Finished
0 - 2
(HT 0 - 1)
14th Sep 26, 12:30 PM
40'
D. Malen
90+3'
N. Pisilli
Match highlights

Torino vs Roma Prediction: Can leaders Roma keep rolling?

Last updated 2 months ago by Ben Cronin
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What is SmartBet?

Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Torino vs Roma. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Torino vs Roma kicks off on 2026-09-14 in Serie A (Round 4), with a big early-season vibe at 16:30 UTC. Roma arrive flying at the top, while Torino are still trying to settle. Our computer model points to Total Corners: Over 10.5, and it comes with a 5-star confidence rating. The model prices it at 28.47% probability versus 28.17% implied by the odds, so there is a small edge. Will Roma’s heavy pressure and Torino’s home push combine for a busy corner count?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
TUR
29% Home
25% Draw
46% Away
ROM

SmartBet forecast correct: Away Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
2.9% 0.1% 2.0% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 4.3% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 7.4% 11.7% 9.7% 4.6% 6.5% 10.2% 7.6% 4.1% 7.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Roma
93%
13 of 14 Tips
+9
BetMGM
Won
-182

The community is pretty clear on this one. The top consensus tip is Full Time Result Roma at 1.63, with 13 of 14 users backing the away win. That lines up with the table too, as Roma are 1st with 9 points and Torino sit on 3 points. The head-to-head also leans Roma, including a 0-2 win in the last meeting on 2026-01-18. Still, can Torino make it awkward at home and turn this into a grind?

Consensus

11
Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
7 of 7 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
-390
Total Corners: Over 10.5
100%
6 of 6 Tips
BetMGM
Best odds
+300
Asian Handicap: Roma -1.5
100%
3 of 3 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+145
Total Goals: Under 3
100%
3 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-167
Total Goals: Over 2
100%
3 of 3 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-267

Community Tips

164
-22.43
122 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
1st Half Result: Torino
Lost
+500
-644.98
883 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Total Goals: Over 1.5
Won
-400
-572.67
671 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Full Time Result: Roma
Won
-182
-1,014.75
867 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Full Time Result: Roma
Won
-182
-474.24
1046 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Lost
-133
-655.25
1233 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Lost
-133
-2,336.87
3265 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Total Goals: Under 3
Won
-159
-337.60
664 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Full Time Result: Roma
Won
-182
-919.13
808 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Full Time Result: Roma
Won
-182
-37.65
48 Tips
2 months ago
Torino - Roma
Full Time Result: Roma
Won
-182
W L L L W

Torino form check: Can they bounce back?

Torino’s recent form reads WLLLW, so it’s been a bit stop-start. After 3 league matches they have 3 points, and the numbers show why it feels risky. They score 1.30 goals per match but concede 1.70, and they average only 8.00 shots with 3.00 on target. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of their games, yet they do most of their scoring after the break (1.00 in second halves). Can Che Adams, already on 2 goals, nick them an early lead?

D W W W D

Roma form check: Why are they so strong?

Roma come in with DWWWD form and a perfect start in the league: 3 wins from 3, 9 points, and top spot. The stats are loud. They score 3.30 goals per match from 22.70 shots and 9.00 on target, while conceding just 0.30. They also score in both halves in 50% of matches, with 1.30 first-half goals on average, so they often start fast. The head-to-head is in their favour too, including a 0-2 win in January. Can Torino slow down that attack?

Torino vs Roma Stats

Torino vs Roma odds: Away win strongly favoured

The Full Time Result market makes Roma clear favourites at 1.63, with Torino out at 6.44 and the Draw at 4.40. That fits the table gap and Roma’s strong defence. The Asian Handicap sits around a split line too, with +1 at 1.98 and -1 at 1.97, suggesting a possible one-goal Roma win is a key outcome. Goals pricing is tight at Over 2.75 (1.98) and Under 2.75 (1.97), so bookmakers expect around three goals. Which side do you trust?

Torino vs Roma Odds
Torino Abate, Ignazio
Roma Gasperini, Gian Piero
3-5-2
L. Perri
20
E. Coemert
5
S. Coco
23
P. Comuzzo
15
46' Substitute Out
R. Belghali
45
83' Substitute Out
R. Mandragora
8
59' Substitute Out
K. Fitz-Jim
28
46' Substitute Out
G. Gineitis
66
73' Substitute Out
N. Fortini
29
G. Simeone
18
N. Vlasic
10
3-4-1-2
M. Svilar
99
G. Mancini
23
L. Balerdi
26
Yellow Card
M. Hermoso
22
88' Substitute Out
E. Lulli
77
64' Substitute Out
B. Cristante
4
Yellow Card
N. Pisilli
61
N. Molina
20
57' Substitute Out
M. Soule
18
64' Substitute Out
P. Dybala
21
57' Substitute Out
D. Malen
14
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Maresca, Fabio

Last Matches

W W L L D ?
D W W L W ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
4
Wins
2
Draws
13
Wins
19 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
3
11
8
3
0
31:10
W D W W W ?
27
11
11
4
2
5
15:17
W W L L D ?
14

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FAQ Torino vs Roma

Who will win between Torino and Roma?

Roma look the stronger pick. They are top of the table with 9 points from 3 matches, while Torino have 3. The head-to-head also favours Roma, and the latest meeting ended 0-2 to Roma.

What is the best bet for Torino and Roma?

The model-backed SmartBet is Total Corners: Over 10.5, with a small positive expected value of 1.06%. The community favourite is Full Time Result Roma at 1.63, backed by 13 of 14 users.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer-model prediction. It simulates match outcomes and looks for value versus the odds. Here it supports Total Corners: Over 10.5 with a 5-star confidence rating and 28.47% model probability.

Where and when is the match played?

Torino vs Roma is in Serie A (Round 4). It is played on 2026-09-14, with kick-off set for 16:30 UTC. It is Torino’s home fixture, with Roma travelling as favourites.

Where to watch Torino vs Roma?

Serie A is commonly shown on broadcasters like TNT Sports or discovery+ (UK rights can vary by season), and on services such as DAZN in many regions. Some bookmakers, like bet365, may offer livestreaming if you have a funded account.

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