Tondela - Farense Predictions

4 days
15th Nov 26, 6:00 AM
Weather Icon 13°
Winner probabilities
38%
31%
31%
1x2: Home

picks

Computer picks
Powered by
Final 1x2: Farense
Confidence Rating
Unibet
Best odds
+255
With CD Tondela's strong home record and recent form, backing Farense for an away win at this moment feels somewhat risky. Although Farense has historically shown resilience, Tondela's current home advantage is compelling—they’ve not lost to Farense in their last five home encounters. While the model suggests a 30% chance for an away victory, it's important to consider Tondela’s greater consistency and offensive capability. This suggests potentially lower value in the away win. Ultimately, a cautious approach might be warranted, leaning towards a draw or Tondela win based on current statistics.
Oddspedia Model Probability 30.83%
Betting Odds Probability @+280 26.32%
17.14%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for CD Tondela vs Farense. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Double Chance: Draw or Farense
Confidence Rating
22Bet
Best odds
-145
Considering the recent form and head-to-head record, betting on a Double Chance for Farense (X2) is a compelling option. CD Tondela has shown resilience, winning three consecutive home matches, but they've only managed to beat Farense once in the last five encounters, with two draws and two losses. Tondela’s slightly better home scoring average doesn't overshadow the fact they struggle against a Farense side that often finds the net in challenging situations. Farense's ability to score consistently, coupled with their need for points, makes them dangerous. The combination of past performance and tactical advantages suggests a strong likelihood for at least a draw or a narrow win for Farense here.
Oddspedia Model Probability 61.72%
Betting Odds Probability @-118 54.05%
14.19%
Bet value
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
bet365
Best odds
-138
With both CD Tondela and SC Farense showing a tendency to keep scoring low in their encounters, backing Under 2.5 goals appears to be a wise choice. Historical data reveals that in their last eight meetings, they have only surpassed 2.5 goals in 20% of the matches. Tondela has been solid at home, notching three successive wins while Farense struggles on the road, reflected in their goal-scoring stats. Additionally, both teams have demonstrated a knack for tight contests recently. Given these trends, the likelihood of a low-scoring affair seems strong, making under 2.5 goals an appealing prediction.
Oddspedia Model Probability 60.64%
Betting Odds Probability @-139 58.14%
4.3%
Bet value

Match Probabilities

Winner probabilities
TON
38% Home
31% Draw
31% Away
FAR
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
3.0% 0.1% 2.8% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 6.8% 8.4% 4.5% 1.5% 12.6% 14.1% 7.2% 2.4% 11.5% 10.3% 5.6% 1.9% 2.1%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Betting Trends

During the last 5 meetings with CD Tondela playing at home, CD Tondela have won 3 times, there have been 2 draws while SC Farense have won 0 times. The goal difference is 6-2 in favour of CD Tondela.
During the last 10 meetings, CD Tondela have won 4 times, there have been 3 draws while SC Farense have won 3 times. The goal difference is 9-8 in favour of CD Tondela.
In Liga Portugal 2, CD Tondela have 3 successive home wins.

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Betting stats

Played 12
Played 12
58% ATS % 42%
42% Totals Covered % 67%
100% Matches over 0.5 goals 92%
83% Matches over 1.5 goals 83%
42% Matches over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Matches over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Matches over 4.5 goals 17%
25% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 50%
33% Scored in both halves 42%
25% Conceded in both halves 25%

Head To Head

Last 9 years
2
Wins
3
Wins
5 played

Standings

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
7
10
5
1
4
13:11
W W L W D ?
16
8
10
4
3
3
17:14
W W L D L ?
15

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Carlos Eduardo de Araujo
Goalkeeper
Carraca
Defender
Christian Marques
Defender
Jose Ricardo
Defender
Brayan Medina
Defender
Helder Tavares
Midfielder
Sarara
Midfielder
Hugo Felix
Midfielder
Rodrigo Coelho Fernandes
Midfielder
Tomane
Forward
Arjen Van Der Heide
Forward
No missing players for CD Tondela

More Segunda Liga SmartBet Predictions

Oddpedia’s SmartBet system is powered by advanced AI technology, with the ability to generate successful predictions across thousands of football games in multiple different leagues. You can check out the latest predictions to make sure you take advantage of any value that is on offer.

Segunda Liga
15 Nov, 10:30
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Total Goals: Under 3.5
-357

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Match Details

Referee
-
Stadium
Estadio Joao Cardoso
Location
Tondela, Portugal
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 13°

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