FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds and Sleeper Picks 2026: Best Value in First PGA Tour Playoff Event

The race for the FedEx Cup officially begins this week as the FedEx St. Jude Championship kicks off the 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs at TPC Southwind in Memphis. Only the top 70 players in the season-long FedEx Cup standings qualified for the postseason, and the pressure ramps up immediately with only the top 50 advancing to next week’s BMW Championship.

Recent editions of this event have produced elite champions, with Justin Rose capturing last year’s title and Hideki Matsuyama winning in 2024. Both players used strong performances in Memphis to build momentum for the remainder of the playoffs, and another star could do the same this year.

With a loaded field featuring the PGA Tour’s biggest names and plenty of players fighting to extend their seasons, bettors have no shortage of options. Below, we break down the latest FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, our favorite FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks, and the best FedEx St. Jude predictions for the first playoff event of the year.

⛳ 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds

FedEx St. Jude Championship odds provided by DraftKings, accurate as of August 14

FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleeper Picks

Ryan Gerard | +6300 🔼 +18500 odds to win FedEx St. Jude Championship at DraftKings

Ryan Gerard is one of the most interesting FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks on the board because his season has been far better than many bettors realize. Although he missed the cut at the Wyndham Championship, Gerard entered that week on the back of consecutive top-10 finishes and has quietly put together a remarkably consistent campaign.

He has made 19 of 22 cuts this season, recorded eight top-25 finishes, and finished runner-up three times, which is exactly the profile of a player who feels overdue for a breakthrough victory. TPC Southwind rewards strong tee-to-green play, patience, and avoiding big mistakes, and Gerard has shown all three traits throughout 2026.

If he rebounds from the Wyndham disappointment, he has the type of steady all-around game that can outperform long odds and make a serious playoff run.

Tom Kim | +5000 🔼 +7800 odds to win FedEx St. Jude Championship at DraftKings

Tom Kim has quietly become one of the hottest players entering the playoffs, making him a compelling FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper pick. After a couple of seasons that fell short of the expectations placed on him early in his career, Kim appears to be rounding back into top form. He is coming off a top-five finish at the Wyndham Championship, won the Scottish Open, and finished third at the U.S. Open, showing a strong push to close the season.

At just 24 years old, Kim still has an enormous amount of upside and plenty of elite golf ahead of him. TPC Southwind rewards precision iron play and controlled ball striking, which are two areas where he has historically excelled. If his recent momentum continues, he has a legitimate chance to contend deep into the weekend and significantly outperform his St. Jude Championship odds.

Michael Kim | +14000 🔻 +3000 odds to win FedEx St. Jude Championship at bet365

Michael Kim is exactly the type of player who can surprise in the opening playoff event because his skill set matches TPC Southwind exceptionally well. This course tends to reward accurate drivers, strong approach play, and excellent scrambling, and Kim has built much of his success around those strengths. He is not one of the longest hitters in the field, but TPC Southwind is often more about positioning, precision, and avoiding costly mistakes than overpowering the golf course.

Kim has also shown the ability to gain strokes across multiple categories when he is in form, making him a dangerous value option among FedEx St. Jude Championship sleepers. In a playoff event where consistency is often rewarded, his balanced statistical profile gives him a realistic path to another strong finish and makes him a worthwhile longshot target.

Nick Taylor | +20000 🔼 +30000 odds to win FedEx St. Jude Championship at DraftKings

Nick Taylor stands out among the FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks because his winning pedigree is stronger than many players in his price range. He admittedly does not have the best history at TPC Southwind, but recent course results matter less when a player has proven he can close tournaments against elite competition.

Taylor is a five-time PGA Tour winner and has captured at least one victory in each of the last two seasons, showing that he knows how to contend when opportunities arise. He also enters Memphis with extra urgency, as he needs a strong finish to comfortably advance into the top 50 and keep his playoff run alive. That added motivation, combined with his experience and ability to get hot with his irons and putter, makes him a worthwhile value play this week.

Alex Noren | +10000 🔼 +50000 odds to win FedEx St. Jude Championship at FanDuel

Alex Noren is one of the more underrated FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks in the field after arriving with encouraging momentum from a top-10 finish at the Wyndham Championship. The veteran Swede has quietly sharpened his game over the past several weeks, and TPC Southwind is the kind of course that rewards his strengths.

Noren has built his career on accurate ball striking, excellent scrambling, and strong course management, which are often more important here than raw distance off the tee. His experience in high-pressure events is another factor working in his favor, especially with FedEx Cup advancement on the line. Because much of the betting attention will focus on the biggest stars, Noren has a realistic chance to outperform his St. Jude Championship odds and deliver another strong finish in Memphis.

FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleeper Pick Tee Times

If you’re backing our FedEx St. Jude sleepers and want to follow them throughout the tournament, here are the first- and second-round tee times once they’re released. Keep tabs on each golfer as they look to survive the cut and improve their FedEx St. Jude Championship odds throughout the week.

• Ryan Gerard: 10:05 a.m ET (Round 1), 1:05 p.m. ET (Round 2)
• Tom Kim: 9:20 a.m. ET (Round 1), 12:20 p.m. ET (Round 2)
• Michael Kim: 1:55 p.m. ET (Round 1), 10:45 a.m. ET (Round 2)
• Nick Taylor: 1:55 p.m. ET (Round 1), 10:45 a.m. ET (Round 2)
• Alex Noren: 8:40 a.m. ET (Round 1), 11:40 a.m. ET (Round 2)

FedEx St. Jude Championship Projected Cut Line Odds

There is no cut line at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Instead, all 70 players who qualified via the season-long FedEx Cup standings are eligible to play through the weekend. The top-50 players in the standings after the end of the tournament advance to next week’s BMW Championship.

Who Qualified for the FedEx St. Jude Championship?

The FedEx St. Jude Championship features the top 70 players in the season-long FedExCup standings, making it the first and largest starting field of the PGA Tour playoffs.

The field is determined by the final FedExCup standings following the Wyndham Championship, with the top 70 earning their spot at TPC Southwind. From there, only the top 50 advance to the BMW Championship, making this a critical week for players near the cutoff. Those looking at FedEx St. Jude Championship odds and FedEx St. Jude predictions should pay particular attention to where players sit in the standings, as motivation can vary significantly throughout the field.

Why There Is Value in FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleeper Picks

The FedEx St. Jude Championship can be an appealing event for finding betting value beyond the favorites, particularly with a 70-player field and no traditional 36-hole cut. TPC Southwind in Memphis places a premium on accurate ball striking, quality approach play, scrambling and avoiding costly mistakes, giving well-rounded players a chance to compete with the biggest names in the field.

Recent history also shows that bettors don’t necessarily need to target the shortest prices. Lucas Glover opened at +9000 before winning the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship, while Justin Rose was priced at +9000 in 2025 before winning in a playoff. Those results demonstrate the potential for longer-priced players to break through at TPC Southwind.

The playoff setting creates another important factor. Only the top 50 in the FedEx Cup standings advance to the BMW Championship, giving players near the cutoff plenty of motivation. The combination of course fit, postseason pressure and recent longshot winners makes FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks an intriguing value betting angle.

Best Sportsbooks for Golf Betting

Maximizing your betting edge during the PGA Tour season requires utilizing the best sportsbooks that deliver comprehensive, sport-specific coverage. At big-time events with loaded fields, top-tier operators stand out by expanding their wagering menus far beyond standard outright winners to include specialized placement markets, head-to-head tournament matchups, and other betting options.

To protect your bankroll when backing longshots on demanding championship tracks, it is very important to shop around for the best sportsbook promos. Savvy bettors actively seek out sportsbooks offering enhanced place terms, such as paying out on Each-Way bets down to the top 8, 10, or 12 finishing positions, which provides a vital cushion when targeting FedEx St. Jude Championship sleepers.

Whether your betting strategy relies on tracking live, shot-by-shot metrics for in-play wagering or capitalizing on daily odds boosts on the game’s top players, best sportsbooks ensure you secure top-market pricing. If you are new to wagering on the PGA Tour or want to refine your approach, explore our expert breakdown on how to bet on golf to build a winning strategy.

❓ FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleeper Picks FAQs

What makes a good FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper pick?

A strong FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper pick should combine course fit, recent form and a price that offers genuine upside. TPC Southwind rewards accurate ball striking and scrambling, while the playoff setting adds motivation. Players who can avoid mistakes while creating birdie opportunities can outperform their opening odds.

Which players are the best FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks?

The best FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks are typically players who have shown recent momentum without being priced among the tournament favorites. Golfers such as Ryan Gerard, Tom Kim, Michael Kim, Nick Taylor and Alex Noren offer different paths to value. Recent finishes and course compatibility make them particularly interesting options.

Can longshots win the FedEx St. Jude Championship?

Yes, recent history shows that longer-priced players can contend and win the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Lucas Glover and Justin Rose both entered recent editions at +9000, demonstrating the potential value available outside the favorites. That history makes sleeper picks particularly appealing in a 70-player playoff field.

Does TPC Southwind favor sleeper picks?

TPC Southwind can create opportunities for FedEx St. Jude Championship sleeper picks because it places less emphasis on simply overpowering the course. Accurate driving, strong approach play, scrambling and avoiding trouble are particularly important. That combination allows experienced players with well-rounded games to challenge more highly ranked favorites.

Should you consider FedEx St. Jude sleeper picks for outright bets?

FedEx St. Jude sleeper picks can be attractive for outright betting because even a small investment can produce substantial returns at longer prices. However, bettors should prioritize players with a realistic path to contention rather than simply selecting the biggest odds. Recent form, course fit and FedExCup motivation are key factors to consider.