--- description: Get the latest Grammy Awards odds and predictions for Album, Record, and Song of the Year. Are Billie Eilish and Sabrina Carpenter going to win big? title: Grammy Odds 2025: Latest Predictions & Betting Picks image: https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/08/imago442542748.jpg --- We’re a few days away from one of the biggest nights in the entertainment calendar, and sports bettors are busy analysing the Grammy odds. If you’re looking to get involved in the action before February 2, take a look at our expert analysis to inform your Grammy Awards predictions. ## Grammy Odds favorites: Top of the charts, and top of the betting markets The past 12 months have been dominated by Beyonce, Billie Eilish, Sabrina Carpenter, Charli XCX, and Taylor Swift. Unsurprisingly, this positive spotlight in the music industry has directly correlated to the Grammy Awards odds for the major categories. | Award | Favorite | Odds\* | Probability | | ------------------ | -------------------------------------- | ------ | ----------- | | Album of the Year | _Hit Me Hard and Soft_ (Billie Eilish) | \-120 | 55% | | Record of the Year | _Espresso_ (Sabrina Carpenter) | \-430 | 81% | | Song of the Year | _Birds of a Feathe_r (Billie Eilish) | \-180 | 64% | | Best New Artist | Chappell Roan | \-550 | 85% | While a lot of the talk might be focused on these five superstars, there is often some upsets of note and the Grammy odds have proven to be wrong in the past. Music fans and bettors alike might also be keeping an eye on Billie Eilish picking up a clean sweep across [Album of the Year](https://oddspedia.com/us/awards/world-awards/grammy/album-of-the-year) (-120), Record of the Year (+380), and Song of the Year (-180). She became the third musician, and first female, to win all four headline awards in a single ceremony in 2020 (she only qualifies for three of the four this time around). There is sure to be plenty of talk of Grammy Awards odds 2025 between now and the event taking place on February 2\. I’ll be keeping an eye on any market movement. ## Grammy Awards Song of the Year odds | Nominee | Odds\* | Probability | | --------------------------------------------- | ------ | ----------- | | _Birds of a Feather_ (Billie Eilish) | \-180 | 64% | | _Not Like Us_ (Kendrick Lamar) | +480 | 17% | | _Good Luck, Babe!_ (Chappell Roan) | +550 | 15% | | _Die with a Smile_ (Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars) | +750 | 12% | | _Texas Hold ‘Em_ (Beyonce) | +1300 | 7% | | _Fortnight_ (Taylor Swift ft. Post Malone) | +1400 | 7% | Billie Eilish has been pretty solid in this market since the nominations came out in November, her hit _Birds of a Feather_ hasn’t moved from top spot in the market for a number of weeks. Interestingly, the odds haven’t shortened all that much. Despite being favorite, this is one award where an outsider has a very credible chance. Kendrick Lamar’s _Not Like Us_ is second favorite at +480 but I’m more interested in some of his Super Bowl half time show odds than taking him in this market. Instead, I like Chappell Roan’s chances at +550 with her hit _Good Luck, Babe!_. This is the eighth time in a row Taylor Swift – yes, she has her own Taylor Swift Super Bowl props – has secured a nomination for Song of the Year, but her Grammy Awards odds in this market aren’t giving her much hope of a first win in the category. She currently has a 7% according to her odds of +1400. ## Grammy Awards Record of the Year odds | Nominee | Odds\* | Probability | | ------------------------------------------ | ------ | ----------- | | _Espresso_ (Sabrina Carpenter) | \-430 | 81% | | _Birds of a Feather_ (Billie Eilish) | +380 | 21% | | _Not Like Us_ (Kendrick Lamar) | +500 | 17% | | _Now and Then_ (The Beatles) | +1000 | 9% | | _Good Luck, Babe!_ (Chappell Roan) | +1100 | 8% | | _Fortnight_ (Taylor Swift ft. Post Malone) | +1400 | 7% | An important distinction to make for the [Record of the Year award](https://oddspedia.com/us/awards/world-awards/grammy/record-of-the-year) at the Grammy’s is that it goes to the people involved in crafting a “recording” (hence **record**). The Song the Year is more focused on the songwriter for a specific song. When I look at Record of the Year odds, _Espresso_ by Sabrina Carpenter is the right favorite, but it’s hard to make a case for it being a value play at -430\. I’m just glad to be sitting on a ticket at -160. Peaking at number three on the Billboard Hot 100 might put some bettors off, especially when previous winners _Flowers_ (Miley Cyrus), _About Damn Time_ (Lizzo), and _Leave the Door Open_ (Bruno Mars) all secured the number one spot before winning the award. However, the market has been nothing but bullish on _Espresso_ and it’s hard to make a case for anything else at this point. ## Grammy Awards Album of the Year odds | Nominee | Odds\* | Probability | | ------------------------------------------------------- | ------ | ----------- | | _Hit Me Hard and Soft_ (Billie Eilish) | \-120 | 55% | | _The Tortured Poets Department_ (Taylor Swift) | +350 | 22% | | _Brat_ (Charli XCX) | +600 | 40% | | _Cowboy Carter_ (Beyonce) | +600 | 30% | | _The Rise and Fall of Midwest Princess_ (Chappell Roan) | +1200 | 8% | | _Short n’ Sweet_ (Sabrina Carpenter) | +2000 | 5% | This is perhaps one of the hardest Grammy Awards odds markets to unpick. I tend to make my Grammy Awards predictions early to try and get value, but I feel like I may have got things wrong on this one with an early play on Taylor Swift’s _The Tortured Poets Department_. I took odds of -125 but any closing line value has disappeared as Billie Eilish has steamed in from +450 to now lead the market at -120. If you think 2024 was more than just a ‘Brat Summer’ and Charli XCX is in with a shot of taking home this headline award, the album _Brat_ is available at +600\. This is considerably shorter than the +1000 available a couple of months ago. ## Other Awards Betting Markets * [Oscars Best Picture Odds](https://oddspedia.com/us/awards/world-awards/oscars/best-picture) * [Oscars Best Actor Odds](https://oddspedia.com/us/awards/world-awards/oscars/best-actor) * [Oscars Best Actress Odds](https://oddspedia.com/us/awards/world-awards/oscars/best-actress) ## Grammy Awards predictions: Is there value outside of the favorites? The beauty of the Grammy Awards is that they are very difficult to predict, and there is always a few surprise winners each year. Trust me, I have studied the form and analysed the historical data and it is very difficult to find some correlation that would lead to a genuine edge in the Grammy Awards odds markets. Although not major outsiders, here are are my most interesting picks out of the Grammy Awards 2025 odds. * _Good Luck, Babe!_ (Chappel Roan) – +550 Song of the Year ddds * Sabrina Carpenter – +750 Best New Artists odds * _Guess_ (Charli XCX ft. Billie Eilish) – +750 Best Pop/Duo Group odds It’s also worth noting that if you’re betting for a bit of fun then combination betting could be a good way to boost the excitement, and your potential profit, on the night. If you wanted to combine some of my shorter odds picks into parlays you could get the following. * Sabrina Carpenter Record of the Year and Best New Artist (+950) * _The Tortured Poets Department_ (Taylor Swift) Album of the Year, _Cowboy Carter_ (Beyonce) Best Country Album, and _Texas Hold ‘Em_ (Beyonce) Best Country Song (+1250) ## Grammy Awards odds 2025: Other markets to monitor With so much attention on the marquee awards, I have quite often found success in looking away from these markets and looking elsewhere. I’ve highlighted just some of the markets that are of interest to me this year, and explained the reasons why. ### Grammy Awards Best Country Album odds | Nominee | Odds\* | Implied Probability | | ------------------------------- | ------ | ------------------- | | _Cowboy Carter_ (Beyonce) | \-700 | 87.5% | | _Higher_ (Chris Stapleton) | +550 | 15% | | _Deeper Well_ (Kacey Musgraves) | +1900 | 5% | | _Whirlwind_ (Lainey Wilson) | +3100 | 3% | | _F-1 Trillion_ (Post Malone) | +3100 | 3% | While Beyonce is nominated for multiple awards, it looks like the Best Country Album is one of her best chances of adding to her record breaking total of 32 Grammy Awards wins. Best Country Album odds of -700 are too short for me here, but it clearly is a very likely winner. ### Grammy Awards Best Country Song odds | Nominee | Odds\* | Implied Probability | | ------------------------------------------------- | ------ | ------------------- | | _Texas Hold ‘Em_ (Beyonce) | \-210 | 68% | | _A Bar Song \[Tipsy\]_ (Shaboozey) | +280 | 26% | | _I Had Some Help_ (Post Malone ft. Morgan Wallen) | +900 | 10% | | _The Architect_ (Kacey Musgraves) | +2200 | 4.5% | | _I Am Not Okay_ (Jelly Roll) | +2400 | 4% | This is another category where Beyonce is favorite. _Texas Hold ‘Em_ currently has Best Country Song odds of -210 and although Beyonce is fully deserving of her awards, this could be one where you play on the fact that the Academy voting members clearly rate her music very highly. That could already be baked into the odds, but I’m taking -210 here. ### Grammy Awards Best Pop Solo odds | Nominee | Odds\* | Implied Probability | | ------------------------------------ | ------ | ------------------- | | _Espresso_ (Sabrina Carpenter) | \-430 | 81% | | _Birds of a Feather_ (Billie Eilish) | +500 | 17% | | _Good Luck, Babe!_ (Chappell Roan) | +750 | 12% | | _Bodyguard_ (Beyonce) | +3100 | 3% | | _Apple_ (Charlie XCX) | +3700 | 2.5% | ### Grammy Awards Best Pop/Duo Group odds | Nominee | Odds\* | Implied Probability | | ---------------------------------------------------- | ------ | ------------------- | | _Die with a Smile_ (Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars) | \-550 | 85% | | _Guess_ (Charlie XCX ft. Billie Eilish) | +750 | 12% | | _Beyonce_ (Beyonce ft. Post Malone) | +1100 | 8% | | _Us_ (Gracie Abrams ft. Taylor Swift) | +1600 | 6% | | _The Boy in Mine_ (Ariana Grande, Brandy and Monica) | +2600 | 4% | This one is definitely a small bet for me, but one more out of intrigue. Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars are too short in my opinion, especially when Charli XCX and Billie Eilish could be on for a big night across other categories. I think +750 is good enough here to take a risk and go against the favorites. ## Grammy Awards odds: Who decides the winners? If you’re putting money down on your Grammy Awards 2025 predictions, then you’re probably going to want to know how the winners are decided. It’s actually pretty simple. After initial submissions there are various stages of voting to get through and a review by screening committee to get to the stage we’re at now; the final nominations. There is then a final round of voting for all Academy voting members. Voters are guided to vote only in the fields in which they are peers of the nominees. The idea here is it brings more expertise and fairness to the voting process. The votes are then counted by an independent firm (Deloitte & Touche LLP) before the winners are announces at the Grammy Awards. ### Grammy Awards Song of the Year Previous winners I have spent hours looking at the past winners to try and uncover some sort of pattern in voting or winners to help inform my own Grammy Awards predictions, but it’s proven very difficult. However, I have listed the previous Grammy Awards winners below if you want to try and uncover something for yourself. ### Grammy Awards Song of the Year Previous winners | **Year** | **Winner** | | -------- | -------------------------------------- | | 2024 | _What Was I Made For?_ (Billie Eilish) | | 2023 | _Just Like That_ (Bonnie Raitt) | | 2022 | _Leave The Door Open_ (Silk Sonic) | | 2021 | _I Can’t Breathe_ (H.E.R) | | 2020 | _Bad Guy_ (Billie Eilish) | ### Grammy Awards Record of the Year Previous winners | **Year** | **Winner** | | -------- | ------------------------------------- | | 2024 | _Flowers_ (Miley Cyrus) | | 2023 | _About Damn Time_ (Lizzo) | | 2022 | _Leave The Door Open_ (Silk Sonic) | | 2021 | _Everything I Wanted_ (Billie Eilish) | | 2020 | _Bad Guy_ (Billie Eilish) | ### Grammy Awards Album of the Year Previous winners | **Year** | **Winner** | | -------- | ----------------------------------------------------- | | 2024 | _Midnights_ (Taylor Swift) | | 2023 | _Harrys House_ (Harry Styles) | | 2022 | _We Are_ (Jon Batiste) | | 2021 | _Folklore_ (Taylor Swift) | | 2020 | _When We Fall Asleep Where Do We Go?_ (Billie Eilish) | ### Grammy Awards Best New Artist Previous winners | **Year** | **Winner** | | -------- | ------------------ | | 2024 | Victoria Monet | | 2023 | Samara Joy | | 2022 | Olivia Rodrigo | | 2021 | Mega Thee Stallion | | 2020 | Billie Eilish | ## Grammy odds 2025 FAQs ### Who is the favorite to win at the Grammy Awards 2025? The most likely winners of the headline awards based on the Grammy Awards odds are Billie Eilish for Album of the Year, Sabrina Carpenter for Record of the Year, Billie Eilish for Song of the Year, and Chappell Roan for Best New Artist. ### Who is the favorite to win Song of the Year at the Grammy Awards? _Birds of a Feather_ by Billie Eilish is currently the favorite to win Song of the Year based on the Grammy Awards 2025 odds. The song has odds of -180 to win the award which equates to 64% probability. ### Who is the favorite to win Record of the Year at the Grammy Awards? _Espresso_ by Sabrina Carpenter is leading the Grammy Awards odds for the Record of the Year market. The record has odds of -430 to win the award, which is an implied probability of 81%. ### Who is the favorite to win Album of the Year at the Grammy Awards? The current leader in the Grammy Awards odds for the Album of the Year is _Hit Me Hard and Soft_ by Billie Eilish. The album has a 55% likelihood of winning the award based on odds of -120. ### Who is the favorite to win Best New Artist at the Grammy Awards? Chappell Roan is a very short -550 in the Best New Artist category for this years Grammy Awards. These odds are the equivalent of 85% implied probability that she will win the award. ### Where are the 2025 Grammy Awards held? The 2025 Grammys will take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California. They will be hosted by Trevor Noah and be broadcast on CBS and Paramount+ in the US. _\*Odds accurate as of January 30_ Related Tags: * [#Music ](/insights/tags/music) * [#Novelty Bets ](/insights/tags/novelty-bets) * [#Special Bets ](/insights/tags/special-bets) Don't forget to share with friends * [![Facebook Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://www.facebook.com/oddspediaglobal) * [![X Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://x.com/oddspedia) * [![Instagram Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://www.instagram.com/oddspediaglobal) * [![Telegram Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://t.me/oddspedia) ![Andy Whiteoak](/placeholder.svg) Andy Whiteoak ![Andy Whiteoak](/placeholder.svg) Senior Sports Editor Andy is a sports writer and content creator specializing in performance data and analytics. He is also one of the UK’s top football coaches, leading a top-5 ranked team. He regularly appears in local and national media covering the UK’s fastest-growing sport. 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Customise Accept All ) ( ( ( ( ( ( ( /( )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) ( )\()) (()/( (()/( (()/( (()/( ( (()/( (()/( )\ ((_)\ /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) )\ /(_)) /(_)) ((((_)( ((_) (_))_ (_))_ (_)) (_)) ((_) (_))_ (_)) )\ _ )\ / _ \ | \ | \ / __| | _ \ | __| | \ |_ _| (_)_\(_) | (_) | | |) | | |) | \__ \ | _/ | _| | |) | | | / _ \ \___/ |___/ |___/ |___/ |_| |___| |___/ |___| /_/ \_\ ```json {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights","name":"Insights"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features","name":"Oddspedia Features"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/grammy-odds","name":"Grammys Odds 2025: Another Big Night for Billie Eilish?"}}]} {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","url":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/grammy-odds","dateCreated":"2025-01-30T10:25:11+00:00","datePublished":"2025-01-30T10:25:11+00:00","dateModified":"2025-11-24T19:53:15+00:00","articleSection":"Oddspedia Features","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","name":"Grammys Odds 2025: Another Big Night for Billie Eilish?","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/grammy-odds"},"headline":"Grammys Odds 2025: Another Big Night for Billie Eilish?","description":"Get the latest Grammy Awards odds and predictions for Album, Record, and Song of the Year. Are Billie Eilish and Sabrina Carpenter going to win big?","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/08/imago442542748.jpg","width":1000,"height":565}],"author":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Person","name":"Andy Whiteoak","gender":"Male","url":"https://oddspedia.com/experts/andy-whiteoak","jobTitle":"Senior Sports Editor","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/01/Andy-pic-1.jpg","affiliation":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Oddspedia"},"description":"<p>Andy is a sports writer and content creator specializing in performance data and analytics. He is also one of the UK&#8217;s top football coaches, leading a top-5 ranked team. He regularly appears in local and national media covering the UK&#8217;s fastest-growing sport. Though football is his primary passion, Andy has experience in college basketball, pro basketball, and MLB. With a degree in Film and Media, he has a rich background in digital communication and marketing. Andy excels at creating intelligent, data-driven content that entertains and informs bettors, with his work quoted in Sports Illustrated and Newsweek. 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