Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds 2025: Which Longshot Can Take Down Scheffler?

The third signature event of the season takes place this week, as the top 72 golfers in the world tee it up, and we want to dive into the best picks in the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Scottie Scheffler is still the slight favorite, as he returns to action this week looking to defend his title. With the Arnold Palmer Invitational cut line also being in play, look for the Arnold Palmer Invitational sleeper picks to make a push to make it to the weekend rounds.

Current Favorites to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Odd provided by FanDuel – accurate as of March 7

Scottie Scheffler (+450 at BetMGM sportsbook)

The world’s number one golfer headlines the field this week as Scottie Scheffler returns to Bay Hill to try and defend his title from a year ago. While he is still searching for his first win of the 2025 season, Scheffler has posted a pair of top 10 finishes in three starts this year. Scheffler also won this event back in 2022 and has shown that he can play this course at the highest level no matter what the weather conditions bring. Last year, Scheffler won with a total score of 15 under par, while two years prior the winning score was five under par.

Rory McIlroy (+900 at DraftKings sportsbook)

The world’s number two ranked golfer Rory McIlroy is also in action this week as he is searching for his second signature event win of the season. McIlroy has enjoyed tremendous success over his career in Orlando as he gets set to tee it up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational for the 11^th time in his career. The 2018 champion has just two finishes in his 10 previous attempts outside the top 13 and has also recorded a runner-up finish to go with that victory. Already a winner at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am this year, McIlroy has made the cut in all his previous visits to Bay Hill.

Ludvig Aberg (+2200 at DraftKings sportsbook)

The winner of the last signature event at The Genesis Invitational Ludvig Aberg returns to action this week as he makes his third career start at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Aberg has recorded a pair of top 25’s in his previous two times teeing it up in Orlando as he finished tied for 24^th in 2023 and then tying for 25^th last season. The 25-year-old has already recorded two wins in his short time on the PGA Tour and has climbed all the way up to number four in the official world golf rankings.

Xander Schauffele (+50000 at bet365 sportsbook)

The number three ranked golfer in the world returns to action this week as Xander Schauffele gets set to play in just his second event of the season. After posting a tie for 30^th place in the season’s opening event at The Sentry in Hawaii, Schauffele has been out of action ever since as he has been dealing with a rib injury. In three previous appearances at Bay Hill, Schauffele’s best result has been a tie for 24^th place. While expectations are always high when the two-time major champion from 2024 is in action, it would make sense to tread lightly this week as a lot of questions remain unknown since he has been out of action for so long.

Collin Morikawa (+1800 at BetMGM sportsbook)

Six-time PGA Tour winner Collin Morikawa is also in action in this elite field this week as he gets set to play for the fourth time this season. Having not finished worse than a tie for 17^th so far this year, the American appears primed to head back to the winner’s circle for the seventh time in his young career. The 28-year-old has struggled at Bay Hill in the past as he plays the course for the fifth time with a best result of a tie for ninth in 2022. Without a win since the ZOZO Championship in 2023, the number four ranked golfer in the world seems like he is on the verge of heading back to his winning ways.

Arnold Palmer Invitational longshot

Ben Griffin (+40000 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Already making his ninth start of the season, Ben Griffin has done nothing but impress in the early goings of the 2025 PGA Tour season. Coming off back-to-back ties for fourth place, first at the Mexico Open at VidantaWorld and then last week at the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches, Griffin appears on the verge of breaking through with his first career victory on tour. Sitting 48^th in the official world golf rankings, Griffin has three top 10 finishes this season and has made the cut in all but one event.

Arnold Palmer Invitational recent winners

Arnold Palmer Invitational betting trends

There are many betting trends when it comes to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but a few things stand out more than others. Scoring is typically tough at Bay Hill and while 15 under par won last year, look for that number to be closer to single digits this year as the weather is primed to play a key role this week. Three of the last five years the winning score has been under 10 under par and expect that trend to continue this year.

Arnold Palmer Invitational debutants

Rafael Campos (+500000 at bet365 sportsbook)

There is also the Puerto Rico Open taking place this week on the PGA Tour, but the country’s native son Rafael Campos is skipping the event to tee it up for the first time in his career at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. As the lone Puerto Rican golfer on the PGA Tour, it is somewhat of surprise that he is skipping his home countries event but with money prizes so large at the signature events you really can’t fault him. The winner at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship last season, the 36-year-old has struggled out of the gate to begin the 2025 season.

How to read the Arnold Palmer Invitational betting odds

Reading the Arnold Palmer Invitational betting odds is just as easy as reading the odds for any other golf tournament or sporting event. In golf, there are numerous ways to bet, from head-to-head matchups to whether a player will make a certain number of birdies in a round. You can even bet on whether there will be a hole-in-one during the event or if the tournament will go to a playoff.

How to bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational

There are several ways to bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational this week. One bet that stands out, however, is that both Scottie Scheffler and Collin Morikawa will both finish in the top 5 this week. A $10 bet at +665 would give you back $66.50 if the pair can finish in the top 5 this week.

Arnold Palmer Invitational info

Arnold Palmer Invitational FAQs:

Who has won the most Arnold Palmer Invitational titles?

It should come as no surprise that Tiger Woods has won the most Arnold Palmer Invitational titles. With eight career wins at Bay Hill, Tiger has won the event six more times than his closest challenger. Woods won the event four years in a row from 2000-2003 and then four more times in years 2008, 2009, 2012 and for the last time in 2013.

What is the prize pool for the Arnold Palmer Invitational?

The prize pool for the Arnold Palmer Invitational sits at $20,000,000 for the 2025 event. The winner with take home a prize of $4,000,000 for winning the signature event. In the first ever event in 1966 the winning prize that year was $21,000.

How many different names has the Arnold Palmer Invitational gone by?

Beginning in 1966 the tournament was called the Florida Citrus Open Invitational before it changed its name to Florida Citrus Invitational after just four years. It then became the Florida Citrus Open before changing to Bay Hill Citrus Class and then just Bay Hill Classic. Following that it became the Hertz Bay Hill Classic, then the Nestle Invitational, followed by the Bay Hill Invitational and finally landed on the Arnold Palmer Invitational since 2007.

What is the largest margin of victory at the Bay Hill Invitational?

By shooting 19 under par in 2003, Tiger Woods won the event by a massive 11 strokes that year. Tiger took home $810,000 for his efforts that week as he more than doubled the field in scoring. The closest anyone has come to catching Woods since then was the following year when Chad Campbell won by six strokes in 2024.

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