The week after The Open Championship is one of the best opportunities on the PGA Tour to back longshots, as many of golf’s biggest stars skip the event and leave a more balanced field at TPC Twin Cities. That creates plenty of value for bettors looking beyond the favorites, making 3M Open sleeper picks especially appealing.
3M Open Odds and Sleeper Picks 2026: The Best Value This Week
- A look at the updated 3M Open odds
- Max Greyserman is one of our top 3M Open sleeper picks
- 3M Open sleeper picks tee times
Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images
Americans have won the 3M Open in six of seven years since the tournament launched in 2019...
Scottie Scheffler may be playing at TPC Twin Cities, but with fewer elite players in the field in-form golfers and course specialists have a legitimate chance to contend. Below, we’ve highlighted our favorite under-the-radar selections based on current 3M Open odds, recent form, and the profile needed to break through this week.
⛳ 3M Open 2026 Odds
| Player | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +172 | 36.76% |
| Ben Kohles | +475 | 17.39% |
| Jackson Koivun | +930 | 9.71% |
| Gary Woodland | +1325 | 7.02% |
| Emiliano Grillo | +1950 | 4.88% |
| Michael Brennan | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Jesper Svensson | +3100 | 3.13% |
| Lucas Glover | +3400 | 2.86% |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson | +3600 | 2.70% |
| Kurt Kitayama | +4000 | 2.44% |
3M Open odds provided by DraftKings – accurate as of July 24
🏌 3M Open Sleeper Picks
Sudarshan Yellamaraju | +11000 🔺+50000 odds to win 3M Open at bet365
Sudarshan Yellamaraju stands out as one of the most intriguing 3M Open sleeper picks thanks to the consistency he’s displayed throughout an impressive rookie campaign. The Canadian has made 15 cuts in 20 starts while posting seven top-25 finishes, proving he’s capable of putting himself in contention almost every week.
He has also converted three of those into top-10 finishes, showing he has the upside to challenge for a breakthrough PGA Tour victory. With many of the game’s biggest stars skipping this week’s event, the 3M Open odds offer excellent value on a player who has quietly built one of the steadiest rookie seasons on Tour and has every opportunity to capitalize on a weaker field.
Yellamaraju is nine shots back of the lead after shooting an even par 71 on Thursday. He’ll be more worried about making the 3M Open cut line at this point.
Max Greyserman | +6800 🔺+19000 odds to win 3M Open at DraftKings
Bill Streicher-Imagn Images
Max Greyserman deserves consideration among this week’s 3M Open sleeper picks after finishing runner-up at TPC Twin Cities in 2024, proving his game suits this layout. The American has quietly developed into one of the PGA Tour’s more consistent ball-strikers, and when his putter heats up, he has the scoring ability to contend in low-scoring events.
Greyserman has shown he can capitalize on birdie-friendly setups, making him an intriguing longshot against a relatively thin field behind Scheffler. With positive course history already on his résumé and enough upside to contend if he finds another hot week with the flat stick, Greyserman offers plenty of value at his current number.
Greyserman had a solid outing in round one, shooting a 2-under 69, but at seven shots back in a tournament in which Scottie Scheffler is in contention his odds lengthened dramatically to +19000.
Johnny Keefer | +5900 🔺+500000 odds to win 3M Open at DraftKings
Johnny Keefer is a compelling longshot among this week’s 3M Open sleeper picks, with the 24-year-old beginning to find his stride after a difficult start to the season. He missed five of his first six cuts, but his form has improved dramatically in recent weeks, highlighted by a tie for third at the Genesis Scottish Open against one of the strongest fields of the year.
Keefer followed that up with a respectable top-60 finish at The Open Championship, gaining valuable experience on golf’s biggest stage. With his confidence trending upward and the current 3M Open odds offering generous value, Keefer has the talent and recent momentum to contend for a breakthrough PGA Tour victory.
Unfortunately, Keefer didn’t get off to a hot start in Minneapolis and is near the bottom of the field at 5-over par. He’ll need an extraordinary day on Friday to make the 3M Open cut line.
Michael Brennan | +7500 🔻+2200 odds to win 3M Open at bet365
Michael Brennan is an intriguing value play based on the current 3M Open odds, with the rookie continuing to show he belongs on the PGA Tour. The 24-year-old has impressed against strong competition, highlighted by a tie for sixth at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T24 finish at the Masters earlier this season.
Brennan also made 11 cuts in 17 starts, demonstrating the consistency needed to contend in a tournament where many of the Tour’s biggest stars are absent. Those results, combined with his upside, make Brennan one of the strongest 3M Open sleeper picks this week as he looks to capitalize on a wide-open field and chase his first PGA Tour victory.
Brennan got off to a great start at TPC Twin Cities, shooting a 6-under 65 in the first round, which put him T5.
Emiliano Grillo | +10000 🔻+1850 odds to win 3M Open at DraftKings
Emiliano Grillo is easy to overlook based on the current 3M Open odds, but few players in this field have a stronger course history at TPC Twin Cities. The Argentine finished tied for third in 2020 before improving to a runner-up finish in 2022, proving the layout suits his ball-striking and birdie-making ability.
Grillo has consistently played some of his best golf at this event, making him an appealing value option in a field lacking many of the PGA Tour’s biggest names. That combination of course comfort and winning upside makes him one of the strongest 3M Open sleeper picks for bettors searching beyond the favorites.
Grillo is looking like an excellent choice among our 3M Open sleepers early, finishing T2 after the first round with a 7-under 64.
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🏌3M Open Sleeper Picks Tee Times
If you’re backing our 3M Open sleepers and looking to follow them throughout the weekend, here are the tee times for the first two rounds. Keep track of each golfer as they strive to make the cut and improve their 3M Open odds.
- Sudarshan Yellamaraju: 8:07 a.m. ET (Round 1), 1:22 p.m. ET (Round 2)
- Max Greyserman: 7:45 a.m. ET (Round 1), 1:00 p.m. ET (Round 2)
- Johnny Keefer: 2:28 p.m. ET (Round 1), 9:13 a.m. ET (Round 2)
- Michael Brennan: 8:51 a.m. ET (Round 1), 2:06 p.m. ET (Round 2)
- Emiliano Grillo: 9:02 a.m. ET (Round 1), 2:17 p.m. ET (Round 2)
3M Open Projected Cut Line Odds
DataGolf.com is your home for the most up-to-date odds and projections about the cut line for our 3M Open sleepers. After round one on Thursday, the latest 3M Open cut line odds are as follows:
- 39.8% for -3
- 32.3% for -2
- 16.1% for -4
Players current in danger of missing or on the 3M cut line include Maverick McNealy, Hideki Matsuyama, Max Homa, and Tony Finau.
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Why There is Value in 3M Open Sleeper Picks
The 3M Open has become one of the PGA Tour’s best events for backing longshots, thanks to a weaker field than majors and Signature Events and a course that rewards hot iron play and putting over world ranking. Since the tournament debuted in 2019, several winners have started the week at +10000 or longer, including Matthew Wolff (+10000), Michael Thompson (+15000), Cameron Champ (+12500), Lee Hodges (+12500), and Kurt Kitayama (+10000).
Even Jhonattan Vegas was available around +8000 before his 2024 victory. With so many recent champions coming from well outside the favorites, there’s proven value in targeting 3M Open sleeper picks rather than focusing solely on the shortest odds.
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❓ 3M Open Sleeper Picks FAQs
What is a 3M Open sleeper pick?
A 3M Open sleeper pick is a golfer priced well outside the favorites who has a realistic chance to contend or win. These players often possess a skill set that suits TPC Twin Cities, such as strong approach play, birdie-making ability, or a solid course history. Because the field is typically less top-heavy than major championships, longshots have a better chance of making a run.
Why are 3M Open sleeper picks worth considering?
The 3M Open has a proven history of producing surprise winners and contenders at long odds. Since the tournament began in 2019, multiple champions have opened at +10000 or longer, showing that bettors don’t need to back the favorite to find value. That track record makes 3M Open sleeper picks one of the more appealing betting angles on the PGA Tour schedule.
What makes a good 3M Open sleeper pick?
The best sleeper picks usually excel with their approach play and can take advantage of TPC Twin Cities’ birdie-friendly layout. Golfers who consistently gain strokes tee-to-green or have shown recent flashes of form are often better bets than players relying solely on putting. Previous success on comparable courses can also be a valuable indicator.
How often do longshots win the 3M Open?
Longshots have enjoyed more success at the 3M Open than at many other PGA Tour events. Winners such as Matthew Wolff, Michael Thompson, Cameron Champ, Lee Hodges, and Kurt Kitayama all lifted the trophy after opening at +10000 or longer. While favorites are always capable of winning, the event has consistently rewarded bettors willing to look deeper down the odds board.
Should I only bet outright 3M Open sleeper picks?
Not necessarily, as sleeper picks can provide value across several betting markets. If you’re hesitant to back a longshot to win outright, consider top-five, top-10, top-20, or each-way bets to increase your chances of cashing a ticket. Spreading your stake across multiple markets can be a smart strategy when betting 3M Open sleeper picks.
Chris Roberts
