--- description: Who breaks $1bn first? Get the odds on Wicked, Avatar, Jurassic World, and Superman in the race to the billion-dollar box office. title: Which Movie Hits $1bn Next? Box Office Odds image: https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/08/Avatar.webp --- The blockbusters of 2025 have now finished their run in theaters, with no film since \*Lilo and Stitch\* hitting the $1 billion mark. So, which major movie will be next to break $1bn at the box office? We’ve studied the four best candidates and their odds of breaking the blockbuster barrier. > “While this film has a near-certain chance of reaching $1 billion, it's not likely to be the next one to do so…” While bookmakers will offer odds on almost anything, from betting on the next Pope to the Nobel Peace Prize odds, this market hasn’t opened with any of the best sportsbooks. However, we can apply the thinking behind odds creation to see how some interesting markets around the festival could be produced. As an expert in niche and novelty betting, I’ve formulated the odds for one of the biggest questions in popular culture today. The odds displayed are purely speculative and intended for entertainment purposes only. ## Next major film to break $1bn box office odds | Film | Odds | Implied Probability | | ------------------------ | ----- | ------------------- | | _Wicked: For Good_ | \-320 | 76.2% | | _Avatar: Fire and Ash_ | +350 | 22.2% | | _Jurassic World Rebirth_ | +800 | 11.1% | | _Superman_ | +1100 | 8.3% | #### RELATED: Find out who leads the latest [Next ‘James Bond’ odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/next-james-bond-odds) ## Next major film to break $1bn box office analysis ### **_Wicked: For Good_ | -320** * **Release Date:** November 21, 2025 * **Current Global Gross:** $215m _(as of 27 November 2025)_ * **Probability of being the next film to pass $1bn:** 76.2% _Wicked: For Good_ is the second part of a two-part film adaptation. Its chances are directly tied to the performance of the first movie, _Wicked_, which had a very strong run but ultimately came up short of $1 billion at $756 million. A key factor will be whether audiences return for the second installment in even greater numbers. I gathered the data on ten of the top performing films of all time to have sequels and, on average, the sequel saw a +27.8% increase in revenue over the first film If _Wicked: For Good_ can match that pace: it will just break the $1 billion barrier. ### **_Avatar: Fire and Ash_ | +350** * **Release Date:** December 19, 2025 * **Current Global Gross:** N/A (not yet released) * **Probability of being the next film to pass $1bn:** 22.2% While this film has a near-certain chance of reaching $1 billion, it’s not likely to be the _next_ one to do so simply because it is still four months away. Films already in theaters or releasing earlier will obviously have a huge head start. For _Avatar: Fire and Ash_ to be the next to cross the line, other potential film currently in release would have to stall. ### **_Jurassic World Rebirth_ | +800** * **Release Date:** July 2, 2025 * **Current Global Gross:** Approximately $868.9 million * **Probability of being the next film to pass $1bn:** 11.1% With a current global gross of over $868 million, _Jurassic World Rebirth_ is very close to the billion-dollar mark. The film is still in its theatrical run, and while its momentum is slowing, it is a virtual lock to earn the remaining amount needed. The franchise has a huge global audience, and the new chapter has proven to be a major draw. ### **_Superman_ | +1100** * **Release Date:** July 11, 2025 * **Current Global Gross:** Approximately $615.2 million * **Probability of being the next film to pass $1bn:** 8.3% While a strong start for the new DC Universe, _Superman_ has a long way to go to reach the $1 billion mark. Its current box office trajectory suggests it will likely finish somewhere in the $600-$700 million range. The film would need exceptional and sustained box office legs, especially in international markets, to make up the difference. While it’s not impossible, it’s highly improbable given its current run and the announcement of its digital release just over one month after its theatrical release. #### Disclaimer: The odds displayed for entertainment, political, and other non-sporting events on this page are purely speculative and intended for entertainment purposes only. These are not real betting markets offered by licensed operators. Any implied probabilities derived from these odds are not based on professional bookmaking standards and should not be used for actual wagering decisions. Please gamble responsibly with licensed providers. Related Tags: * [#Film & TV ](/insights/tags/film-tv) Don't forget to share with friends * [![Facebook Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://www.facebook.com/oddspediaglobal) * [![X Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://x.com/oddspedia) * [![Instagram Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://www.instagram.com/oddspediaglobal) * [![Telegram Icon](/placeholder.svg)](https://t.me/oddspedia) ![Andy Whiteoak](/placeholder.svg) Andy Whiteoak ![Andy Whiteoak](/placeholder.svg) Senior Sports Editor Andy is a sports writer and content creator specializing in performance data and analytics. He is also one of the UK’s top football coaches, leading a top-5 ranked team. He regularly appears in local and national media covering the UK’s fastest-growing sport. Though football is his primary passion, Andy has experience in college basketball, pro basketball, and MLB. With a degree in Film and Media, he has a rich background in digital communication and marketing. Andy excels at creating intelligent, data-driven content that entertains and informs bettors, with his work quoted in Sports Illustrated and Newsweek. His analytical approach to betting mirrors his content creation, ensuring well-supported perspectives and predictions. [Learn more about me ](/experts/andy-whiteoak "Andy Whiteoak") ### Related Articles [![Sports Personality of the Year Odds 2026: Kane Clear Favourite After Ballon d’Or Win](/placeholder.svg) ](/insights/features/sports-personality-of-the-year-odds) [Sports Personality of the Year Odds 2026: Kane Clear Favourite After Ballon d’Or Win ](/insights/features/sports-personality-of-the-year-odds) Harry Kane leads the Sports Personality of the Year odds after his Ballon d'Or win. 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Customise Accept All ) ( ( ( ( ( ( ( /( )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) ( )\()) (()/( (()/( (()/( (()/( ( (()/( (()/( )\ ((_)\ /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) )\ /(_)) /(_)) ((((_)( ((_) (_))_ (_))_ (_)) (_)) ((_) (_))_ (_)) )\ _ )\ / _ \ | \ | \ / __| | _ \ | __| | \ |_ _| (_)_\(_) | (_) | | |) | | |) | \__ \ | _/ | _| | |) | | | / _ \ \___/ |___/ |___/ |___/ |_| |___| |___/ |___| /_/ \_\ ```json {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights","name":"Insights"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features","name":"Oddspedia Features"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/next-major-film-to-break-one-billion-dollars-odds","name":"Next Major Film to Break $1bn Box Office: Odds On Which Movie Breaks The Bank!"}}]} {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","url":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/next-major-film-to-break-one-billion-dollars-odds","dateCreated":"2025-11-27T08:14:36+00:00","datePublished":"2025-11-27T08:14:36+00:00","dateModified":"2025-11-27T12:05:07+00:00","articleSection":"Oddspedia Features","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","name":"Next Major Film to Break $1bn Box Office: Odds On Which Movie Breaks The Bank!","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/features/next-major-film-to-break-one-billion-dollars-odds"},"headline":"Next Major Film to Break $1bn Box Office: Odds On Which Movie Breaks The Bank!","description":"Who breaks $1bn first? Get the odds on Wicked, Avatar, Jurassic World, and Superman in the race to the billion-dollar box office.","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/08/Avatar.webp","width":1000,"height":565}],"author":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Person","name":"Andy Whiteoak","gender":"Male","url":"https://oddspedia.com/experts/andy-whiteoak","jobTitle":"Senior Sports Editor","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/01/Andy-pic-1.jpg","affiliation":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Oddspedia"},"description":"<p>Andy is a sports writer and content creator specializing in performance data and analytics. He is also one of the UK&#8217;s top football coaches, leading a top-5 ranked team. He regularly appears in local and national media covering the UK&#8217;s fastest-growing sport. Though football is his primary passion, Andy has experience in college basketball, pro basketball, and MLB. With a degree in Film and Media, he has a rich background in digital communication and marketing. Andy excels at creating intelligent, data-driven content that entertains and informs bettors, with his work quoted in Sports Illustrated and Newsweek. His analytical approach to betting mirrors his content creation, ensuring well-supported perspectives and predictions.</p>\n","memberOf":[{"@type":"Organization","name":"Oddspedia","brand":"Oddspedia","sameAs":["https://x.com/oddspedia","https://www.linkedin.com/company/oddspedia","https://www.facebook.com/oddspediaglobal","https://www.instagram.com/oddspediaglobal","https://www.youtube.com/oddspedia/videos","https://t.me/oddspedia","https://discord.gg/Thp44bSCxN"]}],"sameAs":[]},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Oddspedia","sameAs":["https://oddspedia.com","https://www.facebook.com/oddspediaglobal","https://www.instagram.com/oddspediaglobal","https://x.com/oddspedia","https://www.youtube.com/oddspedia/videos"],"logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-light.svg","width":164,"height":18}},"inLanguage":"en"} ```