Copa América 2024 Picks and Predictions: Get the Best Picks

The 2024 Copa América has the potential to be one the best versions of the continental championship. There is a lot of excitement in the build-up, with teams like Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay aiming for glory. Who will lift the trophy after the final match? You can find out the countries with the best chances from our Copa América 2024 predictions on this page.

A total of 16 teams will feature in this year’s Copa América, divided into four groups. So, if you plan to bet on the matches, there are many options to go with. Most bettors will easily wager on the outright winner. While that is the most popular option, there are other valuable markets such as betting on group winners, top scorers, and golden glove. Thankfully, our predictions cover all these options.

We have performed a detailed analysis of each team and their players to evaluate their chances of winning. From our findings, we compiled the best Copa América 2024 picks to guide you while betting. Continue reading to get all our expert predictions and tips for the upcoming tournament.

Odds to win Copa América 2024

Check out all teams competing in the 2024 Copa América and their odds of winning the competition:

Copa América 2024 group predictions

Now, let’s go into our Copa América 2024 predictions for each of the competition’s four groups. 

Group A 

The first group of the Copa América features Argentina, Peru, Chile, and Canada. Considering past and current form, it is easy to pinpoint the favorite for this group, and it is none other than Argentina. La Albiceleste is currently the best national team in the world, placed number one on the FIFA rankings. Additionally, they are the defending champions and current holders of the World Cup. 

Argentina has a stand-out squad with Lionel Messi, the best player in the world, and other veterans like Angel Di Maria and Otamendi. Plus, there are young stars like Enzo Fernandez and Julian Alvarez coming from the Premier League, who were instrumental in their World Cup victory. With Lionel Scaloni continuing as coach, Argentina are not the only favorites to win Group A. They are also in the best position to retain their Copa América crown.

Considering recent Copa América odds, our predictions highlight Chile as the favorite to finish as runner-up. The team is 42 on the FIFA rankings, lower than Peru at 32. However, past performances in the tournament in South America and recent results indicate Chile has a higher probability of qualifying from the group. 

Group A winner prediction: Argentina

Group A runner-up prediction: Chile

Group B 

Mexico, Venezuela, Jamaica, and Ecuador will battle in Group B. Based on our analysis, Mexico and Ecuador are the two teams with the best chances of reaching the knockout stages. For Copa América betting, you can pick any of the two teams. However, El Tri has a slight upper hand to finish first in the group considering odds and recent games.

It is worth mentioning that Mexico and Ecuador are in commendable form. In their last 10 games, Mexico has won 4, drew 3, and lost 3. Ecuador has an even better record with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Additionally, Ecuador is currently 5th on the 2026 World Cup qualifying table in South America, above Brazil in 6th position. Mexico are not playing in the World Cup qualifiers since the country is a co-host.

However, there is a massive gap between both teams on FIFA rankings. While Ecuador is at 31, Mexico is ranked 14th — a difference of 17 positions. Accordingly, while Ecuador has been better in the last 10 fixtures, Mexico remains the stronger side. Also, the Copa starts in late June, meaning there’ is still time for the countries to improve. 

Group B winner prediction: Mexico

Group B runner-up prediction: Ecuador 

Group C

In Group C, matches will involve Uruguay, Panama, Bolivia, and the host nation, the United States. Our Copa América 2024 predictions for this group are straightforward. Looking at the countries, it is challenging to expect any side to finish ahead of Uruguay. Squad depth indicates that Uruguay is much stronger than every other team in Group C.

Interestingly, the USMNT ranks higher than Uruguay on the official FIFA world ranking list. While Uruguay is at 15th, the USMNT sits at 11th. However, the Copa América is a South American competition, so Uruguay has far more experience in the tournament than the USMNT. To illustrate, you won’t find the United States on the list of past winners or runners-up of the competition. Meanwhile, Uruguay has a cemented place in Copa América history, having lifted the trophy 15 times — joint most with Argentina.

With Uruguay predicted as our number one pick to top the group, the USMNT naturally comes next. You can bet on them to be the runner-up. Meanwhile, for Panama and Bolivia, Copa América soccer odds show that both teams have equal chances of finishing 4th or 5th. Either way, they’re not predicted to make it to the knockout stage. 

Group C winner prediction: Uruguay 

Group C runner-up prediction: USMNT

Group D 

The final group of the 2024 Copa América is an interesting one. It features international soccer giants Brazil along with Colombia, Paraguay, and Costa Rica. Our Copa América 2024 picks indicate Brazil as the favorite to top the group. However, Colombia is not to be underestimated. 

Brazil are always among the favorites to win the Copa América title every edition. Without a doubt, the team consistently fields a quality squad, with star players like Neymar Jr and Thiago Silva. This time around, however, they’ll be banking more on the likes of Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo who play for Real Madrid. The players have all it takes to go all the way to the Copa América final.

Colombia has also set up a strong squad to compete in this year’s Copa América. Their star man is Liverpool’s Luis Diaz, who’s expected to influence play from the left wing. Notably, Colombia is unbeaten in their last 10 games with 7 wins and 3 draws. The team’s impressive current form places them at 12th position on FIFA rankings.

Nevertheless, Brazil remains the favorite to win this last group. Colombia will undoubtedly go beyond the group stage in the Copa América tournament, as runner-up, according to our predictions. 

Group D winner prediction: Brazil 

Group C runner-up prediction: Colombia

Copa América 2024 outright winner pick

The question here is who’ll take the Copa América crown at the end of the competition? Well, based on our analysis, the top three countries are:

1. Argentina
2. Brazil
3. Uruguay

It’s no surprise that Argentina are the number one favorite considering their record in the past few years. After winning the Copa América in 2021, Argentina went on an unbeaten run for 36 games before losing against Saudi Arabia in their opening World Cup match. Their next loss came against Uruguay in November 2023. 

So, in more than two years since winning the last Copa América, Argentina has only lost two games. No team has a better record or anything close. Additionally, La Albiceleste has Lionel Messi as captain, who was the best player at the last edition and the World Cup. With Lionel Messi leading the charge, it’s easy for Argentina to go all the way.

As second favorites, Brazil has multiple reasons to want to clinch the Copa América title. They were close in 2021 but lost the final against Argentina by a lone goal. The team still has the star power to compete in 2024. However, their most recent results place them below Argentina on the outright favorite list. Copa América odds also reflect the same.

For Uruguay, the country has high hopes of reaching the latter stages of the CONMEBOL tournament. As mentioned earlier, they’re the only team to have won against Argentina in the past year. The team is predicted to reach the semi-finals at least per our evaluations. However, futures odds don’t highlight them to pull off a better result if they go H2H with Argentina or Brazil in the knockouts. 

Outright winner prediction: Argentina

Copa América 2024 longshot and value pick

If you want to place a longshot bet on a team to win Copa América 2024, the USMNT and Canada are our best picks. Both teams have talented players such as Christian Pulisic, Jonathan David, Alphonso Davies, and Timothy Weah. However, to highlight a single country, it’s the United States. 

In terms of recent performance, the USMNT records 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. It’s worth mentioning that the team won the CONCACAF Nations League final against Mexico to qualify for the Copa América. Meanwhile, Canada has 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. The country also qualified via the CONCACAF Nations League, but by play-offs.  

It’s not only the latest result that makes the USMNT a more valuable longshot bet. The team also has the home advantage, since they’re the host nation. Additionally, they have higher chances of making it out of the group stage compared to Canada. With Argentina and Chile as favorites for Group A, the probability of Canada reaching the quarter-finals is low. On the other hand, our Copa América 2024 predictions indicate that the United States will likely finish second in Group C. 

However, if things happen that way, the USMNT will play the Group D winner — likely Brazil but also possibly Columbia. The United States undoubtedly stands a better chance against Columbia than Brazil. Nevertheless, in soccer, anything can happen. Also, momentum plays a significant role in the knockout stages, which the USMNT will have thanks to fan support. 

Longshot prediction: USMNT

Copa América 2024 top scorer pick

The top scorer market is one of the best options for Copa América betting. It’s straightforward, too, as you’ll simply be wagering on the player to win the Golden Boot. However, considering the many talented forwards and strikers in the competition, picking one may be challenging. Thankfully, our analysis has narrowed down the top 5, including:

1. Lionel Messi (Argentina)
2. Lautaro Martinez (Argentina)
3. Vinicius Junior (Brazil)
4. Neymar (Brazil)
5. Julian Alvarez (Argentina)

Lionel Messi is the favorite to win the Golden Boot, and unsurprisingly so since he won the award in the last Copa América. In the 2022 FIFA World Cup, Messi was also en route to finish as top scorer. He only missed out to Kylian Mbappe by one goal in the final game. In 2024, Lionel Messi is still as deadly a finisher as ever. The veteran currently leads the top scorer table in Major League Soccer (MLS) with Inter Miami. 

Lautaro Martinez is the second favorite thanks to his performances for Inter Milan. The player is set to win the Serie A Golden Boot this season after finding the net 23+ times. His closest competitor lags by up to 7 goals. However, Martinez’s chances depend on whether he starts ahead of Alvarez. We predict he will so long as he’s in good form.

When it comes to Vinicius Junior, the player has been impressive in front of goal for Real Madrid this season. However, he doesn’t rank on the La Liga top 5 scorer list. Neymar has slimmer chances considering the fact that he’s been out with injury for months.

Golden Boot prediction: Lionel Messi

Copa América 2024 Golden Glove pick

For the Copa América Golden Glove winner, our analysis resulted in four names, including:

1. Emiliano Martinez (Argentina)
2. Alisson Becker (Brazil)
3. Claudio Bravo (Chile)
4. Guillermo Ochoa (Mexico)

However, to narrow things down, the two top picks are Emiliano Martinez from Argentina and Alisson Becker from Brazil. Martinez is the top favorite, as he’s maintained top-quality form for the past two years. For emphasis, he won the Golden Glove at the 2021 Copa América and also at the 2022 FIFA World Cup. His massive performances earned him the Best FIFA Men’s Goalkeeper Award in 2022.

Emiliano Martinez has been Aston Villa’s best player this season, with 90 saves out of 135 shots faced. Thanks to him, the club is set to finish 4th in the Premier League. Alisson has also been in impressive form for Liverpool with 76 saves from 101 shots. However, Martinez has the upper hand since Argentina are a more formidable team than Brazil. 

Furthermore, Alisson has Ederson as his competition in the national team. Alisson has always been the first choice, but Ederson is the current Best FIFA Men’s Goalkeeper, after winning the award in 2023. So, it won’t be surprising if the Man City goalkeeper makes more appearances on the pitch in this year’s Copa América. If such happens, it automatically boosts Martinez’s chances, as the Argentine goalkeeper has no competition.

Golden Glove prediction: Emiliano Martinez 

Copa América 2024 best bets

With our Copa América 2024 predictions as a guide, you can explore various betting options for the upcoming competition. We’ve analyzed and presented the top picks for the best outright markets. Betting on day-to-day fixtures is also ideal, but for that, ensure you research and understand the tournament format.

Furthermore, when making your bets, only use reputable sportsbooks in Canada. You can use odds comparison tools to calculate the margins and payout rates to know which sportsbooks offer the best value. Follow these picks, and you’re sure to have a safe and enjoyable betting experience.

To sign off, here’s a rundown of our Copa América 2024 picks: 

• Outright winner prediction: Argentina
• Golden Boot prediction: Lionel Messi
• Golden Glove prediction: Emiliano Martinez
• Longshot prediction: USMNT

CONMEBOL Copa América picks FAQ