Danubio - Liverpool M Predictions

4 days
15th Nov 26, 2:30 PM
Weather Icon 19°
Winner probabilities
24%
28%
48%
1x2: Away

picks

Computer picks
Powered by
Double Chance: Danubio or Draw
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-120
With both teams displaying contrasting performances lately, a Double Chance on Danubio or a draw (1X) appears to be a strong bet. Danubio has shown resilience at home, having not lost to Liverpool Montevideo in their last four encounters on their turf. Liverpool, while riding a five-match winning streak, has struggled historically in away matches against Danubio, notably their last victory here was back in 2021. Moreover, Danubio has managed to score in five consecutive matches, while Liverpool has been defensively solid. Given the stakes and the trend, this bet offers solid value as both teams navigate their current form.
Oddspedia Model Probability 52.24%
Betting Odds Probability @-105 51.28%
1.87%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-143
Given the recent performances of both teams and their historical head-to-head stats, betting on Under 2.5 total goals seems wise. Danubio have struggled to find the net at home, not scoring in three of their last seven Primera Division matches, while Liverpool Montevideo has kept five consecutive clean sheets. The average goals scored in their encounters also leans towards a low-scoring affair, with an average of just 1.6 goals in previous meetings. With Liverpool's strong defensive record and Danubio's offensive woes, a match featuring fewer than three goals appears to be the most likely outcome.
Oddspedia Model Probability 58.34%
Betting Odds Probability @-139 58.14%
0.34%
Bet value

Match Probabilities

Winner probabilities
DAN
24% Home
28% Draw
48% Away
LIM
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
1.4% <0.1% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 3.9% 5.7% 4.3% 2.1% 8.6% 13.0% 9.1% 4.1% 10.3% 13.3% 9.3% 4.3% 5.5%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 0-1

Betting Trends

During the last 18 meetings with Danubio FC playing at home, Danubio FC have won 8 times, there have been 6 draws while Liverpool Montevideo have won 4 times. The goal difference is 30-23 in favour of Danubio FC.
During the last 38 meetings, Danubio FC have won 16 times, there have been 12 draws while Liverpool Montevideo have won 10 times. The goal difference is 58-51 in favour of Danubio FC.
Liverpool Montevideo's last away win against Danubio FC was in 2021.

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Spread: Liverpool Montevideo -0.5
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Ready to make your Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction?

Betting stats

Played 41
Played 42
39% ATS % 52%
41% Totals Covered % 38%
88% Matches over 0.5 goals 86%
68% Matches over 1.5 goals 62%
44% Matches over 2.5 goals 40%
24% Matches over 3.5 goals 17%
10% Matches over 4.5 goals 7%
24% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 26%
12% Scored in both halves 17%
17% Conceded in both halves 17%

Head To Head

Last 9 years
6
Wins
4
Draws
7
Wins
17 played

Standings

Apertura

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
1
15
9
4
2
23:14
L L W D W ?
31
2
15
9
2
4
24:16
W D L W D ?
29
3
15
8
4
3
26:16
W W W W D ?
28
4
15
8
3
4
23:16
W D L D D ?
27
5
15
7
3
5
23:22
L L L L W ?
24
6
15
6
5
4
22:16
L W L W W ?
23
7
15
7
1
7
26:21
W W W L W ?
22
8
15
5
6
4
13:11
L L L D W ?
21
9
15
5
5
5
20:18
W D W W W ?
20
10
15
6
2
7
16:21
W L L L D ?
20
11
15
4
6
5
17:21
W L W L L ?
18
12
15
5
2
8
16:19
L L D W L ?
17
13
15
5
2
8
14:20
D W W L L ?
17
14
15
4
3
8
17:22
D W L D L ?
15
15
15
2
4
9
12:23
L D W W L ?
10
16
15
2
4
9
8:24
L W D L L ?
10

Clausura

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
1
13
9
3
1
22:8
W D W W W ?
30
2
13
9
1
3
26:14
L W L W W ?
28
3
13
8
2
3
19:13
W W W L W ?
26
4
13
6
4
3
18:10
W D L W D ?
22
5
13
6
5
2
17:9
W D L D D ?
22
6
13
5
4
4
18:14
L L W D W ?
19
7
13
6
1
6
13:15
L D W W L ?
19
8
13
4
6
3
12:10
D W L D L ?
18
9
13
5
3
5
15:19
L W D L L ?
18
10
13
4
4
5
14:19
W L L L D ?
16
11
13
4
3
6
15:17
D W W L L ?
15
12
13
4
1
8
15:20
W W W W D ?
13
13
13
3
3
7
16:23
L L L D W ?
12
14
13
2
4
7
7:15
W L W L L ?
10
15
13
1
6
6
10:17
L L D W L ?
9
16
13
2
2
9
8:22
L L L L W ?
8

Intermedio A

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
1
7
5
1
1
12:3
W D L D D ?
16
2
7
3
2
2
7:5
L L D W L ?
11
3
7
2
4
1
4:3
L L W D W ?
10
4
7
2
3
2
5:5
W D W W W ?
9
5
7
2
3
2
4:4
L L L L W ?
9
6
7
3
0
4
6:10
L W D L L ?
9
7
7
1
3
3
6:9
L L L D W ?
6
8
7
1
2
4
5:10
D W W L L ?
5

Intermedio B

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
1
7
4
3
0
12:4
W L L L D ?
15
2
7
4
1
2
8:8
W W W L W ?
13
3
7
3
3
1
12:6
W D L W D ?
12
4
7
4
0
3
11:11
L W L W W ?
12
5
7
2
2
3
8:11
D W L D L ?
8
6
7
1
3
3
6:8
W W W W D ?
6
7
7
2
0
5
6:11
L D W W L ?
6
8
7
0
4
3
5:9
W L W L L ?
4

Primera Division , Overall

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
1
35
19
9
7
52:28
W D L D D ?
65
2
35
18
9
8
54:32
W D L W D ?
63
3
35
19
6
10
59:41
L W L W W ?
63
4
35
19
4
12
53:42
W W W L W ?
61
5
35
16
12
7
45:31
L L W D W ?
60
6
35
16
11
8
47:31
W D W W W ?
59
7
35
14
9
12
42:44
W L L L D ?
51
8
35
13
8
14
47:44
W W W W D ?
47
9
35
10
11
14
37:43
D W L D L ?
41
10
35
11
8
16
35:48
L L L L W ?
41
11
35
9
12
14
35:43
L L L D W ?
39
12
35
9
10
16
33:41
L L D W L ?
37
13
35
10
7
18
34:47
D W W L L ?
37
14
35
10
7
18
29:53
L W D L L ?
37
15
35
10
5
20
31:49
L D W W L ?
35
16
35
6
14
15
29:45
W L W L L ?
32

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Mauro Goicoechea
Goalkeeper
Leandro Sosa
Defender
Mauro Alejandro Brasil Alcaire
Defender
Juan Mateo Rinaldi
Defender
Gonzalo Rodrguez
Defender
Bautista Pereira
Defender
Ivan Rossi
Midfielder
Juan Andres Millan Santarcieri
Midfielder
Mateo Peralta
Midfielder
Bautista Tomatis
Forward
Enzo Cabrera
Forward
No missing players for Danubio

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Match Details

Referee
-
Stadium
Jardines Del Hipódromo
Location
Montevideo, Uruguay
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 19°

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