Netherlands vs France Predictions and Odds: Two Giants Stepping Into the Arena!

© Shutterstock / Orange Pictures
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  • Will France, being Euro 2024’s second favorites, stamp their authority against the Dutch?
  • Where do cappers spot profit opportunities in the Netherlands-France game?
  • Can Mbappe, despite a bleeding nose, still find the back of the net?

Euro 2024 is gearing up for the second round of group games and France vs Netherlands predictions hit the newsstands on Friday.

Join a host of cappers at Oddspedia for all the consensus soccer picks and the latest odds and offers from the best US sportsbooks as they vie for your business throughout June and into mid-July

Also, explore our dedicated tournament hubs for thorough analysis on group and knockout stages as Copa America and Euro 2024 results shift team dynamics. We’re serving up a wealth of Euro 2024 predictions and Copa América 2024 predictions to enrich your betting strategy.

Netherlands vs France Predictions

Best Bet: France to win (-105 at Draftkings)

Not quite the intoxicating showpiece when both teams were at their imperious best, but still a heavy-duty meeting.

France deserved top billing in the betting, above England in the pre-tournament odds, particularly after their heroic failure in the 2022 World Cup final.

Meanwhile, Netherlands, with an unconvincing route through qualifying, including two group defeats by France and narrow, penalty-assisted wins over Greece and Republic of Ireland, have stuttered through an uneven and injury-troubled preparation.

Oranje were only 8th best in the Euro final pecking order before the tournament began and were four times the price of Friday’s opponents. They are the last of the genuine contenders before outright odds quickly reach +4000 and greater.

France has been perennials on the podium, reaching three finals of the last four major tournaments, have the best squad depth, and Mbappe is already a megastar, with his immediate future settled, albeit with a few injury niggles.

A 14-0 win over Gibraltar in qualifying was a mere statistical triviality. Of more credence is the 1.97 goals/90 scored and 1.21 goals/90 allowed against sides of Euro 2024 finalist calibre since 2019.

England, Germany, Belgium, Spain, Portugal, and the Netherlands have each been ticked off, but there have been some stumbles.

The Netherlands hasn’t been regulars at the top table for some time now, silverware is firmly rooted in manager Ronald Koeman’s playing generation, and he’s had to contend with important injuries during qualifying. He found it difficult to select a consistently regular side, but does have a versatile array of attacking styles to choose from, including an old-fashioned centre forward in Wout Weghorst.

However, nothing prepares a team for raw pace and skill, and Mbappe already has the Netherlands by the throat in qualifying, to produce a masterclass of variety, scoring from a distance, within the six-yard box, anticipating through passes, snapping into breathtaking individual skills as the Dutch struggled to cope with France’s creative flair led by Antoine Griezmann. A continuation will be sufficient to beat a Dutch team who are very likely to nevertheless reach the knockout stage.

Netherlands vs France Spread and Over/Under Analysis

Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-138 at bet365)

It’s rare to get much recent and direct form lines between major international sides, but that’s what we have when France and Netherlands play their second group match in Group D.

The two were qualifying rivals for the finals in Group B and there was much clear water between the two.

France won 4-0 at home in March 2023 and then 2-1 in the return in October, and the talent gap is also reflected in results against Europe’s elite countries since 2019.

France has rarely returned completely empty-handed. While the Netherlands can point to wins over Belgium, England, and Germany, they’ve also fallen to defeat against Italy, Portugal, Germany, the Czech Republic, and, of course, France.

Netherlands as a consistent threat for silverware is largely in the past, whereas France shows up at the business end of virtually every World Cup, if not quite every European event. But they will have nothing to fear from the Dutch.

France manager Didier Deschamps has nearly 12 years of experience in the job, and his team’s attacking prowess defines it. Even against the top opposition, goals flow, averaging just over three goals per game, and the Netherlands are just as expansive and swashbuckling.

Both Euro qualifying games between the sides went over 2.5 goals; 60% of France’s games and 64% of Dutch games since 2019 have also gone over.

Goals have flowed in early matches, following on from the riches from 2020, so take over 2.5 total goals. It even affords a bit of value.

More Expert Predictions for Netherlands vs France

Our Euro 2024 experts analyze this heavyweight clash between the Netherlands and France! Who will dominate? Get predictions from our international cappers before kickoff!

Netherlands vs France Player to Watch

Kylian Mbappe, Forward, Age: 25

All eyes on France superstar Kylian Mbappe © Shutterstock / Orange Pictures

The inevitable successor to Messi, Kylian Mbappe, is already a global superstar, having made his desired move to Real Madrid.

Blessed with raw pace, immaculate ball control and repeatably above-average finishing, he’ll play as the most forward central attacker, with the freedom to drift out to France’s left side.

He’ll press back to force turnovers and instigate fast counters, breaking lines and shredding defensive structures.

Every attacking metric falls in the top 97% percentile or above and his non penalty expected goals over performance amounts to around 20%. He’s 0.72 NP xG per 90 in his Ligue 1, PSG career and his 0.29 xAssists/90 would themselves be noteworthy, alone.

A World Cup winner in 2018, he almost single-handedly wrestled the 2022 crown from Argentina and niggly injures won’t stop him in Germany, where he topped the initial betting for top tournament scorer.

Netherlands vs France Odds

Netherlands vs France Game Info

Netherlands vs France

Red Bull Arena renamed for Euro2024 as Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig

Date Friday June 21, 2024
Time 3:00 pm ET
TV Fox Sports

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