---
description: View the latest Vinicius Junior next club odds, with Real Madrid favoured to keep him and Arsenal the leading transfer destination.
title: Vinicius Junior Next Club Odds: Arsenal Ready to Pounce?
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2026/07/2024-05-12T124547Z_619656324_UP1EK5C0ZG84Y_RTRMADP_3_SOCCER-SPAIN-MAD-CELEBRATIONS.jpg
---

The Vinicius Junior next club odds favour the Brazilian remaining at Real Madrid, although Arsenal remain the clear alternative if his contract talks break down.

Follow our [Premier League transfer odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/premier-league-transfer-odds) for the latest prices involving Arsenal and other leading English clubs, or compare upcoming matches and markets through our [football odds](https://oddspedia.com/football/odds) page.

> A renewal keeps him in Madrid. A breakdown opens the door...

Vinicius is entering the final year of his Real Madrid contract, which expires in June 2027\. Madrid have reportedly returned with an improved offer, while Arsenal’s interest has yet to develop into formal talks between the clubs.

In this article, we compare the latest Vinicius Junior transfer odds, assess the chances of him staying and consider whether Arsenal or another club could make a serious move.

## Vinicius Junior next club odds

Real Madrid remain favourites to have Vinicius Junior on their books after the summer window, with Arsenal the only alternative priced under 33/1.

| Club After Summer Transfer Window | Odds | Decimal odds | Implied probability |
| --------------------------------- | ---- | ------------ | ------------------- |
| Real Madrid                       | 2/11 | 1.18         | 84.62%              |
| Arsenal                           | 2/1  | 3.00         | 33.33%              |
| Manchester City                   | 33/1 | 34.00        | 2.94%               |
| Any Saudi Arabian team            | 40/1 | 41.00        | 2.44%               |
| Paris Saint-Germain               | 40/1 | 41.00        | 2.44%               |
| Manchester United                 | 40/1 | 41.00        | 2.44%               |
| Liverpool                         | 40/1 | 41.00        | 2.44%               |
| Flamengo                          | 40/1 | 41.00        | 2.44%               |
| Chelsea                           | 50/1 | 51.00        | 1.96%               |
| Bayern Munich                     | 50/1 | 51.00        | 1.96%               |
| Inter Milan                       | 50/1 | 51.00        | 1.96%               |
| Any MLS team                      | 66/1 | 67.00        | 1.49%               |

_Odds provided by Paddy Power – accurate as of 4 August 2026._

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## Vinicius Junior next club odds analysis

Real Madrid have reportedly reopened contract talks with an improved offer worth around €22 million per year, strengthening the case for Vinicius Junior to stay. Arsenal remain the only serious alternative in the betting, but their price appears to reflect uncertainty around his renewal more than evidence that a transfer is close.

### Real Madrid favourites to keep Vinicius Junior – 2/11

Real Madrid remain overwhelmingly likely to have Vinicius on their books after the summer window. His current contract runs until June 2027, so the club still control the situation, although allowing talks to drift much further would weaken their position ahead of next summer.

The Brazilian has repeatedly made clear that his preference is to remain in Spain. Discussing his future after the 2025/26 campaign, he said: _“I want to continue playing here my whole life.”_ He also stressed that neither he nor the club was rushing negotiations.

Madrid’s improved offer helps explain why the price on him staying has shortened from 4/9 to 2/11\. There is still no signed extension and reports continue to differ over the salary and bonus structure, but unless talks break down again, another season at the Bernabeu remains comfortably the most likely outcome.

### Arsenal lead the race for a transfer – 2/1

Arsenal remain the clear favourites if Vinicius leaves Real Madrid, but the latest price has drifted from 6/4 to 2/1 as Madrid’s contract talks with the winger have moved forward.

The appeal is obvious. Vinicius would be a transformative signing on the left, but Arsenal would need to fund one of the biggest deals in Premier League history, meet his salary expectations and persuade him to leave a club he has repeatedly said he wants to stay at.

At 2/1, the market is still giving Arsenal a serious chance, although that looks to be based more on the possibility of Madrid’s renewal talks failing than on evidence that negotiations between the clubs are advanced.

### Could any other club sign Vinicius Junior?

Manchester City are the shortest-priced alternative outside Arsenal at 33/1, while PSG, Manchester United, Liverpool and any Saudi Arabian team are all available at 40/1.

Those prices underline how little conviction there is behind the rest of the market. Several clubs could afford Vinicius in theory, but none is currently backed by the same level of reporting as Arsenal, and even that interest remains at an early stage.

Unless Madrid’s contract talks break down, the bigger odds look more like speculative cover than realistic transfer routes.

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## How to bet on Vinicius Junior next club odds

Next club betting requires you to predict which team a player will represent under the bookmaker’s stated market rules. Check whether the bet applies to the current window, the player’s next permanent club or any transfer completed before a particular deadline.

### Check whether staying is included

Unlike some transfer markets, the Vinicius Junior next club odds include Real Madrid as a selection. This allows bettors to back him to remain in Spain rather than choosing only between possible transfer destinations.

### Follow contract developments

Vinicius’ contract expires in June 2027, making renewal talks particularly important. Confirmation of a new agreement would settle the market, while a breakdown in negotiations could cause Arsenal and other potential destinations to shorten.

### Separate interest from negotiations

A club exploring a transfer does not mean it has submitted a bid or spoken directly to the selling team. Prices can shorten after initial reports, so consider whether the available odds accurately reflect how advanced the proposed move actually is.

### Compare transfer odds and offers

Prices can vary between operators as new reports emerge. Compare the market through the [best football betting sites](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/football) and review the latest [betting offers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/betting-offers/) before placing a selection.

You can also check the latest [free bets](https://oddspedia.com/free-bets), while always reading the qualifying conditions and confirming that transfer specials count towards the promotion.

## Vinicius Junior next club odds FAQs

### Who are the favourites in the Vinicius Junior next club odds?

Real Madrid are 2/11 favourites to have Vinicius Junior on their books after the summer window. Arsenal are the leading transfer destination at 2/1, while every other option is priced at 33/1 or bigger.

### Will Vinicius Junior leave Real Madrid?

Vinicius has repeatedly said that he wants to remain at Real Madrid, and the club have reportedly reopened contract talks with an improved offer. His current deal runs until June 2027, so a departure would become more realistic only if those negotiations break down again.

### Are Arsenal trying to sign Vinicius Junior?

Arsenal have explored the possibility of signing Vinicius as they consider elite left-wing options. However, there is no clear evidence of advanced negotiations with Real Madrid, and their 2/1 price appears to be driven largely by uncertainty over his renewal.

### Could Vinicius Junior move to Saudi Arabia?

Saudi clubs have previously shown interest in Vinicius, but any Saudi Arabian team is now priced at 40/1\. That drift reflects the growing expectation that he will remain in Madrid, although the market could change if contract talks stall.

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 / _ \   |   \   |   \  / __|  | _ \  | __|  |   \  |_ _|   (_)_\(_)
| (_) |  | |) |  | |) | \__ \  |  _/  | _|   | |) |  | |     / _ \
 \___/   |___/   |___/  |___/  |_|    |___|  |___/  |___|   /_/ \_\

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