2024 NBA Finals MVP Odds: Brown Moves To Favorite Status

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
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  • Jaylen Brown jumps to the top of the odds board
  • Are the Mavericks cooked?
  • Should you stay away from Jayson Tatum?

In possession of a 3-0 lead that no team in history has ever overcome in a best-of-seven series, the latest NBA Finals MVP odds has come down to a pair of superstar wings on the Boston Celtics: Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum.

Luka Doncic ranks first among all Dallas Mavericks, but he sits at just 27-1, followed by backcourt teammate Kyrie Irving at 190-to-1.

The lineage of the conference finals MVP awards only goes back the past two seasons, but a recurring trend to be aware of is that no winner of that award went on to the Finals, won the championship, and didn’t take home Finals MVP honors as well. If that’s to continue, then Brown would be the rightful favorite once again. He’s the only player currently at minus money, but as we’ve seen on a game-to-game basis, that can change in an instant.

Is it only a matter of time until Brown receives the hardware, or will Tatum or perhaps one of his other teammates snatch it away from him at the last moment?

Let’s take a look at the updated NBA Finals MVP odds board from the best sportsbooks and see if we can glean some value. Remember to make your NBA picks alongside us throughout the NBA Finals.

NBA Finals MVP odds

Team Odds
Jaylen Brown 

-340

Jayson Tatum

+270

Luka Doncic

+2900

Jrue Holiday

+6500

Derrick White 

+12000

Kyrie Irving

+19000

Kristaps Porzingis 

OTB

Al Horford 

OTB

P.J. Washington

OTB

OTB

NBA Finals MVP odds courtesy of FanDuel– accurate as of June 13

2024 NBA Finals MVP favorites

Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics (-340)

From a pure statistical standpoint, MVP has to be Brown’s to lose. He’s the leading scorer on Boston averaging 24.3 points, nearly three more points than anyone else on the team. His two steals per game also lead the way, and while his six rebounds and 5.7 assists are fewer than that of Tatum, they’re still highly respectable numbers when paired with his other contributions.

Mavericks head coach Jason Kidd was public with his praise of Brown by dubbing him the Celtics’ best player, and he’s more than lived up to that throughout the postseason and especially against Dallas. It may seem inconsequential in the grand scheme of things, but his jumper with just over a minute to go in Game 3 to put Boston up by four on the scoreboard may have sealed his MVP bid, especially when you factor in that Tatum missed a contested 3-pointer shortly before.

On a roster with Derrick White and Jrue Holiday, an argument can be made that Brown has been the superior defender, as well. Whether you consider this a changing of the guard in Boston in terms of the pecking order atop the depth chart or not, the fact of the matter is that an MVP win would further emphasize just how special of a player Brown is when he can almost get lost in the shuffle with how top-heavy the Celtics are.

Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics (+270)

Tatum’s efficiency, or lack thereof, is once again problematic in a Finals setting, but that hasn’t been the death knell for Boston like it may have been in 2022. His teammates, especially Brown, have more than stepped up shooting the rock, and it’s not as though Tatum isn’t contributing in other areas.

He’s emerged as the team’s premier facilitator, contributing 7.3 dimes per contest which is well above his season average of 4.9. Tatum’s only real shot of beating out Brown for the award is if Brown falls off the face of the earth in Game 4 should the Celtics sweep, or the series gets extended up so Tatum can string together some memorable box scores and be front of sight, front of mind for voters. Not winning wouldn’t be a shot against him either. He hasn’t had the historic lines or made memories in this series that would last a lifetime, but Tatum has done more than his fair in the face of a shot that has once again let him down.

Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks (+2900)

Widely viewed as the best player in this matchup heading into the Finals, Doncic’s shortcomings as a defender and perhaps some of his leadership intangibles coming into question have clouded any positives he’s brought to the table for Dallas.

It wasn’t a good look for the 25-year-old star when he was ejected from Game 3’s festivities with just over four minutes remaining for fouling out when the score was separated by a measly three points. Many have pointed out his incessant complaining at officials when whistles don’t go in his favor, or the fact that he’s getting blown by as a defender at an historic rate. The 2022 Finals were a coming of age moment for players like Tatum and Brown, who’ve clearly learned from the mistakes of the past to finally (at least for now) win the big one.

With some support over the summer, Doncic may learn from the error of his ways and become a champion sooner rather than later in Mavericks colors. He should be commended for persevering through a laundry list of injuries, but the Finals and how he’s competed have done some damage to his aura.

NBA Finals MVP odds explained

For example, a player like Jayson Tatum may enter the Finals with +200 odds to win Most Valuable Player. If so, a bet of $100 would generate $200 in profit (the initial $100 back, plus $200 more) should Tatum be voted the winner. If, per say, a player like Nikola Jokic had even greater odds at -200, then the profit would be far less at $50 (the initial $100 back, plus $50 more) because oddsmakers believe he’s a stronger lock.

NBA Finals MVP trends

  • Michael Jordan holds the record for the most Finals MVP wins at six, followed by LeBron James with four. Three other players are tied with three wins apiece.

  • Jerry West is the only player to be named Finals MVP in a losing effort, which he accomplished as the first-ever recipient in 1969.

  • 2015 winner Andre Iguodala is the only Finals MVP to have not started every game of the series.

  • Kevin Durant, LeBron James, Kobe Bryant, Shaquille O’Neal, Michael Jordan, and Hakeem Olajuwon are the only players to have won Finals MVP in consecutive years.

Previous NBA Finals MVP award winners

Year Player Position Team

2023

Nikola Jokic

C

Denver Nuggets

2022

Stephen Curry

PG

Golden State Warriors

2021

Giannis Antetokounmpo

PF

Milwaukee Bucks

2020

LeBron James

F

Los Angeles Lakers

2019

Kawhi Leonard

F

Toronto Raptors

2018

Kevin Durant

F

Golden State Warriors

2017

Kevin Durant

F

Golden State Warriors

2016

LeBron James

F

Cleveland Cavaliers

2015

Andre Iguodala

F

Golden State Warriors

Our best NBA Finals MVP betting sites

To make sure you get the most value on your NBA odds, go to the best NBA betting sites prior to placing your wagers throughout the playoffs.

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Want more insights on NBA betting markets?

Take a look at other Oddspedia Insights articles that give you everything you need in order make more informed wagers.

 

NBA Finals MVP FAQs

Who is favored to win NBA Finals MVP?

Jaylen Brown of the Boston Celtics is currently the favorites to win the NBA Finals MVP.

Has NBA Finals MVP ever been from a losing team?

Jerry West, the first-ever awardee (1969), is the only person to win the award while being on the losing team.

Who was the MVP of the NBA Finals last year?

The NBA Finals MVP in 2023 was Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets.

How is the NBA Finals MVP decided?

The award is determined by a panel of 11 media representatives, who vote after the Finals conclude. The individual with the most votes is earns NBA Finals MVP.

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