
Northampton - Gillingham Predictions


Northampton
10th Nov 26, 2:00 PM


Gillingham
1x2: Home
+125
picks
Powered by
Total Goals: Under 2.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+104
With both teams displaying inconsistent scoring patterns lately, betting on total goals being under 2.5 makes sense. Northampton's recent home matches suggest a tendency to tighten up defensively, while Gillingham has shown vulnerability at the back, allowing goals in their last six outings. Historically, meetings between these two sides lean toward lower-scoring games, with a consistent average of three goals per match but recent trends pointing to tighter results. The stats indicate that when Northampton plays at home, they average less than a goal scored, further supporting the notion of a low-scoring affair. Overall, the conditions align for a match that could very well stay below the 2.5-goal mark.
Oddspedia Model Probability
51.46%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55% 20.94% Bet value
With both teams displaying inconsistent scoring patterns lately, betting on total goals being under 2.5 makes sense. Northampton's recent home matches suggest a tendency to tighten up defensively, while Gillingham has shown vulnerability at the back, allowing goals in their last six outings. Historically, meetings between these two sides lean toward lower-scoring games, with a consistent average of three goals per match but recent trends pointing to tighter results. The stats indicate that when Northampton plays at home, they average less than a goal scored, further supporting the notion of a low-scoring affair. Overall, the conditions align for a match that could very well stay below the 2.5-goal mark.
Oddspedia Model Probability
51.46%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55%
20.94%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Northampton vs Gillingham. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
Best odds
-250
Given the statistical trends and recent performances, backing "Total Goals: Under 3.5" for the Northampton vs. Gillingham match is a sound choice. Historical data shows that while both teams have scored in past meetings, their encounters often result in fewer than four goals, with 33% of matches exceeding that threshold. Gillingham's struggle to keep clean sheets adds to the likelihood of a tightly contested game, reflected in their previous 1-1 draw. Additionally, both teams tend to finish matches with low goal counts, and given recent form, expect a tight match with limited scoring opportunities. This prediction offers great value as we approach the game.
Oddspedia Model Probability
72.74%
Betting Odds Probability @-189
65.23% 11.51% Bet value
Given the statistical trends and recent performances, backing "Total Goals: Under 3.5" for the Northampton vs. Gillingham match is a sound choice. Historical data shows that while both teams have scored in past meetings, their encounters often result in fewer than four goals, with 33% of matches exceeding that threshold. Gillingham's struggle to keep clean sheets adds to the likelihood of a tightly contested game, reflected in their previous 1-1 draw. Additionally, both teams tend to finish matches with low goal counts, and given recent form, expect a tight match with limited scoring opportunities. This prediction offers great value as we approach the game.
Oddspedia Model Probability
72.74%
Betting Odds Probability @-189
65.23%
11.51%
Bet value
Both Teams to Score: No
Confidence Rating
Best odds
+120
The prediction for "Both Teams to Score: No" in the Northampton versus Gillingham match holds solid merit. Gillingham's defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in their last six matches, while Northampton historically has a strong edge, winning most encounters and keeping clean sheets at home against them. The head-to-head statistics indicate that 50% of their last meetings did not see both teams scoring, and given Gillingham's struggles to maintain consistent offensive output on the road, this is likely to reflect in the upcoming match. With Gillingham's away scoring average and Northampton’s strong home record, the likelihood rises that only one team will find the net.
Oddspedia Model Probability
48.4%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55% 13.75% Bet value
The prediction for "Both Teams to Score: No" in the Northampton versus Gillingham match holds solid merit. Gillingham's defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in their last six matches, while Northampton historically has a strong edge, winning most encounters and keeping clean sheets at home against them. The head-to-head statistics indicate that 50% of their last meetings did not see both teams scoring, and given Gillingham's struggles to maintain consistent offensive output on the road, this is likely to reflect in the upcoming match. With Gillingham's away scoring average and Northampton’s strong home record, the likelihood rises that only one team will find the net.
Oddspedia Model Probability
48.4%
Betting Odds Probability @+135
42.55%
13.75%
Bet value
Match Probabilities
Winner probabilities
NOR
GIL

41%
Home
25%
Draw
34%
Away

Correct Score probabilities
>3
3
2
1
0
5.4%
0.1%
3.3%
4.0%
2.7%
0.9%
7.0%
8.2%
4.8%
1.9%
10.5%
11.8%
7.7%
3.2%
7.6%
9.1%
5.5%
2.1%
4.1%
0
1
2
3
>3
Correct Score:
1-1
+650
Betting Trends
Community Picks
27
Sort by
-1,66
238 Picks
39 minutes ago
Northampton - Gillingham
First Team to Score: No Goal
Picked @ +1100
+1100
+102,83
188 Picks
an hour ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Picked @ -159
-138
-356,40
703 Picks
an hour ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Picked @ -167
-138
-10,19
91 Picks
2 hours ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Gillingham
Picked @ +190
+230
-12,49
127 Picks
2 hours ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Draw
Picked @ +240
+260
+62,55
275 Picks
2 hours ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Northampton
Picked @ +115
+125
-56,00
486 Picks
2 hours ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Picked @ -161
-138
+2,67
248 Picks
4 hours ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Correct Score: 2 : 0
Picked @ +800
+1100
+84,92
1076 Picks
4 hours ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Final 1x2: Northampton
Picked @ -109
+125
-184,78
342 Picks
5 hours ago
Northampton - Gillingham
Spread: Gillingham +0.25
Picked @ -105
-104
Ready to make your Northampton vs Gillingham prediction?
Betting stats
NOR
Played 17
GIL
Played 18
35%
ATS %
61%
12%
Totals Covered %
61%
94%
Matches over 0.5 goals
89%
59%
Matches over 1.5 goals
83%
18%
Matches over 2.5 goals
61%
6%
Matches over 3.5 goals
33%
0%
Matches over 4.5 goals
28%
24%
Over HT1.5 goals at half time %
33%
12%
Scored in both halves
22%
18%
Conceded in both halves
28%
Last Matches
L
W
D
L
L
?
L
D
L
W
L
?
Head To Head

3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Win
6 played

29 Aug 2026
Final
1
1
10 Apr 2023
Final
2
1
12 Nov 2022
Final
0
2
Standings
EFL Trophy , Southern Group G
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
Cambridge United
|
3
|
3
|
0
|
0
|
12:2
|
W
W
W
|
9
| |
2
|
Gillingham
|
2
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
5:7
|
L
W
?
|
3
| |
3
|
Brighton & Hove Albion U21
|
3
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
6:10
|
W
L
L
|
3
| |
4
|
Northampton
|
2
|
0
|
0
|
2
|
1:5
|
L
L
?
|
0
| |
Possible Lineups
Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Northampton
Zach Jeacock
Goalkeeper
Jon Guthrie
Defender
Janoi Donacien
Defender
Elliott Moore
Defender
Joe Wormleighton
Defender
Josh Powell
Defender
Lee Evans
Midfielder
Owen Dale
Midfielder
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh
Midfielder
Connor Evans
Forward
Matthew Warhurst
Forward
Northampton
No missing players for Northampton
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Match Details
Referee
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Stadium
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Location
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