Finished
5 - 1
(HT 4 - 0)
10th Oct 26, 2:45 PM
9'
L. Ajorque
17'
L. Tousart
30' Pen
K. Lala
45'
M. Balde
54'
P. Mboup
47'
P. Prosper

Brest vs Angers Prediction: Can Brest end their home win wait?

Last updated a month ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Brest vs Angers. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Brest vs Angers is set for 2026-10-10 in Ligue 1 (Round 6), with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Our computer model leans to Double Chance: X2, and it does so with a 5-star confidence rating. Why? The model makes Angers or Draw land 0.62, while the odds imply only 0.51, which leaves a +EV edge of 0.20. Brest have quality up top, sure, but can they really be trusted at home right now? With Angers in better league form, taking cover on the away side looks like the safer play.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
BRE
38% Home
27% Draw
35% Away
SCO

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
4.4% <0.1% 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 6.4% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 10.3% 12.4% 7.9% 3.1% 8.4% 9.5% 5.8% 2.6% 3.5%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Brest
67%
8 of 12 Tips
B
I
V
+4
DraftKings
Won
-115

The community is siding with the home win. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result: Brest at odds of 2.08, backed by 8 of 12 users. That makes sense if you focus on the head-to-head edge and Brest’s main man Kamory Doumbia, who already has 4 goals in 5 games. Still, does that price fully cover Brest’s recent home issues and their long run of conceding? If you follow the crowd, you’re basically betting Brest finally click at home, and do it for 90 minutes.

Consensus

5
Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
4 of 4 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
-156
Double Chance: Draw or Angers
83%
5 of 6 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-110
Total Goals: Over 2.5
75%
3 of 4 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-135
First Team to Score: No Goal
67%
2 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1200
Full Time Result: Brest
64%
14 of 22 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-115

Community Tips

67
-462.24
1506 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Full Time Result: Brest
Won
-120
+123.04
941 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Won
-167
+228.97
105 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Asian Handicap: Brest -1
Won
+150
-576.49
663 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Full Time Result: Brest
Won
-118
+11.16
57 Tips
a month ago
3
Accumulator bet
Lost
+262
-245.55
168 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Double Chance: Draw or Angers
Lost
-104
-155.95
439 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Total Goals: Over 3.5
Won
+160
-1,412.35
2035 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Full Time Result: Brest
Won
-118
-678.07
955 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Asian Handicap: Brest -0.5
Won
-119
-114.87
1268 Tips
a month ago
Brest - Angers
Full Time Result: Angers
Lost
+310
D W L L D

Brest form check: Goals yes, wins no?

Brest come into Round 6 with 5 points from 5 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), and their form reads DWLLD. They are fun going forward though. Doumbia has 4 goals already, with Ajorque and Mboup adding support. Games have been lively too, with 80% going Over 2.5 Goals and 60% seeing Brest score in both halves. The worry is at the back. Brest have conceded in 21 straight matches, and they have played 11 home games in a row without winning. Can they finally hold on?

L W L D W

Angers form analysis: Better rhythm, steady threat

Angers sit 7th with 7 points after 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), and their recent form is LWLDW. It’s not perfect, but it’s slightly stronger than Brest’s right now. El Ouazzani is the key attacker, with 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, while Van den Boomen adds control and set-piece danger. Angers matches have been calmer, with only 40% going Over 2.5 Goals, and BTTS hitting 40% overall. Still, with Brest conceding so often, Angers should fancy nicking at least one.

Brest vs Angers Stats

Brest vs Angers odds: Home edge, away cover value

The 1X2 market slightly favours Brest at 2.08, with the Draw at 3.84 and Angers at 3.66. That says the books expect a close match, but with Brest still seen as the likelier winner. In Asian Handicap, Brest -0.5 is priced at 2.00, while Angers +0.5 is 1.86, which supports the safer “away not to lose” angle. For goals, Over 2.75 is 1.95 and Under 2.75 is 2.01, so the line is basically a coin flip.

Brest vs Angers Odds

Brest vs Angers predicted line-ups: Two 4-2-3-1 setups

Brest are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 under Julien Lachuer. Selvik should start in goal, with Lala and Locko as the full-backs. Le Guen and Lloris look set to pair up at centre-back. Chotard and Magnetti should sit in the double pivot, letting Versini and Del Castillo’s role be covered by the attacking band led by Doumbia. Up top, Ajorque is the focal point, with Mboup close by to press and run in behind.

Angers should also go 4-2-3-1 with Stéphane Gilli. Lopes is the likely keeper, with Arcus and Kalulu at full-back. Camara and Lefort anchor the middle. Belkhdim and Van den Boomen should share midfield duties, while Allevinah, El Ouazzani, and Sbai provide the creativity behind Prosper as the striker. Who wins the battle between Doumbia and Van den Boomen for control and moments?

Brest Lachuer, Julien
Angers Gilli, Stephane
4-2-3-1
E. Selvik
1
K. Lala
70
L. Tousart
29
G. Lloris
4
B. Locko
2
79' Substitute Out
A
J. Chotard
13
A
H. Magnetti
8
61' Substitute Out
M. Balde
17
79' Substitute Out
K. Doumbia
23
85' Substitute Out
A
P. Mboup
9
86' Substitute Out
Yellow Card
A
L. Ajorque
19
4-2-3-1
A. Lopes
1
46' Substitute Out
M. Louer
20
33' Substitute Out
O. Camara
4
Red Card
J. Lefort
21
A
J. Kalulu
17
85' Substitute Out
H. Belkebla
93
Yellow Card
B. Van den Boomen
8
J. Allevinah
18
61' Substitute Out
Y. Belkhdim
14
A. Sbai
10
62' Substitute Out
P. Prosper
9
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Wattellier, Eric

Last Matches

W D L W W ?
L L D L L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
8
Wins
3
Draws
4
Wins
15 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
9
10
4
3
3
18:12
W D L W W ?
15
16
10
2
2
6
9:19
L L D L L ?
8

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FAQ Brest vs Angers

Who will win between Brest and Angers?

The bookmakers slightly favour Brest, but the SmartBet model prefers Angers or Draw (Double Chance X2). Brest have the stronger home head-to-head, yet Angers have the better league form so far. It looks very close.

What is the best bet for Brest and Angers?

The data-led value pick is Double Chance: X2. The model probability is 0.62 versus an odds-implied 0.51, giving a +EV of 0.20. It also fits Brest’s 11 home matches without a win.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and turns them into probabilities for different markets. You can then compare those probabilities to the odds to spot value bets.

Where and when is the match played?

Brest vs Angers is in Ligue 1 (Round 6) on 2026-10-10. Kick-off is at 18:45 UTC. Brest are the home side for this fixture.

Where to watch Brest vs Angers?

Ligue 1 matches are often shown on major sports broadcasters and league rights holders in each country. You can also check licensed bookmaker streams like bet365 (where available) and the clubs’ official channels for updates.

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