Penafiel - Lourosa Predictions

2 days
15th Nov 26, 10:30 AM
Weather Icon 15°
Winner probabilities
35%
28%
37%
1x2: Away

picks

Computer picks
Powered by
Double Chance: Draw or Lusitania de Lourosa
Confidence Rating
Goldenbet
Best odds
-169
This match presents a compelling opportunity for a Double Chance bet on Lusitania de Lourosa (X2). While Penafiel has been strong, their recent performance shows a mix of wins and losses, and they’ve struggled to find the net consistently at home. Lusitania de Lourosa, despite their defensive weaknesses, has shown resilience and a knack for scoring, particularly in the first half. Their solid away record also offers a buffer against potential slip-ups. Furthermore, historical H2H results favor a competitive encounter, suggesting that Lusitania could either win or draw. This makes the Double Chance a sound option for bettors highlighting opposing team dynamics.
Oddspedia Model Probability 64.26%
Betting Odds Probability @-156 60.98%
5.38%
Bet value
What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Penafiel vs Lusitania de Lourosa. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Total Goals: Under 3.5
Confidence Rating
Unibet
Best odds
-357
Given the recent form and statistical trends, a bet on Total Goals: Under 3.5 in the Penafiel vs. Lusitania de Lourosa match seems promising. Historical data highlights a significant lack of scoring in past meetings, with neither team averaging over 0.67 goals against the other. Furthermore, both teams have shown defensively solid performances, with Lusitania struggling to find the net away and Penafiel often keeping games tight. Additionally, the match facts indicate Penafiel's 3-match home winning streak with little scoring in early halves. Considering these factors, expecting fewer than four goals feels like a wise approach for this matchup.
Oddspedia Model Probability 78.48%
Betting Odds Probability @-357 78.13%
0.45%
Bet value
Both Teams to Score: No
Confidence Rating
FanDuel
Best odds
+108
Given the current form of both teams, betting on "Both Teams to Score: No" appears to be a solid choice. Penafiel has been reliable at home, recording clean sheets in 20% of their matches, while Lusitania de Lourosa has struggled during their away games, failing to score in 20% of those outings. Their head-to-head record doesn't lean towards goals either, with both teams combined averaging only 0.67 goals per match over their previous encounters. Additionally, Lusitania has conceded in each of their last eight matches, indicating a vulnerability. Overall, the combination of statistics points towards a match with limited goal-scoring opportunities, making this prediction compelling.
Oddspedia Model Probability 50.97%
Betting Odds Probability @+108 48.08%
6.01%
Bet value

Match Probabilities

Winner probabilities
PEN
35% Home
28% Draw
37% Away
LUS
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
3.0% <0.1% 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 6.2% 7.9% 4.7% 2.0% 10.9% 13.3% 8.4% 3.4% 9.7% 10.9% 6.0% 2.5% 3.4%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

Betting Trends

FC Penafiel have a winning streak of 3 matches in Liga Portugal 2.
Did you know that FC Penafiel scores 26% of their goals between the minutes 76-90?
Did you know that Lusitania FC Lourosa scores 33% of their goals between the minutes 31-45?

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Betting stats

Played 12
Played 12
0% ATS % 0%
67% Totals Covered % 42%
100% Matches over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Matches over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Matches over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Matches over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Matches over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over HT1.5 goals at half time % 42%
50% Scored in both halves 58%
8% Conceded in both halves 8%

Head To Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
2
Draws
0
Wins
3 played

Standings

# Team GP W D L Goals Pts
1
10
7
1
2
22:10
W L W W W ?
22
4
10
5
4
1
15:9
W D D D L ?
19

Possible Lineups

Confirmed 1h before kick-off
Miguel Oliveira
Goalkeeper
Jorge Mere
Defender
Claudio Moreira Silva
Defender
Iano Simao da Silva Imbene
Defender
Douglas Borel
Defender
Adrian Pica
Defender
Pedro Sa
Midfielder
Andre Ricardo Ferreira Schutte
Forward
Max Svensson
Forward
Juan David Fuentes Garrido
Forward
Joao Pinto
Forward
No missing players for Penafiel

More Segunda Liga SmartBet Predictions

Oddpedia’s SmartBet system is powered by advanced AI technology, with the ability to generate successful predictions across thousands of football games in multiple different leagues. You can check out the latest predictions to make sure you take advantage of any value that is on offer.

Segunda Liga
15 Nov, 06:00
CD Tondela
Farense  @
Total Goals: Under 2.5
-143

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Match Details

Referee
-
Stadium
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Location
Penafiel, Portugal
Weather Forecast
Weather Icon 15°

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