The USA enters the FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 as the overwhelming favorite, well ahead of Belgium, France, Australia, and China, among other FIBA World Cup contenders. The women’s basketball World Cup odds will shift considerably ahead of the tournament, which begins Friday, Sept. 4 in Berlin, Germany.
The tournament features 16 teams, with the field expanded from 12 teams in 2022. The USA is seeking its fifth consecutive championship after winning four straight World Cups and 11 titles overall. You can follow along with our FIBA Women’s World Cup printable bracket.
🏀 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup Odds
| Rank |
Team |
Odds |
Implied Probability |
| 1 |
USA |
-400 |
80.00% |
| 2 |
France |
+600 |
11.11% |
| 3 |
Belgium |
+1100 |
8.33% |
| 4 |
Spain |
+2500 |
3.85% |
| 5 |
Australia |
+2500 |
3.85% |
| 6 |
Germany |
+2800 |
3.45% |
| 7 |
China |
+6600 |
1.49% |
FIBA Women’s World Cup odds provided by bet365, accurate as of September 10
These FIBA Women’s World Cup predictions favor the Americans, but several European teams – and Australia – have enough talent to make the knockout stage highly competitive.
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FIBA 2026 Women’s World Cup Groups
The expanded 16-team tournament features four groups of four. The FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 draw placed the USA alongside Czechia, Italy and China in Group D, while Belgium and Australia landed together in Group C.
Group D is particularly interesting for FIBA Women’s World Cup basketball predictions, as the USA is heavily favored but China was the runner-up at the 2022 World Cup. Below are the FIBA World Cup groups and each team’s opening odds to win the group.
| Group A |
Group B |
Group C |
Group D |
| Japan (+600) |
Hungary (+2500) |
Belgium (-134) |
USA (-8000) |
| Spain (-134) |
South Korea (+5000) |
Australia (+115) |
Czechia (+5000) |
| Germany (+160) |
Nigeria (+450) |
Puerto Rico (+8000) |
Italy (+2200) |
| Mali (+8000) |
France (-700) |
Türkiye (+1400) |
China (+1600) |
FIBA 2026 Women’s World Cup Schedule
The FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 begins Friday, September 4, with the group stage running through September 7. Group winners move directly into the quarterfinals, while second- and third-place teams play qualification games September 8-9. The quarterfinals are September 10, semifinals September 12 and the championship game September 13.
The official schedule confirms the group-stage matchups and dates, while the knockout matchups depend on group-stage results.
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Why USA Will Win 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup
The simplest case for the USA in the FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 is its combination of talent, depth and history. The Americans have won four consecutive World Cups, including an 83-61 victory over China in the 2022 final, and have captured 11 titles overall. It’s no surprise they have the shortest basketball odds in 2026.
The announced USA roster is loaded with established stars and high-profile newcomers, even with the recent news that 2022 World Cup MVP A’ja Wilson and Kelsey Plum have withdrawn due to rest/injury. Breanna Stewart and Chelsea Gray provide an elite frontcourt, while Napheesa Collier, Kahleah Copper, Rhyne Howard, and Jackie Young give the team tremendous versatility. The roster tracker also includes Caitlin Clark, Paige Bueckers, and Angel Reese, making this a particularly intriguing American squad.
Clark’s debut is arguably the biggest storyline. Her shooting and playmaking could give an already talented USA backcourt another dynamic offensive weapon, while Bueckers adds another creative guard and Reese brings rebounding and interior toughness.
Stewart was part of the All-Star Five in Sydney, while Clark, Bueckers, and Reese represent the next generation of women’s basketball in the US. That combination of proven international stars and younger talent is why the USA sits at -400 and why these FIBA Women’s World Cup predictions start with the Americans.
The US were perfect through the group stage, but it wasn’t as easy as expected. They went 3-0, outscoring their opponents 254-177, but barely survived against Italy, winning 55-52. They had no trouble in the quarter-finals against Hungary, winning 108-56.
Who Could Realistically Challenge USA at the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup?
The FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 has several legitimate challengers, even if none approaches the USA in the current odds. China reached the 2022 final, Australia won the 2006 World Cup and took bronze in 2022, while Belgium and France have recently established themselves among Europe’s elite.
The women’s basketball World Cup odds give Belgium and France the shortest prices behind the USA, at +800 and +1100, followed by Australia at +1500. Those teams also have plenty of experience against American competition. France and Belgium were the only two other perfect teams through the round robin.
Belgium
Belgium may be the most intriguing challenger. The reigning FIBA Women’s EuroBasket champion has Emma Meesseman, Julie Allemand, Julie Vanloo and Kyara Linskens, with Meesseman and Allemand leading the team statistically during qualifying. Belgium went 5-0 in its qualifying tournament and owns the fifth spot in the FIBA women’s world ranking.
Belgium was 3-0 during the round robin, outscoring its opponents 245-207.
France
France has one of the deepest rosters outside the USA, led by WNBA-connected stars Gabby Williams, Marine Johannes, Dominique Malonga and Iliana Rupert. Nine members of France’s 2026 qualifying roster were part of the team that reached the Olympic final in Paris, where France pushed the USA before falling short.
France went 3-0 during the round robin and actually had a better points differential than the US (+127 to +77), outscoring its opponents 305 to 178.
Australia
Australia brings a proven international pedigree and a physical frontcourt. Ezi Magbegor, Alanna Smith and Sami Whitcomb headline the roster, while Jade Melbourne adds young guard talent. The Opals were unbeaten in their 2026 qualifying tournament and finished third at the 2022 World Cup, making them a natural pick among the FIBA Women’s World Cup predictions.
Australia finished 2-1 in the round robin, earning five points. They lost 80-68 to Belgium.
FIBA Women’s World Cup Tournament MVP Odds
Through the group stage, the FIBA Women’s World Cup Tournament MVP odds feature Breanna Stewart and Caitlin Clark among the leading contenders, with Napheesa Collier also in the mix. With A’ja Wilson unavailable, Stewart’s experience and Clark’s playmaking make them particularly intriguing MVP candidates heading into the knockout rounds.
| Rank |
Player |
Odds |
Implied Probability |
| 1 |
Breanna Stewart |
+110 |
47.62% |
| 2 |
Gabby Williams |
+700 |
12.50% |
| 3 |
Emma Meesseman |
+800 |
11.11% |
| 4 |
Caitlin Clark |
+900 |
10.00% |
| 5 |
Dominique Malonga |
+1600 |
5.88% |
| 6 |
Kahleah Cooper |
+2000 |
4.76% |
| 7 |
Napheesa Collier |
+2000 |
4.76% |
| 8 |
Julie Allemand |
+2500 |
3.85% |
| 9 |
Ezi Magbegor |
+2800 |
3.45% |
| 10 |
Janelle Salaun |
+3300 |
2.94% |
Breanna Stewart FIBA Women’s World Cup Tournament MVP Odds | +110 at bet365
Breanna Stewart remains the clear favorite in the FIBA World Cup Tournament MVP odds at +110 after helping Team USA finish the group stage undefeated. Stewart averaged 10.3 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game while leading the Americans in efficiency at 18.0.
She saved her best performance for the group-stage finale, producing 19 points, seven rebounds and six assists in a dominant 105-64 win over Czechia. With A’ja Wilson unavailable, Stewart has an even larger role for the defending champions. Her experience, two-way impact and previous 2018 World Cup MVP award make her the logical favorite.
Gabby Williams FIBA Women’s World Cup Tournament MVP Odds | +700 at bet365
Gabby Williams has emerged as one of the strongest challengers in the FIBA World Cup Tournament MVP odds, listed at +700 after an excellent group stage for France. Williams averaged 18.7 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.3 assists while shooting 58.8% from the field and 55% from three-point range.
She capped the group stage with 25 points, six rebounds and two steals against Nigeria, going 6-for-8 from beyond the arc in France’s 111-56 victory. France went undefeated through the group stage, giving Williams a strong opportunity to build an MVP case as the knockout rounds begin.
Emma Meesseman FIBA Women’s World Cup Tournament MVP Odds | +800 at bet365
Emma Meesseman has backed up her status as one of the tournament’s premier international players and is +800 in the FIBA World Cup Tournament MVP odds. The Belgian star averaged 18.3 points, 8.0 rebounds and 5.3 assists through three group-stage games, ranking second in the tournament in scoring while leading Belgium in efficiency.
Meesseman delivered her best all-around performance in Belgium’s 80-68 victory over Australia, finishing with 22 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. Belgium went 3-0 to win its group and advance directly to the quarterfinals, strengthening Meesseman’s case among the favorites.
Caitlin Clark FIBA Women’s World Cup Tournament MVP Odds | +900 at bet365
Caitlin Clark enters the knockout stage at +900 in the FIBA World Cup Tournament MVP odds after helping Team USA go 3-0 in group play. Clark averaged 8.0 points, 2.7 rebounds and 6.3 assists, with her passing remaining one of her biggest strengths. She opened the tournament with 14 points and 11 assists against China before adding nine points and seven assists against Czechia.
Clark also won the TISSOT MVP award during the World Cup qualifying tournament earlier this year, where she averaged 11.6 points and 6.4 assists. Her playmaking gives her plenty of upside in the knockout rounds.
Why Isn’t Canada at the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Championship?
Canada missed the FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 after finishing outside the qualifying spots in the Istanbul tournament. Canada entered the final day with a 2-2 record and needed a favorable combination of results, but an 82-76 loss to already-qualified Australia eliminated the Canadians. Hungary subsequently beat Türkiye 89-74 to take the final qualifying place, while Japan also advanced.
It was a disappointing result for a Canadian team that still had significant talent. Bridget Carleton averaged 13.4 points and 5.2 rebounds during qualifying, while Kia Nurse, Kayla Alexander and Aaliyah Edwards were also part of the squad.
Canada can absolutely qualify for the next World Cup. FIBA’s current calendar has the 2030 World Cup qualifying tournaments scheduled for March 2030, with pre-qualifying tournaments in August 2028. The 2030 World Cup will be hosted in Tokyo, Japan.
Betting on the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup
Betting on the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup gives basketball bettors several ways to get involved, from tournament winner markets to game moneylines, spreads and totals. Top sportsbooks such as BetMGM and bet365 already list FIBA Women’s World Cup markets, although availability varies by jurisdiction. When comparing the best sportsbook promos, look for new-user bonus bets, deposit matches and bet-reset offers, while always checking the terms and expiration dates. Current sportsbook promotions can change quickly.
Learning how to bet on basketball starts with understanding the moneyline, point spread and over/under. Moneyline bets simply require picking the winner, while spreads give the underdog a points advantage and totals involve predicting combined scoring. For futures, bettors can wager on which team wins the tournament. Compare odds across multiple books before placing a wager, as even small differences can affect long-term returns.
Past FIBA Women’s World Cup Winners
The United States has dominated the modern era, winning four consecutive championships from 2010 through 2022 and 11 titles overall. Australia is the only other nation to win since 1994, while Brazil won the 1994 tournament.
| Year |
Winning Team |
Runner-Up |
Final Score |
| 2022 |
United States |
China |
83-61 |
| 2018 |
United States |
Australia |
73-56 |
| 2014 |
United States |
Spain |
77-64 |
| 2010 |
United States |
Czech Republic |
89-69 |
| 2006 |
Australia |
Russia |
91-74 |
| 2002 |
United States |
Russia |
79-74 |
| 1998 |
United States |
Russia |
71-65 |
| 1994 |
Brazil |
China |
96-87 |
| 1990 |
United States |
Yugoslavia |
88-78 |
| 1986 |
United States |
Soviet Union |
108-88 |
| 1983 |
Soviet Union |
United States |
84-82 |
| 1979 |
United States |
South Korea |
94-82 |
| 1975 |
Soviet Union |
Japan |
106-75 |
| 1971 |
Soviet Union |
Czechoslovakia |
88-69 |
| 1967 |
Soviet Union |
South Korea |
83-50 |
| 1964 |
Soviet Union |
Czechoslovakia |
70-35 |
| 1959 |
Soviet Union |
Bulgaria |
51-38 |
| 1957 |
United States |
Soviet Union |
51-48 |
| 1953 |
United States |
Chile |
49-36 |
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FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 FAQs
When is the FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026?
The FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026 runs from September 4-13 in Berlin, Germany. The group stage is September 4-7, followed by knockout games beginning September 8. The championship game is scheduled for September 13.
Who is favored to win the FIBA Women’s World Cup 2026?
The USA is the clear favorite at -400 in the listed women’s basketball World Cup odds, implying an 80% probability. Belgium and France are next at +900, followed by Australia at +1500.
What are the best FIBA Women’s World Cup predictions?
The USA is the obvious starting point because of its four straight championships and 11 total titles. Belgium, France and Australia are the strongest alternatives based on the current FIBA Women’s World Cup predictions and their recent international results.
Who are the top players at the 2026 Women’s World Cup?
A’ja Wilson, Breanna Stewart and Caitlin Clark headline the USA roster, while Belgium has Emma Meesseman and France features Gabby Williams, Marine Johannes and Dominique Malonga. Australia’s Ezi Magbegor and Alanna Smith are also among the players to watch.
Did Canada qualify for the 2026 Women’s World Cup?
No. Canada was eliminated after losing to Australia in the final game of its qualifying tournament, while Hungary secured the final spot from the group. Canada finished behind Australia, Hungary, Japan and Türkiye in the qualification race.
Where will the next Women’s World Cup be held?
The 2030 FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup will be played in Tokyo, Japan. FIBA has scheduled the event for November 26 through December 8, 2030, with qualifying tournaments scheduled earlier that year.