Cerro Largo - Progreso Predictions
Cerro Largo
Tomorrow
12th Nov 26, 6:00 PM
21°
Club Atletico Progreso
Winner probabilities
1x2: Home
-123
picks
Powered by
Final 1x2: Club Atletico Progreso
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+320
Given the historical dominance of Cerro Largo over Club Atletico Progreso, especially at home, a prediction for an away win requires a careful look at the context. While Cerro Largo has indeed faltered recently, they've been incredibly resilient against Progreso, having won their last five meetings. Progreso's struggles on the road have been notable, and they haven't had a victory in their last six attempts against Cerro Largo. Despite Progreso showing slightly better form recently, the historical data suggests Cerro Largo's home advantage will likely tip the scales in their favor. This makes backing an away win a risky, yet potentially rewarding wager, especially considering the odds.
Oddspedia Model Probability
29.21%
Betting Odds Probability @+270
27.03% 8.07% Bet value
Given the historical dominance of Cerro Largo over Club Atletico Progreso, especially at home, a prediction for an away win requires a careful look at the context. While Cerro Largo has indeed faltered recently, they've been incredibly resilient against Progreso, having won their last five meetings. Progreso's struggles on the road have been notable, and they haven't had a victory in their last six attempts against Cerro Largo. Despite Progreso showing slightly better form recently, the historical data suggests Cerro Largo's home advantage will likely tip the scales in their favor. This makes backing an away win a risky, yet potentially rewarding wager, especially considering the odds.
Oddspedia Model Probability
29.21%
Betting Odds Probability @+270
27.03%
8.07%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Cerro Largo vs Club Atletico Progreso. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Double Chance: Draw or Club Atletico Progreso
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+100
Considering the recent form and head-to-head statistics, backing the Double Chance: X2 for Club Atletico Progreso looks promising. Progreso has shown resilience with two wins in their last five matches, while Cerro Largo is struggling with only one victory in the same timeframe. Historical data favours Cerro Largo, but Progreso's statistics indicate an improved performance overall in the league. They have a consistent record of securing points against Cerro Largo in previous encounters, particularly not losing in their last few visits. Given their past resiliency and current odds, this bet offers solid value for those looking to capitalize on an upset or a draw.
Oddspedia Model Probability
58.62%
Betting Odds Probability @-125
55.56% 5.51% Bet value
Considering the recent form and head-to-head statistics, backing the Double Chance: X2 for Club Atletico Progreso looks promising. Progreso has shown resilience with two wins in their last five matches, while Cerro Largo is struggling with only one victory in the same timeframe. Historical data favours Cerro Largo, but Progreso's statistics indicate an improved performance overall in the league. They have a consistent record of securing points against Cerro Largo in previous encounters, particularly not losing in their last few visits. Given their past resiliency and current odds, this bet offers solid value for those looking to capitalize on an upset or a draw.
Oddspedia Model Probability
58.62%
Betting Odds Probability @-125
55.56%
5.51%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-350
Given the historical context and current form of both teams, betting on "Total Goals: Under 3.5" seems to be a solid choice. The head-to-head statistics reveal a clear trend, with only 17% of their encounters exceeding 3.5 goals. Cerro Largo, with a tendency for tight games at home, often leads to low-scoring results—exemplified by the frequent 1-0 outcomes. Meanwhile, Progreso has struggled to find the net in away matches, failing to score in over 28% of their last outings. Both teams’ recent form and the statistics suggest a cautious clash, favoring an outcome that stays under the 3.5-goal mark.
Oddspedia Model Probability
81.14%
Betting Odds Probability @-357
78.13% 3.85% Bet value
Given the historical context and current form of both teams, betting on "Total Goals: Under 3.5" seems to be a solid choice. The head-to-head statistics reveal a clear trend, with only 17% of their encounters exceeding 3.5 goals. Cerro Largo, with a tendency for tight games at home, often leads to low-scoring results—exemplified by the frequent 1-0 outcomes. Meanwhile, Progreso has struggled to find the net in away matches, failing to score in over 28% of their last outings. Both teams’ recent form and the statistics suggest a cautious clash, favoring an outcome that stays under the 3.5-goal mark.
Oddspedia Model Probability
81.14%
Betting Odds Probability @-357
78.13%
3.85%
Bet value
Match Probabilities
Winner probabilities
CLA
PRO
41%
Home
29%
Draw
29%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
3.5%
0.1%
3.0%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
7.7%
8.7%
4.1%
1.4%
13.5%
13.6%
6.8%
2.1%
10.9%
10.3%
5.1%
1.6%
1.9%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-1
+600
Betting Trends
Community Picks
1
Sort by
-341,69
1143 Picks
14 hours ago
Cerro Largo - Club Atletico Progreso
Final 1x2: Cerro Largo
Picked @ -125
-123
Ready to make your Cerro Largo vs Club Atletico Progreso prediction?
Betting stats
CLA
Played 39
PRO
Played 38
46%
ATS %
39%
31%
Totals Covered %
39%
95%
Matches over 0.5 goals
100%
67%
Matches over 1.5 goals
66%
31%
Matches over 2.5 goals
39%
13%
Matches over 3.5 goals
13%
3%
Matches over 4.5 goals
5%
15%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
24%
13%
Scored in both halves
16%
18%
Conceded in both halves
24%
Last Matches
L
D
L
W
L
?
L
D
W
W
L
?
Head To Head
9
Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
12 played
03 May 2026
Final
0
1
09 Aug 2025
Final
1
2
07 Feb 2025
Final
4
1
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
| 
Racing Club Montevideo
|
15
|
9
|
4
|
2
|
23:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
31
| |
2
| 
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15
|
9
|
2
|
4
|
24:16
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
29
| |
3
| 
Albion FC
|
15
|
8
|
4
|
3
|
26:16
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
28
| |
4
| 
CA Penarol
|
15
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
23:16
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
27
| |
5
| 
Central Espanol
|
15
|
7
|
3
|
5
|
23:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
24
| |
6
| 
Torque
|
15
|
6
|
5
|
4
|
22:16
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
23
| |
7
| 
Nacional De Football
|
15
|
7
|
1
|
7
|
26:21
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
22
| |
8
| 
Defensor Sporting
|
15
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
13:11
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
21
| |
9
| 
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
20:18
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
20
| |
10
| 
Montevideo Wanderers
|
15
|
6
|
2
|
7
|
16:21
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
20
| |
11
| 
Danubio
|
15
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
17:21
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
18
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
16:19
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
17
| |
13
| 
Boston River
|
15
|
5
|
2
|
8
|
14:20
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
17
| |
14
| 
CA Juventud
|
15
|
4
|
3
|
8
|
17:22
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
15
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
12:23
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
10
| |
16
| 
CA Cerro
|
15
|
2
|
4
|
9
|
8:24
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
10
| |
Clausura
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
13
|
9
|
3
|
1
|
22:8
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
30
| |
2
|
Torque
|
13
|
9
|
1
|
3
|
26:14
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
28
| |
3
|
Nacional De Football
|
13
|
8
|
2
|
3
|
19:13
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
26
| |
4
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
13
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
18:10
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
22
| |
5
|
CA Penarol
|
13
|
6
|
5
|
2
|
17:9
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
22
| |
6
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
13
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
18:14
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
19
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
13
|
6
|
1
|
6
|
13:15
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
19
| |
8
|
CA Juventud
|
13
|
4
|
6
|
3
|
12:10
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
18
| |
9
|
CA Cerro
|
13
|
5
|
3
|
5
|
15:19
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
18
| |
10
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
13
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
14:19
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
16
| |
11
|
Boston River
|
13
|
4
|
3
|
6
|
15:17
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
15
| |
12
|
Albion FC
|
13
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
15:20
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
13
| |
13
|
Defensor Sporting
|
13
|
3
|
3
|
7
|
16:23
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
12
| |
14
|
Danubio
|
13
|
2
|
4
|
7
|
7:15
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
10
| |
15
|
Cerro Largo
|
13
|
1
|
6
|
6
|
10:17
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
9
| |
16
|
Central Espanol
|
13
|
2
|
2
|
9
|
8:22
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
8
| |
Intermedio A
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
7
|
5
|
1
|
1
|
12:3
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
16
| |
2
|
Cerro Largo
|
7
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
7:5
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
11
| |
3
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
4
|
1
|
4:3
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
10
| |
4
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
5:5
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
9
| |
5
|
Central Espanol
|
7
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
4:4
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
9
| |
6
|
CA Cerro
|
7
|
3
|
0
|
4
|
6:10
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
9
| |
7
|
Defensor Sporting
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:9
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Boston River
|
7
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5:10
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
5
| |
Intermedio B
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
7
|
4
|
3
|
0
|
12:4
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
15
| |
2
|
Nacional De Football
|
7
|
4
|
1
|
2
|
8:8
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
13
| |
3
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
7
|
3
|
3
|
1
|
12:6
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
12
| |
4
|
Torque
|
7
|
4
|
0
|
3
|
11:11
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
12
| |
5
|
CA Juventud
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
8:11
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
8
| |
6
|
Albion FC
|
7
|
1
|
3
|
3
|
6:8
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
6
| |
7
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
7
|
2
|
0
|
5
|
6:11
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
6
| |
8
|
Danubio
|
7
|
0
|
4
|
3
|
5:9
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
4
| |
Primera Division , Overall
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
CA Penarol
|
35
|
19
|
9
|
7
|
52:28
|
W
D
L
D
D
?
|
65
| |
2
|
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35
|
18
|
9
|
8
|
54:32
|
W
D
L
W
D
?
|
63
| |
3
|
Torque
|
35
|
19
|
6
|
10
|
59:41
|
L
W
L
W
W
?
|
63
| |
4
|
Nacional De Football
|
35
|
19
|
4
|
12
|
53:42
|
W
W
W
L
W
?
|
61
| |
5
|
Racing Club Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
12
|
7
|
45:31
|
L
L
W
D
W
?
|
60
| |
6
|
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35
|
16
|
11
|
8
|
47:31
|
W
D
W
W
W
?
|
59
| |
7
|
Montevideo Wanderers
|
35
|
14
|
9
|
12
|
42:44
|
W
L
L
L
D
?
|
51
| |
8
|
Albion FC
|
35
|
13
|
8
|
14
|
47:44
|
W
W
W
W
D
?
|
47
| |
9
|
CA Juventud
|
35
|
10
|
11
|
14
|
37:43
|
D
W
L
D
L
?
|
41
| |
10
|
Central Espanol
|
35
|
11
|
8
|
16
|
35:48
|
L
L
L
L
W
?
|
41
| |
11
|
Defensor Sporting
|
35
|
9
|
12
|
14
|
35:43
|
L
L
L
D
W
?
|
39
| |
12
|
Cerro Largo
|
35
|
9
|
10
|
16
|
33:41
|
L
L
D
W
L
?
|
37
| |
13
|
Boston River
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
34:47
|
D
W
W
L
L
?
|
37
| |
14
|
CA Cerro
|
35
|
10
|
7
|
18
|
29:53
|
L
W
D
L
L
?
|
37
| |
15
|
Club Atletico Progreso
|
35
|
10
|
5
|
20
|
31:49
|
L
D
W
W
L
?
|
35
| |
16
|
Danubio
|
35
|
6
|
14
|
15
|
29:45
|
W
L
W
L
L
?
|
32
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Cerro Largo
Pedro Gonzalez
Goalkeeper
Martin Gianoli
Defender
Santiago Franca
Defender
Alexis Piegas
Defender
Alexander Hernandez
Defender
Mario Garcia
Midfielder
Sebastian Assis
Midfielder
Santiago Marcel Perez
Midfielder
Alexis Segovia
Forward
Elias de Leon
Forward
Axel Pandiani
Forward
Cerro Largo
No missing players for Cerro Largo
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Contest
1000€ Prize pool
Yearly Contest
3000€ Prize pool
Bundesliga Contest
500€ Prize pool
La Liga Contest
500€ Prize pool
EPL Contest
500€ Prize pool
Оffer
- 200% Deposit Match up to $5,600Terms & conditions
- 250% Bonus up to $2100 + 60 Free SpinsTerms & conditions
- Bet $10 & Get $50 in Bonus BetsTerms & conditions
Match Details
Referee
Motta, Santiago
Stadium
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Location
Melo, Uruguay
Weather Forecast
21°.
