Outright odds

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Vote Candidate COMMUNITY VOTE (0 votes) Winner
  • Katie Lam
    Katie Lam
    Katie Lam
    Favourite
    +450
  • James Cleverly
    James Cleverly
    James Cleverly
    +700
  • Claire Coutinho
    Claire Coutinho
    Claire Coutinho
    +1000
  • Nick Timothy
    Nick Timothy
    Nick Timothy
    +1400
  • Tom Tugendhat
    Tom Tugendhat
    Tom Tugendhat
    +1600
  • Jeremy Hunt
    Jeremy Hunt
    Jeremy Hunt
    +1600
  • Boris Johnson
    Boris Johnson
    Boris Johnson
    +2000
  • Robert Jenrick
    Robert Jenrick
    Robert Jenrick
    +2000
  • Rupert Lowe
    Rupert Lowe
    Rupert Lowe
    +2000
  • Chris Philp
    Chris Philp
    Chris Philp
    +2500
  • Nigel Farage
    Nigel Farage
    Nigel Farage
    +2800
  • Priti Patel
    Priti Patel
    Priti Patel
    +3300
  • Laura Trott
    Laura Trott
    Laura Trott
    +3300
  • Rishi Sunak
    Rishi Sunak
    Rishi Sunak
    +4000
  • Penny Mordaunt
    Penny Mordaunt
    Penny Mordaunt
    +4000
  • Ben Spencer
    Ben Spencer
    Ben Spencer
    +5000
  • Mark Harper
    Mark Harper
    Mark Harper
    +5000
  • Oliver Dowden
    Oliver Dowden
    Oliver Dowden
    +5000
  • Victoria Atkins
    Victoria Atkins
    Victoria Atkins
    +5000
  • Mel Stride
    Mel Stride
    Mel Stride
    +5000
  • David Frost
    David Frost
    David Frost
    +5000
  • Andy Street
    Andy Street
    Andy Street
    +5000
  • Richard Holden
    Richard Holden
    Richard Holden
    +6600
  • Ben Houchen
    Ben Houchen
    Ben Houchen
    +6600
  • David Davis
    David Davis
    David Davis
    +6600
  • Steve Barclay
    Steve Barclay
    Steve Barclay
    +6600
  • Alicia Kearns
    Alicia Kearns
    Alicia Kearns
    +10000
  • Lee Anderson
    Lee Anderson
    Lee Anderson
    +10000
  • Iain Duncan Smith
    Iain Duncan Smith
    Iain Duncan Smith
    +10000
  • Esther Mcvey
    Esther Mcvey
    Esther Mcvey
    +10000
  • Gavin Williamson
    Gavin Williamson
    Gavin Williamson
    +10000
  • Danny Kruger
    Danny Kruger
    Danny Kruger
    +10000
  • Julian Smith
    Julian Smith
    Julian Smith
    +10000
  • Gagan Mohindra
    Gagan Mohindra
    Gagan Mohindra
    +10000
  • Andrew Rosindell
    Andrew Rosindell
    Andrew Rosindell
    +10000
  • Mark Pritchard
    Mark Pritchard
    Mark Pritchard
    +10000
  • Luke Evans
    Luke Evans
    Luke Evans
    +10000
  • Alberto Costa
    Alberto Costa
    Alberto Costa
    +10000
  • Andrew Bowie
    Andrew Bowie
    Andrew Bowie
    +10000
  • Matt Vickers
    Matt Vickers
    Matt Vickers
    +10000
  • Kit Malthouse
    Kit Malthouse
    Kit Malthouse
    +10000
  • Mark Francois
    Mark Francois
    Mark Francois
    +10000
  • Suella Braverman
    Suella Braverman
    Suella Braverman
    +10000
  • Jacob Rees-Mogg
    Jacob Rees-Mogg
    Jacob Rees-Mogg
    +10000
  • David Cameron
    David Cameron
    David Cameron
    +10000
  • John Glen
    John Glen
    John Glen
    +10000
  • Bob Blackman
    Bob Blackman
    Bob Blackman
    +10000
  • Damian Hinds
    Damian Hinds
    Damian Hinds
    +15000
  • Helen Whately
    Helen Whately
    Helen Whately
    +15000
  • Caroline Nokes
    Caroline Nokes
    Caroline Nokes
    +15000
  • Bernard Jenkin
    Bernard Jenkin
    Bernard Jenkin
    +20000
  • Geoffrey Cox
    Geoffrey Cox
    Geoffrey Cox
    +20000
  • Marc Francois
    Marc Francois
    Marc Francois
    +40000
  • Chip Chapman
    Chip Chapman
    Chip Chapman
    +50000
  • Liz Truss
    Liz Truss
    Liz Truss
    +50000
  • George Galloway
    George Galloway
    George Galloway
    +50000
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What are the chances of winning?

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  • 13%

    Katie Lam

    Favourite
    +450
  • 9%

    James Cleverly

    +700
  • 7%

    Claire Coutinho

    +1000
  • 5%

    Nick Timothy

    +1400
  • 4%

    Tom Tugendhat

    +1600

Odds movement in time

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  • Top 5
  • Top 10
  • Top 15
  • Top 15 to 32
  • Katie Lam
  • James Cleverly
  • Claire Coutinho
  • Nick Timothy
  • Jeremy Hunt

Betting and The Next Conservative Leader Odds

With the Conservative Party dominating British politics, the election of the party's leader is a popular bet. Conservative leader betting odds usually get heated during an election campaign or political scandal. This often sees two candidates in the final shortlist. However, the run-up to the election will see many candidates noting an interest. If you take an early punt on the next Tory Party leader, you can benefit from more generous odds against outsiders.

The Next Leader Of the Conservative Party - How Bets and Odds work

Betting on the next Conservative Party leader works just like sports betting. It's a simple prediction wager in which you choose who you believe will be elected. Your winnings are calculated by multiplying your stake vs the odds. The most likely candidate will have the lowest odds. While this indicates probability, UK elections can be surprising, leaving room for outsiders and underdogs with higher odds.

The Conservative leader can be elected at any time when the party is in government or in Opposition. Before an election is called, you can place wagers on a wider pool of MPs before they announce their candidacy. However, political betting markets tend to get busier during an actual campaign or political scandal when a leader is called to resign.

Odds For the Next Conservative Party Leader

Bookies have a lot of fun during a Conservative election. Conservative Leader betting odds will cover the most likely candidates, including returning leaders or deputies. There are multiple rounds to Conservative leadership elections, with the first round including the most candidates. Odds are usually longer during this first stage, even for political favourites. Odds will narrow as the pool gets smaller during the head-to-head voting.

Strategies and Tips for Betting on the Next Conservative Leader

Knowledge is everything when it comes to party election bets. Keep up to date on party politics and how its members poll before wagering. You should also consider the candidate's electability, as they will also be running for PM. Avoid non-serious candidates who are obviously entering the race only to boost their profiles. Look at the bookies' favourite as the most likely outcome.

For the most significant returns, place bets during the earliest round of voting. It all begins with candidates declaring and receiving supporters. As this first round sees many candidates, predicting an overall winner is much more difficult. As a result, the odds are always higher during this first stage. If you have some savvy political foresight and pick winning bets here, the odds and earnings are longer.

Are There Other Specials For Betting On Party Leaders?

Specials like how long a leader will be in office and if they will become Prime Minister are offered by some bookies. In this case, look for combined Conservative leader odds and Prime Minister specials. As the election of a party leader is often a simple yes/no outcome, there aren't many additional specials.

Why Do Party Leaders Change?

Party leaders change for a wide variety of reasons. The majority of Conservative leaders resign. A leader might resign following a general election defeat, cabinet revolts or due to ill health. A vote of no confidence occurs when 15% of the Conservative MPs write to the party chair. Upon resignation, this triggers an election process within the party in which candidates come forward for rounds of voting. The outgoing leader is not eligible to re-enter this immediate race but may do so in the future.

If the party leader is also the Prime Minister, they are expected to stay within the post until a successor is elected. However, a Prime Minister can also immediately resign and ask the monarch to appoint an interim leader.

How Do You Become A Party Leader?

The leader of the Conservatives is voted in by party members. It takes place in two stages. The first sees successive sitting Conservative MPs enter the race. Candidates must currently hold a seat. A series of votes takes place between Conservative MPs to narrow this list down to two final candidates with party support. The competition now opens up to party members. Anyone who has been a Conservative Party member for three months or more is eligible to vote on the ballot. The candidate with the most votes then becomes the party leader.

Next Conservative Leader FAQ

Is There a Term Attached to Being Leader of the Conservative Party?

There is no fixed term for party leadership. The longest-serving leader is Edward Smith-Stanley with 22 years (1846-1868). The typical term length has narrowed significantly over the last few decades.

What Powers Does the Conservative Leader Have?

The party leader is the highest position within the Tory Party. Their job as spokespersons of the party is to deliver party platforms to the public. They will typically take on the role of Prime Minister when in government and Leader of the Opposition when not.

Can I Bet on Politics Using Free Bet Stakes?

Free bet stakes can sometimes be used on political betting markets, including Conservative leader odds for prime minister. Always check the wagering requirements as earnings typically have to be played through.

Can Anyone Vote for Leader Of the Conservative Party?

No, only members of the party may vote for its leader. The first round is open only to MPs. The second and decisive round is open to all eligible party members countrywide.

Is The Leader Of the Conservative Party an Actual MP?

Yes, all leadership candidates must be sitting Conservative MPs and they retain their seat if elected as leader. As a leader, they can lose their seat in an election, although this has not yet happened in the UK.

Why Should I Care Who Is a Party Leader?

Because party leaders are a functioning part of a democracy. A leader is a representation of the party along with their policies and can become the UK Prime Minister. This makes them critical to the democratic process. However, they should be held to account by the public with a general election seen as the litmus test of performance and popularity.

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