AEW Redemption Odds and Predictions: First AEW PPV in Montreal

AEW heads to the Bell Centre in Montreal for AEW Redemption, the promotion’s inaugural pay-per-view under the Redemption banner. It marks AEW’s third PPV in Canada and its first-ever event in Montreal, making it a historic night for the company and Canadian wrestling fans alike.

As the final stop before All In – AEW’s biggest show of the year – Redemption is expected to have major championship implications. Newly crowned AEW World Champion Kenny Omega headlines the card in his home country against rising star and reigning TNT Champion Kevin Knight in one of the most anticipated matches of the summer.

Below, we break down the latest AEW Redemption odds, predictions, and the best bets for every major match on the card.

🤼‍♂️ AEW Redemption Odds for Each Match

Odds provided by Paddy Power – accurate as of July 24

AEW Redemption Match Predictions

Kenny Omega vs Kevin Knight (AEW World Championship)

The main event of AEW Redemption sees Kenny Omega defend the AEW World Championship against rising star Kevin Knight, and the latest AEW Redemption predictions heavily favor the new champion. Omega enters as the biggest favorite on the card and is a strong bet to retain, especially with AEW building toward a dream match against Ospreay at Wembley next month.

Add in Omega’s status as the home crowd favorite in Montreal, and a victory seems almost guaranteed. However, wrestling has always delivered surprises, and bettors should consider the potential impact of MJF, who recently lost his title and may not be thrilled about being pushed out of the spotlight after an impressive year. Still, Knight remains a major underdog for a reason. He has plenty of upside, but he does not appear ready to claim AEW’s top championship just yet.

Thekla vs. Willow Nightingale (AEW Women’s World Championship)

The AEW Women’s World Championship is on the line at AEW Redemption, with Thekla defending against Willow Nightingale in a matchup where the champion appears positioned to continue her momentum. The latest AEW Redemption predictions point toward Thekla retaining, as she has been extremely impressive during her first reign as champion and has quickly established herself as one of AEW’s top women’s division stars.

Changing direction now by having Willow win would make little sense, especially with a potential blockbuster showdown against Mercedes Moné at All In looming. While Willow is a proven fan favorite and always a dangerous challenger, Thekla has too much momentum to lose the title before a major championship program. Expect Thekla to survive another tough challenge and continue building toward a marquee match in AEW’s biggest event of the year.

Jon Moxley and Will Ospreay vs The Young Bucks

The latest AEW Redemption predictions suggest that Jon Moxley and Will Ospreay should pick up the victory over the Young Bucks, even if this matchup has plenty of potential for chaos. There is always the possibility of dissension between Moxley and Ospreay, especially given their contrasting personalities and the unpredictable nature of their alliance. However, it would be a major mistake to have Ospreay take a loss just one month before his massive showdown against Omega at Wembley Stadium

AEW will likely want to keep Ospreay looking like a top-tier threat heading into one of the biggest matches of the year. While the Young Bucks are always capable of pulling off an upset, the bigger storyline points toward Moxley and Ospreay securing the win and building momentum toward Wembley.

AEW Redemption Predictions for the Biggest Upsets

Tomasso Ciampa (+125) vs Chris Jericho (-175)

Of all the matches on the AEW Redemption card, Chris Jericho vs. Tommaso Ciampa could offer one of the best betting opportunities, with Ciampa standing out as a strong value pick in the latest AEW Redemption predictions. While Jericho enters as the Canadian fan favorite in Montreal and remains one of AEW’s biggest legends, Ciampa feels like the more logical choice to win.

As AEW’s latest major signing, Ciampa needs to establish himself as a serious threat, and he has done exactly that by embracing his “Psycho Killer” persona and quickly connecting with fans. He has looked like a legitimate main event player and should move on to bigger programs after this feud. Jericho can elevate younger talent, and putting Ciampa over would help AEW build its next generation of stars. For bettors, Ciampa’s upset price offers some of the best value on the card.

Kyle Fletcher (-700) vs Bandido (+333)

The AEW International Championship matchup between Kyle Fletcher and Bandido could provide one of the more intriguing betting opportunities on the AEW Redemption card, with Bandido emerging as a strong upset option in the latest AEW Redemption predictions. While Fletcher is a rising star who has already captured multiple midcard championships, he may not gain much from holding the International Championship for an extended run.

A loss could actually allow Fletcher to move into bigger storylines heading toward All In, including a potential future program with longtime Embassy stablemate Ospreay. Meanwhile, Bandido has been one of AEW’s most reliable pay-per-view performers, consistently delivering high-quality matches whenever he gets the spotlight. With his credibility and fan support, Bandido winning the title would feel like a major moment and offers bettors excellent value as an underdog.

How to watch AEW Redemption

Everything you need to know before tuning into AEW’s newest pay-per-view event.

• Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026.
• Time: 7:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. PT (main card). The Buy In pre-show begins at 6:00 p.m. ET / 3:00 p.m. PT.
• Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada
• Streaming & TV: Watch live on HBO Max PPV (United States), MyAEW.com (Canada, UK, and international markets), traditional cable and satellite PPV providers in the U.S. and Canada, plus select digital providers including Prime Video in supported regions.

How to Bet on AEW Redemption Odds

Find a sportsbook offering AEW Redemption odds

The first step to betting on AEW Redemption odds is finding a reliable sportsbook that offers wrestling markets and match winner betting. Compare the top sportsbooks available in your region to find platforms with competitive AEW lines, strong reputations, and easy-to-use betting interfaces. Many bettors also review the best sportsbook promos before signing up to maximize their initial wagers.

Compare odds and available betting markets

Once you find a sportsbook, review the full AEW Redemption card and compare the available odds for each match. Look beyond simple match winners by analyzing favorites, underdogs, championship implications, and potential storyline outcomes. Comparing lines across the top sportsbooks can help you find better value and avoid overpaying for heavy favorites.

Research predictions and identify value picks

Successful wrestling betting requires more than choosing the most likely winner. Review AEW Redemption predictions, analyze momentum, recent performances, character direction, and future storylines before placing a wager. Some of the best opportunities can come from underdogs whose victories would create bigger moments heading into future AEW events.

Place your bets and use sportsbook promotions

After researching the card, select your preferred wagers and decide how much you want to risk on each match. New bettors should explore the best sportsbook promos, including bonus bets, deposit offers, and other promotions that can increase betting value. Always understand the terms and conditions before using any promotional offer.

Track your results and improve future wagers

After AEW Redemption ends, review your bets and evaluate your decision-making process. Tracking results from pay-per-view events can help you identify whether you are finding value with favorites, underdogs, or specific types of matches. Learning from each card can make you a more informed bettor for future AEW events.

❓ AEW Redemption Predictions and Odds FAQs

What are the best AEW Redemption bets to consider?

The best AEW Redemption bets depend on a combination of odds, storyline direction, and potential future booking plans. While favorites can provide safer options, underdogs often offer more value when a victory would create a major moment or impact upcoming events. Bettors should analyze each matchup carefully before making a final decision.

Where can I find AEW Redemption odds?

AEW Redemption odds are available through sportsbooks that offer wrestling and entertainment betting markets. Bettors should compare available lines, matchups, and betting options before placing wagers. Checking odds movement leading up to the event can also help identify potential value as the card develops.

How do AEW storylines impact betting on Redemption?

Unlike traditional sports, wrestling betting requires analyzing more than statistics and past performances. Storylines, championship plans, character momentum, and upcoming events like All In can all influence potential outcomes. Understanding AEW’s creative direction can help bettors identify opportunities that may not be obvious from the odds alone.

Can underdogs win on AEW Redemption?

Yes, underdogs can be some of the most valuable bets on an AEW pay-per-view card. While favorites often win when major storylines point toward a specific outcome, unexpected victories can create memorable moments and set up future rivalries. Bettors should look for underdogs with strong momentum, fan support, or a logical path toward a championship opportunity.