Belgium - Italy Predictions
Belgium
5 days
15th Nov 26, 2:45 PM
9°
Italy
Winner probabilities
1x2: Home
+118
picks
Powered by
Final 1x2: Belgium
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+118
When Belgium takes on Italy, the home advantage heavily tilts the scale in Belgium's favor. Despite their fluctuating form, they have a strong track record on home soil. Italy, while inconsistent recently, has shown resilience but may struggle against a motivated Belgian side facing critical match pressure. Historically, both teams have delivered high-scoring matches, but Belgium's penchant for attacking flair, coupled with Italy's defensive vulnerabilities, gives the home team the edge. Given these factors, betting on a Belgium win appears to be a smart choice, aligning with solid statistical backing and a favorable expected value.
Oddspedia Model Probability
46.41%
Betting Odds Probability @+125
44.44% 4.43% Bet value
When Belgium takes on Italy, the home advantage heavily tilts the scale in Belgium's favor. Despite their fluctuating form, they have a strong track record on home soil. Italy, while inconsistent recently, has shown resilience but may struggle against a motivated Belgian side facing critical match pressure. Historically, both teams have delivered high-scoring matches, but Belgium's penchant for attacking flair, coupled with Italy's defensive vulnerabilities, gives the home team the edge. Given these factors, betting on a Belgium win appears to be a smart choice, aligning with solid statistical backing and a favorable expected value.
Oddspedia Model Probability
46.41%
Betting Odds Probability @+125
44.44%
4.43%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Belgium vs Italy. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Half Time / Full Time: Belgium / Belgium
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+250
In the clash between Belgium and Italy, predicting a Half Time / Full Time outcome of Home / Home shows great promise. Belgium's recent form, punctuated by a mix of wins and losses, indicates they still possess the capability to start strong at home. Historically, in their face-offs, both teams have consistently scored, suggesting an attacking game likely from the onset. Italy’s defensive lapses mean they might struggle early against a motivated Belgium squad. The odds reflect a positive expected value, bolstering confidence in this prediction. Therefore, backing Belgium to lead at half-time and full-time is a savvy choice for bettors looking to capitalize on this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
32.58%
Betting Odds Probability @+250
28.57% 14.04% Bet value
In the clash between Belgium and Italy, predicting a Half Time / Full Time outcome of Home / Home shows great promise. Belgium's recent form, punctuated by a mix of wins and losses, indicates they still possess the capability to start strong at home. Historically, in their face-offs, both teams have consistently scored, suggesting an attacking game likely from the onset. Italy’s defensive lapses mean they might struggle early against a motivated Belgium squad. The odds reflect a positive expected value, bolstering confidence in this prediction. Therefore, backing Belgium to lead at half-time and full-time is a savvy choice for bettors looking to capitalize on this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability
32.58%
Betting Odds Probability @+250
28.57%
14.04%
Bet value
Match Probabilities
Winner probabilities
BEL
ITA
46%
Home
24%
Draw
30%
Away
Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
9.7%
0.3%
4.5%
4.9%
3.4%
1.4%
6.7%
8.9%
5.9%
2.5%
8.2%
10.9%
7.3%
2.8%
5.4%
6.8%
4.4%
2.0%
4.0%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-1
+600
Betting Trends
Community Picks
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5036 Picks
9 days ago
Belgium - Italy
Final 1x2: Italy
Picked @ +178
+230
Ready to make your Belgium vs Italy prediction?
Betting stats
BEL
Played 4
ITA
Played 4
75%
ATS %
75%
25%
Totals Covered %
50%
100%
Matches over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Matches over 1.5 goals
100%
50%
Matches over 2.5 goals
50%
25%
Matches over 3.5 goals
50%
25%
Matches over 4.5 goals
25%
0%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
25%
50%
Scored in both halves
50%
0%
Conceded in both halves
25%
Last Matches
L
W
L
W
L
?
W
L
W
D
W
?
15 Nov 14:45
?
12 Nov 12:00
?
05 Oct
Final
4
1
L
02 Oct
Final
3
0
W
28 Sep
Final
0
1
L
Head To Head
1
Win
1
Draw
3
Wins
5 played
25 Sep 2026
Final
0
2
14 Nov 2024
Final
0
1
10 Oct 2024
Final
2
2
Standings
UEFA Nations League 26/27, League A, Group 1
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
France
|
4
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
7:2
|
W
W
D
W
?
|
10
| |
2
|
Italy
|
4
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
8:5
|
L
W
D
W
?
|
7
| |
3
|
Belgium
|
4
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
6:5
|
W
L
W
L
?
|
6
| |
4
|
Turkey
|
4
|
0
|
0
|
4
|
2:11
|
L
L
L
L
?
|
0
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Belgium Van Bommel, Mark
Italy Mancini, Roberto
Mancini, Roberto Italy
4-3-3
12
M. Vandevoordt
21
T. Castagne
15
N. Ngoy
4
B. Mechele
18
J. Seys
23
N. Raskin
6
R. Lavia
20
H. Vanaken
14
D. Lukebakio
9
R. Lukaku
19
D. Moreira
4-3-3
1
G. Donnarumma
22
G. Di Lorenzo
23
G. Mancini
6
A. Bastoni
3
M. Ruggeri
18
N. Barella
4
A. Romano
15
I. Doumbia
21
A. Vergara
11
G. Scamacca
17
D. Maldini
Stade Roi Baudouin
Belgium
No missing players for Belgium
More UEFA Nations League SmartBet Predictions
Oddpedia’s SmartBet system is powered by advanced AI technology, with the ability to generate successful predictions across thousands of football games in multiple different leagues. You can check out the latest predictions to make sure you take advantage of any value that is on offer.
UEFA Nations League
15 Nov, 14:45
Both Teams to Score:
Yes
-108
UEFA Nations League
16 Nov, 14:45
Total Goals:
Under 3.5
-222
UEFA Nations League
16 Nov, 14:45
Total Goals:
Under 2.5
-110
UEFA Nations League
16 Nov, 14:45
Total Goals:
Over 4.5
+297
UEFA Nations League
16 Nov, 14:45
Both Teams to Score:
Yes
+124
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Match Details
Referee
-
Stadium
Stade Roi Baudouin
Location
Brussels, Belgium
Weather Forecast
9°.
