Vallecano - Bilbao Predictions
Rayo Vallecano
Suspended
10th Oct 26, 8:00 AM
Athletic Bilbao
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Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano or Draw
Confidence Rating
Void
-175
Rayo Vallecano's solid home form, highlighted by their unbeaten streak and three straight home victories, positions them well against Athletic Bilbao, who struggle historically at Vallecas. While Rayo has conceded in their last 13 matches, they consistently find the net, scoring in seven consecutive games. The head-to-head records further support a double chance for Rayo, given their resilience at home despite their past struggles against Bilbao. Athletic has been strong recently, but Rayo’s current home advantage and scoring prowess make the double chance of 1X an enticing wager. This match promises competitive football, and backing Rayo not to lose seems a prudent choice.
Oddspedia Model Probability
64.42%
Betting Odds Probability @-154
60.61% 6.29% Bet value
Rayo Vallecano's solid home form, highlighted by their unbeaten streak and three straight home victories, positions them well against Athletic Bilbao, who struggle historically at Vallecas. While Rayo has conceded in their last 13 matches, they consistently find the net, scoring in seven consecutive games. The head-to-head records further support a double chance for Rayo, given their resilience at home despite their past struggles against Bilbao. Athletic has been strong recently, but Rayo’s current home advantage and scoring prowess make the double chance of 1X an enticing wager. This match promises competitive football, and backing Rayo not to lose seems a prudent choice.
Oddspedia Model Probability
64.42%
Betting Odds Probability @-154
60.61%
6.29%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
Void
-111
Given the recent form and historical performances, backing "Total Goals: Under 2.5" seems a wise choice. Rayo Vallecano's last few matches indicate a struggle to find the back of the net against tougher opponents, while Athletic Bilbao often deploys a sound defensive strategy that minimizes chances. Past meetings have also shown limited goal output, with an average of just 2.2 goals per game in their encounters. Additionally, both teams are experiencing pressure to improve their standings and may prioritize not conceding over pushing for goals. With these factors in mind, an under 2.5 goals outcome appears highly probable.
Oddspedia Model Probability
50.6%
Betting Odds Probability @-102
50.51% 0.18% Bet value
Given the recent form and historical performances, backing "Total Goals: Under 2.5" seems a wise choice. Rayo Vallecano's last few matches indicate a struggle to find the back of the net against tougher opponents, while Athletic Bilbao often deploys a sound defensive strategy that minimizes chances. Past meetings have also shown limited goal output, with an average of just 2.2 goals per game in their encounters. Additionally, both teams are experiencing pressure to improve their standings and may prioritize not conceding over pushing for goals. With these factors in mind, an under 2.5 goals outcome appears highly probable.
Oddspedia Model Probability
50.6%
Betting Odds Probability @-102
50.51%
0.18%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
Void
-300
Given the historical performance and recent form of both teams, betting on under 3.5 total goals seems like a wise choice. Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao have demonstrated a tendency towards lower-scoring matches in their recent encounters, with the last two games concluding with a maximum of two goals each. Rayo's strong home defence, coupled with their record of conceding in every match over the past 13 games, suggests they'll be cautious. Moreover, both teams balance their play without overly committing to attack, making it less likely that we'll see a high-scoring affair. With these factors in mind, under 3.5 goals stands out as a compelling prediction.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.3%
Betting Odds Probability @-270
72.99% 0.42% Bet value
Given the historical performance and recent form of both teams, betting on under 3.5 total goals seems like a wise choice. Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao have demonstrated a tendency towards lower-scoring matches in their recent encounters, with the last two games concluding with a maximum of two goals each. Rayo's strong home defence, coupled with their record of conceding in every match over the past 13 games, suggests they'll be cautious. Moreover, both teams balance their play without overly committing to attack, making it less likely that we'll see a high-scoring affair. With these factors in mind, under 3.5 goals stands out as a compelling prediction.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.3%
Betting Odds Probability @-270
72.99%
0.42%
Bet value
Community Picks
350
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-1.176,60
1106 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Void
+110
+871,20
1538 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Spread: Athletic Bilbao -2
Void
+834
-121,55
73 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Correct Score: 1 : 1
Void
+500
-235,20
159 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
Void
+360
-235,20
159 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
1st Half Total Goals: Over 2.5
Void
+772
-1.112,24
1999 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano or Draw
Void
-200
-333,58
664 Picks
a month ago
2
Parlay
Won
+147
-479,86
1169 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
1st Half Total Goals: Under 1.25
Void
-200
+693,75
971 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Total Goals: Under 1
Void
+610
+2.604,30
1727 Picks
a month ago
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao
Total Goals: Under 1
Void
+610
Betting stats
RVC
Played 13
BIL
Played 13
23%
ATS %
38%
54%
Totals Covered %
46%
92%
Matches over 0.5 goals
77%
85%
Matches over 1.5 goals
77%
62%
Matches over 2.5 goals
46%
31%
Matches over 3.5 goals
31%
31%
Matches over 4.5 goals
8%
46%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
38%
23%
Scored in both halves
15%
23%
Conceded in both halves
23%
Last Matches
D
L
W
W
L
?
L
W
W
W
D
?
Head To Head
1
Win
4
Draws
8
Wins
13 played
28 Feb 2026
Final
1
1
25 Aug 2025
Final
1
0
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
|
Athletic Bilbao
|
11
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
15:11
|
D
L
W
W
D
?
|
16
| |
14
|
Rayo Vallecano
|
11
|
3
|
3
|
5
|
15:21
|
D
D
L
W
L
?
|
12
| |
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Match Details
Referee
Sanchez Martinez, Jose Maria
Stadium
Vallecas Stadium
Location
Madrid, Spain
Weather Forecast
21°.
