Dep Maldonado - Cerro Predictions
Deportivo Maldonado
2 days
14th Nov 26, 2:30 PM
23°
CA Cerro
Winner probabilities
1x2: Home
-147
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Total Corners: Under 10.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-233
Considering the recent form and tactics of both teams, betting on "Total Corners: Under 10.5" appears to be a solid choice. Deportivo Maldonado has shown a mixed performance in their last five matches, while CA Cerro has struggled more, especially in their last outings. Historical data indicates a tendency for these teams to control play within the midfield rather than spreading wide, which results in fewer corner opportunities. Additionally, their head-to-head record suggests that high corner counts are rare. With these factors in play, it’s reasonable to expect a match that limits corner kicks, making the under an appealing proposition.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.9%
Betting Odds Probability @-238
70.42% 4.94% Bet value
Considering the recent form and tactics of both teams, betting on "Total Corners: Under 10.5" appears to be a solid choice. Deportivo Maldonado has shown a mixed performance in their last five matches, while CA Cerro has struggled more, especially in their last outings. Historical data indicates a tendency for these teams to control play within the midfield rather than spreading wide, which results in fewer corner opportunities. Additionally, their head-to-head record suggests that high corner counts are rare. With these factors in play, it’s reasonable to expect a match that limits corner kicks, making the under an appealing proposition.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.9%
Betting Odds Probability @-238
70.42%
4.94%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Cerro. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Over 1.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-333
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro, betting on "Total Goals: Over 1.5" presents a compelling opportunity. Analyzing recent form, Deportivo has shown an ability to score, notching three wins in their last five matches, while CA Cerro's inconsistent performance hints at potential defensive vulnerabilities. Historically, these teams have encountered high-scoring games, with a nearly 57% chance of exceeding 1.5 goals in their previous encounters. Given both the current momentum of Deportivo and CA Cerro's struggles, this match is poised to deliver at least two goals, making the Over 1.5 bet a smart choice for bettors.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.64%
Betting Odds Probability @-250
71.43% 3.09% Bet value
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro, betting on "Total Goals: Over 1.5" presents a compelling opportunity. Analyzing recent form, Deportivo has shown an ability to score, notching three wins in their last five matches, while CA Cerro's inconsistent performance hints at potential defensive vulnerabilities. Historically, these teams have encountered high-scoring games, with a nearly 57% chance of exceeding 1.5 goals in their previous encounters. Given both the current momentum of Deportivo and CA Cerro's struggles, this match is poised to deliver at least two goals, making the Over 1.5 bet a smart choice for bettors.
Oddspedia Model Probability
73.64%
Betting Odds Probability @-250
71.43%
3.09%
Bet value
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-105
With Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro facing off, the prediction of over 2.5 total goals is quite promising. Both teams have shown a willingness to score in recent matches, with Deportivo securing three wins and a draw in their last five outings, while CA Cerro, despite mixed results, brings its own attacking potential. Historically, their encounters have seen a 56% success rate for over 2.5 goals. Coupled with Deportivo's current form, this match could very well live up to expectations with a lively scoreline. The conditions are ripe for an entertaining clash, making the over 2.5 goals bet a sound choice.
Oddspedia Model Probability
49.33%
Betting Odds Probability @+125
44.44% 11% Bet value
With Deportivo Maldonado and CA Cerro facing off, the prediction of over 2.5 total goals is quite promising. Both teams have shown a willingness to score in recent matches, with Deportivo securing three wins and a draw in their last five outings, while CA Cerro, despite mixed results, brings its own attacking potential. Historically, their encounters have seen a 56% success rate for over 2.5 goals. Coupled with Deportivo's current form, this match could very well live up to expectations with a lively scoreline. The conditions are ripe for an entertaining clash, making the over 2.5 goals bet a sound choice.
Oddspedia Model Probability
49.33%
Betting Odds Probability @+125
44.44%
11%
Bet value
Match Probabilities
Winner probabilities
MAL
CAC
58%
Home
24%
Draw
18%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
9.3%
<0.1%
6.3%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
10.6%
10.5%
4.3%
1.3%
12.8%
11.3%
5.2%
1.5%
7.5%
5.9%
2.6%
0.8%
1.2%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-0
+550
Betting Trends
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Betting stats
MAL
Played 41
CAC
Played 38
0%
ATS %
0%
49%
Totals Covered %
42%
90%
Matches over 0.5 goals
97%
78%
Matches over 1.5 goals
68%
49%
Matches over 2.5 goals
42%
24%
Matches over 3.5 goals
21%
15%
Matches over 4.5 goals
5%
32%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
34%
32%
Scored in both halves
8%
15%
Conceded in both halves
32%
Last Matches
L
W
W
D
L
?
L
W
D
L
L
?
Head To Head
6
Wins
2
Draws
1
Win
9 played
23 Sep 2026
Final
1
2
02 May 2026
Final
0
1
08 Nov 2024
Final
0
0
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
| 
Racing Club Montevideo
|
15
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
23:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
31
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
24:16
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
29
| |
3
| 
Albion FC
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
26:16
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
28
| |
4
| 
CA Penarol
|
15
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
23:16
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
27
| |
5
| 
Central Espanol
|
15
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
23:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
24
| |
6
| 
Torque
|
15
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
22:16
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
23
| |
7
| 
Nacional De Football
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
7
|
26:21
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
22
| |
8
| 
Defensor Sporting
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
13:11
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
21
| |
9
| 
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
20:18
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
20
| |
10
| 
Montevideo Wanderers
|
15
|
6
|
2
|
7
|
16:21
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
20
| |
11
| 
Danubio
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
17:21
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
18
| |
12
| 
Cerro Largo
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
16:19
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
17
| |
13
| 
Boston River
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
14:20
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
17
| |
14
| 
CA Juventud
|
15
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
17:22
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
15
| |
15
| 
Club Atletico Progreso
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
12:23
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
10
| |
16
|
CA Cerro
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
8:24
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
10
| |
Clausura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
22:8
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
30
| |
2
|
Torque
|
13
|
9
|
1
|
3
|
26:14
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
28
| |
3
|
Nacional De Football
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
3
|
19:13
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
26
| |
4
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
13
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
18:10
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
22
| |
5
|
CA Penarol
|
13
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
17:9
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
22
| |
6
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
13
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
18:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
19
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
13
|
6
|
1
|
6
|
13:15
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
19
| |
8
|
CA Juventud
|
13
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
12:10
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
18
| |
9
|
CA Cerro
|
13
|
5
|
3
|
5
|
15:19
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
18
| |
10
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
13
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
14:19
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Boston River
|
13
|
4
|
3
|
6
|
15:17
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
15
| |
12
|
Albion FC
|
13
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
15:20
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
13
| |
13
|
Defensor Sporting
|
13
|
3
|
3
|
7
|
16:23
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
12
| |
14
|
Danubio
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
7
|
7:15
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
10
| |
15
|
Cerro Largo
|
13
|
1
|
6
|
6
|
10:17
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
9
| |
16
|
Central Espanol
|
13
|
2
|
2
|
9
|
8:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
8
| |
Intermedio A
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
12:3
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
16
| |
2
|
Cerro Largo
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
7:5
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
11
| |
3
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
4:3
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
10
| |
4
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
5:5
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
9
| |
5
|
Central Espanol
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
4:4
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
9
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
7
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
6:10
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
9
| |
7
|
Defensor Sporting
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:9
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Boston River
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5:10
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
5
| |
Intermedio B
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
7
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
12:4
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
15
| |
2
|
Nacional De Football
|
7
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
8:8
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
13
| |
3
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
7
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
12:6
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
12
| |
4
|
Torque
|
7
|
4
|
0
|
3
|
11:11
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
12
| |
5
|
CA Juventud
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
8:11
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
8
| |
6
|
Albion FC
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:8
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
6
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
7
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
6:11
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Danubio
|
7
|
0
|
4
|
3
|
5:9
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
4
| |
Primera Division , Overall
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
35
|
19
|
9
|
7
|
52:28
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
65
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35
|
18
|
9
|
8
|
54:32
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
63
| |
3
|
Torque
|
35
|
19
|
6
|
10
|
59:41
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
63
| |
4
|
Nacional De Football
|
35
|
19
|
4
|
12
|
53:42
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
61
| |
5
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
12
|
7
|
45:31
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
60
| |
6
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
47:31
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
59
| |
7
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
35
|
14
|
9
|
12
|
42:44
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
51
| |
8
|
Albion FC
|
35
|
13
|
8
|
14
|
47:44
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
47
| |
9
|
CA Juventud
|
35
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
37:43
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
41
| |
10
|
Central Espanol
|
35
|
11
|
8
|
16
|
35:48
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
41
| |
11
|
Defensor Sporting
|
35
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
35:43
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
39
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
35
|
9
|
10
|
16
|
33:41
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
37
| |
13
|
Boston River
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
34:47
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
37
| |
14
|
CA Cerro
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
29:53
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
37
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
35
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
31:49
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
35
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
35
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
29:45
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
32
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Deportivo Maldonado
Adriano Freitas
Goalkeeper
Juan Ramos
Defender
Facundo Tealde
Defender
Nicolas Fuica
Defender
Juan Martin Ginzo
Defender
Santiago Cartagena
Midfielder
Santiago Ramirez
Midfielder
David Maximiliano Gonzales
Midfielder
Renato Cesar Perez
Forward
Christian Tabo
Forward
Maximiliano Noble
Forward
Deportivo Maldonado
No missing players for Deportivo Maldonado
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Match Details
Referee
Heras, Hernan
Stadium
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Location
Maldonado, Uruguay
Weather Forecast
23°.
