NFC North Odds: Lions Being Hunted by Bears, Oh My!

© Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
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  • Can Caleb Williams lead the Bears from worst to first?
  • Minnesota gets McCarthy but is he the real deal?
  • Could the ROTY and MVP end up in the same division?

The NFC North has quickly become one of the most competitive divisions in football, yet the odds to win the NFC North paint the Detroit Lions as the obvious favorite in 2024.

The Lions won the division a year ago with a 12-5 record and later made a run to the NFC Championship Game, where they were only four points and a blown 17-point halftime lead away from advancing to the Super Bowl. Our best betting sites listed the Lions as the favorites before the season began and Detroit didn’t disappoint.

The theme of the division is young quarterbacks. 29-year-old Jared Goff is the veteran, followed by second-year starter Jordan Love and first-round rookies Caleb Williams and J.J. McCarthy.

Here’s everything there is to know about the odds to win the NFC North 2024, the favorites, dark horses, betting trends, and much more.

Team Opening Odds Current Odds 2023 Record
Detroit Lions +145 +145 12-5
Green Bay Packers +230 +185 9-8
Chicago Bears +440 +320 7-10
Minnesota Vikings +420 +900 7-10

Odds provided by FanDuel – accurate as of May 28

NFC North Odds

Detroit Lions (+145)

The Lions went from building to contending with Dan Campbell. The passionate head coach promised to reestablish Detroit as a winning franchise in the NFL and held true to his promise last year, which was the team’s first 12-win season since 1991.

The offensive assembly of Goff, Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, a tremendous offensive line, and an offensive coordinator in Ben Johnson make this one of the most feared offenses in the league. The defense was a weakness, particularly in the secondary, but the signing of Carlton Davis III and the selection of corner Terrion Arnold should help them improve.

Detroit is the odds-on favorite: the hunter has become the hunted for the first time in decades. They have limited experience playing high-stakes games but will get every team’s best shot this year.

Green Bay Packers (+185)

The ebbs and flows of Jordan Love’s first year as the starter subsided around the halfway point of the season. He tossed 23 touchdowns and only three interceptions over the final 10 weeks and annihilated a top-five defense in the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card round.

The rest of the Packers’ offense is fairly young, particularly on the flanks. The signing of Josh Jacobs gives them a proven bruiser in the backfield, while they solidified their defensive depth in classic Packers style during the draft.

Love is a dark horse pick to win the MVP this year after impressing in his first season as the starter. His ability to play at or above that level will be key to the team’s overall success.

Chicago Bears (+320)

The Bears had one of the best drafts of any team. They locked up first-overall pick and potentially-generational prospect Caleb Williams, who now steps into one of the best situations ever for a first-overall pick.

Williams will be surrounded by Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, and Rome Odunze, all wide-receiver ones in their own right, along with D’Andre Swift, Cole Kmet, and a solid line. The defense also looked much better after the addition of Montez Sweat and now has a veteran safety in Kevin Byard III sliding into the heart of the secondary.

The Bears may be the sleeper to win the NFC North have radically rebuilding their offense, and will likely be a popular pick to win the division because of their potential. The main question here is whether their ceiling will line up with early performances, or if there will be an adjustment period.

Minnesota Vikings (+900)

Jim Harbaugh said his national champion quarterback, J.J. McCarthy, was the best player at his position in the draft. The Vikings moved up to select him and will pair him with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and Aaron Jones in an offense with overwhelming potential.

Kevin O’Connell has proven himself to be an offensive genius and should have the team competitive on that side of the ball. The defense also ranked 12th in points allowed and will be joined by Dallas Turner, whom many believed was the best defensive player in the draft.

Minnesota must be considered a longshot for the NFC North at this stage: McCarthy is the biggest question mark on a team that was less active in Free Agency than anyone else in the division, and might not even start in Week 1. This team should be competitive in some games and has lots of potential if McCarthy pans out.

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NFC North betting history

The Green Bay Packers dominated the NFC North in the 21st century and won 12 of 24 (50 percent of) titles. The Lions and Bears also only won one title apiece since 2010 (the Lions in 2023 and the Bears in 2018).

No team aside from Green Bay repeated as the division champion since the Vikings in 2008 and 2009.

The Lions’ 2023 division title was their first since 1993 and their most wins in a season since 1991.

Every NFC North champion since 2016 won at least 12 games. In the same vein, division champions have won an average of 11.3 games since 2000.

The team that finished second in the NFC North won the division title two years in a row (the Vikings in 2022 and the Lions in 2023).

NFC North previous winners

Year Team Opening Odds
2023 Detroit Lions +150
2022 Minnesota Vikings +300
2021 Green Bay Packers -250
2020 Green Bay Packers +175
2019 Green Bay Packers +200
2018 Chicago Bears +1400

NFC North odds FAQs

Who are the favorites to win the NFC North in 2024?

The Detroit Lions are favored in odds to win the NFC North 2024 following a division-winning campaign in 2023. The Green Bay Packers are next in line after a second-place finish last year.

Which teams are in the NFC North?

The NFC North consists of the Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, and Minnesota Vikings. The Packers won the first division title in 1967 and later won the Super Bowl.

Who are the traditional rivals in the NFC North?

The Packers and Bears have one of the oldest rivalries in the entire NFL and rank first in second for wins amongst all NFL franchises. The Lions and Bears also have a bitter rivalry, while there’s no love lost between the Packers and Vikings either.

How many times has an NFC North team won the Super Bowl?

The NFC North is responsible for four Super Bowl titles, three of which were won by the Packers. The outlier was the 1985 Bears, and the most recent champion was the Packers in 2010.

How do futures bets work in NFL betting?

Futures bets are bets that will be settled at a later time. These include markets such as projected win totals, individual player awards, division and conference champions, the Super Bowl winner, if a quarterback will throw for 5,000 yards, and much more.

What are the key factors to consider when betting on the NFC North?

NFC North division odds are influenced by a variety of factors, including roster composition, injuries, off-field events or controversy, continuity and chemistry, coaching, experience, motivation, head-to-head matchups, stylistic advantages, and much more. Bettors should consider all of those and more before placing futures bets.

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