Finished
1 - 3
(HT 1 - 1)
29th Aug 26, 2:45 PM
35'
R. Lascary
5'
B. Van den Boomen
70'
H. Djibirin
78'
A. El Ouazzani

Auxerre vs Angers Prediction: Round 2 pressure after opening losses in Ligue 1!

Last updated 2 months ago by Ben Cronin
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Auxerre vs Angers. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Auxerre vs Angers is set for 2026-08-29 in Ligue 1 (Round 2), with both teams already chasing their first points. The Oddspedia SmartBet model goes for Angers in the Full Time Result market, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. The model price is 28.25%, while the odds imply 26.11%, which creates a +8.20% positive expected value. Will Auxerre’s strong home streak hold up, or can Angers finally break through away at this ground?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
AUX
44% Home
27% Draw
29% Away
SCO
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
5.6% 0.1% 3.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 7.9% 8.8% 5.0% 2.0% 11.3% 12.3% 6.7% 2.7% 8.6% 8.3% 4.7% 1.8% 3.0%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Consensus

2
Both Teams to Score: Yes
83%
5 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-125
Full Time Result: Auxerre
79%
11 of 14 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+125

Community Tips

52
-13.90
310 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Total Goals: Over 2
Won
-175
-293.04
811 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Full Time Result: Auxerre
Lost
+115
-79.30
134 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
1st Half Result: Draw
Won
+116
-678.07
955 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Asian Handicap: Angers +0.25
Won
-104
-34.64
172 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Asian Handicap: Auxerre -0.25
Lost
-118
+12.30
22 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Total Goals: Over 4
Void
+533
+9.90
13 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
1st Half Odd or Even: Even
Won
-143
-348.04
593 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Correct Score: 3 : 3
Lost
+6600
-1,141.16
2002 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-125
-348.04
593 Tips
2 months ago
Auxerre - Angers
Total Goals: Under 0.5
Lost
+750
L D D W L

Auxerre Form Analysis: Goals up front, gaps at the back?

Auxerre come in with a mixed LDDWL run, and they already sit on 0 points after 1 match. The early numbers are wild. They average 2 goals scored but also 5 conceded per match, with 100% of their games landing Over 2.5, Over 3.5, and even Over 4.5 goals. They have also scored in 11 straight matches, which is a big plus. Lamine Sy and Danny Namaso have started fast with 1 goal each. But can Auxerre tighten up defensively at home?

W L W W L

Angers Form Analysis: Better recent run, but can they finish?

Angers arrive in better overall form at WLWWL, yet they also have 0 points after 1 match this season. Their per-match stats show a weird mix: 17 shots and 56% possession, but 0 goals scored. That screams missed chances, doesn’t it? Defensively, they concede 2 per match, and the longer trend is worrying too, with a goal conceded in each of the last 11 matches. On the bright side, Angers have scored in 8 straight matches overall, so that 0-goal line should improve soon.

Auxerre vs Angers Stats

Auxerre vs Angers Odds: Home edge, but value whispers away

Bookmakers have Auxerre as favourites at 2.00, with the Draw at 3.67 and Angers out at 4.21. That makes the away win the biggest price, yet the SmartBet model still leans Angers with 0.28 win probability and a +0.08 EV edge. On goals, Under 2.5 is slightly favoured at 1.88 over Over 2.5 at 2.07. The Asian Handicap is tight too, with -0.5 at 1.98 versus +0.5 at 1.93.

Auxerre vs Angers Odds
Auxerre Still, Will
Angers Gilli, Stephane
4-3-3
M. Diop
23
L. Sy
27
Yellow Card
S. Diomande
20
61' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
E. Legros
35
Yellow Card
C. Akpa
92
N. Ahamada
8
80' Substitute Out
A. Piedfort
46
K. Danois
5
71' Substitute Out
A
R. Faivre
21
71' Substitute Out
D. Namaso
10
61' Substitute Out
R. Lascary
3
4-2-3-1
A. Lopes
1
87' Substitute Out
C. Arcus
2
A
O. Camara
4
J. Lefort
21
J. Kalulu
17
Y. Belkhdim
14
Yellow Card
B. Van den Boomen
8
67' Substitute Out
J. Allevinah
18
68' Substitute Out
A. Bermont
26
81' Substitute Out
A. Sbai
10
88' Substitute Out
A
A. El Ouazzani
19
Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps
Ben el Salem Hadj, Hakim

Last Matches

L W D L L ?
L L D L L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
3
Wins
4
Draws
3
Wins
10 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
14
10
3
1
6
13:24
L W D L L ?
10
16
10
2
2
6
9:19
L L D L L ?
8

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FAQ Auxerre vs Angers

Who will win between Auxerre and Angers?

The computer model pick is Angers in the Full Time Result market. It rates the win chance at 0.28, which is higher than the 0.26 implied by the odds. Still, Auxerre are strong at home, so it’s not a risk-free call.

What is the best bet for Auxerre and Angers?

The top data-led angle here is Full Time Result: Angers, because it shows +0.08 positive expected value versus the market. If you prefer safer routes, the odds also suggest a close game on the Asian Handicap lines.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities. When the model probability is higher than the odds-implied probability, it can flag a value bet (+EV).

Where and when is the match played?

Auxerre vs Angers is in Ligue 1 (Round 2). It is played on 2026-08-29, with kick-off at 18:45:00 UTC. Both teams are looking to bounce back after losing their opening match.

Where to watch Auxerre vs Angers?

Ligue 1 matches are commonly shown on major sports broadcasters that hold French football rights in your region. You can also check licensed bookmaker streaming, such as bet365, if it is available in your country and you have an eligible account.

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