Finished
2 - 0
(HT 1 - 0)
14th Jun 26, 12:00 AM
27'
N. Irankunda
75'
C. Metcalfe

Australia vs Turkey Prediction: Can Turkey keep rolling in World Cup Round 1?

Last updated 5 months ago by Ben Cronin
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Australia vs Turkey. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Australia vs Turkey is set for the World Cup (Round 1) on 2026-06-14 at 04:00 UTC, and it feels like a game where chances should come at both ends. Oddspedia SmartBet goes for Both Teams to Score: Yes, and it’s backed with a 5-star confidence rating. The model prices it at 0.60 probability, while the odds imply 0.51, which creates a +EV edge of 0.17. Turkey’s recent scoring streak looks solid, but can Australia nick one too? That’s the key angle.

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
AUS
23% Home
22% Draw
55% Away
TUR
Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
3.3% 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 3.0% 5.8% 5.7% 3.8% 5.0% 9.8% 9.6% 6.2% 4.5% 8.7% 8.4% 5.4% 13.2%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: Other Away Win

What does the Oddspedia community think?

Full Time Result: Turkey
77%
127 of 166 Tips
P
+123
BetMGM
Lost
-120

The Oddspedia community is leaning strongly towards Turkey in the Full Time Result market. It’s 127 of 166 users backing Turkey at 1.78, so the crowd is clearly seeing them as the safer side. Why? Turkey are on a 4-match winning streak and they haven’t lost in 8 games, so confidence is high. Still, it’s worth asking: does the price feel a bit short with Australia capable of scoring at home? If you follow the crowd, Turkey to win is the main play.

Consensus

34
Correct Score: 1 : 2
100%
13 of 13 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+800
1st Half Correct Score: 0 : 1
100%
8 of 8 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+250
Correct Score: 0 : 2
100%
7 of 7 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+650
Correct Score: 0 : 0
100%
7 of 7 Tips
FanDuel
Best odds
+1000
Total Goals: Over 1.5
100%
6 of 6 Tips
bet365
Best odds
-275

Community Tips

473
+6.09
11 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
Total Goals: Over 2.75
Lost
+135
0.00
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
Total Goals: Under 2.25
Won
+101
-488.45
237 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
Half Time / Full Time: Australia / Turkey
Lost
+2500
-488.45
237 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
Total Goals: Over 3.75
Lost
+350
-488.45
237 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
To Win From Behind: Turkey
Lost
+1000
+3.80
3 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
Full Time Result: Turkey
Lost
-139
-235.20
159 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
Correct Score: 1 : 3
Lost
+1200
-235.20
159 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
1st Half European Handicap: Turkey -1
Lost
+525
-235.20
159 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
1st Half Asian Handicap: Turkey -1.5
Lost
+500
-17.30
13 Tips
5 months ago
Australia - Turkey
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Lost
+105
L W W L D

Australia Form Analysis: Can they land a big opener?

Australia come into this World Cup opener with a mixed LWWLD run, so they’re not falling apart, but they’re not flying either. The head-to-head data is basically empty over the last 9 years, so this matchup feels fresh. Match facts hint at a slower start, with Australia winning just 20% of first halves. Still, the home scoring note stands out, with 2.33 goals per home game on average. Can they start fast and make Turkey sweat? If Australia score first, that could flip the whole script.

D W W W W

Turkey Form Analysis: Streaking and hard to stop

Turkey look like the more reliable side right now, with DWWWW in their last five. They’ve also gone 8 matches without a loss, and they’ve scored in 8 straight games, which is a great base for both a win bet and a goals angle. They tend to start sharper too, winning 40% of first halves. Away scoring is strong at 2.80 goals on average, so they won’t fear this trip. The big question is simple: can Australia keep them quiet for long?

Australia vs Turkey Stats

Australia vs Turkey Odds - Turkey are clear favourites

The Full Time Result odds make Turkey the standout favourite at 1.78, with the Draw at 3.90 and Australia out at 5.60. The Asian Handicap sits around Turkey -0.75 at 1.95 and Australia +0.75 at 1.98, so the book expects Turkey to win but not necessarily cruise. Goals pricing is tight too: Over 2.5 is 2.06 and Under 2.5 is 1.85, which leans slightly to a lower-scoring baseline, but not by much.

Australia vs Turkey Odds
Australia Popovic, Anthony
Turkey Montella, Vincenzo
5-4-1
P. Beach
18
74' Substitute Out
J. Italiano
4
A. Circati
3
H. Souttar
19
C. Burgess
21
84' Substitute Out
J. Bos
5
C. Metcalfe
8
84' Substitute Out
A
P. Okon-Engstler
24
A. O'Neill
13
61' Substitute Out
N. Irankunda
17
74' Substitute Out
M. Toure
9
4-2-3-1
U. Cakir
1
81' Substitute Out
Z. Celik
2
M. Demiral
3
A. Bardakci
14
F. Kadioglu
20
H. Calhanoglu
10
81' Substitute Out
I. Yuksek
16
A. Guler
8
62' Substitute Out
O. Kokcu
6
46' Substitute Out
B. Yilmaz
21
85' Substitute Out
K. Akturkoglu
7
BC Place
Valenzuela Saez, Jesus

Last Matches

L D D D L ?
L L L L L ?

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
1
Win
0
Wins
1 played

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FAQ Australia vs Turkey

Who will win between Australia and Turkey?

Turkey look like the better pick on form. They are unbeaten in 8 matches and on a 4-game winning run, while Australia’s last five are mixed. The odds agree too, with Turkey priced at 1.78 for the win.

What is the best bet for Australia and Turkey?

The model’s top play is Both Teams to Score: Yes. It has a 5-star confidence rating, with a 0.60 model probability versus 0.51 implied by odds, giving +EV of 0.17. Turkey to win is the top community pick.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model pick. It simulates outcomes and turns them into probabilities for different betting markets. Here it flags Both Teams to Score: Yes as value, because the model probability is higher than the odds imply.

Where and when is the match played?

Australia vs Turkey is in the World Cup, Round 1. It is scheduled for 2026-06-14, with kick-off at 04:00 UTC. Check local listings for the venue and your local start time.

Where to watch Australia vs Turkey?

World Cup matches are usually shown by major broadcasters and streaming partners in each country. In the UK, look for rights holders like BBC or ITV when applicable. Some bookmakers, such as bet365, may also offer live streaming if you have an account.

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