.svg)

[15 Nov 20:45  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/22.png) France ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) Turkey ? ](/football/france-turkey-1078 "France Turkey") 

[12 Nov 18:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) Turkey ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/32.png) Belgium ? ](/football/belgium-turkey-1405 "Turkey Belgium") 

[05 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/17.png) Italy ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) Turkey 3 1 L ](/football/italy-turkey-878 "Italy Turkey") 

02 Oct   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/32.png)

Belgium 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

Turkey 

3 

0 

L 

28 Sep   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

Turkey 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/17.png)

Italy 

1 

4 

L 

Recent form: 

W L L L L ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

L W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/north-central-america.svg)

18 Nov 01:00   

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

USA 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7597.png)

Haiti 

? 

[14 Nov 22:30  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/7597.png) Haiti ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) USA ? ](/football/usa-haiti-1574 "Haiti USA") 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[07 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) USA ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/45.png) Canada 1 0 W ](/football/usa-canada-1557 "USA Canada") 

[04 Oct   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) USA ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6.png) Mexico 3 0 W ](/football/mexico-usa-467 "USA Mexico") 

[30 Sep   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) USA ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/10.png) Chile 4 2 W ](/football/chile-usa-616 "USA Chile") 

Show more 

## Head-2-Head 

Last 9 years

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

![Turkey](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/188.png)

TUR 

2

Wins 

0

Wins 

2 played 

![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

![USA](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/37.png)

USA 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

[26 Jun 2026   FT ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png) Turkey ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png) USA 3 2 ](/football/usa-turkey-1487558 "Turkey USA")

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg)

07 Jun 2025   

 FT 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/37.png)

USA 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/188.png)

Turkey 

1 

2 

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## Get a free bet for Turkey vs USA

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## FAQ Turkey vs USA 

### Who will win between Turkey and USA? 

USA are favourites on the odds at 1.93, but the Oddspedia SmartBet model actually rates Turkey higher than the price suggests. The model gives Turkey a 50.65% chance, which is big compared to the implied 34.25% from odds.

### What is the best bet for Turkey and USA? 

The data-based value pick is Full Time Result: Turkey at 4.10, because the SmartBet model shows strong positive expected value (+47.88%). The community tip is USA to win, so it depends if you want safety or value.

### What is Oddspedia SmartBet? 

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns that into win probabilities. You can then compare the model probability to the odds to spot value, like when the market price looks too big.

### Where and when is the match played? 

Turkey vs USA is in the World Cup, Round 3\. The match date is 2026-06-26, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Check your local time zone, because it’s an early one for many fans.

### Where to watch Turkey vs USA? 

World Cup matches are usually shown on major national broadcasters and official rights-holders in each country. You may also find legal live streams via bookmaker services like bet365, where available, if you have an account and meet streaming rules.

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  ((_)  (_))_   (_))_   (_))   (_))   ((_)  (_))_   (_))    )\ _ )\
 / _ \   |   \   |   \  / __|  | _ \  | __|  |   \  |_ _|   (_)_\(_)
| (_) |  | |) |  | |) | \__ \  |  _/  | _|   | |) |  | |     / _ \
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