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With the Conservative Party dominating British politics, the election of the party's leader is a popular bet. Conservative leader betting odds usually get heated during an election campaign or political scandal. This often sees two candidates in the final shortlist. However, the run-up to the election will see many candidates noting an interest. If you take an early punt on the next Tory Party leader, you can benefit from more generous odds against outsiders.
Betting on the next Conservative Party leader works just like sports betting. It's a simple prediction wager in which you choose who you believe will be elected. Your winnings are calculated by multiplying your stake vs the odds. The most likely candidate will have the lowest odds. While this indicates probability, UK elections can be surprising, leaving room for outsiders and underdogs with higher odds.
The Conservative leader can be elected at any time when the party is in government or in Opposition. Before an election is called, you can place wagers on a wider pool of MPs before they announce their candidacy. However, political betting markets tend to get busier during an actual campaign or political scandal when a leader is called to resign.
Bookies have a lot of fun during a Conservative election. Conservative Leader betting odds will cover the most likely candidates, including returning leaders or deputies. There are multiple rounds to Conservative leadership elections, with the first round including the most candidates. Odds are usually longer during this first stage, even for political favourites. Odds will narrow as the pool gets smaller during the head-to-head voting.
Knowledge is everything when it comes to party election bets. Keep up to date on party politics and how its members poll before wagering. You should also consider the candidate's electability, as they will also be running for PM. Avoid non-serious candidates who are obviously entering the race only to boost their profiles. Look at the bookies' favourite as the most likely outcome.
For the most significant returns, place bets during the earliest round of voting. It all begins with candidates declaring and receiving supporters. As this first round sees many candidates, predicting an overall winner is much more difficult. As a result, the odds are always higher during this first stage. If you have some savvy political foresight and pick winning bets here, the odds and earnings are longer.
Specials like how long a leader will be in office and if they will become Prime Minister are offered by some bookies. In this case, look for combined Conservative leader odds and Prime Minister specials. As the election of a party leader is often a simple yes/no outcome, there aren't many additional specials.
Party leaders change for a wide variety of reasons. The majority of Conservative leaders resign. A leader might resign following a general election defeat, cabinet revolts or due to ill health. A vote of no confidence occurs when 15% of the Conservative MPs write to the party chair. Upon resignation, this triggers an election process within the party in which candidates come forward for rounds of voting. The outgoing leader is not eligible to re-enter this immediate race but may do so in the future.
If the party leader is also the Prime Minister, they are expected to stay within the post until a successor is elected. However, a Prime Minister can also immediately resign and ask the monarch to appoint an interim leader.
The leader of the Conservatives is voted in by party members. It takes place in two stages. The first sees successive sitting Conservative MPs enter the race. Candidates must currently hold a seat. A series of votes takes place between Conservative MPs to narrow this list down to two final candidates with party support. The competition now opens up to party members. Anyone who has been a Conservative Party member for three months or more is eligible to vote on the ballot. The candidate with the most votes then becomes the party leader.
There is no fixed term for party leadership. The longest-serving leader is Edward Smith-Stanley with 22 years (1846-1868). The typical term length has narrowed significantly over the last few decades.
The party leader is the highest position within the Tory Party. Their job as spokespersons of the party is to deliver party platforms to the public. They will typically take on the role of Prime Minister when in government and Leader of the Opposition when not.
Free bet stakes can sometimes be used on political betting markets, including Conservative leader odds for prime minister. Always check the wagering requirements as earnings typically have to be played through.
No, only members of the party may vote for its leader. The first round is open only to MPs. The second and decisive round is open to all eligible party members countrywide.
Yes, all leadership candidates must be sitting Conservative MPs and they retain their seat if elected as leader. As a leader, they can lose their seat in an election, although this has not yet happened in the UK.
Because party leaders are a functioning part of a democracy. A leader is a representation of the party along with their policies and can become the UK Prime Minister. This makes them critical to the democratic process. However, they should be held to account by the public with a general election seen as the litmus test of performance and popularity.