---
description: This week’s PGA Tour event is a bit different than most, as The American Express projected cut line isn’t put into play until after Round 3
title: The American Express Projected Cut Line 2025: Unique Structure Great for Longshots
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/07/USATSI_25101254_168394795_lowres-min-scaled-1.jpg
---

This week’s PGA Tour event is a bit different than most, as The American Express projected cut line isn’t put into play until after Round 3, while it typically is determined after Round 2\. With Xander Schauffele withdrawing from the tournament, there’s a ton of value to be found within The American Express sleeper picks. As things currently stand, J.T. Poston is the favorite in The American Express odds, but it’s the longshots we’re most excited about.

The 2024 The American Express cut line finished at -13, and as you would expect, some of the games top players went home disappointed. Here’s a few who failed to make the cut:

| Player           | Total |
| ---------------- | ----- |
| Akshay Bhatia    | \-12  |
| Shane Lowry      | \-12  |
| Matt Wallace     | \-12  |
| Lee Hodges       | \-11  |
| Nick Taylor      | \-11  |
| Tom Kim          | \-11  |
| Matt Kuchar      | \-11  |
| Billy Horshchel  | \-11  |
| Cam Davis        | \-10  |
| Davis Riley      | \-9   |
| S.H. Kim         | \-8   |
| Thomas Detry     | \-8   |
| Maverick McNealy | \-6   |
| Robert MacIntyre | \-5   |
| Cameron Champ    | \-5   |
| Taylor Pendrith  | \-4   |
| Rickie Fowler    | \-2   |
| Kevin Kisner     | +1    |

When considering placing a bet on The American Express cut line, it would be beneficial to do some research to increase the chances of a successful wager. An important factor to think about is checking out the course layout and identifying potential challenges for a golfer based on their past performances on similar courses. It’s also valuable to dive into a player’s current form, so that you can gauge whether they’re hot or cold, to gain useful perspectives. Lastly, you’ll want to see what the weather conditions will be, as Mother Nature plays a significant impact on the result of each golf shot.

Keep checking back as we update the article with odds of who will make/miss the 2025 The American Express cut line.

![](/placeholder.svg) 

© Steve Roberts / Imagn Images 

## The American Express projected cut line latest

When betting on The American Express cut line, you’ll want to monitor your bet closely, and we rely on a couple options to follow along. Although the PGA Tour offers updates, their information may not always be exact. Our preferred go to is Data Golf, which provides reliable probabilities and percentages to predict the cut line.

## Betting on The American Express cut line

The cut line at The American Express is a pivotal factor that influences the tournament by determining which players advance to the final round following Round 3\. Progressing in the competition greatly hinges on surpassing this critical boundary. Each golfer strives to avoid the cut line to sustain their pursuit of victory, intensifying the competitive spirit of the event.

This compels players to enhance their performance to secure a spot on Sunday, adding more suspense and excitement to the tournament. Despite its demanding nature, the cut line acts as an additional motivator for players to showcase their abilities to an enthralled audience.

## Odds to make the cut

| Player          | Odds  |
| --------------- | ----- |
| Sungjae Im      | \-700 |
| Justin Thomas   | \-650 |
| Sam Burns       | \-500 |
| Patrick Cantlay | \-450 |
| Tony Finau      | \-400 |
| Tom Kim         | \-360 |
| Wyndham Clark   | \-310 |
| Si Woo Kim      | \-310 |
| Max Greyserman  | \-310 |
| Kurt Kitayama   | \-310 |

## Odds to miss the cut

| Player           | Odds |
| ---------------- | ---- |
| Tom Hoge         | +150 |
| Eric Cole        | +150 |
| Will Zalatoris   | +165 |
| Sepp Straka      | +165 |
| Patrick Fishburn | +165 |
| Nico Echavarria  | +165 |
| Nick Dunlap      | +165 |
| J.T. Poston      | +165 |
| J.J. Spaun       | +165 |
| Brian Harman     | +165 |

Odds provided by [DraftKings](https://oddspedia.com/ca/sportsbooks/draftkings) – accurate as of January 15

## The American Express cut rule

At The American Express, players are required to reach the cut line following the third round to qualify for Sunday’s play. This determines the elimination of certain participants from the tournament. Achieving a rank within the top 65 players (including tied scores) positioned above the cut line secures progression to Sunday, while those falling below say goodbye to the event.

The cut line serves as a standard set by the PGA Tour to assess players’ competencies thoroughly. This guarantees that only the most accomplished golfers move forward to Sunday, elevating the competitive atmosphere and generating enthusiasm among both competitors and spectators.

![](/placeholder.svg) 

© Kyle Terada / Imagn Images 

## Current favorites to win The American Express

| Player        | Odds  |
| ------------- | ----- |
| J.T. Poston   | +700  |
| Nick Taylor   | +1200 |
| J.J. Spaun    | +1600 |
| Jackson Suber | +1600 |
| Jason Day     | +1800 |
| Justin Thomas | +1800 |
| Justin Lower  | +2000 |
| Carson Young  | +2200 |
| Chris Kirk    | +2500 |
| Sepp Straka   | +2800 |

Odd provided by [FanDuel](https://oddspedia.com/ca/sportsbooks/fanduel) – accurate as of January 17

## The American Express cut line history

With the unique style of The American Express cut line, there’s been quite a bit of differences in the cut lines in years past. As mentioned, last year it settled at -13, while it was -10 the year prior. Back in 2022 it was set at -7, and then -4 in 2021, and then finally in 2020 it was set at -9:

| Year | Cut line |
| ---- | -------- |
| 2024 | \-13     |
| 2023 | \-10     |
| 2022 | \-7      |
| 2021 | \-4      |
| 2020 | \-9      |

## The American Express projected cut line FAQs

### How is the cut line determined for The American Express?

Securing a spot in Round 4 of The American Express hinges on making it within the top 65 players or tied scores cut line. Not meeting the cut line leads to elimination from the competition, ruling out participation in Sunday’s play. This rule ensures progression for elite competitors and excludes those who do not meet the specified criteria.

### What does it mean to make the cut in golf?

Securing a placement beyond the cut line is vital in golf tournaments to progress to Sunday’s rounds and vie for cash rewards. This is fundamental to sustaining competitiveness and striving for financial incentives during the later stages of the competition. Exceeding the cut line provides players with prospects for triumph and monetary benefits in the game.

### Do you get paid if you miss the cut at The American Express?

Competitors who do not reach the cut line at The American Express lose out on the opportunity to compete for prize money. A player’s overall prize winnings are dependent on their performance across all four rounds. Missing the cut line leads to elimination from the tournament, denying players the chance to vie for a portion of the prize pool.

## More golf insights

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* [Sony Open Projected Cut Line](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/sony-open-projected-cut)
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* [RSM Classic Odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/rsm-classic-odds)
* [RSM Classic Projected Cut Line ](https://oddspedia.com/insights/golf/rsm-classic-projected-cut)

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For the last 10 years, Mike spent his time providing sports news and rumors content for some of the biggest media outlets in North America. The wealth of knowledge he gained while covering the four major North American sports leagues gives him a different perspective when looking at sports from a betting angle, which could be the advantage you need when placing bets. Mike’s passion for sports began as a teenager and what started as a love for playing grew into a thirst for a journalistic and betting outlook. When he’s not writing about sports betting, he’s either cheering for his kids across various sports leagues, or playing recreationally himself. To Mike, sports isn’t just a hobby, it’s a lifestyle.

[Learn more about me ](/experts/michael-meade "Michael Meade")

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