---
description: New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic Predictions ❱ 16.11.2026 ❱ Football ❱ USL Championship ✔️Free Betting Picks &amp; Predictions ⚡Computer Model 🏆 Expert ⭐ Community predictions
title: New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, Picks &amp; Probabilities 16/11/2026
image: https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/us/1x1/new-mexico-sacramento-republic-10344728-tips.png
---

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* New Mexico - Sacramento Republic Predictions

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[ ](#) 

# New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic Predictions

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

New Mexico

2 days 

16th Nov 26, 01:00 

![Weather Icon](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/weather/clear-day.svg)12° 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic

![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) ![Smartbet Logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) Winner probabilities 

28% 

28% 

44% 

1x2: Away 

![DraftKings](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/draftkings.png)

2.45 

Quick Links: 

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Match Info 

![Oddspedia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-simple-ui.svg)

## picks 

![Computer picks](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/predictions/smart-bet-white.svg) 

Powered by 

![Oddspedia logo](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/static/brand-logos/logo-simple.svg) 

Total Goals: Over 3.5 

Confidence Rating 

![DraftKings](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/draftkings.png)

Best odds 

3.15 

The matchup between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic suggests a potential for plenty of goals. With Sacramento scoring an average of 2.2 goals against New Mexico, and both teams displaying strong attacking forms recently, the likelihood of over 3.5 goals happening looks promising. New Mexico's home advantage and current winning streak could ignite their offense, while Sacramento's unbeaten run and goal-scoring consistency should keep pressure on the hosts. Historically, while the odds for over 3.5 goals aren't overwhelming, the overall attacking prowess of both teams makes this a solid bet, reflecting a good chance of an exciting, high-scoring encounter.

Oddspedia Model Probability 31.08%

Betting Odds Probability @3.40 29.41%

5.68% 

Bet value 

The matchup between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic suggests a potential for plenty of goals. With Sacramento scoring an average of 2.2 goals against New Mexico, and both teams displaying strong attacking forms recently, the likelihood of over 3.5 goals happening looks promising. New Mexico's home advantage and current winning streak could ignite their offense, while Sacramento's unbeaten run and goal-scoring consistency should keep pressure on the hosts. Historically, while the odds for over 3.5 goals aren't overwhelming, the overall attacking prowess of both teams makes this a solid bet, reflecting a good chance of an exciting, high-scoring encounter.

Oddspedia Model Probability 31.08%

Betting Odds Probability @3.40 29.41%

5.68% 

Bet value 

What is SmartBet? 

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. [Learn more about SmartBet.](https://oddspedia.com/insights/betting/oddspedia-smartbet-explainer)

Double Chance: Draw or Sacramento Republic 

Confidence Rating 

![FanDuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/fanduel.png)

Best odds 

1.38 

With Sacramento Republic's impressive streak of no losses in their last 15 matches and a solid away performance, backing them with a Double Chance bet is a smart move. They've dominated New Mexico in previous encounters, winning 9 of their last 15 meetings, including 4 out of 6 games played in New Mexico. Although New Mexico is on a winning streak themselves, their scoring rate against Sacramento is significantly lower. Given these factors, the expectation is that Sacramento Republic will either win or at least secure a draw. This bet offers a strong safety net considering Sacramento's resilient form.

Oddspedia Model Probability 71.86%

Betting Odds Probability @1.45 68.97%

4.19% 

Bet value 

With Sacramento Republic's impressive streak of no losses in their last 15 matches and a solid away performance, backing them with a Double Chance bet is a smart move. They've dominated New Mexico in previous encounters, winning 9 of their last 15 meetings, including 4 out of 6 games played in New Mexico. Although New Mexico is on a winning streak themselves, their scoring rate against Sacramento is significantly lower. Given these factors, the expectation is that Sacramento Republic will either win or at least secure a draw. This bet offers a strong safety net considering Sacramento's resilient form.

Oddspedia Model Probability 71.86%

Betting Odds Probability @1.45 68.97%

4.19% 

Bet value 

Final 1x2: Sacramento Republic 

Confidence Rating 

![DraftKings](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/draftkings.png)

Best odds 

2.45 

Sacramento Republic looks poised to secure an away victory against New Mexico United. Recent form shows Sacramento’s impressive winning streak, coupled with their strong head-to-head record, winning 4 out of their last 6 encounters at New Mexico. They boast a solid defensive record, having not lost any of their last 15 games, while New Mexico struggles to score consistently against them, averaging just 0.8 goals per match in their meetings. With New Mexico's recent clean sheets not being a major concern for Sacramento's attacking prowess, the weight of statistics favors an away win. This matchup is a great opportunity to bet on Sacramento maintaining their dominance.

Oddspedia Model Probability 44.26%

Betting Odds Probability @2.54 39.37%

12.42% 

Bet value 

Sacramento Republic looks poised to secure an away victory against New Mexico United. Recent form shows Sacramento’s impressive winning streak, coupled with their strong head-to-head record, winning 4 out of their last 6 encounters at New Mexico. They boast a solid defensive record, having not lost any of their last 15 games, while New Mexico struggles to score consistently against them, averaging just 0.8 goals per match in their meetings. With New Mexico's recent clean sheets not being a major concern for Sacramento's attacking prowess, the weight of statistics favors an away win. This matchup is a great opportunity to bet on Sacramento maintaining their dominance.

Oddspedia Model Probability 44.26%

Betting Odds Probability @2.54 39.37%

12.42% 

Bet value 

## Game Probabilities 

![Smartbet Logo](/placeholder.svg)

Winner probabilities 

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

NEW 

28% Home 

28% Draw 

44% Away 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

SRP 

Correct Score probabilities 

\>3 3 2 1 0 

3.5% 0.3% 1.6% 2.8% 2.2% 1.4% 4.2% 7.3% 6.0% 3.4% 6.8% 12.7% 9.5% 4.5% 7.2% 9.2% 7.1% 3.6% 6.8% 

0 1 2 3 \>3

Correct Score: 1-1 

![FanDuel](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/bookmakers/dark-back/80x32/fanduel.png)

6.00 

## Betting Trends 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

The most common result of matches between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic FC is 1-2\. 3 matches have ended with this result.

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

During the last 6 meetings with New Mexico United playing at home, New Mexico United have won 2 times, there have been 0 draws while Sacramento Republic FC have won 4 times. The goal difference is 11-9 in favour of Sacramento Republic FC.

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/46390.png)

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/medium/1/6397.png)

During the last 15 meetings, New Mexico United have won 4 times, there have been 2 draws while Sacramento Republic FC have won 9 times. The goal difference is 23-14 in favour of Sacramento Republic FC.

Show more 

## Community Picks 

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## Betting stats 

 Goals 

 BTTS 

 Corners 

 Cards 

 Goals 

 BTTS 

 Corners 

 Cards 

 Total 

 H2H 

 Total 

 H2H 

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

New Mexico 

NEW 

Played 32 

Sacramento Republic 

SRP 

Played 33 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

 0%  0% ATS %  0%  0% 

 47%  47% Totals Covered %  33%  33% 

 91%  91% Games over 0.5 goals  88%  88% 

 59%  59% Games over 1.5 goals  67%  67% 

 53%  53% Games over 2.5 goals  33%  33% 

 31%  31% Games over 3.5 goals  21%  21% 

 16%  16% Games over 4.5 goals  15%  15% 

 34%  34% Over HT1.5 goals at half time %  36%  36% 

 28%  28% Scored in both halves  18%  18% 

 22%  22% Conceded in both halves  9%  9% 

## Last Matches 

All Leagues 

W L W W W ? 

D W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

New Mexico NEW 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic SRP 

Recent form: 

W L W W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

[16 Nov 01:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic @ ? ](/us/soccer/sacramento-republic-new-mexico-138280 "New Mexico Sacramento Republic") 

[08 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/17888.png) Colorado Switchbacks @ 4 0 W ](/us/soccer/colorado-switchbacks-new-mexico-187759 "New Mexico Colorado Switchbacks") 

[02 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/56826.png) Phoenix Rising FC @ 2 0 W ](/us/soccer/new-mexico-phoenix-rising-fc-239044 "New Mexico Phoenix Rising FC") 

[25 Oct   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/97769.png) El Paso Locomotive ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico @ 0 1 W ](/us/soccer/new-mexico-el-paso-locomotive-239048 "El Paso Locomotive New Mexico") 

[18 Oct   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/36767.png) San Antonio FC ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico @ 1 0 L ](/us/soccer/san-antonio-fc-new-mexico-230074 "San Antonio FC New Mexico") 

Recent form: 

W L W W W ? 

 All 

 Home 

 Away 

Recent form: 

D W W W W ? 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

[16 Nov 01:00  ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png) New Mexico ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic @ ? ](/us/soccer/sacramento-republic-new-mexico-138280 "New Mexico Sacramento Republic") 

[08 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/97769.png) El Paso Locomotive @ 2 1 W ](/us/soccer/sacramento-republic-el-paso-locomotive-138287 "Sacramento Republic El Paso Locomotive") 

[02 Nov   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/18069.png) Tulsa Roughnecks @ 1 0 W ](/us/soccer/sacramento-republic-tulsa-roughnecks-138266 "Sacramento Republic Tulsa Roughnecks") 

[25 Oct   Final ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png) Sacramento Republic ![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/107453.png) Oakland Roots @ 3 2 W ](/us/soccer/sacramento-republic-oakland-roots-138288 "Sacramento Republic Oakland Roots") 

18 Oct   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/97769.png)

El Paso Locomotive 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic @ 

0 

1 

W 

Show more 

## Head to Head 

Last 9 years

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

![New Mexico](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/46390.png)

NEW 

4

Wins 

2

Draws 

9

Wins 

15 played 

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

![Sacramento Republic](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/big/1/6397.png)

SRP 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

27 Sep 2026   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png)

New Mexico 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic @ 

2 

3 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

21 Jun 2026   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png)

New Mexico @ 

0 

1 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/categories/usa.svg)

31 Aug 2025   

 Final 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/46390.png)

New Mexico 

![](https://cdn.oddspedia.com/images/teams/small/1/6397.png)

Sacramento Republic @ 

0 

2 

Show more 

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## Match Details 

Referee

Referee 

\-

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Stadium 

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

Location

Location 

Albuquerque, NM, USA

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