Value Bets Icon Value bets

Value bets tool help you explore mathematically calculated selections where the probability of the outcome is greater than the odds reflect. We increase your chances to win and to be profitable in the long run by revealing advantageous odds at different bookmakers.  


 

How is the value on a value bet calculated?

To calculate expected value let’s use a coin flip as an example. A coin toss has 50/50 chance to land on heads or tails, therefore the odds offered on a fair market should be 2.00/2.00, but there is a bookmaker which is offering heads priced at 2.20. The formula is as follows:  

(Potential Profit * Probability ) - (Potential Loss * Probability)

Our potential profit with a stake of 10$ on odds of 2.20 will be 12$. Our potential loss is 10$. We are quite sure the true probability of heads to land is 50%. So using the formula, we measure our +EV at 1 : (12 * 0.5) - (10 * 0.5) = 1. To get overvalue percentage, the initial stake can be divided by our EV - in this case, 10% - which means that for each $10 dollar bet we will make an average of 1$ because the probability given by the odds was lower than the implied probability of the coin flip.  

 

Oddspedia Value Bet Finder - How to use

Value bets tool display bets that have odds with implied probability value higher than the real probability of it happening. Those bets are calculated based on the comparison between bookmakers market odds with total average odds. Oddspedia’s overvalue algorithm takes into account various factors and collects data simultaneously from at least several bookmakers. Betting with value included in the bets will statistically lead to long-term profits.

The "Odds" column features the best betting odds available.

The "Probability" column shows a statistical likelihood to win the bet.

The "Overvalue" mathematically estimates the added value advantage between the odd and the real probability of this outcome.

You might also like to check other Sure Wins situations via Oddspedia Sure bets tool.

Europe European Masters
22. Sep. 20, 04:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Mark Davis - Amine Amiri

Probability 4.09%

2
174.03% overvalue Bet now
Portugal A1
19. Sep. 20, 09:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Boavista FC - Benfica

Probability 5.33%

X
145.33% overvalue Bet now
Poland Superliga Women
19. Sep. 20, 12:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Lublin Women - Piotrkow Women

Probability 5.32%

X
144.83% overvalue Bet now
Spain Division de Honor Women
19. Sep. 20, 13:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Puerto Del Carmen Women - Malaga Women

Probability 3.27%

129.07% overvalue Bet now
Finland SM Liga
19. Sep. 20, 08:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

HIFK - Cocks

Probability 4.52%

X
108.1% overvalue Bet now
New Zealand Central Premier League
18. Sep. 20, 21:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Miramar Rangers - Waterside Karori

Probability 5.8%

2
97.13% overvalue Bet now
Taiwan Mulan League Women
18. Sep. 20, 21:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Taichung Blue Whale Women - Hang Yuan FC Women

Probability 5.53%

2
87.87% overvalue Bet now
Spain Division de Honor Women
19. Sep. 20, 13:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Puerto Del Carmen Women - Malaga Women

Probability 2.76%

84.83% overvalue Bet now
Slovakia 2. Liga
19. Sep. 20, 08:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

MFK Dubnica - Matador Puchov

Probability 15.38%

2
84.53% overvalue Bet now
Europe Euro Women Qualification
19. Sep. 20, 12:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Moldova Women - Spain Women

Probability 2.88%

1
75.79% overvalue Bet now
Romania Liga 2
22. Sep. 20, 11:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Universitatea Cluj - FC Unirea Slobozia

Probability 17.46%

2
65.9% overvalue Bet now
World Welterweight
19. Sep. 20, 17:11

Full Time Result: Full Time

Jaron Ennis - Juan Carlos Abreu

Probability 6.69%

2
63.82% overvalue Bet now
Europe Champions League Women
19. Sep. 20, 09:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Gyor Women - Podravka Vegeta Women

Probability 3.99%

X
63.66% overvalue Bet now
Spain Division de Honor Women
19. Sep. 20, 11:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Elche Mustang Women - Cordoba Women

Probability 3.97%

X
62.82% overvalue Bet now
New Zealand Mitre 10 Cup
19. Sep. 20, 02:05

Full Time Result: Full Time

Bay of Plenty - Southland

Probability 2.38%

59.31% overvalue Bet now
Spain Liga Asobal
19. Sep. 20, 05:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Barcelona - BM Nava

Probability 3.19%

X
59.3% overvalue Bet now
Norway Postenligaen Women
20. Sep. 20, 10:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Larvik Women - Tertnes Women

Probability 6.84%

X
57.4% overvalue Bet now
Bulgaria PFL
20. Sep. 20, 09:45

Full Time Result: Full Time

Etar 1924 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Probability 9.23%

1
56.86% overvalue Bet now
Portugal A1
19. Sep. 20, 09:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Boavista FC - Benfica

Probability 7.44%

1
56.16% overvalue Bet now
Poland Superliga Women
19. Sep. 20, 12:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Lublin Women - Piotrkow Women

Probability 7.37%

2
54.78% overvalue Bet now
Poland Plus Liga
19. Sep. 20, 13:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Kedzierzyn-Kozle - Bedzin

Probability 8.58%

54.38% overvalue Bet now
New Zealand Mitre 10 Cup
19. Sep. 20, 02:05

Full Time Result: Full Time

Bay of Plenty - Southland

Probability 8.06%

2
53.07% overvalue Bet now
Europe Challenge Cup
19. Sep. 20, 11:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Hull FC - Wigan Warriors

Probability 4.48%

X
52.48% overvalue Bet now
Europe European Rugby Champions Cup
20. Sep. 20, 11:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints

Probability 2.77%

X
52.27% overvalue Bet now
Poland Superliga
19. Sep. 20, 06:15

Full Time Result: Full Time

Zabrze - Vive Kielce

Probability 5.83%

X
51.57% overvalue Bet now
Poland Superliga
20. Sep. 20, 10:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

SPR Tarnow - Wisla Plock

Probability 6.02%

50.6% overvalue Bet now
Europe Challenge Cup
19. Sep. 20, 06:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Bordeaux Begles - Edinburgh Rugby

Probability 4.4%

49.45% overvalue Bet now
Australia Brisbane PL Women
20. Sep. 20, 02:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Ipswich City Women - Annerley Women

Probability 8.22%

47.97% overvalue Bet now
Finland SM Liga
19. Sep. 20, 08:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

HIFK - Cocks

Probability 7.04%

47.78% overvalue Bet now
Tunisia ITF Monastir 1
19. Sep. 20, 03:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Alexander Kotzen - David Pichler

Probability 24.95%

47.23% overvalue Bet now
Italy A1 Women
20. Sep. 20, 10:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Conegliano Women - Casalmaggiore Women

Probability 6.38%

46.81% overvalue Bet now
Turkey League 1 Women
19. Sep. 20, 10:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Nilufer Belediye Women - Besiktas Women

Probability 7.7%

2
46.26% overvalue Bet now
Spain Division de Honor Women
19. Sep. 20, 11:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Elche Mustang Women - Cordoba Women

Probability 6.02%

44.48% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup Women
20. Sep. 20, 02:40

Full Time Result: Full Time

Rubina Vardanyan - Marine Galstyan

Probability 5.76%

44.09% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup Women
20. Sep. 20, 06:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Rubina Vardanyan - Mane Gazaryan

Probability 5.76%

44.09% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup
19. Sep. 20, 05:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Harutyun Harutyunyan - Karen Papyan

Probability 5.76%

44.09% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup
20. Sep. 20, 14:40

Full Time Result: Full Time

Davit Vardanyan - Mushegh Nazaryan

Probability 5.76%

44.09% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup
19. Sep. 20, 14:20

Full Time Result: Full Time

Davit Vardanyan - Mushegh Nazaryan

Probability 5.76%

44.09% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup
19. Sep. 20, 07:40

Full Time Result: Full Time

Harutyun Harutyunyan - Karen Papyan

Probability 5.76%

44.09% overvalue Bet now
Europe WHIL Women
20. Sep. 20, 10:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Slavia Prague Women - HK Hodonin Women

Probability 4.21%

X
43.16% overvalue Bet now
New Zealand Mitre 10 Cup
19. Sep. 20, 23:35

Full Time Result: Full Time

Auckland Rugby - Wellington Lions

Probability 4.2%

X
42.78% overvalue Bet now
Europe Challenge Cup
19. Sep. 20, 08:30

Full Time Result: Full Time

Warrington Wolves - St Helens

Probability 4.92%

X
42.74% overvalue Bet now
Latvia 1. Liga
19. Sep. 20, 07:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

FK Auda - Lokomotiv Daugavpils

Probability 19.01%

42.59% overvalue Bet now
Latvia 1. Liga
19. Sep. 20, 08:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Saldus SS Leevon - SC Grobinas

Probability 8.13%

42.33% overvalue Bet now
Hungary OB I
19. Sep. 20, 05:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Eger - Debreceni

Probability 6.76%

2
41.89% overvalue Bet now
Hungary NB1 Women
19. Sep. 20, 11:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

DVSC Debrecen Women - Szombathelyi Women

Probability 10.13%

X
41.79% overvalue Bet now
Czech Republic NBL
19. Sep. 20, 11:00

Full Time Result: FT inc. OT

Prostejov - Nymburk

Probability 9.43%

1
41.4% overvalue Bet now
Egypt Premier League
19. Sep. 20, 13:00

Full Time Result: Full Time

Al Ahly Cairo - Misr Lel Makasa

Probability 18.82%

2
41.18% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup Women
20. Sep. 20, 06:20

Full Time Result: Full Time

Marine Galstyan - Elen Bakhchajyan

Probability 6.13%

41.1% overvalue Bet now
Armenia ITT Cup Women
19. Sep. 20, 05:40

Full Time Result: Full Time

Elen Bakhchajyan - Marine Galstyan

Probability 6.13%

41.1% overvalue Bet now
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