Finished
3 - 3
(HT 1 - 1)
27th Jun 26, 10:00 PM
45'
R. Belghali
60'
R. Mahrez
90+3'
R. Mahrez
28'
M. Arnautovic
55'
M. Sabitzer
90+6'
S. Kalajdzic
Match highlights

Algeria vs Austria Prediction: Will goals decide this World Cup clash?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Algeria vs Austria. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Algeria vs Austria is played on 2026-06-28 in the World Cup (Round 3), with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet computer model leans towards Total Goals - Over 1.5, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. The model gives it a 0.78 probability, while the odds point to 0.71, so there is a +0.09 positive expected value. Both sides lost their last World Cup match and didn’t score, so will they bounce back with more intent? With Algeria’s games landing Over 2.5 goals at 100%, it looks like chances should come.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
ALG
30% Home
24% Draw
46% Away
AUT
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
4.4% 0.3% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 4.1% 6.9% 5.9% 3.4% 6.7% 10.8% 8.9% 5.0% 5.5% 8.8% 7.0% 3.9% 9.3%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Both Teams to Score: Yes
91%
21 of 23 Tips
B
+17
FanDuel
Won
+110

The Oddspedia community is pretty clear here: Both Teams to Score: Yes is the main pick, with 21 of 23 users backing it at odds of 2.50. That price says the market still has doubts, which is why many see it as a decent swing. Algeria average 1.00 goal scored but 2.00 conceded per match, so they do give up chances. Austria sit at 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, which also hints at trading goals. The BTTS sample is small and mixed, though, so the big question is simple: can both attacks show up after blanking last time?

Consensus

26
Correct Score: 1 : 2
100%
11 of 11 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1400
Correct Score: 0 : 0
100%
10 of 10 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+400
Correct Score: 1 : 1
100%
6 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+350
Total Goals: Under 0.25
100%
5 of 5 Tips
Novibet
Best odds
+460
1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+600

Community Tips

351
-313.04
811 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Full Time Result: Draw
Won
+110
-120.51
809 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Full Time Result: Draw
Won
+110
0.00
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Full Time Result: Draw
Won
+110
0.00
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Correct Score: 1 : 1
Lost
+310
-462.45
236 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
To Win From Behind: Austria
Lost
+1500
-462.45
236 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Total Corners: Over 10.5
Lost
+475
+74.56
254 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
+105
+104.28
185 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Half Time / Full Time: Draw / Draw
Won
+210
+104.28
185 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
Total Goals: Under 0.5
Lost
+369
-453.05
653 Tips
5 months ago
Algeria - Austria
To Win to Nil: Algeria
Lost
+550
D W W L W

Algeria Form Analysis: Can they finish better?

Algeria’s recent form reads DWWLW, so it’s not all bad, but the swings are clear. They average 64% possession and 11.50 shots per match, with 4.00 on target, so they can build play and create looks. The issue is at the other end. They concede 2.00 goals per match, and 100% of their matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, which screams open games. They score 1.00 per match overall, with all of it coming in the second half, so patience matters. Amine Gouiri and Nadhir Benbouali both have 1 goal. Who grabs the big moment?

W W W W L

Austria Form Analysis: Can the streak continue?

Austria come in with WWWWL and they look the more settled side right now. They score 1.50 goals per match and concede 1.50, so their games can open up, especially later on as they average 1.00 second-half goals. They only take 7.50 shots per match and just 2.00 on target, which suggests they are more selective than busy. Still, they have scored in 6 straight matches, and they have the strong away trend of winning 100% of games when leading 0-1. Marko Arnautovic and Romano Schmid have 0 goals so far, so is this the match they click?

Algeria vs Austria Stats

Algeria vs Austria Odds - A wide-open market

The Full Time Result odds are tight: Algeria 3.80, Draw 3.30, and Austria 3.90, so bookmakers can’t split them. The Asian Handicap 0 is basically a pick’em too at 1.94 vs 1.95, which screams “coin-flip”. Goals are priced around a low line: Over 1.75 sits at 2.07, while Under 1.75 is 1.86, so the market slightly leans to fewer goals. Still, the SmartBet model likes Over 1.5, and that’s the key angle.

Algeria vs Austria Odds
Algeria Petkovic, Vladimir
Austria Rangnick, Ralf
4-2-3-1
O. Benbot
16
71' Substitute Out
R. Belghali
17
A. Mandi
2
R. Bensebaini
21
71' Substitute Out
J. Hadjam
13
90' Substitute Out
A
x2
H. Aouar
8
I. Maza
22
x2
R. Mahrez
7
N. Bentaleb
19
F. Chaibi
10
71' Substitute Out
A. Gouiri
9
4-2-3-1
A. Schlager
1
S. Posch
5
P. Lienhart
15
62' Substitute Out
A
D. Alaba
5
90' Substitute Out
P. Mwene
16
N. Seiwald
6
46' Substitute Out
X. Schlager
4
46' Substitute Out
R. Schmid
10
A
K. Laimer
20
M. Sabitzer
20
46' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
M. Arnautovic
7
Arrowhead Stadium
Tantashev, Ilgiz

Last Matches

D L W D W ?
L W W D D ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
0
Wins
1
Draw
0
Wins
1 played

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FAQ Algeria vs Austria

Who will win between Algeria and Austria?

The Full Time Result odds are very close, which suggests no clear favourite. Austria arrive in better form, but Algeria keep games open and can create chances. A draw or a narrow win either way looks realistic, so markets like goals may be safer.

What is the best bet for Algeria and Austria?

The top model-led pick is Total Goals: Over 1.5. The SmartBet model gives it a 0.78 probability with 5-star confidence, and it shows +0.09 expected value versus the odds. It fits both teams’ concession numbers too.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns the results into probabilities for betting markets. It also compares model probability to the odds to spot value, like positive expected value (+EV).

Where and when is the match played?

Algeria vs Austria is a World Cup (Round 3) match. It is played on 2026-06-28, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Both sides lost their last World Cup match, so this feels like a big response game.

Where to watch Algeria vs Austria?

World Cup matches are usually shown by major national broadcasters, depending on your country, plus official streaming partners. You can also check bookmaker services like bet365, which may offer livestreaming if you have an account and meet local rules.

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