- Lautaro Martinez outshines the GOAT in race to golden boot
- We analyze five of the top scorer candidates
- Can Messi add to his legacy with one more trophy?
With Copa America now at the knockout stages, the race to top the Top Scorer Odds and win the ‘Golden Boot’ is hotting up. Early favorites like living soccer legend, Lionel Messi have seen their odds lengthen while his teammate Lauturo Martinez has jumped up to the favorite spot.
The Golden Boot is awarded to the player who finishes the tournament as the highest scorer, the Copa América Golden Boot invariably provokes plenty of intrigue and debate. There are a few fascinating angles to this, and we will run the rule over the Copa América 2024 top scorer odds. How are the Copa América Golden Boot odds shaping up? We have examined this and more in our comprehensive guide, so read on for the full lowdown.
2024 Copa América Golden Boot odds
| Player |
Odds by  |
| Lautaro Martinez |
-1000 |
| Darwin Nunez |
+1000 |
| Julian Alvarez |
+2000 |
| Jhon Cardoba |
+2500 |
| Luis Diaz |
+3000 |
| Lionel Messi |
+3000 |
| Jefferson Lerma |
+3000 |
|
|
+3500 |
Odds provided by DraftKings – accurate as of July 11
The Copa América is never short on drama, and the Copa América top scorer betting line will be a hive of activity. Prices will constantly fluctuate throughout the tournament, with the favorites often playing all the way until the final.
Copa América top scorer favorites
Lautaro Martinez (-1000 at DraftKings)
Renowned for his dynamic playing style, Lautaro Martinez allies speed with agility, and his goal-scoring prowess is undoubted. The Inter Milan frontman tore things up during the 2023/24 campaign, scoring at will, and his stock has soared.
While Messi tends to receive the most plaudits, Martinez can wreak havoc on defenses, and he will be a menace.
At the 2021 Copa América, Martinez chipped in with three goals as a then 21-year-old, but with more experience under his belt, he could surpass that tally. Martinez could well catch fire in the Copa América Golden Boot betting race.
Vinicius Jr (OTB)
A frightening prospect for any defender, Vinicius Jr. is invariably Real Madrid’s biggest weapon and has plenty of flair. His dribbling skills are irrepressive, and he is ice-cool ahead of goal.
Vinicius Jr. isn’t afraid to take a shot from a distance, and he will likely get ample opportunities. If there is one player who could tear things up, Vinicius Jr. falls into that category, and it will be fascinating to see how he fares.
Lionel Messi (+3000 at DraftKings)
Despite being in the autumn of his career, Lionel Messi has been a metronome for Argentina, and has a strong claim to be the GOAT of soccer.
Having tied for the most goals at the Copa América with four in 2021, Messi pinched the Golden Boot title as he laid on five assists. This is likely to be Messi’s last Copa América with Argentina, but he will look to break another record.
If Messi can score five goals, he will eclipse Norberto Mendez (17) as the Copa América’s all-time top scorer. Messi can conjure up mesmerizing displays at the drop of a hat, and as far as the top goalscorer Copa América odds go, he could head the pile.
Rodrygo (OTB)
A raw talent, Rodrygo is arguably one of the most versatile players that will feature at this year’s Copa América. At Real Madrid, he can play as either a right or left winger in a loose 3-4-3 formation, and he has flourished under Carlo Ancelotti.
He is always looking to make himself available as he can roam into the center of the pitch and has a sharp eye for goal.
The Brazilian’s importance to the Real cause shouldn’t be understated, and he has everything in his locker to light things up. He’s another player to watch out for.
Copa América top scorer long shot
Luis Diaz (+3000 at DraftKings)
As we have seen during his time at Liverpool, Luis Diaz is an explosive type of player who can score goals in clusters.
Following his exploits at the 2021 Copa América, where he was level on goals with Messi (four), Diaz will target an outright win in the Golden Boot this time.
The Colombian has a powerful shot that will keep defenders on their toes. Diaz can light things up, and he is the sort of player who gets fans off their seats.
Diaz is likely to pique the interest of some bettors, and he could be worth a closer look.
Copa América Golden Boot betting trends
A player whose nation has received a favourable group stage draw with lower-ranked, unfancied opposition is likelier to top the Copa América scoring charts.
Nevertheless, an influx of data, such as xG (expected goals), can influence a bettor’s pick ahead of a major tournament. Although many players will arrive at the tournament fatigued after a long and grueling season, those in good shape and with decent form behind them will be the ones to pay close attention to.
Over the years, there have been some surprise winners, such as Eduardo Vargas and Paolo Guerrero, but the cream of the crop has tended to rise to the top.
Copa América Golden Boot betting strategy
Picking a Copa América Golden Boot winner can be challenging. The following strategic pointers should help.
1. Analyze the groups
You should research the groups. Argentina aren’t expected to fall at the first hurdle, and they could rattle home the goals in the group stage.
In other groups, the situation might be more complex. Are there any potential banana skins, or is there a Group of Death? Establishing this could crystallize your picks.
2. Teams likely to go the distance
Naturally, Argentina and Uruguay, tied for the most titles at the time of writing (15), have serious credentials, and they will go into this year’s edition expecting to make inroads.
Such teams can move seamlessly through the gears, and inevitably, they will get stronger as the tournament progresses.
3. Penalty and free kick takers
While some players thrive in open play, others will be great exponents from dead-ball situatiuons, whether free kicks or penalties.
There will usually be designated takers, so keep an eye out for specials plugged by sportsbooks before a match. Looking through past stats will be useful in determining which players will be the most reliable.
4. Take advantage of odds boosts and betting promos
Throughout Copa América, a plethora of bonuses and promos will be advertised, and tapping into odds boosts or other parlay-related deals will keep your bankroll ticking.
We work with some of the best sportsbooks in the business, so we advise acting fast so you don’t miss out.
Copa América Golden Boot winner prediction
While there is an abundance of striking talent on show, Messi stands heads and shoulders above the rest. A man for the big occasion, Messi is the fourth all-time top scorer in Copa América with 13 goals, and he will be keen to defend his Golden Boot crown.
Messi is still the go-to option, and he can win games single-handedly. But he has a support cast that can provide the platform to dazzle.
This could be his final Copa América before he calls it a day on his international career, so he will want to leave it all on the line.
Copa América Golden Boot odds FAQs
Who is favorite to win the Copa América Golden Boot 2024?
Lautaro Martinez is currently the favorite to win the 2024 Copa América Golden Boot, with odds of +-200. He’s followed by Brazil’s Vinicius Junior at +600. Not far behind are Darwin Nunez at +300 and Julian Alvarez with odds of +5000.
Who was Copa América top scorer in 2021?
In 2021, Messi was the joint top-scorer at the Copa América alongside Diaz with four goals. However, as Messi supplied five assists, he pipped Diaz to the accolade.
And like three years ago, the Golden Boot race could again be a keenly contested battle.
Who has won the most Copa América Golden Boots?
The Copa América has been graced with some brilliant attacking displays. However, three players – Gabriel Batistuta, Guerrero and Vargas – have clinched the most Golden Boots.
They have scooped two Golden Boot titles, and Messi will look to join a relatively exclusive club this summer.
