Masters Projected Cut Line 2025: Johnson, Koepka, Mickelson, Pendrith Exit Early

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Tiago Carvalho
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Though fans get extremely excited to find out what the Masters cut line will settle at, participants in the event couldn’t say the same, as even the best will crumble under the extra pressure. Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and Bryson DeChambeau all made it to the weekend rounds, and all find themselves at the top of the Masters odds, with a few Masters sleeper picks in the thick of things.

Though everyone’s focus is to make it to the weekend rounds, and ultimately, win the Masters. Finding your name at the top of the Masters leaderboard is a huge accomplishment, and according to the Masters top-5 finish odds and the Masters top-10 finish odds, the favorites aren’t paying any mind to the longshots.

Data Golf’s probabilities are usually bang on, and they were once again, as they projected that the Masters cut line would settle at +2. Below are a few who’s dreams of sliding on the Green Jacket were destroyed:

Player Total
Dustin Johnson +3
Russell Henley +3
Bernhard Langer +3
Keegan Bradley +3
Sergio Garcia +4
Mike Weir +4
Fred Couples +4
Tony Finau +4
Brooks Koepka +5
Adam Scott +5
Sepp Straka +5
Phil Mickelson +5
Nick Dunlap +17

If you’re thinking about betting on the Masters cut line, we recommend doing a bit of research first, as it’ll improve your odds of winning. Start by taking a look at the course layout, which can reveal tough spots that may challenge players, especially those who have struggled on similar courses. Additionally, check out a player’s recent performance, as a golfers hot or cold streak should factor into your betting decision. Finally, it’s crucial to consider the influence of weather conditions, as they really affect every shot.

Keep checking back as we update the article with odds of who will make/miss the 2025 Masters cut line.

Credit: Andy Chua/Reuters via Imagn Images

RELATED: Read our exclusive interview with Phil Kenyon – “The Pep Guardiola of Putting” on Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIroy, and Donald Trump’s golf game

Masters projected cut line latest

So, if you’re like us, you’re going to want to follow your Masters cut line bet. We have a few reliable sources that we trust like the PGA Tour and Data Golf. Although the PGA Tour offers useful updates, their information isn’t always completely accurate. Our go to source is Data Golf, as they provide highly reliable probabilities, often pinpointing the cut line accurately.

Betting on the Masters cut line

Reaching the cut line at the Masters is crucial and difficult, as it’s the sole reason if a player advances to the weekend rounds. Surpassing this benchmark is a key milestone on the path to winning the tournament. Each competitor aims to stay above the cut line to preserve their chances of competing and to vie for cash prizes.

This pressure drives players to be in top form to earn a spot in the weekend rounds, adding an element of excitement and intensity to the event. Although it poses challenges, the cut line serves as a further motivator for players to display their talents to spectators and fans.

Odds to make the cut

Player Odds
Scottie Scheffler -1450
Rory McIlroy -1100
Jon Rahm -850
Collin Morikawa -700
Bryson DeChambeau -600
Hideki Matsuyama -550
Justin Thomas -460
Patrick Cantlay -460
Joaquin Niemann -430
Tommy Fleetwood -410

Odds to miss the cut

Player Odds
Jose Maria Olazabal -8000
Hiroshi Tai -2400
Mike Weir -2000
Noah Kent -1450
Fred Couples -650
Angel Cabrera -600
Evan Beck -550
Justin Hastings -460
Bernhard Langer -380
Rafael Campos -370

Odds provided by FanDuel – accurate as of April 9

Masters cut rule

At the Masters, players need to meet the cut line after the second round to qualify for the later stages of the tournament. This decides which golfers will be eliminated from further play. By finishing in the top 50 (including ties) above the cut line, participants ensure their advancement to the subsequent rounds, while those who do not make the cut must say goodbye to the event.

The cut line acts as a standard established by the PGA Tour to accurately evaluate players’ skills. It guarantees that only the highest-performing golfers of the tournament move on to the final stages, enhancing the competitive atmosphere and generating excitement for both competitors and fans.

Credit: Andy Chua/Reuters via Imagn Images

Current Favorites to win the Masters

Player Odds
Rory McIlroy +330
Scottie Scheffler +360
Bryson DeChambeau +360
Justin Rose +800
Corey Conners +1200
Shane Lowry +1600
Tyrrell Hatton +2000
Collin Morikawa +2500
Ludvig Aberg +2800
Viktor Hovland +2800

Odds provided by FanDuel – accurate as of April 12

Masters cut line history

Over the past five Masters tournaments, there hasn’t been much variation within the cut line, landing in the same vicinity for the most part. In both 2022 and 2024 the cut line settled at +6, while in 2021 and 2023 it was set at +5, though way in 2020 it finished at +2:

Year Cut line
2024 +6
2023 +5
2022 +6
2021 +5
2020 +2

Masters projected cut line FAQs

How is the cut line determined for the Masters?

To qualify for Round 3 at the Masters, players must be among the top 50 competitors or have tied scores above the cut line. If they fail to achieve this standard, they are immediately eliminated from the tournament and cannot compete in Rounds 3 and 4. This allows only the best performers to advance while excluding those who do not meet the established criteria.

What does it mean to make the cut in golf?

Achieving a place above the cut line is crucial in golf tournaments, as it allows players to progress to later rounds and compete for cash prizes, heightening the intensity of the competition. Fulfilling this requirement is essential for preserving a strong field and aiming for rewards in the tournament’s final stages. Surpassing the cut line presents golfers with opportunities to chase victories and financial gains, which adds to the competitive excitement of the sport.

Do you get paid if you miss the cut at the Masters?

Not meeting the cut line at the Masters means that players miss out on the chance to compete for prize money. A golfer’s total earnings are directly tied to their performance throughout all four rounds of the tournament. Missing the cut results in elimination, which keeps players from contending for a share of the prize pool and could significantly affect their overall financial results.

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