Value Bets Icon Value bets

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Value bets tool help you explore mathematically calculated selections where the probability of the outcome is greater than the odds reflect. We increase your chances to win and to be profitable in the long run by revealing advantageous odds at different bookmakers.

24th Oct 21, 13:00
99.41% Overvalue Bet now
24th Oct 21, 13:00
Draw
99.18% Overvalue Bet now
24th Oct 21, 13:00
98.37% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 20:20
Draw
95.84% Overvalue Bet now

1X2

Russia Women - Malta Women

Probability 5.28%

Draw
90.25% Overvalue Bet now

1X2

Belgium Women - Kosovo Women

Probability 5.32%

Away
80.81% Overvalue Bet now
23rd Oct 21, 19:00
76.86% Overvalue Bet now
Away
71.59% Overvalue Bet now
Draw
71.03% Overvalue Bet now
24th Oct 21, 10:00

Home/Away

Iraklis - Olympiacos

Probability 7.88%

Home
65.58% Overvalue Bet now
23rd Oct 21, 09:00
Draw
62.59% Overvalue Bet now
24th Oct 21, 15:05

1X2

La Rochelle - RC Toulonnais

Probability 3.17%

Draw
61.84% Overvalue Bet now
22nd Oct 21, 12:00

1X2

Celje - RD Loka

Probability 8.04%

Draw
60.76% Overvalue Bet now
23rd Oct 21, 15:00
Draw
60.07% Overvalue Bet now
20th Oct 21, 19:30
58.62% Overvalue Bet now

Asian Handicap +1/-1

MFK Karvina - Banik Ostrava

Probability 60.78%

Away
58.02% Overvalue Bet now

1X2

Villarreal - Young Boys

Probability 18.48%

Away
57.1% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 12:00

Home/Away

HK Lida - Yunost Minsk

Probability 17.43%

Home
56.89% Overvalue Bet now
20th Oct 21, 20:00
56.73% Overvalue Bet now
22nd Oct 21, 14:45
Draw
54.9% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 20:00

Both Teams to Score

Nashville Predators - New York Rangers

Probability 14.04%

No
54.41% Overvalue Bet now

1X2

Merida UD - UD Tamaraceite

Probability 25.68%

Away
54.11% Overvalue Bet now
Home
53.79% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 19:00

Both Teams to Score

Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes

Probability 13.94%

No
53.39% Overvalue Bet now
23rd Oct 21, 09:00

1X2

Dinamo Minsk - Rechytsa 2014

Probability 3.33%

Away
53.33% Overvalue Bet now
22nd Oct 21, 14:45

1X2

Bohemian - Waterford United

Probability 23.58%

Draw
53.28% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Summa Peelpush Women - Apollo 8 Women

Probability 15.78%

Home
53.02% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 12:00

1X2

TUS N-Lubbecke - SC Magdeburg

Probability 13.22%

Home
52.08% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 19:30

Both Teams to Score

Detroit Red Wings - Calgary Flames

Probability 13.79%

No
51.67% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 15:30
Away
51.61% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 04:15

1X2

Sriwijaya - Tiga Naga

Probability 16%

Away
51.24% Overvalue Bet now
23rd Oct 21, 08:00

1X2

Musan Salama - Klubi 04

Probability 36.19%

Away
50.19% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 13:30

Both Teams to Score

Iserlohn Roosters - EHC Wolfsburg

Probability 15.07%

49.17% Overvalue Bet now
Away
49.08% Overvalue Bet now
20th Oct 21, 20:30
Draw
48.52% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 19:30
Draw
48.27% Overvalue Bet now

1X2

Al Baten - Al Feiha

Probability 41.12%

Home
48.03% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 12:00

Home/Away

Muharraq - Al Bahrain

Probability 11.83%

Away
47.87% Overvalue Bet now
22nd Oct 21, 12:30

1X2

SC Ferlach - HC Alpla Hard

Probability 11.81%

Home
47.65% Overvalue Bet now
23rd Oct 21, 10:00

1X2

Harlequins - Bath

Probability 2.89%

Draw
47.51% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Keyura Mopati - Katerina Zuzakova

Probability 7.01%

Away
47.18% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Ivan Kovacevic - Dinuka Karunaratne

Probability 7.01%

Home
47.18% Overvalue Bet now
20th Oct 21, 19:30

Both Teams to Score

Philadelphia Flyers - Boston Bruins

Probability 13.37%

No
47.07% Overvalue Bet now

Home/Away

Albin Carl Hjelm - Jia Heng Jason Teh

Probability 6.38%

Home
46.81% Overvalue Bet now
20th Oct 21, 22:00

Both Teams to Score

Vegas Golden Knights - St. Louis Blues

Probability 13.33%

No
46.6% Overvalue Bet now
21st Oct 21, 13:00

Both Teams to Score

Farjestad BK - Orebro HK

Probability 16.21%

45.87% Overvalue Bet now
22nd Oct 21, 13:00

1X2

Savehof - Aranas

Probability 5.03%

Draw
45.74% Overvalue Bet now
24th Oct 21, 10:00

1X2

Saracens - Wasps

Probability 2.86%

Draw
45.71% Overvalue Bet now
20th Oct 21, 20:00
45.52% Overvalue Bet now

What is Value bets - Value betting explained

Bets that hold an edge against a bookmaker or another user on a betting exchange are considered value bets. Value as a term is derived from the financial sector and has the same core meaning - as long as there is a selection identified with a lower probability than indicated to occur, also known as positive value, then there is an opportunity to take advantage out of it.

Value bets of the day - Best value bet predictions today

Find the best bets using the Oddspedia free value bet tool. Look for the overvalue percentage and starting time to check the most potentially profitable bets for today. The matches shown have higher odds than what the probabilities would suggest. We suggest to use them as single bets.  

Value bets tips - How to identify good betting opportunities

In betting finding positive value plays a critical role in long term success. It is one of the fundamental concepts in sports betting, and naturally, you would place bets only where you see a positive expected value between the probabilities you calculate and the odds provided by bookmakers.  

Here are ten tips to be able to successfully extract positive value from your bets:

  1. Be able to calculate probabilities and convert odds on the fly.  

  2. Have a deep understanding and experience in the sport you are betting on.  

  3. Time and place your bets before lines start moving

  4. Analyze the difference between the odds and your perceived probability of an outcome

  5. Watch out for recent news or announcements that may affect the outcome of a game  

  6. Look at statistics and beyond to before you settle on a bet

  7. It’s more frequent to find overvalue on the underdogs, even with less hit rate

  8. Don’t be afraid to go against the public consensus

  9. Value betting comes through in the long term, short term bad streaks can happen

10. Use your EV calculations to correspond to the Unit amount wagered on your bets.

But you don’t have to worry at all because Oddspedia has you covered as well with the value bets betting tool found on this page. You will be able to easily and reliably find value bets across multiple sports. Read below more about our tool.

What is the correlation between probabilities and odds?

 Probability represents the likelihood of a certain event to happen and how likely the outcome is being shown in percentage. In sports betting, bookmaker personnel and traders assess this probability, which is then transformed into betting odds. Value betting situations will occur where the odds of an event from a bookmaker reflect a probability that is less than the actual probability of this outcome to occur.  

What positive and negative expected value means?

 Expected value or EV is the potential long-term fairness over the given situation. Positive +EV signals that long term positive results can be expected and negative -EV is the opposite. Or simply put, positive EV equals taking a good deal at the right time. The EV perspective is a great approach to gambling and especially sports betting and we naturally stick and call bets we perceive as +EV.  

How is the value on a value bet calculated?

To calculate expected value let’s use a coin flip as an example. A coin toss has 50/50 chance to land on heads or tails, therefore the odds offered on a fair market should be 2.00/2.00, but there is a bookmaker which is offering heads priced at 2.20. The formula is as follows:  

(Potential Profit * Probability ) - (Potential Loss * Probability)

Our potential profit with a stake of 10$ on odds of 2.20 will be 12$. Our potential loss is 10$. We are quite sure the true probability of heads to land is 50%. So using the formula, we measure our +EV at 1 : (12 * 0.5) - (10 * 0.5) = 1. To get overvalue percentage, the initial stake can be divided by our EV - in this case, 10% - which means that for each $10 dollar bet we will make an average of 1$ because the probability given by the odds was lower than the implied probability of the coin flip.  

 

Oddspedia Value Bet Finder - How to use

Value bets tool display bets that have odds with implied probability value higher than the real probability of it happening. Those bets are calculated based on the comparison between bookmakers market odds with total average odds. Oddspedia’s overvalue algorithm takes into account various factors and collects data simultaneously from at least several bookmakers. Betting with value included in the bets will statistically lead to long-term profits.

The "Odds" column features the best betting odds available.

The "Probability" column shows a statistical likelihood to win the bet.

The "Overvalue" mathematically estimates the added value advantage between the odd and the real probability of this outcome.

You might also like to check other Sure Wins situations via Oddspedia Sure bets tool.

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