--- description: Penafiel vs Lusitania de Lourosa Predictions ❱ 15.11.2026 ❱ Football ❱ Segunda Liga ✔️Free Betting Picks & Predictions ⚡Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community predictions title: Penafiel vs Lusitania de Lourosa Prediction, Picks & Probabilities 15/11/2026 image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/us/1x1/penafiel-lusitania-de-lourosa-10133151-tips.png --- * [ Home](/us) * [Soccer ](/us/soccer) * [Portugal ](/us/soccer/portugal) * [Segunda Liga ](/us/soccer/portugal/segunda-liga "Segunda Liga") * Penafiel - Lusitania de Lourosa Predictions ![Portugal](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/portugal.svg) Segunda Liga 15 Nov, Sunday |Round 11 [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/26528.png) Amarante ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/20045.png) Felgueiras @ ](/us/soccer/felgueiras-amarante-201643/picks "Amarante - Felgueiras") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3458.png) CD Tondela ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3445.png) Farense @ ](/us/soccer/farense-cd-tondela-74365/picks "CD Tondela - Farense") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3455.png) Portimonense ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3427.png) Academica @ ](/us/soccer/academica-portimonense-73761/picks "Portimonense - Academica") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3412.png) Benfica B ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/162866.png) AVS @ ](/us/soccer/benfica-b-avs-1180088/picks "Benfica B - AVS") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ ](/us/soccer/penafiel-lusitania-de-lourosa-74173/picks "Penafiel - Lusitania de Lourosa") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3416.png) Porto B ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/8381.png) Uniao Torreense @ ](/us/soccer/porto-b-uniao-torreense-987927/picks "Porto B - Uniao Torreense") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/18551.png) UD Leiria ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3419.png) Sporting CP B @ ](/us/soccer/sporting-cp-b-ud-leiria-828245/picks "UD Leiria - Sporting CP B") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/9518.png) Vizela ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3446.png) CD Feirense @ ](/us/soccer/cd-feirense-vizela-74414/picks "Vizela - CD Feirense") [ ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3449.png) Leixoes ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3443.png) Chaves @ ](/us/soccer/chaves-leixoes-74300/picks "Leixoes - Chaves") Popular leagues * [ ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4.png) Bundesliga ![Bundesliga](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/leagues/medium/4@2x.png) Bundesliga ](/us/soccer/germany/bundesliga "Bundesliga") * [ ![2. 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Tomorrow 15th Nov 26, 16:30 ![Weather Icon](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/weather/rain.svg)14° ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa ![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) ![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) Winner probabilities 35% 28% 37% 1x2: Away ![DraftKings](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/draftkings.png) 3.30 Quick Links: Best Picks Match Probabilities Trends Community Betting stats Matches H2H Standings Lineups Alternative Bets Contests Offers Match Info ![Oddspedia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-simple-ui.svg) ## picks ![Computer picks](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) Powered by ![Oddspedia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-simple.svg) Double Chance: Draw or Lusitania de Lourosa Confidence Rating ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) Best odds 1.57 Given the current form of both teams, backing a Double Chance on Lusitania de Lourosa (X2) seems wise. While Penafiel is riding a three-match winning streak, there's a lot to consider. Lusitania has shown resilience, especially with their ability to score significantly in the first half. They also have the advantage in previous head-to-head matchups, with Penafiel not overwhelming them historically. Additionally, with both teams struggling defensively—Penafiel having conceded in all of their last five home matches and Lusitania in their last eight—this match could easily end in a draw or a narrow win for Lusitania. Expect a competitive match with a solid chance for Lusitania to secure at least a point. Oddspedia Model Probability 64.26% Betting Odds Probability @1.64 60.98% 5.38% Bet value Given the current form of both teams, backing a Double Chance on Lusitania de Lourosa (X2) seems wise. While Penafiel is riding a three-match winning streak, there's a lot to consider. Lusitania has shown resilience, especially with their ability to score significantly in the first half. They also have the advantage in previous head-to-head matchups, with Penafiel not overwhelming them historically. Additionally, with both teams struggling defensively—Penafiel having conceded in all of their last five home matches and Lusitania in their last eight—this match could easily end in a draw or a narrow win for Lusitania. Expect a competitive match with a solid chance for Lusitania to secure at least a point. Oddspedia Model Probability 64.26% Betting Odds Probability @1.64 60.98% 5.38% Bet value What is SmartBet? Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Penafiel vs Lusitania de Lourosa. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer) Total Goals: Under 3.5 Confidence Rating ![DraftKings](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/draftkings.png) Best odds 1.26 Given the current statistics, a prediction of total goals being under 3.5 for the Penafiel versus Lusitania de Lourosa match looks promising. Both teams have consistently struggled to find the back of the net in their previous meetings, with historical data showing an average of just 0.67 goals in their encounters. Additionally, Penafiel's defense has been solid, especially at home, and Lusitania have failed to score in key moments. The trend of Penafiel winning by narrow margins further supports this forecast. Overall, the combination of these factors strongly indicates a low-scoring affair is likely on the cards. Oddspedia Model Probability 78.48% Betting Odds Probability @1.28 78.13% 0.45% Bet value Given the current statistics, a prediction of total goals being under 3.5 for the Penafiel versus Lusitania de Lourosa match looks promising. Both teams have consistently struggled to find the back of the net in their previous meetings, with historical data showing an average of just 0.67 goals in their encounters. Additionally, Penafiel's defense has been solid, especially at home, and Lusitania have failed to score in key moments. The trend of Penafiel winning by narrow margins further supports this forecast. Overall, the combination of these factors strongly indicates a low-scoring affair is likely on the cards. Oddspedia Model Probability 78.48% Betting Odds Probability @1.28 78.13% 0.45% Bet value Both Teams to Score: No Confidence Rating ![FanDuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/fanduel.png) Best odds 2.06 Given the current form of both teams, betting on "Both Teams to Score: No" seems to hold substantial merit. Penafiel has shown defensive resilience, having not scored in one of their last five home matches this season, while Lusitania de Lourosa has similarly struggled to find the net away from home, failing to score in one of their five away games. Historical data further supports this; in their previous clashes, both sides have consistently fallen short of multiple goals, averaging only 0.67 goals per match. With Penafiel's strong home record and Lusitania's recent inability to score, this prediction appears to be a solid choice for bettors seeking value. Oddspedia Model Probability 50.97% Betting Odds Probability @2.08 48.08% 6.01% Bet value Given the current form of both teams, betting on "Both Teams to Score: No" seems to hold substantial merit. Penafiel has shown defensive resilience, having not scored in one of their last five home matches this season, while Lusitania de Lourosa has similarly struggled to find the net away from home, failing to score in one of their five away games. Historical data further supports this; in their previous clashes, both sides have consistently fallen short of multiple goals, averaging only 0.67 goals per match. With Penafiel's strong home record and Lusitania's recent inability to score, this prediction appears to be a solid choice for bettors seeking value. Oddspedia Model Probability 50.97% Betting Odds Probability @2.08 48.08% 6.01% Bet value ## Game Probabilities ![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg) Winner probabilities ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/3437.png) ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3437.png) PEN 35% Home 28% Draw 37% Away ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/28277.png) ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) LUS Correct Score probabilities \>3 3 2 1 0 3.0% <0.1% 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 6.2% 7.9% 4.7% 2.0% 10.9% 13.3% 8.4% 3.4% 9.6% 10.8% 6.0% 2.5% 3.4% 0 1 2 3 \>3 Correct Score: 1-1 ![bet365](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/bet365.png) 6.50 ## Betting Trends ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/3437.png) FC Penafiel have a winning streak of 3 matches in Liga Portugal 2. ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/3437.png) Did you know that FC Penafiel scores 26% of their goals between the minutes 76-90? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/28277.png) Did you know that Lusitania FC Lourosa scores 33% of their goals between the minutes 31-45? Show more ## Community Picks 0 Add pick Sort by Latest Only cappers I follow ![No results found](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/not-found/no-results-background.svg) Be the first to call it! Add your prediction Ready to make your Penafiel vs Lusitania de Lourosa prediction? Add Tip ## Betting stats Goals BTTS Corners Cards Goals BTTS Corners Cards Total H2H Total H2H ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3437.png) ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3437.png) Penafiel PEN Played 12 Lusitania de Lourosa LUS Played 12 ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) 0% 0% ATS % 0% 0% 67% 67% Totals Covered % 42% 42% 100% 100% Games over 0.5 goals 100% 100% 75% 75% Games over 1.5 goals 83% 83% 67% 67% Games over 2.5 goals 50% 50% 33% 33% Games over 3.5 goals 25% 25% 25% 25% Games over 4.5 goals 0% 0% 50% 50% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 42% 42% 50% 50% Scored in both halves 58% 58% 8% 8% Conceded in both halves 8% 8% ## Last Matches All Leagues L L W W W ? D W D D L ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3437.png) Penafiel PEN ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa LUS Recent form: L L W W W ? All Home Away Recent form: D W D D L ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/portugal.svg) [29 Nov 16:30 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3412.png) Benfica B @ ? ](/us/soccer/benfica-b-penafiel-73045 "Penafiel Benfica B") [15 Nov 16:30 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ ? ](/us/soccer/penafiel-lusitania-de-lourosa-74173 "Penafiel Lusitania de Lourosa") [07 Nov Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3443.png) Chaves ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel @ 2 3 W ](/us/soccer/penafiel-chaves-74143 "Chaves Penafiel") [02 Nov Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3446.png) CD Feirense @ 1 0 W ](/us/soccer/penafiel-cd-feirense-74146 "Penafiel CD Feirense") [24 Oct Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3445.png) Farense ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel @ 1 4 W ](/us/soccer/penafiel-farense-74145 "Farense Penafiel") Recent form: L L W W W ? All Home Away Recent form: D W D D L ? ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/portugal.svg) [22 Nov 15:00 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/26113.png) GD Vitoria de Sernache ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ ? ](/us/soccer/gd-vitoria-de-sernache-lusitania-de-lourosa-2186419 "GD Vitoria de Sernache Lusitania de Lourosa") ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/portugal.svg) [15 Nov 16:30 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ ? ](/us/soccer/penafiel-lusitania-de-lourosa-74173 "Penafiel Lusitania de Lourosa") [08 Nov Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3446.png) CD Feirense ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ 1 0 L ](/us/soccer/cd-feirense-lusitania-de-lourosa-1327622 "CD Feirense Lusitania de Lourosa") [01 Nov Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3445.png) Farense @ 1 1 D ](/us/soccer/farense-lusitania-de-lourosa-1506663 "Lusitania de Lourosa Farense") [25 Oct Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/20045.png) Felgueiras ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ 2 2 D ](/us/soccer/felgueiras-lusitania-de-lourosa-201644 "Felgueiras Lusitania de Lourosa") Show more ## Head to Head Last 9 years ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3437.png) ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3437.png) PEN 1 Win 2 Draws 0 Wins 3 played ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) LUS ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/portugal.svg) 16 Feb 2026 Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ 2 0 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/portugal.svg) 13 Sep 2025 Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel @ 0 0 ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/world.svg) 22 Jul 2019 Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa @ 0 0 ## Standings Standings Top Scorers Futures Total Home Away | \# | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | | | | -- | ---- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ | -- | - | - | ----- | ----- | ----------- | -- | | | 1 | ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | W L W W W ? | 22 | | | 4 | ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | W D D D L ? | 19 | Show full standings Show more ## Possible Lineups Confirmed 1h before kick-off ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/3437.png) PEN ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/28277.png) LUS ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel ![ Miguel Oliveira](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/dfe6a06a573bccc62e25391ee6b13424.png) ![ Miguel Oliveira](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/dfe6a06a573bccc62e25391ee6b13424.png) Miguel Oliveira Goalkeeper ![ Jorge Mere](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/055cd981496db719561aad958d7ca210.png) ![ Jorge Mere](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/055cd981496db719561aad958d7ca210.png) Jorge Mere Defender ![ Claudio Moreira Silva](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c8798335ac2be4d98f99eb3b96a7d450.png) ![ Claudio Moreira Silva](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/c8798335ac2be4d98f99eb3b96a7d450.png) Claudio Moreira Silva Defender ![ Iano Simao da Silva Imbene](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Iano Simao da Silva Imbene](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Iano Simao da Silva Imbene Defender ![ Douglas Borel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Douglas Borel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Douglas Borel Defender ![ Adrian Pica](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Adrian Pica](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Adrian Pica Defender ![ Pedro Sa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/561f935e6ea6fa431d661e77c99aa169.png) ![ Pedro Sa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/561f935e6ea6fa431d661e77c99aa169.png) Pedro Sa Midfielder ![ Andre Ricardo Ferreira Schutte](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Andre Ricardo Ferreira Schutte](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Andre Ricardo Ferreira Schutte Forward ![ Max Svensson](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/648f78a11fd2792242b8709ad7f4bbe0.png) ![ Max Svensson](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/648f78a11fd2792242b8709ad7f4bbe0.png) Max Svensson Forward ![ Juan David Fuentes Garrido](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Juan David Fuentes Garrido](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Juan David Fuentes Garrido Forward ![ Joao Pinto](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Joao Pinto](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Joao Pinto Forward ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa ![ Brian Araujo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/af194db4a6bd5acd8988cf299f0c1fc1.png) ![ Brian Araujo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/af194db4a6bd5acd8988cf299f0c1fc1.png) Brian Araujo Goalkeeper ![Ricardinho](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/56598ede55b9ccee958db8d699be0a30.png) ![Ricardinho](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/56598ede55b9ccee958db8d699be0a30.png) Ricardinho Defender ![ Francisco Machado](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Francisco Machado](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Francisco Machado Defender ![ Bruno Faria](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Bruno Faria](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Bruno Faria Defender ![ Fabio Miguel Jesus Carvalho](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Fabio Miguel Jesus Carvalho](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Fabio Miguel Jesus Carvalho Midfielder ![ Diogo Paulo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Diogo Paulo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Diogo Paulo Midfielder ![ Dylan Joao Raymond Collard](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Dylan Joao Raymond Collard](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Dylan Joao Raymond Collard Midfielder ![Arsenio](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e324ab56fa6492c7947daef8e2d1efe3.png) ![Arsenio](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/e324ab56fa6492c7947daef8e2d1efe3.png) Arsenio Forward ![ Micael Filipe Correia Borges](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Micael Filipe Correia Borges](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Micael Filipe Correia Borges Forward ![ Joao Pedro Palma Santos](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![ Joao Pedro Palma Santos](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Joao Pedro Palma Santos Forward ![Paulinho](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) ![Paulinho](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/players/small/null) Paulinho Forward ![Injured Icon](/placeholder.svg)Injured ![Bench Icon](/placeholder.svg)Bench ![Penafiel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/3437.png) Penafiel No missing players for Penafiel ![Lusitania de Lourosa](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/28277.png) Lusitania de Lourosa No missing players for Lusitania de Lourosa ## More Segunda Liga Smart Bet Predictions Oddpedia’s Smart Bet system is powered by advanced AI technology, with the ability to generate successful predictions across thousands of football games in multiple different leagues. 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