Finished
3 - 1
(HT 1 - 1)
6º nov. 26, 2:30 PM
11'
M. Muheim
59'
S. Nandja
70'
A. Gronbaek
44'
J. Scally

Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction: Can the home side edge it in Round 9?

Last updated hace 9 días by Ben Cronin
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Developed by a team of professional bettors, the SmartBet model is powered by an AI engine to analyse over 1,000 data points for Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach. We continuously monitor the thousands of daily odds changes to update our predictions, ensuring you get the best value. Learn more about SmartBet.

Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach is set for Bundesliga Round 9 on 2026-11-06, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. The Oddspedia SmartBet model points to Both Teams to Score: No, and it feels like a spot where one side could get blanked. The model probability sits at 0.42 versus 0.38 implied by the odds, so there is a 0.11 positive EV edge on paper. With recent head-to-heads ending 0-0 twice last season, do we get another tight one?

Prematch Probabilities

Winner probabilities
HSV
40% Home
24% Draw
36% Away
BMG

SmartBet forecast correct: Home Winner

Correct Score probabilities
>3 3 2 1 0
6.7% 0.2% 3.3% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 6.1% 8.4% 6.4% 3.2% 7.9% 10.6% 7.8% 4.0% 5.4% 6.9% 5.0% 2.5% 6.5%
0 1 2 3 >3
Correct Score: 1-1

What does the Oddspedia community think?

First Team to Score: No Goal
92%
12 of 13 Tips
R
+8
bet365
Lost
+1200

The Oddspedia community is lining up behind a big-price angle: First Team to Score No Goal at odds 15.00, with 12 of 13 votes. That is basically a bet on a 0-0, so it matches the recent vibe between these two, including the 0-0 on 2026-01-17 and two 0-0s last season. Still, it is a risky one, because both sides have seen plenty of games go Over 2.5 lately. Fancy a long shot, or do you prefer the safer BTTS markets?

Consensus

16
Total Goals: Under 0.5
100%
15 of 15 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+1200
Next Goal: No Goal
100%
14 of 14 Tips
Betway
Best odds
+1200
1st Half Both Teams to Score: Yes
100%
11 of 11 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+300
Draw No Bet: Borussia Monchengladbach
100%
8 of 8 Tips
DraftKings
Best odds
+115
Total Goals: Over 4.5
100%
5 of 5 Tips
bet365
Best odds
+400

Community Tips

420
-77.65
139 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
Total Goals: Over 2.5
Won
-143
-76.70
117 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
Full Time Result: Borussia Monchengladbach
Lost
+190
-25.74
210 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
1st Half Result: Draw
Won
+125
+89.89
1010 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
1st Half Correct Score: 5 : 0
Lost
+50000
-585.34
1580 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
Full Time Result: Borussia Monchengladbach
Lost
+190
+89.89
1010 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
Half Time / Full Time: Borussia Monchengladbach / Hamburg
Lost
+2500
+89.89
1010 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
Next Goal: No Goal
Lost
+1200
+89.89
1010 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
First Team to Score: No Goal
Lost
+1200
+89.89
1010 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
Correct Score: 0 : 0
Lost
+1100
-2,200.68
7705 Tips
hace 9 días
Hamburg - Borussia Monchengladbach
Total Goals: Over 2.25
Won
-185
W W L L L

Hamburg Form Analysis: Can they stop the slide?

Hamburg come in with a WWLLL run, so the momentum has cooled fast. They sit 11th with 9 points from 8 games (3 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses). The head-to-head leans their way lately too, with Hamburg unbeaten across the last three home meetings and the last match ending 0-0. Goals data is patchy, but their games still hit Over 2.5 in 70%. Moffi, Muheim, and Poulsen all have 2 goals, so who steps up when it matters?

L L W W D

Borussia Monchengladbach Form Analysis: Any real turnaround?

Gladbach are down in 17th with just 4 points from 8 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 6 losses). Their last five reads LLWWD, which looks better, but the season hole is still deep. They have failed to score in 2 of 4 away games, which matters for BTTS bets. Oddly, they have also scored at least once in 7 straight matches overall, so the attack is not totally dead. Neuhaus and Scally chip in, but can they handle this tough away trip?

Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Stats

Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Odds: Slight home lean

The Full Time Result market makes Hamburg narrow favourites at 2.45, with the Draw at 3.76 and Gladbach at 3.10. The Asian Handicap backs that up, with Hamburg -0.25 priced at 2.03 versus +0.25 at 1.91. For goals, Over 2.75 is 1.97 and Under 2.75 is 2.00, so bookmakers sit right on the fence. Are you expecting a tight 1-0, or another open Bundesliga-style scrap?

Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Odds

Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Predicted Lineups: Mirror systems

Both teams are tipped to go with a 3-4-2-1, so match-ups will be man-for-man all over the pitch. Hamburg should start Daniel Fernandes in goal, with Torunarigha and Omari in a back three. Lokonga and Muheim look key in the middle, while Gronbaek and Adeline support Moffi up top. Gladbach are expected to use Daniel Batz in goal, with Chiarodia in defence and Neuhaus running the game. Hack and Mohya sit behind Machino. With both shapes similar, do set pieces and small errors decide it?

Hamburg Polzin, Merlin
Borussia Monchengladbach Blessin, Alexander
3-3-2-2
D. Fernandes
1
63' Substitute Out
S. Nandja
43
89' Substitute Out
S. Bornauw
33
Yellow Card
W. Omari
17
Z. El Ouahdi
7
81' Substitute Out
A
A. Sambi Lokonga
6
D. Moller Wolfe
3
63' Substitute Out
M. Adeline
5
M. Muheim
28
P. Daka
27
80' Substitute Out
A
A. Gronbaek
11
3-4-2-1
D. Batz
33
P. Sander
16
Yellow Card Red Card
K. Itakura
6
F. Chiarodia
2
J. Scally
29
81' Substitute Out
Z. Uno
47
F. Neuhaus
10
82' Substitute Out
L. Ullrich
26
56' Substitute Out
R. Hack
25
W. Mohya
36
81' Substitute Out
S. Machino
18
Volksparkstadion
Jablonski, Sven

Head-2-Head

Last 9 years
2
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
4 played

Standings

# Team P W D L Goals Pts
11
9
4
0
5
10:20
W W L L W ?
12
18
9
1
1
7
12:25
L L W D L ?
4

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FAQ Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach

Who will win between Hamburg and Borussia Monchengladbach?

The odds give Hamburg a slight edge at home (2.45), and the table also favours them (9 points vs 4). Head-to-head trends help too, with Gladbach winless away at Hamburg since 2017. A draw is still very live.

What is the best bet for Hamburg and Borussia Monchengladbach?

The computer-model pick is Both Teams to Score: No, rated 3/5 confidence. The model probability is 0.42 versus 0.38 implied by odds, which suggests value. Community punters also like the long-shot 0-0 angle.

What is Oddspedia SmartBet?

Oddspedia SmartBet is a computer model that simulates match outcomes and turns them into betting probabilities. It compares the model probability to the odds-implied probability to spot potential value bets, like +EV picks.

Where and when is the match played?

The match is Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga, Round 9. It is played on 2026-11-06, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. It is hosted by Hamburg.

Where to watch Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach?

Bundesliga matches are often shown on Sky Germany and DAZN in many regions, with rights varying by country. Some bookmakers like bet365 may also offer live streaming if you have an account and meet their viewing rules.

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