---
description: With a surprisingly deep field at this week's event, it’ll make the Valero Texas Open cut line just a bit more interesting
title: Valero Texas Open Projected Cut Line 2025: Expect a Few Longshots to Excel This Week
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/07/USATSI_25408642_168394795_lowres-min-scaled-1.jpg
---

The PGA Tour is back with another event, and with a surprisingly deep field, it’ll make the Valero Texas Open cut line just a bit more interesting. Sam Ryder and Keith Mitchell are fighting for the favorite position in the [Valero Texas Open odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/texas-open-odds), though they some stiff competition. Even with such any incredibly plethora of top golfers taking part in the tournament, never count out the longshots, as the Valero Texas Open sleeper picks have been known to shock the golf world.

At [FanDuel](https://oddspedia.com/ca/sportsbooks/fanduel), they were offering a Valero Texas Open cut line special that we hope you didn’t miss out on. Below is what the specials look like, so you have an idea what to look for at the next PGA Tour event:

| Make the Valero Texas Open cut line    | Odds |
| -------------------------------------- | ---- |
| Aberg, Fleetwood, Cantlay, and Conners | +174 |
| Aberg, Cantlay, Conners, and Bhatia    | +198 |
| Fleetwood, Conners, Spieth, and Bhatia | +215 |
| Aberg, Fleetwood, Spieth, and Bhatia   | +225 |
| Cantlay, Matsuyama, Spieth, and Bhatia | +240 |

The 2024 Valero Texas Open cut line was set at +1, and despite a field that included several prominent players, some top golfers didn’t make the cut. Here are a few who left the tournament early:

| Player          | Total |
| --------------- | ----- |
| Zach Johnson    | +2    |
| Matt Kuchar     | +3    |
| Michael Kim     | +3    |
| Billy Horschel  | +4    |
| Rickie Fowler   | +4    |
| Byeong Hun An   | +5    |
| Taylor Pendrith | +5    |
| Davis Riley     | +6    |
| Seamus Power    | +6    |
| Tom Kim         | +7    |
| Cameron Champ   | +9    |

For those thinking about making a bet on the Valero Texas Open cut line, we recommend taking a closer look at several factors that you’ll want to consider before making a wager. It’s important to analyze the course layout, as it can reveal challenges for players, especially those who have struggled on similar courses in the past. Additionally, consider a golfer’s recent performance, as their current form could greatly affect your betting decisions. Lastly, be mindful of the weather conditions, as they have a substantial impact on each shot taken.

Keep checking back as we update the article with odds of who will make/miss the 2025 Valero Texas Open cut line.

![](/placeholder.svg) 

© Jeff Swinger / Imagn Images 

## Valero Texas Open projected cut line latest

Like you would with your bets, you’ll want to monitor your wager on the Valero Texas Open cut line closely. We rely on a few trusted resources, such as the PGA Tour and Data Golf. Although the PGA Tour provides useful updates, its data can sometimes lack accuracy. Our go-to source is Data Golf, as they provide reliable probabilities and frequently make accurate predictions regarding the cut line.

## Betting on the Valero Texas Open cut line

Securing a spot into the weekend rounds requires players to make the Valero Texas Open cut line, which is crucial yet demanding. Achieving this is a notable accomplishment in the pursuit of tournament victory. Every participant aims to stay above the cut line to keep their hopes alive of advancing in the event and contending for prize money.

This creates pressure on players to deliver their best performance to earn a spot in the weekend rounds, adding an exhilarating and intense energy to the tournament. While it poses challenges, the cut line also serves as a motivating factor for players to display their talents to fans and onlookers.

## Odds to make the cut

| Player           | Odds  |
| ---------------- | ----- |
| Tommy Fleetwood  | \-550 |
| Ludvig Aberg     | \-550 |
| Corey Conners    | \-500 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | \-450 |
| Patrick Cantlay  | \-450 |
| Akshay Bhatia    | \-400 |
| Keegan Bradley   | \-350 |
| Jordan Spieth    | \-350 |
| Denny McCarthy   | \-334 |
| Daniel Berger    | \-334 |

## Odds to miss the cut

| Player           | Odds |
| ---------------- | ---- |
| Ryan Gerard      | +150 |
| Taylor Moore     | +150 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +150 |
| Alex Smalley     | +150 |
| Patrick Rodgers  | +150 |
| Ryan Fox         | +150 |
| Brian Harman     | +150 |
| Harry Hall       | +162 |
| Lee Hodges       | +162 |
| Jake Knapp       | +162 |

Odds provided by [bet365](https://oddspedia.com/ca/sportsbooks/bet365) – accurate as of March 31

## Valero Texas Open cut rule

At the Valero Texas Open, players must meet the cut line after the second round in order to move on to the later stages of the tournament. This determines which competitors will be eliminated from the event. By finishing in the top 65 (including ties) above the cut line, participants guarantee their advancement to the next rounds, while those who do not make the cut are sent home early.

The cut line acts as a standard established by the PGA Tour to accurately evaluate players’ skills during the tournament. It guarantees that only the highest-performing golfers in the event progress to the weekend rounds, enhancing the competitive atmosphere and generating enthusiasm for both competitors and fans alike.

![](/placeholder.svg) 

© Reinhold Matay / Imagn Images 

## Current Favorites to win the Valero Texas Open

| Player           | Odds  |
| ---------------- | ----- |
| Sam Ryder        | +450  |
| Keith Mitchell   | +550  |
| Jordan Spieth    | +750  |
| Tommy Fleetwood  | +1000 |
| Brian Harman     | +1400 |
| Maverick McNealy | +2200 |
| Andrew Novak     | +3000 |
| Ludvig Aberg     | +3000 |
| Tony Finau       | +3300 |
| Sam Burns        | +3500 |

Odds provided by [FanDuel](https://oddspedia.com/ca/sportsbooks/fanduel) – accurate of April 4

## Valero Texas Open cut line history

| Year | Cut line  |
| ---- | --------- |
| 2024 | +1        |
| 2023 | E         |
| 2022 | \-1       |
| 2021 | +2        |
| 2020 | Cancelled |

The Valero Texas Open has seen a range of cut lines over the last four years, though they’re roughly within the same vicinity. Last year the cut line settled at +1, while it was Even in 2023, and -1 in 2022\. The 2021 Valero Texas Open cut line settled at +2, whereas the 2020 event was cancelled:

## Valero Texas Open projected cut line FAQs

### How is the cut line determined for the Valero Texas Open?

To advance to Round 3 of the Valero Texas Open, players need to be among the top 65 or have tied scores that exceed the cut line. Competitors who do not meet this standard are immediately eliminated from the tournament and cannot compete in Rounds 3 and 4\. This system guarantees that only the best players move forward, while those who do not qualify are removed from further contention.

### What does it mean to make the cut in golf?

Achieving a spot above the cut line is crucial in golf tournaments, allowing players to progress to the next rounds and compete for cash prizes, thereby heightening the competitive spirit. Reaching this threshold is essential for ensuring a robust field and chasing rewards in the tournament’s later stages. Going beyond the cut line creates opportunities for golfers to aim for victories and financial gains, adding to the thrill of the sport.

### Do you get paid if you miss the cut at the Valero Texas Open?

Not meeting the cut line at the Valero Texas Open results in players losing the chance to compete for prize money. A golfer’s earnings depend on their performance across all four tournament rounds. Being cut from the event bars players from contending for a share of the prize pool, which can significantly affect their overall financial results.

## More golf insights

* [Masters Odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/masters-odds)
* [Masters Projected Cut Line](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/masters-projected-cut)
* [Valero Texas Open Odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/texas-open-odds)
* [Houston Open Odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/houston-open-odds)
* [Houston Open Projected Cut Line](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/houston-open-projected-cut)
* [Valspar Championship Odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/valspar-championship-odds)
* [Valspar Championship Projected Cut Line ](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/valspar-championship-projected-cut)

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* [#PGA Tour ](/insights/tags/pga-tour)
* [#Texas Open ](/insights/tags/texas-open)
* [#Valero Texas Open ](/insights/tags/valero-texas-open)

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For the last 10 years, Mike spent his time providing sports news and rumors content for some of the biggest media outlets in North America. The wealth of knowledge he gained while covering the four major North American sports leagues gives him a different perspective when looking at sports from a betting angle, which could be the advantage you need when placing bets. Mike’s passion for sports began as a teenager and what started as a love for playing grew into a thirst for a journalistic and betting outlook. When he’s not writing about sports betting, he’s either cheering for his kids across various sports leagues, or playing recreationally himself. To Mike, sports isn’t just a hobby, it’s a lifestyle.

[Learn more about me ](/experts/michael-meade "Michael Meade")

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