Hero World Challenge Odds 2024: Finding a Trustworthy Sleeper Pick Will Be Tough

A field of the 20 best golfers in the world takes on the Albany Golf Course with Scottie Scheffler, the world’s number one ranked golfer, opening as the favorite in the Hero World Challenge odds. While Scheffler, who is the defending champion here headlines the field, there are many players with long odds who should be taken seriously in the Hero World Challenge sleeper picks. With no Hero World Challenge projected cut line, players will look to take advantage of the course and try to go low at the tournament, which is a benefit to the Tiger Woods Foundation.

Current favorites to win the Hero World Challenge

Odd provided by FanDuel – accurate as of December 5

Scottie Scheffler (+200 at BetMGM sportsbook)

Defending Hero World Champion Scottie Scheffler makes his return to action for the first time since capturing the Tour Championship back in the beginning of September as he tees it up for the fourth time in his career at the Hero World Challenge. With one win and two second place finishes in his previous three visits to the Bahamas, Scheffler seems to love what he sees when he tees it up at the Albany Golf Course. Scheffler is coming off one of the best seasons in the PGA Tour’s history where he recorded seven wins and 16 top 10 finishes in just 19 events.

Ludvig Aberg (+1100 at DraftKings sportsbook)

Wrapping up his first full season on the PGA Tour, Sweden’s Ludvig Aberg will tee it up this week after his attempt to defend his title at the RSM Classic where he finished tied for 17^th. This will be Aberg’s first time playing at the event in the Bahamas, and he should fit in nicely with this field. Aberg has no victories on his resume this season, but he did manage to post three runner-up results to go with eight top 10 finishes and 14 top 25 finishes in just 20 events.

Justin Thomas (+1200 at FanDuel sportsbook)

Following a tie for second place his last time out at the ZOZO Championship, American Justin Thomas is one of the biggest names in the field this week. It’s been two and half years since Thomas last lifted a trophy on the PGA Tour as his last win occurred at the PGA Championship in 2022. Sitting 25^th in the official world golf rankings, Thomas had a season in which he recorded one runner-up finish, six top 10 finishes and 10 top 25 finishes in 20 events.

Patrick Cantlay (+1200 at Caesars Sportsbook)

It’s been over two years since Patrick Cantlay has lifted any hardware as he looks to recover from what was a disappointing season for the 32-year-old. With eight career wins, Cantlay’s best performance of the 2024 PGA Tour season was two ties for third place finishes when he achieved those results at the RBC Heritage in April and then the U.S. Open in June. A total of four top 10 finishes this year but 12 top 25 finishes in just 19 events shows that Cantlay still has the game to win he just needs to find more consistency.

Sam Burns (+1400 at bet365 sportsbook)

Making his fourth consecutive start at the Hero World Challenge, American Sam Burns will take aim at a course he has had past success on. A tie for third place in 2021 was the 28-year-olds best showing to date at the Albany Golf Course. With five career wins, Burns’ best result this year was a tie for second place at the BMW Championship. In 21 events this year, Burns recorded eight top 10 finishes to go along with 12 top 25 finishes and just three missed cuts.

Hero World Challenge longshot

Matthieu Pavon (+10000 at FanDuel sportsbook)

The biggest longshot on the board entering the Hero World Challenge is France’s Mathieu Pavon who currently sits a more than respectable 29^th in the official world golf rankings. The 32-year-old PGA Tour rookie did nothing but impress on his first year on the tour recording his first ever victory to go along with four top 10 finishes and seven top 25 results in 19 events. Pavon will tee it up for the first time in his career at the Hero World Challenge, and while this may appear to be a disadvantage, the first-year player had rousing success on courses where he made his professional debut this season.

Hero World Challenge recent winners

Hero World Challenge betting trends

There are several betting trends when it comes to dissecting the historical data at the Hero World Challenge. However, the one thing that stands out the most is that since the event moved to Albany Golf Course in 2014, is that only twice in this time has the eventual winner won by just one stroke. Whoever you are betting on this week, take them to win by multiple strokes as in such a small field, someone typically wins by a large margin.

Hero World Challenge debutants

Robert MacIntyre (+2500 at FanDuel sportsbook)

Coming off a spectacular season that saw him record his first two victories on the PGA Tour, Scotland’s Robert MacIntyre is one to watch out for in this week’s event. Sitting in 15^th place in the official world golf rankings, MacIntyre hasn’t teed it up since finishing tied for 17^th at the Tour Championship. MacIntyre is typically a hit or miss player with a whopping 10 missed cuts in 25 events. However, in the 15 tournaments that he did make the cut, he had nine top 25’s, six top 10 finishes and two wins. With no cut this week, MacIntyre could find himself in contention with such a small field.

How to read Hero World Challenge betting odds

Reading the Hero World Challenge betting odds is just as easy as reading the odds for any other golf tournament or sporting event. In golf, there are numerous ways to bet, from head-to-head matchups to whether a player will make a certain number of birdies in a round. You can even bet on whether there will be a hole-in-one during the event or if the tournament will go to a playoff.

How to bet on the Hero World Challenge

There are several ways to bet on the Hero World Challenge this week. One bet that stands out, however, is that Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and Ludvig Aberg all finish in the top five this week. A $10 bet at +590 would return to you $59 if it hits.

Hero World Challenge info

Hero World Challenge odds FAQs

How long has the Hero World Challenge been an event?

The Hero World Challenge dates back to the year 2000 when Tom Lehman won the inaugural event. Since then, the tournament has gone through several name changes and has been played over a handful of courses. It has been held at the Albany Golf Course since 2015.

Who has won the most Hero World Challenge titles?

It’s no surprise that Tiger Woods has won the most Hero World Challenge titles as he has claimed the trophy five times in his career. Tiger first won in 2001 and then again in 2004, 2006, 2007 and 2011. Viktor Hovland and Graeme McDowell are the only other players with multiple Hero World Challenge wins as they have both won the event twice.

What different names has the Hero World Challenge gone by?

The Hero World Challenge has gone through several sponsors over its almost 25-year history. Beginning as the Williams World Challenge it quickly became known as the Target World Challenge and then the Chevron World Challenge. It then became known as the World Challenge before changing to the Northwestern Mutual World Challenge before settling as the Hero World Challenge in 2014.

What is the record score in the history of the Hero World Challenge?

The record score at the Hero World Challenge was set in 2014 when Jordan Spieth shot a blistering 26 under par for a total score of 262. Spieth won that year by a massive margin of 10 strokes as he went on to win the inaugural Hero World Challenge. The next year Bubba Watson came close to equaling Spieth’s mark when he shot one shot fewer at 25 under par.

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