AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction: Can Milan keep their unbeaten Serie A run going?
Bologna's recent form, which includes a win after a few draws and losses, alongside AC Milan's mixed performances, sets an intriguing stage for their clash. Historically, Bologna has managed to snatch points off AC Milan, boasting a solid H2H record that shows resilience. The double chance option X2 offers value considering Bologna's ability to secure draws or surprise wins against tougher teams. With statistics indicating a likelihood of goals, it bolsters the argument for Bologna to either secure a draw or even clinch an unexpected victory. Investing in X2 could yield positive returns, given Bologna's potential to disrupt AC Milan’s home advantage.
What is SmartBet?
Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for AC Milan vs Bologna. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.
AC Milan vs Bologna is played on 2026-10-28 in Serie A (Round 9), with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Milan are unbeaten after eight rounds, yet the SmartBet model still likes Double Chance: X2. Sounds bold, right? The model gives it a 0.48 probability versus 0.41 implied by the odds, which creates a +EV edge of 0.18. Why might it land? Bologna can stay in games, while Milan’s matches are not always open, and a tight draw can be enough for this market.
Prematch Probabilities
What does the Oddspedia community think?
Consensus
9
Community Tips
122
AC Milan form check: Unbeaten, but are they fully safe?
AC Milan sit 1st-leaning early form with 18 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). Their last five reads DWWLW, and they have three straight home wins. The head-to-head is also strong, with 12 wins in the last 18 meetings over nine years, and a 3-0 win in the last clash. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 55% of Milan games, so they can get lively. Adrien Rabiot leads the scoring with 4 goals and 3 assists. Can they break Bologna late again?
Bologna form check: Can they nick a result at San Siro?
Bologna have 8 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), and their last five is LDWLW. The big issue is defending, as they have conceded in each of their last 10 matches. Away from home, they have also failed to score in 2 of 4 league trips, so starts matter. The head-to-head is rough too, with no away win at Milan since 2016. Still, they do have tools. Juan Miranda has 4 assists, and their 3-4-3 can cause wide problems. Can they hang on for a draw?
AC Milan vs Bologna odds: Milan favoured, but not unbeatable
The 1X2 odds price AC Milan at 1.69, with the Draw at 4.20 and Bologna at 6.00, so bookmakers lean clearly to the hosts. In Asian Handicap, Milan -0.75 is 1.86, while Bologna +0.75 is 2.10, pointing to a game where a one-goal margin is realistic. The goals line is tight too. Over 2.5 sits at 1.93 and Under 2.5 at 2.01, which suggests a near coin-flip on whether we get three goals.
AC Milan vs Bologna predicted line-ups: Shapes that could clash
AC Milan are tipped to use a 4-4-2 under Ruben Amorim, with Maignan in goal and a back four of Tomori, De Winter, Pavlovic, and Diawara. In midfield, Hutchinson and Pulisic bring pace, while Modric and Jashari should set the tempo. Up top, Goncalo Ramos partners Pulisic in a flexible front line that can press and run in behind. Bologna are expected in a 3-4-3 with Skorupski, then Darmian, Casale, and Theate at the back. Zortea and Miranda give wing-back width, Ferguson and Pobega hold midfield, and Bernardeschi supports Odgaard and Cambiaghi. Which system wins the wide areas?
Last Matches
Head-2-Head
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
|
AC Milan
|
11
|
7
|
3
|
1
|
23:13
|
W
W
L
W
W
?
|
24
| |
8
|
Bologna
|
11
|
5
|
2
|
4
|
16:14
|
L
W
W
W
W
?
|
17
| |
Oddspedia Tipster Competitions
Monthly Tipster Competition
Yearly Tipster Competition
Bundesliga Competition
La Liga Competition
EPL Competition
Get a free bet for AC Milan vs Bologna
FAQ AC Milan vs Bologna
Who will win between AC Milan and Bologna?
Bookmakers slightly favour AC Milan at 1.69, and their home record is perfect so far (3-0-0). Still, the SmartBet model leans to Bologna avoiding defeat via Double Chance: X2, so a draw is a real threat.
What is the best bet for AC Milan and Bologna?
The top data-led angle here is Double Chance: X2. The model probability is 0.48 versus 0.41 from odds, giving a positive expected value of 0.18. It’s basically a bet on Bologna drawing or winning.
What is Oddspedia SmartBet?
Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction that simulates match outcomes and compares model probability to the odds. If the model chance is higher than the odds imply, it can highlight a value bet like this X2 pick.
Where and when is the match played?
AC Milan vs Bologna is in Serie A (Round 9) on 2026-10-28. Kick-off is at 17:30 UTC. Milan come in with 18 points from 8 games, while Bologna have 8 points from 8.
Where to watch AC Milan vs Bologna?
Serie A matches are often shown on TNT Sports or discovery+ in the UK, depending on rights for the season. Some countries also have DAZN coverage. You can also check bet365, as it sometimes offers livestreaming with an active account.
Sign up for the all new Oddspedia newsletter and the latest USA betting offers.
By submitting your email, you give us consent to contact you for marketing purposes.
