--- image: https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/09/USATSI_25908076.jpg --- Remember when scoring 50 goals in an NHL season was a truly Herculean feat? Once the exclusive domain of hockey royalty, the 50-goal club has seen its membership expand considerably as more and more snipers get into the league. As we head into the 2025/26 campaign, fifteen active players have the achievement on their CV. At the head of the table sits Alexander Ovechkin, who has hit the half-century mark a frankly absurd nine times. He’s joined by multi-time members like Leon Draisaitl, Auston Matthews, and Steven Stamkos. Then there’s the eclectic group of one-timers, a list that includes both the sublime (Connor McDavid, Sidney Crosby) and the slightly surprising (we see you, Zach Hyman). > “With a return to full health, and a massive free-agent contract looming, Kaprizov is in perfect position to really explode this season..." This all begs the question: **who is going to be the next player to score 50 goals in a season?** And if a betting market were to open for such an event, who would the favourites be? We’ve fired up the supercomputer to break down the theoretical odds for this very wager. The odds displayed are purely speculative and intended for entertainment purposes only. ## NHL Next First-Time 50-Goal Scorer Odds | Player | US Odds | Implied Probability | | ---------------- | ------- | ------------------- | | Kirill Kaprizov | +200 | 33.33% | | Tage Thompson | +400 | 20.00% | | William Nylander | +600 | 14.29% | | Kyle Connor | +800 | 11.11% | | Nikita Kucherov | +1000 | 9.09% | | Jake Guentzel | +1200 | 7.69% | | Artemi Panarin | +1500 | 6.25% | | Filip Forsberg | +1500 | 6.25% | ## NHL Next First-Time 50-Goal Scorer Odds Analysis ### Kirill Kaprizov | +200 Kaprizov of the Minnesota Wild had turned in consecutive seasons of 47, 40, and 46 goals before being held to only 25 goals last season – but of course those 25 goals came in just 41 total games due to a midseason injury. With a return to full health, and a massive free-agent contract looming, Kaprizov, who is also a contender in [NHL MVP odds ](https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey/nhl-mvp-odds)and [Rocket Richard Trophy odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey/rocket-richard-odds), is in perfect position to really explode this season and finally join the ranks of the NHL’s 50-goal scorers. ### Tage Thompson | +400 After scoring 47 goals in the 2022/23 campaign, the Buffalo Sabres’ Thompson managed to score just 29 goals two seasons ago before rebounding last year with a 44-goal performance. Having been passed over by Team USA for their 4 Nations Face-Off roster last season, Thompson will be motivated early this season to fill the net and ensure that he’s firmly in the conversation for his country’s Olympic squad this winter. ### William Nylander | +600 The Toronto Maple Leafs’ Nylander had put up a pair of 40-goal campaigns before recording a career-high 45 goals last season. With Mitch Marner now playing for the Vegas Golden Knights, and John Tavares certainly not getting any younger, Nylander – along with Toronto team captain Auston Matthews, a [Selke Trophy odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey/selke-trophy-odds) contender, of course – will be counted on by the Maple Leafs even more to be an offensive catalyst for the club in the season ahead. ## NHL Next First-Time 50-Goal Scorer Odds Sleeper ### Nikita Kucherov | +1000 The Tampa Bay Lightning’s Kucherov has five 100-point seasons to his name, but surprisingly his career high in goals is the 44 that he scored a couple of years ago. **Related: [Stanley Cup odds](https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey/nhl-stanley-cup-odds)** Kucherov, though, has scored at least 35 goals five times (including 37 last season) and it’s not that hard to imagine him getting on a real goal-scoring roll and finally adding a 50-goal season to a stellar resume that already includes Art Ross and Hart trophies. ## NHL Next First-Time 50-Goal Scorer Odds Commentary While other snipers like the Winnipeg Jets’ Kyle Connor, the Lightning’s Jake Guentzel, the New York Rangers’ Artemi Panarin, and the Nashville Predators’ Filip Forsberg were considered here, it’s the trio of Kaprizov, Thompson, and Nylander that lead the way on these theoretical first-time 50-goal scorer odds. And especially worth paying attention to is Kaprizov’s contract situation. The Wild forward will be a free agent at the end of this season and reportedly declined a contract extension offer that would have made him the highest-paid player in the league – so that puts the possibility of a trade on the table. That means Kaprizov will be keen to prove his value not only to the Wild, but to every other potential employer as well. **Disclaimer: The odds displayed for entertainment, political, and other non-sporting events on this page are purely speculative and intended for entertainment purposes only. These are not real betting markets offered by licensed operators. Please note that the odds above have been generated by Oddspedia for this article only. They are not necessarily reflective of the actual probability of the event occurring and it is not possible to place a wager on this event through Oddspedia. 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You can manage your preferences and find out more by clicking the ‘Customise’ button below. Customise Accept All ) ( ( ( ( ( ( ( /( )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) )\ ) ( )\()) (()/( (()/( (()/( (()/( ( (()/( (()/( )\ ((_)\ /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) /(_)) )\ /(_)) /(_)) ((((_)( ((_) (_))_ (_))_ (_)) (_)) ((_) (_))_ (_)) )\ _ )\ / _ \ | \ | \ / __| | _ \ | __| | \ |_ _| (_)_\(_) | (_) | | |) | | |) | \__ \ | _/ | _| | |) | | | / _ \ \___/ |___/ |___/ |___/ |_| |___| |___/ |___| /_/ \_\ ```json {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights","name":"Insights"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey","name":"Hockey"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey/nhl-next-first-time-50-goal-scorer-odds","name":"NHL Next First-Time 50-Goal Scorer Odds: Eight Shooters To Watch"}}]} {"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","url":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey/nhl-next-first-time-50-goal-scorer-odds","dateCreated":"2025-10-06T16:00:38+00:00","datePublished":"2025-10-06T16:00:38+00:00","dateModified":"2026-09-10T10:13:07+00:00","articleSection":"Hockey","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","name":"NHL Next First-Time 50-Goal Scorer Odds: Eight Shooters To Watch","@id":"https://oddspedia.com/insights/hockey/nhl-next-first-time-50-goal-scorer-odds"},"headline":"NHL Next First-Time 50-Goal Scorer Odds: Eight Shooters To Watch","description":"","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/09/USATSI_25908076.jpg","width":1000,"height":565}],"author":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Person","name":"Oddspedia Insights Team","gender":"Male","url":"https://oddspedia.com/experts/oddspedia-insights-team","jobTitle":"Sports Betting Analysts","image":"https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/betting/2025/07/oddspedia-insights.jpeg","affiliation":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Oddspedia"},"description":"<p>The Oddspedia team includes experienced sports journalists, betting analysts, sports-crazy fans and people actively involved in playing or coaching their sports. 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