---
description: Get the latest World Cup 2026 Group I odds and predictions, including France, Norway, Mbappe, Haaland and the best betting angles.
title: World Cup Group I Odds 2026: Mbappe vs Haaland Best Bets
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2026/04/2026-03-31T172519Z_836766951_MT1USATODAY28627458_RTRMADP_3_SOCCER-INTERNATIONAL-MENS-FRIENDLY-FRANCE-AT-COLOMBIA.jpg
---

The reunion of France and Senegal brought a sense of history to this tournament, echoing the legendary 2002 upset that shook the footballing world. However, after the opening round of matches, Group I is already shaping up to be one of the more intriguing sections at the World Cup.

France justified their status as favourites with a convincing 3-1 victory over Senegal, while Norway’s emphatic 4-1 win over Iraq strengthened the belief that they can challenge for top spot in the group.

> Mbappe and Haaland have already made their mark, setting up a fascinating battle at the top of Group I...

For bettors tracking the World Cup Group I odds, the first set of results has provided valuable insight. France remain the team to beat, but Norway’s attacking display has added a fascinating new dimension to the group winner and qualification markets. Meanwhile, Senegal now face little margin for error despite showing enough quality to suggest they should not be written off just yet.

We have you covered with our expert [World Cup predictions](https://oddspedia.com/football/world/world-cup/predictions) to find where the smart money is moving. Read on to see how the latest results, betting trends and tactical matchups could shape the road to the knockout stages.

## World Cup 2026 Group I betting odds

After the opening round of matches, France remain firmly in control of Group I, while Norway’s impressive start has strengthened their chances of reaching the knockout stages. The latest [World Cup odds](https://oddspedia.com/football/world/world-cup) reflect the current state of the group:

| Team                                                                  | To Win Group | To Qualify    | Not to Qualify |
| --------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------------ | ------------- | -------------- |
| ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/22.png) France    | 2/5 (71.4%)  | 1/100 (99.0%) | 20/1 (4.8%)    |
| ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/54.png) Norway    | 10/3 (23.1%) | 1/10 (90.9%)  | 5/1 (16.7%)    |
| ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/1043.png) Senegal | 12/1 (7.7%)  | 4/9 (69.2%)   | 13/8 (38.1%)   |
| ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/7627.png) Iraq    | 80/1 (1.2%)  | 11/2 (15.4%)  | 1/10 (90.9%)   |

_Odds provided by bet365 – accurate as of 22nd June._

## Group I winner odds live

[](https://oddspedia.com)

## World Cup Group I predictions and best bets

#### Best Bet: France/Norway Straight Forecast

France remain the most likely group winners and their opening 3-1 victory over Senegal only strengthened that position. However, from a betting perspective, the value in backing Les Bleus at odds-on prices has largely disappeared. Instead, the France-Norway Straight Forecast stands out as one of the strongest positions in Group I.

Norway’s 4-1 win over Iraq highlighted exactly why many bettors viewed them as a dangerous outsider before the tournament. Erling Haaland gives them a genuine game-changer, while their attacking approach should create enough chances to secure the points needed to finish behind France and ahead of Senegal.

#### Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals in Norway Matches

Another angle worth considering is the Total Goals market in Norway fixtures. After scoring four times in their opener and with Haaland leading the line, backing Over 2.5 goals in Norway’s remaining group games could offer more value than some of the traditional [World Cup outright markets](https://oddspedia.com/football/world/world-cup/outrights).

#### Accumulator Pick: France & Norway to Qualify

Senegal’s defeat to France means their clash with Norway now looks pivotal in the race for qualification. While the Africans remain capable of reaching the knockout stages, Norway’s superior goal difference and strong start give them a clear advantage. For that reason, France and Norway to qualify still looks one of the most solid accumulator selections in Group I.

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### ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/22.png) France Group I Odds

![](/placeholder.svg) 

Luisa Gonzalez/Reuters via USA TODAY Sports 

### ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/22.png) France Group I Odds

France remain the team to beat in Group I after opening with a 3-1 win over Senegal. Their price is short, but that result strengthened their grip on the group and showed why they started as clear favourites.

Head coach Didier Deschamps has enough tactical flexibility and tournament experience to manage this section, while France’s attacking depth gives them multiple ways to win games. From a betting perspective, the issue is value rather than probability, with France now difficult to oppose but also hard to back at a short price.

#### France vs Norway best odds

[](https://oddspedia.com)

### ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/54.png) Norway Group I Odds

Norway made the biggest statement of the opening round in Group I, beating Iraq 4-1 and immediately strengthening their qualification case. After a 28-year absence, they look capable of making a serious impact rather than simply making up the numbers.

Their attacking talent gives them a clear route to points, especially with Erling Haaland leading the line. Norway’s chances of topping the group still depend heavily on taking something from France, but the market now has to treat them as a genuine contender for second place.

### ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/1043.png) Senegal Group I Odds

Senegal’s 3-1 defeat to France puts them under early pressure, but it does not end their qualification hopes. In the expanded format, the best third-placed teams can also reach the knockouts, which keeps them firmly alive if they respond quickly.

They still have enough physicality, pace and tournament experience to cause problems, but their margin for error is now much smaller. The key betting question is whether the market has overreacted to a defeat against the group favourite, especially with Norway now looking like their main rival for second place.

#### Senegal vs Norway best odds

[](https://oddspedia.com)

#### RELATED: Download our free [printable World Cup 2026 bracket](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/printable-world-cup-bracket) here.

### ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/7627.png) Iraq Group I Odds

Iraq’s 4-1 defeat to Norway showed why they remain outsiders in Group I. Making just their second World Cup Finals appearance, they were always likely to face a steep step up in quality, and their opening result has left them needing a response.

The expanded format means qualification is not impossible, especially if they can take points from Senegal, but they now have very little room for error. From a betting perspective, Iraq remain a high-risk selection, with their best route likely coming through a surprise result rather than consistent group-stage performance.

From the first whistle to the final trophy lift, stay on top of every bracket permutation using our [printable World Cup schedule](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/printable-world-cup-schedule).

## Group I Teams and Players to Watch

![](/placeholder.svg) 

Ane Frosaker / SPP/Sipa USA 

### Group I Team to Watch: ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/1043.png) Senegal

Senegal may have started Group I with a 3-1 defeat to France, but they remain one of the most interesting teams to watch in this section. The scoreline perhaps flattered France slightly, and Senegal showed enough attacking threat to suggest they can still play a major role in the race for qualification.

Let’s not forget Senegal reached the World Cup quarter-finals in 2002, and they continue to possess the physicality, athleticism and direct attacking style that can cause problems for any opponent. Their ability to create danger from set-pieces and transition quickly from defence to attack remains a significant weapon.

With little room for error after Matchday 1, Senegal’s upcoming fixtures now carry added importance. That pressure could bring out the best in a side that has often thrived when written off, making them a fascinating team to follow in the Group I betting markets.

### Group I Players to Watch: Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappe

Erling Haaland wasted little time making his presence felt, scoring twice as Norway opened with a 4-1 win over Iraq. Few strikers in world football can match his goalscoring record, and if Norway continue creating chances at that rate, he should remain firmly in the conversation for the Golden Boot. His current price in the [Golden Boot odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-top-scorer-odds) market will continue to attract attention if Norway maintain their attacking form.

Meanwhile, Kylian Mbappe reminded everyone why he remains one of the most feared forwards in international football when bagging a brace during France’s 3-1 victory over Senegal. Already among the favourites in the Golden Boot market, Mbappe combines elite pace, movement and finishing with the advantage of playing for one of the tournament favourites. If France make another deep run, he is likely to be central to everything they achieve.

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### World Cup 2026 top scorer odds

The Golden Boot race is already beginning to take shape after the opening round of matches. Here are the leading contenders from Group I.

| **Player**      | **Team** | **Odds (Impl. Prob)** |
| --------------- | -------- | --------------------- |
| Kylian Mbappe   | France   | 2/1 (33.3%)           |
| Erling Haaland  | Norway   | 16/1 (5.9%)           |
| Ousmane Dembele | France   | 80/1 (1.2%)           |
| Sadio Mane      | Senegal  | 100/1 (1.0%)          |

_Odds provided by bet365 – accurate as of 22nd June._

## World Cup 2026 Group I fixtures and results

Stay tuned to the latest [World Cup news](https://oddspedia.com/football/world/world-cup/news) hub for real-time fixtures, results and pricing updates as the race for qualification in Group I intensifies.

| Match                                                                      | When/Where                                       | Result / Preview                                                                                   |
| -------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------ | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| [France vs Senegal](https://oddspedia.com/football/france-senegal-1654580) | 16th June, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford      | France 3-1 Senegal                                                                                 |
| [Iraq vs Norway](https://oddspedia.com/football/norway-iraq-1869930)       | 16th June, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough          | Iraq 1-4 Norway                                                                                    |
| [France vs Iraq](https://oddspedia.com/football/france-iraq-1869928)       | 22nd June, Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia | [France vs Iraq predictions](https://oddspedia.com/football/france-iraq-1869928/predictions)       |
| [Norway vs Senegal](https://oddspedia.com/football/norway-senegal-1654581) | 23rd June, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford      | [Norway vs Senegal predictions](https://oddspedia.com/football/norway-senegal-1654581/predictions) |
| [Norway vs France](https://oddspedia.com/football/france-norway-1654582)   | 26th June, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough          | [Norway vs France predictions](https://oddspedia.com/football/france-norway-1654582/predictions)   |
| [Senegal vs Iraq](https://oddspedia.com/football/senegal-iraq-1869929)     | 26th June, BMO Field, Toronto                    | [Senegal vs Iraq predictions](https://oddspedia.com/football/senegal-iraq-1869929/predictions)     |

## World Cup 2026 Group I table

The hierarchy of Group I is starting to take shape after the opening round of matches, but there is still plenty left to play for. France and Norway currently hold the advantage following impressive victories, while Senegal and Iraq will be looking to respond quickly to keep their qualification hopes alive.

With France and Norway both capable of scoring goals in volume, goal difference could yet prove decisive in the race for top spot and the knockout places. You can monitor every update and live movement through the [World Cup standings](https://oddspedia.com/football/world/world-cup/standings) to stay ahead of the curve.

[](https://oddspedia.com)

## Other World Cup Group odds

We have provided our [World Cup predictions](https://oddspedia.com/football/world/world-cup/predictions) for all 12 groups so you can get ahead of the game before the tournament starts on 11th June:

* [World Cup 2026 Group A Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-a-odds-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group B Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-b-odds-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group C Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-c-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group D Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-d-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group E Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-e-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group F Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-f-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group G Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-g-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group H Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-h-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group J Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-j-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group K Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-k-odds-and-predictions)
* [World Cup 2026 Group L Odds and Predictions](https://oddspedia.com/insights/football/world-cup-2026-group-l-odds-and-predictions)

## Get the most out of your Group I predictions

We work with a variety of reputable betting platforms that have a proven track record of delivering competitive World Cup odds. However, it’s not just the juicy pre-match and outright prices they are renowned for.

The [best bookmakers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers) we lean into will also conjure up a plethora of exciting [World Cup promotions](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/betting-offers/world-cup) to pique the interest of new and existing players. These will come in different guises, such as [free bets](https://oddspedia.com/free-bets) or enhanced accas, but they will ultimately enrich your betting experience.

## Group I odds and predictions FAQs

### Who is the favourite to win Group I at the FIFA World Cup 2026?

France remain the clear favourites to win Group I after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal. Les Bleus were already expected to top the section before the tournament, and their strong start has only reinforced their position at the head of the market.

### Which are the players to watch in World Cup Group I?

Kylian Mbappe and Erling Haaland remain the standout names in Group I. Mbappe scored twice in France’s opening victory over Senegal, while Haaland continues to spearhead Norway’s attack as they look to build on their impressive start to the tournament.

### Which team in Group I could spring a surprise?

Senegal remain the most likely team to upset the established order despite their opening defeat. With a squad that balances veteran leadership from Sadio Mane and emerging talent from Europe’s top leagues, the Lions of Teranga still possess the quality to challenge for qualification.

### Which team in Group I will possibly be out after the group stage?

Iraq remain the most likely team to exit after the group stage. Their 4-1 defeat to Norway leaves them with little margin for error, and they now face an uphill battle against three opponents with significantly greater experience on the world stage. [World Cup bookmakers](https://oddspedia.com/bookmakers/world-cup) continue to rate them as the least likely team in the group to progress.

### What betting odds offer the best value in Group I?

With France now trading at very short odds to win the group, many bettors may find greater value elsewhere. The France-Norway Straight Forecast remains an appealing option, while Norway’s attacking style and the presence of Erling Haaland make Over 2.5 Goals markets an interesting angle in their remaining group matches.

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* [#Football ](/insights/tags/football)
* [#World Cup 2026 ](/insights/tags/world-cup-2026)

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Charles Perrin is an experienced UK-based freelance sports writer with a proven track record of delivering bespoke betting content for a multitude of companies. This has incorporated producing sportsbook reviews as well as providing tips and previews on the biggest events. Previously, the overnight digital sports editor for the Daily Express, his main focus from a content perspective is on soccer and golf, however, he also has a keen interest in tennis and cricket.

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